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Transport Economics and ManagementCompetition policy and regulation
Eric Pels
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TEM2
This lecture
Last time: market structures
Economic inefficiencies
This time: pricing, competition policy and regulation
General description
European Commission
Learning objective: understand why competition policy
exists, and be able to explain why competition policy isnot always successful (or useful).
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TEM3
Pricing
Perfect competition: P=MC, welfare maximized
Monopoly: P>MC, profits maximized (not welfare)
Oligopoly:
Cournot: P>MC, profits maximized, not welfare
Bertrand: P=MC
Lets say were are a monopolist. Set output where MR=MC. Price determined by
inverse demand function.
Can we get higher profits than this?
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TEM4
Price discrimination
Conditions:
Market power
Different groups of consumers (based on willingness-to-
pay, demand elasticity etc.)
segmentation.
Resale not possible.
Cost of discrimination may not exceed additional profits
Markets should be transparent Charge different (groups of) consumers different prices to
maximize profits price discrimination.
First, second and third degree.
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TEM5
First degree price discrimination
Perfect discrimination: each unit of output sold at different
price.
Price determined by inverse demand curve.
What is the optimal output?
profits
Q*
Q
MC
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TEM6
Second-degree price discrimination
Non-linear pricing: price depends on
how much you buy. Fundamentals.
Application (as in Mallard and Glaister)
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Second-degree price discrimination
Consumer decides on how much to
buy: Self selection constraints.
2 consumers; each spends ri to receive Xi
benefitsi(Xi)-ri>0 benefits1(X1)-r1> benefits1(X2)-r2
benefits2(X2)-r2> benefits2(X1)-r1
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Second-degree price discrimination
Consider an individualdemand function (for convenience,
marginal cost are 0)
Monopolists wants to supply X1 at a total price of A.
p
X
A
X1
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Second-degree price discrimination
Now consider two individualdemand functions
Monopolist would like to supply X1
at A+B+C and X2
at A
p
X
A
X1
B
C
X2
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Second-degree price discrimination
But: if consumer 1 also purchases X2 at a price of A,
he/she will get surplus B (self selection).
If the monopolist would charge A+C for X1,
consumer 1 get surplus B and the monopolist higher
profits. Can the monopolist get higher profits?
Make X2 unattractive for consumer 1.
Offering less of X2 (loss for monopolist) allows for
higher profits from X1.
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Second-degree price discrimination
p
X
A
X1
B
C
X2
Extra profit
(increase inC)
Loss (reduction
in A)
p
X
A
X1
B
CX2D
Equilibrium: marginal
benefit in reduction ofX2 = marginal cost
Consumer 2pays A for X2
Consumer 1 paysA+D+C for X1
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Second-degree price discrimination
Examples?
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Third degree price discrimination
Set prices for different groups of consumers: examples?
p*
p*
Q* Q*
Segmentation based on willingness-to-pay and elasticity
MCMC
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Competition policy
Ensure markets functions as close as possible to
perfect competition model
European Commission:
5 pillars
Subsidiarity: enforced by individual countries
Commission intervenes in situations with more than 1
country
National: competition authority
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Competition policy
EC competition policy
Anti-competitivebehaviour
Mergercontrol
Encouragingcompetition
State-aidco
ntrol
Internationa
lcooperation
Subsidiarity
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Competition policy: national
Subsidiarity
National firms
Does a firm have monopoly power? Theory: P=MC/(1+1/p)
Market definition: relevant markets
Market is allocation mechanism
Demand side substitution The ability of consumers to switch products following a change in
relative prices
Supply side substitution
Competitive constraint if third-party suppliers can switch production in
the short term without significant additional investments (costless
entry)
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Demand side substitution
SSNIP (Small but Significant and Non-transitory Increase in Price)
US department of justice, 1982
smallest relevant market in which permanent increase in price ispossible
interview consumers
price increase of e.g. 5%
Consumers do not switch to alternatives: no (or limited) change in
demand Price increase profitable: regulation
Consumers switch to alternatives: change in demand
market is not relevant market for regulation, SSNIP test performed
on larger basket of products
Does this make sense?
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TEM18
Marginal revenues
P
Q
Inverse demand ( a/b-1/b*Q )
Marginal revenues
MR positive ifp
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Monopoly
TEM19
P
Q0
Marginal costs
Inverse demand
Marginal revenues
Average costs
Qm
Pm
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Supply side substitution
SSS-test: can a third party enter the market? What assets are needed to produce the relevant products?
Can missing assets be acquired without the need for significant, irreversiblenew investments?
Are companies able to divert production from supply-side substitutes to the
relevant products, or are they contractually committed to continue production
of existing products?
Can unused plant capacity be brought into production at a reasonable cost?
Will consumers regard their products as valid substitutes for the existing set ofproducts?
TEM20
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SSS
hypothetical example.
airport A serves passenger airlines, airport B serves
cargo airlines.
airport B increases charges. Can airport A step in?
airport A must set attractive charge for cargo airlines
incentives for a change
airport has enough capacity to be an alternative of supply
Airport is comparable in geographic catchment area
Airport is alternative for cargo airlines
cargo airlines must be able to easily switch demand
significant investments for specialized storage and warehouse facilities?
TEM21
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TEM22
Regulation of monopoly
Cost-based Price should allow return on investment
Most common form: Rate of return regulation Limit the rate of return to capital: ROR=[pQ-wL-rK]/[pkK]
r=user cost of capital (depreciation), pk=purchase price of capital
ROR of 0 is competitive rate of return (no excess profits)
Regulated firm maximizes profits under the ROR-constraint
Problems with ROR: Fair ROR?
Different methods (capital asset pricing, comparative earnings etc.: finance
theory)
Information assymetry
Averch-Johnson effect: incentive to increase capital relative to labor to maximize
profits (Gold plating)
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TEM23
Regulation of monopoly - ROR
Example Carlton and Perloff (2005)
P=100-Q
Q=LK
Labor price: 168
Capital price (user cost of capital): 168
Interest rate 10%
Cost of capital 1680
ROR=(PQ-168L-168K)/(1680K)
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Regulation of monopoly - ROR
TEM24
K L Q price revenues cost profits MR MK Welfare ROR
6 4 24 76 1824 1680 144 52 34 432 1.43
6 5 30 70 2100 1848 252 40 31 702 2.50
6 6 36 64 2304 2016 288 28 28 936 2.86
6 7 42 58 2436 2184 252 16 26 1134 2.50
6 8 48 52 2496 2352 144 4 24 1296 1.43
6 9 54 46 2484 2520 -36 23 1422
7 4 28 72 2016 1848 168 44 32 560 1.43
7 5 35 65 2275 2016 259 30 28 871.5 2.20
7 6 42 58 2436 2184 252 16 26 1134 2.14
7 7 49 51 2499 2352 147 2 24 1347.5 1.25
7 8 56 44 2464 2520 -56 22 1512
7 9 63 37 2331 2688 -357 21 1627.5
8 4 32 68 2176 2016 160 36 30 672 1.19
8 5 40 60 2400 2184 216 20 27 1016 1.618 6 48 52 2496 2352 144 4 24 1296 1.07
8 7 56 44 2464 2520 -56 22 1512
8 8 64 36 2304 2688 -384 21 1664
8 9 72 28 2016 2856 -840 20 1752
9 4 36 64 2304 2184 120 28 28 768 0.79
9 5 45 55 2475 2352 123 10 25 1135.5 0.81
9 6 54 46 2484 2520 -36 23 1422
9 7 63 37 2331 2688 -357 21 1627.5
9 8 72 28 2016 2856 -840 20 1752
9 9 81 19 1539 3024 -1485 19 1795.5 Average ROR: 1.66
9.02 9.02 81.36 18.6 1516.5 3030.7 -1514.2 19 1795.56
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Regulation of monopoly - ROR
TEM25
Q
MC
MRInverse demand
Profit maximum
Welfare maximizedOutput and price at average ROR
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TEM26
Regulation of monopoly
Price-cap (CPI-X) regulation
Prices are allowed to increase by the consumer
price index, minus expected efficiency savings x.
Sets incentive for cost reduction and revenue
generation
Difficulty: firms have an incentive to undersupply
quality (postpone investments) to reduce costswith little reduction in revenues
e.g. rolling stock of railway company
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TEM27
Efficiency analysis, benchmarking
Determining X
Cost minimization: minimize cost to produce given
output level.
Benchmarking: comparing business (performance
metrics) to industry bests.
Various tools
Frontier analysis
Cost frontier
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Regression - frontier
TEM28
ln(C)
ln(X)
Most efficient observation (firm)Frontier
ln(C)=K+a*ln(X)+v
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TEM29
Frontier analysis
Corrected OLS
Shift until all but one residuals are positive
add largest negative residual: ln(C)=K+a*ln(X)+v+max(v) = K+a*ln(X)+w
ln(C)=K+a*ln(X)+w C= eK*Xa*ew
Efficiency coefficient: EC = CMIN/C
(e
K
*X
a
*e
0
)/(e
K
*X
a
*e
w`
) = e
w
Same output can be obtained at fraction EC of costs
Stochastic frontier:
ln(C)=K+a*ln(X)+u+v, vhas normal distribution, u is non-negative error term
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Alternative regulation methods
Sliding scale regulation
Tries to deal with information assymetry Give incentive to release information
sliding scale: higher cost firms have higher
regulated price
benchmark for profits; profits exceeding benchmarksplit between firm and consumers
Somewhere between CPI-X and cost-based
TEM30
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Alternative methods
Yardstick competition
Regulator employs cost levels of identical firms todetermine regulated price
Mean average (marginal) cost of firms
Investment regulation
Excess demand: extra capacity comes at highercost. Price caps must allow higher charges.
Price monitoring
TEM31
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TEM32
Summary
International and national rules
Does a company have monopoly power?
Does regulation give proper incentives?
Schiphol has strong position on market for provision of
infrastructure for take-offs and landings for O&D
passengers. Many airlines are very unlikely to leave
Schiphol for other airports (GAP, 2010).
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33
Background slide 29: logarithms
alog(x)=q aq=x (raise a to the power q to get x)
ln(x)=elog(x) (raise e tot the power ln(x) to get x)
eln(x)=x
ln(ex)=x
ln(xy)=ln(x)+ln(y)
ln(xa
yb
)=aln(x)+bln(y)