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GEORGIAN DREAM OR NIGHTMARE? Teemu Sinkkonen FIIA BRIEFING PAPER 116 October 2012 ULKOPOLIITTINEN INSTITUUTTI UTRIKESPOLITISKA INSTITUTET THE FINNISH INSTITUTE OF INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS 116 TRANSITION OF POWER POSES GREAT CHALLENGES FOR GEORGIA AND ITS FOREIGN RELATIONS
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Georgian Dream or Nightmare? Transition of power poses ...

May 03, 2022

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Page 1: Georgian Dream or Nightmare? Transition of power poses ...

GEORGIAN DREAM OR NIGHTMARE?

Teemu Sinkkonen FIIA BRIEFING PAPER 116 October 2012

U L KO P O L I I T T I N EN INS T I T U U T T I

U T R I K E S P O L I T I S K A INS T I T U T E T

THE F I N N I S H I N S T I T U T E OF I N T E R N AT I O N A L AFFA IR S

116

TRANSITION OF POWER POSES GREAT CHALLENGES

FOR GEORGIA AND ITS FOREIGN RELATIONS

Page 2: Georgian Dream or Nightmare? Transition of power poses ...

GEORGIAN DREAM OR NIGHTMARE?

FIIA Briefing Paper 116

October 2012

TRANSITION OF POWER POSES GREAT CHALLENGES FOR GEORGIA AND ITS FOREIGN RELATIONS

European Union research programme

The Finnish Institute of International Affairs

U L KO P O L I I T T I N EN INS T I T U U T T I

U T R I K E S P O L I T I S K A INS T I T U T E T

THE F I N N I S H I N S T I T U T E OF I N T E R N AT I O N A L AFFA IR S

Teemu Sinkkonen

Researcher

The Finnish Institute of International Affairs

Page 3: Georgian Dream or Nightmare? Transition of power poses ...

THE FINNISH INSTITUTE OF INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS

¹

Background to the change

²

OSCE’s Election Observer talking with the chairperson of the Precinct Election Commission in Kutaisi. Photo: Timo Majasaari.

Page 4: Georgian Dream or Nightmare? Transition of power poses ...

THE FINNISH INSTITUTE OF INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS

³

Page 5: Georgian Dream or Nightmare? Transition of power poses ...

THE FINNISH INSTITUTE OF INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS

Political setup for “dream and nightmare” scenarios

de facto

Page 6: Georgian Dream or Nightmare? Transition of power poses ...

THE FINNISH INSTITUTE OF INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS

The dream scenario

Electoral campaigning on the streets of Tbilisi:

Georgian Dream -graffiti. Photo: Teemu Sinkkonen.

Page 7: Georgian Dream or Nightmare? Transition of power poses ...

THE FINNISH INSTITUTE OF INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS

¹⁰

Page 8: Georgian Dream or Nightmare? Transition of power poses ...

THE FINNISH INSTITUTE OF INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS

The nightmare scenario

¹¹

¹²

¹³

Page 9: Georgian Dream or Nightmare? Transition of power poses ...

THE FINNISH INSTITUTE OF INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS

Conclusion

The Finnish Institute of International Affairs

tel. +358 9 432 7000

fax. +358 9 432 7799

www.fiia.fi

ISBN 978-951-769-359-2

ISSN 1795-8059

Cover photo: Teemu Sinkkonen

Language editing: Lynn Nikkanen

The Finnish Institute of International Affairs is an independent

research institute that produces high-level research to support

political decision-making and public debate both nationally

and internationally. The Institute undertakes quality control

in editing publications but the responsibility for the views

expressed ultimately rests with the authors.