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Enders Analysis slide presentation to News on the Move

Apr 06, 2018

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    Smartphones,newsconsumptionandprintcirculation

    Platformwarsandnews

    BenedictEvans/[email protected]/@benedictevans

    March2012

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    Theopeningbattleground

    Smartphones,newsconsumptionandprintcirculation,March2012 2

    Apple9%

    Android13%

    Microsoft0%

    Symbian5%

    RIM2%

    Non-smart71%

    Mobilehandsetvolumes(m),Q42011

    [Source:Apple,Google,Nokia,RIM,EndersAnalysis]

    Mac5%

    iPad13%

    Androidtablets

    6%

    WindowsPCs

    76%

    CombinedPC&tabletvolumes(m),Q42011

    [Source:Apple,Gartner,EndersAnalysis]

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    Thepost-PCage?

    Smartphones,newsconsumptionandprintcirculation,March2012 3

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    Jun-09 Sep-09 Dec-09 Mar-10 Jun-10 Sep-10 Dec-10 Mar-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11

    PCversussmartphone:quarterlyunitshipments(m)

    Smartphones PCs Tablets[Source:EndersAnalysis,Gartner]

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    Theecosystemwars

    Smartphones,newsconsumptionandprintcirculation,March2012 4

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    Mar-09 Jun-09 Sep-09 Dec-09 Mar-10 Jun-10 Sep-10 Dec-10 Mar-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11

    Globalquarterlysmartphoneunitsales(m)

    Nokiasmartphones iPhone Android(e) RIM[Source:Apple,Nokia,RIM,EndersAnalysis]

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    AppleandAndroidaresellingtodifferentcustomers

    Smartphones,newsconsumptionandprintcirculation,March2012 5

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800

    Unitssol

    d(m)

    ASP($)

    Q42011globalsmartphone&tabletperformance

    iPhone Android iPad Androidtablets(premium) RIM Nokiasmart iPodTouch*October:Bubblesize=revenue[Source:Companies,EndersAnalysis]

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    Polarisationofthebroaderhandsetmarket

    Smartphones,newsconsumptionandprintcirculation,March2012 6

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800

    Unitsshipped(m)

    ASP($)

    Q42011globalmobilehandsetbusiness

    Nokia Samsung Motorola LG HTC iPhone RIM SonyEricsson Other Bubblesize=revenue[Source:Companies,EndersAnalysis]

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    Tabletspowerahead

    Smartphones,newsconsumptionandprintcirculation,March2012 7

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    Jun-10 Sep-10 Dec-10 Mar-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11

    Quarterlytabletunitsales(m)

    iPad Android(premium) Android(basic) KindleFire[Source:Apple,Google,Amazon,EndersAnalysis]

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    UKpresscirculation

    Smartphones,newsconsumptionandprintcirculation,March2012 8

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    100

    110

    1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010

    UKpresscirculation(indexed)

    Dailynationalnewspapers Sundaynationalnewspapers Regionalnewspapers B2Cmagazines

    [Source:EndersAnalysis,ABC,WARC]

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    Newroutestomarket:iOS

    Smartphones,newsconsumptionandprintcirculation,March2012 9

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    Newroutestomarket:Windows8?

    Smartphones,newsconsumptionandprintcirculation,March2012 10

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    Tabletsandconsumption

    Smartphones,newsconsumptionandprintcirculation,March2012 11

    Yes,andIreadtheprintversionslessfrequently

    asaconsequence21%

    Yes,andIreadtheprintversionsthesame

    amountormorethan

    before

    15%

    Yes,andIdidnotreadtheprintversions

    previously

    9%

    Donotreadnewspapersor

    magazinesontablet55%

    Tabletconsumptionofnewspapers/magazines

    Base:thosewhocurrentlyownatablet[Source:EndersAnalysis/TNS-RIsurveyApril2011]

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    Reading,butreadingwhat?

    Smartphones,newsconsumptionandprintcirculation,March2012 12

    Sofa

    Books

    Newspapers

    Magazines

    TV

    Study

    Web

    Sofa

    Books

    Newspapers

    Magazines

    TV

    Web

    Newsapps

    Magazineapps

    Blogs

    RSS

    Twitter

    Facebook

    Ebooks

    TheiPadeffect

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    Thedeeperproblem

    Smartphones,newsconsumptionandprintcirculation,March2012 13

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    350

    400

    450

    500

    FTOnline WSJOnline TimesOnline UKqualitydaily TheDaily UKpopulardaily

    Averageannualrevenueperreader()

    Sales Advertising [Source:Companies,WARC,EndersAnalysis]