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HC4 Competition Policy and Regulation

Apr 14, 2018

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    Transport Economics and ManagementCompetition policy and regulation

    Eric Pels

    [email protected]

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    TEM2

    This lecture

    Last time: market structures

    Economic inefficiencies

    This time: pricing, competition policy and regulation

    General description

    European Commission

    Learning objective: understand why competition policy

    exists, and be able to explain why competition policy isnot always successful (or useful).

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    TEM3

    Pricing

    Perfect competition: P=MC, welfare maximized

    Monopoly: P>MC, profits maximized (not welfare)

    Oligopoly:

    Cournot: P>MC, profits maximized, not welfare

    Bertrand: P=MC

    Lets say were are a monopolist. Set output where MR=MC. Price determined by

    inverse demand function.

    Can we get higher profits than this?

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    TEM4

    Price discrimination

    Conditions:

    Market power

    Different groups of consumers (based on willingness-to-

    pay, demand elasticity etc.)

    segmentation.

    Resale not possible.

    Cost of discrimination may not exceed additional profits

    Markets should be transparent Charge different (groups of) consumers different prices to

    maximize profits price discrimination.

    First, second and third degree.

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    TEM5

    First degree price discrimination

    Perfect discrimination: each unit of output sold at different

    price.

    Price determined by inverse demand curve.

    What is the optimal output?

    profits

    Q*

    Q

    MC

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    TEM6

    Second-degree price discrimination

    Non-linear pricing: price depends on

    how much you buy. Fundamentals.

    Application (as in Mallard and Glaister)

  • 7/27/2019 HC4 Competition Policy and Regulation

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    Second-degree price discrimination

    Consumer decides on how much to

    buy: Self selection constraints.

    2 consumers; each spends ri to receive Xi

    benefitsi(Xi)-ri>0 benefits1(X1)-r1> benefits1(X2)-r2

    benefits2(X2)-r2> benefits2(X1)-r1

  • 7/27/2019 HC4 Competition Policy and Regulation

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    Second-degree price discrimination

    Consider an individualdemand function (for convenience,

    marginal cost are 0)

    Monopolists wants to supply X1 at a total price of A.

    p

    X

    A

    X1

  • 7/27/2019 HC4 Competition Policy and Regulation

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    Second-degree price discrimination

    Now consider two individualdemand functions

    Monopolist would like to supply X1

    at A+B+C and X2

    at A

    p

    X

    A

    X1

    B

    C

    X2

  • 7/27/2019 HC4 Competition Policy and Regulation

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    Second-degree price discrimination

    But: if consumer 1 also purchases X2 at a price of A,

    he/she will get surplus B (self selection).

    If the monopolist would charge A+C for X1,

    consumer 1 get surplus B and the monopolist higher

    profits. Can the monopolist get higher profits?

    Make X2 unattractive for consumer 1.

    Offering less of X2 (loss for monopolist) allows for

    higher profits from X1.

  • 7/27/2019 HC4 Competition Policy and Regulation

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    Second-degree price discrimination

    p

    X

    A

    X1

    B

    C

    X2

    Extra profit

    (increase inC)

    Loss (reduction

    in A)

    p

    X

    A

    X1

    B

    CX2D

    Equilibrium: marginal

    benefit in reduction ofX2 = marginal cost

    Consumer 2pays A for X2

    Consumer 1 paysA+D+C for X1

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    Second-degree price discrimination

    Examples?

  • 7/27/2019 HC4 Competition Policy and Regulation

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    Third degree price discrimination

    Set prices for different groups of consumers: examples?

    p*

    p*

    Q* Q*

    QQ

    Segmentation based on willingness-to-pay and elasticity

    MCMC

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    Competition policy

    Ensure markets functions as close as possible to

    perfect competition model

    European Commission:

    5 pillars

    Subsidiarity: enforced by individual countries

    Commission intervenes in situations with more than 1

    country

    National: competition authority

  • 7/27/2019 HC4 Competition Policy and Regulation

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    Competition policy

    EC competition policy

    Anti-competitivebehaviour

    Mergercontrol

    Encouragingcompetition

    State-aidco

    ntrol

    Internationa

    lcooperation

    Subsidiarity

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    Competition policy: national

    Subsidiarity

    National firms

    Does a firm have monopoly power? Theory: P=MC/(1+1/p)

    Market definition: relevant markets

    Market is allocation mechanism

    Demand side substitution The ability of consumers to switch products following a change in

    relative prices

    Supply side substitution

    Competitive constraint if third-party suppliers can switch production in

    the short term without significant additional investments (costless

    entry)

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    Demand side substitution

    SSNIP (Small but Significant and Non-transitory Increase in Price)

    US department of justice, 1982

    smallest relevant market in which permanent increase in price ispossible

    interview consumers

    price increase of e.g. 5%

    Consumers do not switch to alternatives: no (or limited) change in

    demand Price increase profitable: regulation

    Consumers switch to alternatives: change in demand

    market is not relevant market for regulation, SSNIP test performed

    on larger basket of products

    Does this make sense?

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    TEM18

    Marginal revenues

    P

    Q

    Inverse demand ( a/b-1/b*Q )

    Marginal revenues

    MR positive ifp

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    Monopoly

    TEM19

    P

    Q0

    Marginal costs

    Inverse demand

    Marginal revenues

    Average costs

    Qm

    Pm

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    Supply side substitution

    SSS-test: can a third party enter the market? What assets are needed to produce the relevant products?

    Can missing assets be acquired without the need for significant, irreversiblenew investments?

    Are companies able to divert production from supply-side substitutes to the

    relevant products, or are they contractually committed to continue production

    of existing products?

    Can unused plant capacity be brought into production at a reasonable cost?

    Will consumers regard their products as valid substitutes for the existing set ofproducts?

    TEM20

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    SSS

    hypothetical example.

    airport A serves passenger airlines, airport B serves

    cargo airlines.

    airport B increases charges. Can airport A step in?

    airport A must set attractive charge for cargo airlines

    incentives for a change

    airport has enough capacity to be an alternative of supply

    Airport is comparable in geographic catchment area

    Airport is alternative for cargo airlines

    cargo airlines must be able to easily switch demand

    significant investments for specialized storage and warehouse facilities?

    TEM21

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    TEM22

    Regulation of monopoly

    Cost-based Price should allow return on investment

    Most common form: Rate of return regulation Limit the rate of return to capital: ROR=[pQ-wL-rK]/[pkK]

    r=user cost of capital (depreciation), pk=purchase price of capital

    ROR of 0 is competitive rate of return (no excess profits)

    Regulated firm maximizes profits under the ROR-constraint

    Problems with ROR: Fair ROR?

    Different methods (capital asset pricing, comparative earnings etc.: finance

    theory)

    Information assymetry

    Averch-Johnson effect: incentive to increase capital relative to labor to maximize

    profits (Gold plating)

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    TEM23

    Regulation of monopoly - ROR

    Example Carlton and Perloff (2005)

    P=100-Q

    Q=LK

    Labor price: 168

    Capital price (user cost of capital): 168

    Interest rate 10%

    Cost of capital 1680

    ROR=(PQ-168L-168K)/(1680K)

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    Regulation of monopoly - ROR

    TEM24

    K L Q price revenues cost profits MR MK Welfare ROR

    6 4 24 76 1824 1680 144 52 34 432 1.43

    6 5 30 70 2100 1848 252 40 31 702 2.50

    6 6 36 64 2304 2016 288 28 28 936 2.86

    6 7 42 58 2436 2184 252 16 26 1134 2.50

    6 8 48 52 2496 2352 144 4 24 1296 1.43

    6 9 54 46 2484 2520 -36 23 1422

    7 4 28 72 2016 1848 168 44 32 560 1.43

    7 5 35 65 2275 2016 259 30 28 871.5 2.20

    7 6 42 58 2436 2184 252 16 26 1134 2.14

    7 7 49 51 2499 2352 147 2 24 1347.5 1.25

    7 8 56 44 2464 2520 -56 22 1512

    7 9 63 37 2331 2688 -357 21 1627.5

    8 4 32 68 2176 2016 160 36 30 672 1.19

    8 5 40 60 2400 2184 216 20 27 1016 1.618 6 48 52 2496 2352 144 4 24 1296 1.07

    8 7 56 44 2464 2520 -56 22 1512

    8 8 64 36 2304 2688 -384 21 1664

    8 9 72 28 2016 2856 -840 20 1752

    9 4 36 64 2304 2184 120 28 28 768 0.79

    9 5 45 55 2475 2352 123 10 25 1135.5 0.81

    9 6 54 46 2484 2520 -36 23 1422

    9 7 63 37 2331 2688 -357 21 1627.5

    9 8 72 28 2016 2856 -840 20 1752

    9 9 81 19 1539 3024 -1485 19 1795.5 Average ROR: 1.66

    9.02 9.02 81.36 18.6 1516.5 3030.7 -1514.2 19 1795.56

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    Regulation of monopoly - ROR

    TEM25

    Q

    MC

    MRInverse demand

    Profit maximum

    Welfare maximizedOutput and price at average ROR

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    TEM26

    Regulation of monopoly

    Price-cap (CPI-X) regulation

    Prices are allowed to increase by the consumer

    price index, minus expected efficiency savings x.

    Sets incentive for cost reduction and revenue

    generation

    Difficulty: firms have an incentive to undersupply

    quality (postpone investments) to reduce costswith little reduction in revenues

    e.g. rolling stock of railway company

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    TEM27

    Efficiency analysis, benchmarking

    Determining X

    Cost minimization: minimize cost to produce given

    output level.

    Benchmarking: comparing business (performance

    metrics) to industry bests.

    Various tools

    Frontier analysis

    Cost frontier

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    Regression - frontier

    TEM28

    ln(C)

    ln(X)

    Most efficient observation (firm)Frontier

    ln(C)=K+a*ln(X)+v

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    TEM29

    Frontier analysis

    Corrected OLS

    Shift until all but one residuals are positive

    add largest negative residual: ln(C)=K+a*ln(X)+v+max(v) = K+a*ln(X)+w

    ln(C)=K+a*ln(X)+w C= eK*Xa*ew

    Efficiency coefficient: EC = CMIN/C

    (e

    K

    *X

    a

    *e

    0

    )/(e

    K

    *X

    a

    *e

    w`

    ) = e

    w

    Same output can be obtained at fraction EC of costs

    Stochastic frontier:

    ln(C)=K+a*ln(X)+u+v, vhas normal distribution, u is non-negative error term

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    Alternative regulation methods

    Sliding scale regulation

    Tries to deal with information assymetry Give incentive to release information

    sliding scale: higher cost firms have higher

    regulated price

    benchmark for profits; profits exceeding benchmarksplit between firm and consumers

    Somewhere between CPI-X and cost-based

    TEM30

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    Alternative methods

    Yardstick competition

    Regulator employs cost levels of identical firms todetermine regulated price

    Mean average (marginal) cost of firms

    Investment regulation

    Excess demand: extra capacity comes at highercost. Price caps must allow higher charges.

    Price monitoring

    TEM31

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    TEM32

    Summary

    International and national rules

    Does a company have monopoly power?

    Does regulation give proper incentives?

    Schiphol has strong position on market for provision of

    infrastructure for take-offs and landings for O&D

    passengers. Many airlines are very unlikely to leave

    Schiphol for other airports (GAP, 2010).

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    33

    Background slide 29: logarithms

    alog(x)=q aq=x (raise a to the power q to get x)

    ln(x)=elog(x) (raise e tot the power ln(x) to get x)

    eln(x)=x

    ln(ex)=x

    ln(xy)=ln(x)+ln(y)

    ln(xa

    yb

    )=aln(x)+bln(y)