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www.metcardio.org What matters in the eyes of interventional cardiologists i.e. tips to effectively analyze data and get credibility in the cardiologist’s eye Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology, University of Turin, Turin, Italy
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Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology, University of Turin, Turin, Italy

Jan 31, 2016

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What matters in the eyes of interventional cardiologists i.e. tips to effectively analyze data and get credibility in the cardiologist’s eye. Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology, University of Turin, Turin, Italy. Learning goals. Scope of the problem - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Page 1: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

www.metcardio.org

What matters in the eyes of interventional cardiologists

i.e. tips to effectively analyze data and get credibility in

the cardiologist’s eye

Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MDDivision of Cardiology,

University of Turin, Turin, Italy

Page 2: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

www.metcardio.org

Learning goals

• Scope of the problem

• Key definitions and clinical end-points

• Surrogate end-points

• Case studies on SPIRIT III and COMPARE

Page 3: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

www.metcardio.org

Scope of the problem: barriers to credible interaction with ICs

Page 4: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

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Scope of the problem - 1: defense

Page 5: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

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Scope of the problem - 2: distrust

Page 6: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

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Scope of the problem - 3: time

Page 7: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

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Your MUST DOs• Identify your message• Identify the type of IC facing you• Tailor your presentation according your message

and the IC facing you• Avoid pitfalls in data presentation/interpretation• Emphasize points that show your knowledge and

credibility while leaving the IC ample margin for interpretation and comment

• Make sure you make good use of definitions and end-points

Page 8: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

www.metcardio.org

Your MUST DO NOTs• Forgetting your final goal/message• Reach the IC unprepared and without

thorough knowledge of the topic of interest• Switching from topic to topic• Using the same approach with all ICs• Letting the IC dominate you from beginning to

end• Patronizing the IC

Page 9: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

www.metcardio.org

Learning goals

• Scope of the problem

• Key definitions and clinical end-points

• Surrogate end-points

• Case studies on SPIRIT III and COMPARE

Page 10: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

www.metcardio.org

Definitions• Definitions may relate or not to end-points

(i.e. clinical events or key biologic variables)• Definitions may be arbitrary (i.e. based on

conventions) or based on scientific data• Key definitions should be well known, but

should not be presented just to show that you are knowledgeable

• Rather, they should support your credibility and reassure the IC that he/she is speaking with a credible peer

Page 11: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

www.metcardio.org

End-points• End-points are key clinical (e.g. death) or

biologic (e.g. ejection fraction) response variables

• End-points are used to appraise whether the study has met its objectives

• Usually only one primary end-point is present per study

• Other (secondary) end-points are commonly reported, but their strength if discordant with the primary one is rather limited

Page 12: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

www.metcardio.org

Death• Death is the most important safety end-point• Given its low incidence, only very large

studies (>10,000 pts) can appraise changes in death rate

• Causes of death can be used to distinguish subtypes:– All cause death– Non-cardiac death– Cardiac death

Page 13: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

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Academic Research Consortium

Cutlip et al, Circ 2007

Page 14: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

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Death

Cutlip et al, Circ 2007

Page 15: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

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Myocardial infarction

• Myocardial infarction (i.e. myocardial ischemic necrosis) is a key safety end-point

• However, its impact on prognosis highly depend on the chosen cut-off (e.g. >1 time the upper limit of normal vs. >3 vs. >5)

• Several definitions of spontaneous vs. peri-procedural myocardial infarction are available

• Yet, any infarction leading to creatinine kinase-myocardial/brain (CK-MB) peak levels >5 times the upper limit of normal is considered large

Page 16: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

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Myocardial infarction

Thygesen et al, JACC 2007

Page 17: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

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Myocardial infarction

Thygesen et al, JACC 2007

Page 18: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

www.metcardio.orgThygesen et al, JACC 2007

Page 19: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

www.metcardio.orgThygesen et al, JACC 2007

Myocardial infarction

Page 20: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

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Target lesion revascularization• Target lesion revascularization (TLR) is a key

efficacy end-point in clinical trials of coronary devices

• It is defined as repeat coronary revascularization involving the previously treated segment or the proximal or distal 5 mm edges

• Its external validity depends a lot on the distinction between clinically driven vs. angiographically driven TLR (where risk of oculostenotic reflex is high)

Page 21: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

www.metcardio.org

Target vessel revascularization

• Target vessel revascularization (TVR) is a key efficacy clinical end-point in trials of coronary devices

• It is defined as any repeat revascularization involving the same vessel which has previously treated at study entry

• It usually includes TLR (thus being composed of TLR and non-TL-TVR)

• It is also prone to inflation due to routine angiographic follow-up

Page 22: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

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Repeat revascularization

Cutlip et al, Circ 2007

Page 23: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

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Stent thrombosis• Stent thrombosis is a key safety clinical end-

point• Its impact on prognosis is however variable,

depending on patient characteristics (e.g. prior left ventricular ejection fraction), lesion characteristics (e.g. location), and timely treatment

• The Academic Research Consortium has recently enabled a commonly agreed upon set of definitions for stent thrombosis, according to timing and likelihood

Page 24: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

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Definite stent thrombosis

Cutlip et al, Circ 2007

Page 25: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

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Probable or possible stent thrombosis

Cutlip et al, Circ 2007

Page 26: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

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Timing of stent thrombosis

Cutlip et al, Circ 2007

Page 27: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

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Target lesion/vessel failure

• Failure events are a rather recent development in coronary stent trials

• Target lesion failure (TLF) is usually defined as a composite end-point of cardiac death, myocardial infarction not clearly attributable to other segments than the target lesion, or TLR

• Target lesion failure (TVF) is usually defined as a composite end-point of cardiac death, myocardial infarction not clearly attributable to other segments than the target vessel, or TVR

Page 28: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

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Major adverse cardiac events• Major adverse cardiac events (MACE) are a key

safety clinical end-point in most coronary trials• They are usually defined as the composite of

death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, or TVR• In other cases TLR is included in the definition in

place of TVR• In few cases, stroke is also included, leading to

the composite end-point of major adverse cerebro-cardiovascular events (MACCE)

Page 29: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

www.metcardio.org

Hierarchy in composite end-points• Individual outcomes of composite end-points can

be individually and separately counted or hierarchically counted, depending on the aim of the study

• For instance, the outlook of a patient having a MACE because of fatal myocardial infarction, may be summarized in 2 different ways:– non-hierarchical fashion -> MACE=yes, death=yes,

myocardial infarction=yes– hierarchical fashion -> MACE=yes, death=yes,

myocardial infarction=no

Page 30: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

www.metcardio.org

Patient vs. lesion focus

Cutlip et al, Circ 2007

Page 31: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

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Stroke• Stroke is usually considered only a secondary

safety end-point• It is a neurologic event usually due to brain

ischemia or hemorrhage• Stroke can be defined as any permanent

neurologic deficit leading to clinically evident neurologic objective impairment or subjective dysfunction

• Stroke should be distinguished from transient ischemic attack (TIA, lasting <24 h), and reversible ischemic neurologic deficit (RIND, also reversible but lasting >24 h)

Page 32: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

www.metcardio.org

Bleeding

• Bleeding is a key clinical safety end-point in most recent cardiovascular trials

• It is usually distinguished in major/severe (e.g. fatal, life-threatening or requiring surgical intervention), minor/mild (creating substantial impairment but not major/severe), and minimal (neither major/severe or minor/mild)

• Several classifications are available, such as ACUITY, GUSTO, TIMI

Page 33: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

www.metcardio.org

Other events/end-points

• Repeat hospitalizations– For any cause– For angina– For heart failure

• Multiple/recurrent events• Quality of life– EuroQOL– Minnesota Angina Score

Page 34: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

www.metcardio.org

Risk of event inflation

• Systematic angiographic follow-up in asymptomatic patients almost doubles the rate of binary angiographic restenosis and TLR

• As TLR increases due to angio follow-up, similar increases in TVR and MACE

• Thus, any study with routine angiographic follow-up may be considered by the wary IC less reliable and over-optimistic if a clinical difference is found

Page 35: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

www.metcardio.org

Learning goals

• Scope of the problem

• Key definitions and clinical end-points

• Surrogate end-points

• Case studies on SPIRIT III and COMPARE

Page 36: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

www.metcardio.org

Surrogate end-points•A surrogate end-point is an end-point which has

no direct clinical relevance for the patient• Its purpose is to predict treatment benefits that

would be measured by clinical endpoints, decrease study size/duration, and reduce exposure to ineffective treatments•Examples include blood pressure, cholesterol, HIV

viral load, ejection fraction, and late loss•Correlation of surrogates and clinical end-points is

not sufficient: treatment differences in the surrogate should be associated with treatment differences in the clinical endpoint

Page 37: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

www.metcardio.org

Qualitative coronary angiography• Qualitative coronary angiography uses

qualitative/categorical features to describe a coronary lesion

• Examples include:– Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction flow,– American College of Cardiology/American Heart

Association lesion type,– dissection type– extent of calcification

Page 38: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

www.metcardio.org

Quantitative coronary angiography• Quantitative coronary angiography (QCA)

quantitatively measures coronary features• It helps in the comparison of procedural and

follow-up results of several PCI devices• The most important data gained from QCA

are:– Reference vessel diameter (RVD)– Minimum lumen diameter (MLD)– Diameter stenosis (DS)– Binary angiographic restenosis (BR or BAR)– Late lumen loss (LLL)

Page 39: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

www.metcardio.org

Quantitative coronary angiography

Garrone et al, JIC 2009

Page 40: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

www.metcardio.org

Quantitative coronary angiography

Vermeersch et al, JACC 2006

Page 41: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

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Case study: late loss

Biondi-Zoccai et al, EI 2008

Page 42: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

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Case study: late loss

Mauri et al, AHA 2005

Page 43: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

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Case study: late loss

Agostoni et al, AJC 2006

Page 44: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

www.metcardio.orgRivero et al, EI 2008

Case study: late loss

Page 45: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

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Intravascular ultrasound

• Intravascular ultrasound (IVUS) is an invasive imaging modality used rather frequently in coronary trials

• IVUS has satisfactory spatial and volumetric resolution (>QCA) and vessel penetration

• It thus can quantitate in-stent hyperplasia and early/late stent apposition

• Typical IVUS-based surrogate end-points include: neointimal area, neointimal volume, neointimal volume area, and neointimal volume thickness

Page 46: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

www.metcardio.org

Intravascular ultrasound

Biondi-Zoccai et al, MCA 2005

Page 47: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

www.metcardio.org

Optical coherence tomography• Optical coherence tomography (OCT) is a

novel invasive imaging method, still rarely used for surrogate imaging end-points in coronary trials

• OCT has superior spatial resolution (>IVUS, >>>QCA), but it has limited penetration capability

• OCT has a role and will play a even greater role in the future to appraise vessel response to drug-eluting stents (but still no endothelial cells)

Page 48: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

www.metcardio.org

Optical coherence tomography

Guagliumi et al, CCI 2008

Page 49: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

www.metcardio.org

Fractional flow reserve

• Fractional flow reserve (FFR) is uncommonly used as a surrogate end-point in clinical trials, but its use might become more frequent

• FFR represents the ratio of blood pressure distal to the target stenosis/aortic blood pressure

• FFR<0.75-0.80 indicates a functionally significant stenosis, irrespective of angiographic severity

Page 50: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

www.metcardio.org

Fractional flow reserve

Page 51: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

www.metcardio.org

Learning goals

• Scope of the problem

• Key definitions and clinical end-points

• Surrogate end-points

• Case studies on SPIRIT III and COMPARE

Page 52: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

www.metcardio.org

The SPIRIT III trial

Page 53: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

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The SPIRIT III trial

Page 54: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

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The SPIRIT III trial

Don’t forget the importance of adequate randomization!

Page 55: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

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The SPIRIT III trial

Page 56: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

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The SPIRIT III trial

Page 57: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

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The SPIRIT III trial

Primary end-point: in-segment late loss at 240 days

Page 58: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

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The SPIRIT III trial

Page 59: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

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The SPIRIT III trial

Key scondary end-point: TVF, defined as cardiac death, myocardial infarction, or

ischemia-driven TVR at 270 days

Page 60: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

www.metcardio.org

The SPIRIT III trial

Page 61: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

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The SPIRIT III trial

Never emphasize too much subgroup analyses: the IC almost never trust them

Page 62: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

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The COMPARE trial

Page 63: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

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The COMPARE trial

Page 64: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

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The COMPARE trial

Page 65: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

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The COMPARE trial

Page 66: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

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The COMPARE trial

Page 67: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

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The COMPARE trial

Page 68: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

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The COMPARE trial

Page 69: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

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The COMPARE trial

Primary end-point: composite of all-cause mortality, non-fatal myocardial infarction, and TVR within 12 months

Page 70: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

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The COMPARE trial

Page 71: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

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The SPIRIT IV trial

still under review

Page 72: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

www.metcardio.org

Other usueful tips and tricks• Emphasize, when the case is appropriate: – randomized vs. non-randomized design– single center vs. multicenter setting– superiority vs. non-inferiority design– company vs. spontaneous/independent funding– selective vs. universal inclusion criteria– short-term vs. long-term follow-up– surrogate (e.g. imaging) vs. clinical primary end-

point– adequate vs. inadequate sample size and power– preliminary presentation vs. full-text publication

Page 73: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

www.metcardio.org

Questions

Page 74: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

www.metcardio.org

Take home messages

• Facts and critical interpretation of them are both important for all interventional cardiologists

• A thorough understanding of key definitions, end-points, clinical outcomes and surrogate end-points is pivotal to effectively communicate with interventional cardiologists

• Thus, study thoroughly educational materials already available to you, and continue to educate yourself and keep updating your knowledge base

Page 75: Giuseppe Biondi Zoccai, MD Division of Cardiology,  University of Turin, Turin, Italy

www.metcardio.org

Thank you for your attention

For these and further slides on these topics feel free to visit the metcardio.org website:http://www.metcardio.org/slides.html