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Indias Economic Potential is not overrated/overstated

May 30, 2018

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    INDIAS ECONOMIC

    POTENTIAL IS NOTOVERSTATED/OVERRATED

    Neha Pathak

    Sai Pooja Amar

    Ankita Tiwari

    Akthar Raza

    Sai Krishna Chaitanya PotharajuHG Arthur Denzlin

    Afzal Hussain

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    India will become the third largesteconomy in the world after China andthe United States of America by 2025

    Graeme Wheeler, Managing DirectorWorld Bank

    India is poised to emerge as the thirdlargest economy in the world after USand China by 2025. Nareshwar Dayal,Indian High Commissioner to Britain

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    Agenda

    Forecast HG Arthur Denzlin

    RBIs Efficiency, Budget andEntrepreneurship Ankitha Tiwari

    Agricultural, Industrial & Service sectorsSaikrishna Chaitanya

    FDI and Retail Attractiveness Akthar Raza

    Macro Economic variables Neha Pathak

    HDI and Human Resource Saipooja Amar

    10 areas where reforms are needed Afzal Hussain

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    BRIC Report

    By 2025 the Indian economy is projectedto be about 60 per cent the size of theUS economy. The transformation into a

    tri-polar economy will be complete by2035, with the Indian economy only alittle smaller than the US economy butlarger than that of Western Europe.

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    Tri Polar Economy

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    s s overs a e , en seethis??Growth rate of GDP of 6.9%

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    INDIAS EFFICIENT RBI

    During the recession times , RBI came upwith effective monetary polices.

    Ensured appropriate liquidity in thesystem, consistent with objective ofprice and financial stability.

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    -BUDGET 2010 2011

    Increased the tax base and DTC leading torelief for the middle and the salariedclass.

    A coin gains more value as it changesownership.

    Government committed to growth ofSEZs.

    Four-pronged strategy for growth ofagricultural sector.

    Emphasis on infrastructure pumping andwithdrawal of subsidies.

    Given sco e to rivate business . Private

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    Entrepreneurship

    urce:WorldDev

    elopment

    Rep

    ort,2005(WorldB

    ank)

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    Entrepreneurship helpsEconomy

    Generate Employment

    Revenues for the Government

    Inclusive Growth

    New Technology

    Development of the society

    Gives higher purchasing power to the

    people of the country

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    Share of GDP

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    Sector 2009

    GDP breakdown Agriculture 17.5% Services 62.6%

    Industry 19.9% Labor breakdown

    Agriculture 52%

    Service 34%

    Industrial 14%

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    Agricultural sector

    Agriculture is generally described as thebackbone of Indian economy and is at thecore of socio economic development of

    the countryThe agricultural sector contributes

    proportionally more to poverty reductionthan growth in any other economic sector

    and that therefore alone, the focus shouldbe on the agricultural sector

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    Growtrh rate

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    easons or e grow oServices and Manufacturingsector India opens up

    The rise of the financial sector

    Back-office to the world

    The Golden QuadrilateralThe great migration

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    Attracting FDI

    India has the highest returns on foreigninvestment US Department of Commerce

    India 19.3%

    China 14.7%Thailand 13.0%

    India is amongst the three most attractive FDIinvestments in the world. AT Kearney FDI

    Confidence Index 2010

    Country 2010Rank

    2007Rank

    Change

    China 1 1 0UnitedStates

    2 3 +1India 3 2 -1Brazil 4 6 +2

    Germany 5 10 +5

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    Retail Attractiveness

    India has been ranked 1st by AT Kearney in aGlobal Retail Development Index of 30developing countries and is seen as apotential gold mine.

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    2009 A.T. Keareny Global RetailDevelopment Index

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    Per capita income

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    Literacy Rate in India

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    Percentage of people underpoverty line

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    - ,expected to have an annual income of overUS$ 6,000 per annum (US$ 30,000 in PPP*terms)

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    Unemployement in India

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    India in terms of HDI

    The HDI for India is0.612, which givesthe country a rank of134th out of 182

    countries Life expectancy at

    birth: 63.4years andranked 128th

    Adult literacy rate:66% and ranked 120th

    Combined grossenrolment ratio:

    64% and ranked 134th

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    HDI cont

    There are 5,886.9 thousand migrantswhich represent 0.5% of the totalpopulation.

    Remittances are sent to immediate familymembers who have stayed behind, areamong the most direct benefits frommigration, the benefits spread broadlyinto local economies as they also serveas foreign exchange earnings for theorigin countries of migrants.

    India topped in the inflow of remittanceswith US$ 35262millions of the total US$370billions.

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    With over 380 universities, 11,200 colleges and 1,500research institutions, India has the second largestpool of scientists and engineers in the world. Over 2.5million graduates are added to the workforce every

    year, including 300,000 engineers and 150,000 ITrofessionals.

    10 h f i

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    10 areas where reform isneeded

    1.Improve governance

    2.Raise educational achievement

    3.Increase quality and quantity ofuniversities

    4.Control inflation

    5.Introduce a credible fiscal policy

    6.Liberalise financial markets

    7.Increase trade with neighbours8.Increase agricultural productivity

    9.Improve infrastructure

    10.Improve Environmental Quality

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    Thank You

    ?? QUESTIONS ??