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Dogmatism Under Miners Skepticism

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    Dogmatism, Underminers and Skepticism

    Matthew McGrath

    1 Introduction

    Consider three passages from leading epistemologists of the past half-century:

    Our general principle is this:

    P4 For every x, if there is a way of appearing such that (i) it is self-presenting and (ii) x

    is appeared to in that way, then the following is evident for x provided it is epistemically

    in the clear for him and something he considers: there is something that is appearing thatway to him.

    Being thus appeared to puts one in contact, so to speak, with external reality. (Chisholm

    1982, 18)

    direct realism can handle the problem of perception by adopting nondoxastic primafacie reasons such as the following:

    xs looking red to S is a prima facie reason for S to believe that x is red.

    This means that the perceptual state itself is the reason, and not a belief about the

    perceptual state. (Pollock 1986, 177)

    [the modest foundationalist] idea is that there is some more direct relation between

    experience and belief that is crucial here. Their idea is that, at least in the typical case,when you have a clear view of a bright red object, then your experience itself justifies thebelief that you are seeing something red. (Feldman 2003, 77)

    Although the terminology is distinct, these epistemologists agree that perceptual experiences

    themselves can justify beliefs about how things stand in the external world. So, if they are right,

    ones justification for a belief does not always trace to ones justification for anotherbelief; the

    chain of justification can terminate in an experience. And if they are right, such experiences

    can justify not only beliefs about experiences but about objects in the external world.

    In recent work, James Pryor articulates the core element of such views.1 Suppose we say,

    as a gloss, that an experience is as of Pjust if the experience is one in which it is perceptually

    1 See Pryor (2000, 2004, 2005, forthcoming).

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    presented (visually, audially, tactily, etc.) to the subject that P. Trying to spell out exactly what it

    is for an experience to be an experience as of P might well be a difficult matter, about which

    theorists such as Chisholm, Pollock, Feldman, and Pryor might (and it seems do) disagree.

    Given the notion of an experience being as of P, the commitment shared by these epistemologists

    can be expressed in the thesis that experiences as of P prima facie justify one in believing that P,

    where P is a proposition about how things stand in the external world, and that the experiences

    do so themselves, not only in conjunction with other justified beliefs, and do so directly, not

    through a chain of justification involving other justified beliefs. As Pryor puts it, experiences as

    of P prima facie immediately justify one in believing that P. He calls this thesis dogmatism

    about perceptual justification, or simply dogmatism. 2

    Dogmatism is attractive for both phenomenological and theoretical reasons.

    Phenomenologically, as Pryor (2000, 537) points out, our perceptual beliefs ordinarily do not

    seem to be based on anything other than how things look, sound, feel, etc. We might have

    implicit beliefs about lighting conditions, about the reliability of our faculties, etc., but we dont

    seem to base our ordinary perceptual beliefs on such beliefs. These facts about basing might be

    taken to be some grounds for dogmatism, at least assuming a fairly strong connection between

    justifiers and basesfor belief. More compelling are considerations of the theoretical advantages

    of dogmatism. If dogmatism is true, then we can see how the edifice of our justified beliefs

    about the external world is ultimately supported by foundations (Silins 2008, 136-7). Not only

    this, but these foundations do not seem like ad hoc posits needed to deliver the right results.

    The dogmatist idea is only a more careful rendering of the intuitively attractive idea that it is

    2 Strictly speaking, dogmatism is a thesis about what is sometimes called ex antejustification: justification to have

    an attitude, whether one has it or not. For most of the paper the distinction between ex ante and ex postjustification

    (the having of attitudes which are justified), will not be crucial. However, these matters become important in 6.

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    reasonable to take how things look, sound, feel, etc. at face value, to trust the testimony of the

    senses. So, dogmatisms theoretical advantages are rooted in a basic intuitive plausibility.

    There is therefore much to recommend dogmatism. But Pryor sees an additional benefit

    to dogmatism. It can assist us in what he calls the modest anti-skeptical project:

    The modest anti-skeptical project is to establish to oursatisfaction that we canjustifiably believe and know such things as that there is a hand, without contradicting

    obvious facts about perception. (2000, 517)

    This project is not easy going, however, because there are compelling skeptical arguments to the

    contrary. To successfully complete the project, one must diagnose and defuse these skeptical

    arguments; the goal is not to convince the skeptic on her own terms but to put our minds at

    ease regarding skepticism (517).

    What, then, are the best skeptical arguments? According to Pryor and I will not

    challenge this they are arguments invoking epistemic principles that require, for us to be

    justified in believing P from certain experiences or grounds, that we are independently justified

    in rejecting various possibilities which are bad or skeptical with respect to those

    experience/grounds and P.3 Pryor focuses on one such principle, what he calls the skeptics

    principle of justification

    SPJ: If youre to have justification for believing p on the basis of certain experiences or

    grounds E, then for every q which is bad relative to E and p, you have to have

    antecedent justification for believing q to be false justification which doesnt rest on or

    presuppose any E-based justification you may have for believing p. (531)

    3 Following Pryor, let us say that a possibility is bad, with respect to an experience and a proposition, iff it is apossibility in which one would have the experience and ordinarily rely on it in believing the proposition but in which

    one would not thereby gain perceptual knowledge of the proposition. Bad possibilities are, roughly, skeptical

    possibilities, although some are not as far-fetched as the brain-in-a-vatpossibility. For instance, the possibility that

    one sees a plastic lawn ornament that looks exactly like a deer is a bad possibility with respect to my visual

    experience as of a deer and the proposition that the thing one sees is a deer. Although a possibility is always bad

    with respect to a certain proposition and a certain piece of evidence (doxastic or nondoxastic) for it, I will often

    simply leave the relevant proposition/evidence pair implicit and simply speak of bad possibilities.

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    Other skeptical principles might be weaker than this but still demand that to have justification

    based on certain experiences or grounds, you need to have independent justification to reject

    various bad possibilities, at least if you grasp them and understand their badness. The modest

    anti-skeptical project is to diagnose and defuse arguments based on such principles.

    Why think dogmatism would enable us to succeed in this anti-skeptical project? The

    answer seems simple, at first blush: if dogmatism is true, all that is needed for perceptual

    justification is the having of the experience; its therefore notnecessary that one have

    independent justifications to believe or reject other propositions; and so it is not necessary that

    one have independent justifications to reject any bad possibilities; since SPJ and its variants

    demand such independent justifications, they are false. Not only are they false, we can see why

    they are false if dogmatism is true: its just the experience itself thats needed for perceptual

    justification, and nothing more. We will examine this line of reasoning in 3.

    Dogmatism has anti-skeptical punch, in Pryors words (537), insofar as it enables us to

    succeed in the modest anti-skeptical project, that is, insofar as it is a plausible and intuitive

    account of perceptual justification which can help us understand how and why the best skeptical

    arguments go wrong. This paper will argue that dogmatism lacks anti-skeptical punch.

    2 Clarifications of key terms

    Before turning the relation of dogmatism to skepticism, we need to be clearer on the key

    expression immediate justification, which figures in the formulation of dogmatism, as well as

    expressions antecedent or independent figuring in principles like SPJ .

    Pryor gives us a definition of being immediately justified in believing something:

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    Say that you are immediately justified in believing p iff youre justified in believing

    p, and this justification doesnt rest on any evidence or justification you have for

    believing other propositions. (2000, 532)

    Rest on is not as clear as one might like (and presuppose, other term Pryor uses, is even more

    problematic). Is it being used to express a claim about necessary conditions for having the

    justification or the constitution of the justification? Pryor tells us in the same paper that to claim

    a justification is immediate is to say something about thesource of ones justification (532); and

    this suggests an interpretation in terms of constitution. In later work (2004, 2005), he is more

    explicit that constitution is the relevant relation. So, E immediately justifies P just if E justifies P

    and Es justification of P is not constituted by justifications to believe other propositions (i.e.,

    propositions other than P). I will take immediate justification to be explained in terms of what

    constitutes the justification, rather than its necessary conditions.4

    Some terminology will make talk of immediate justification more perspicuous. Let us

    say that a justification to believe P is justificational ancestry of P. It consists of P, something

    directly justifying P, something justifying that direct justifier (if anything does), and so on. What

    is it for a justification to be immediate? Suppose we model justifications with chains, in which

    the arrows represent relations of directly justifying. An immediate justification of P is one that

    has no other justification as a proper part, and so its chain will consist only of one arrow, which

    reaches P. Thus, any justifications modeled by

    (a) X (b) E (c) X

    E Q Q E

    4 If we were to opt for the other interpretation of immediate justification, then there would be no doubt that if

    dogmatism is true, principles such as SPJ would be false. But we would have to face the question of whether the

    phenomenal and theoretical considerations invoked earlier are good reasons to think that there are no conditions on

    perceptual justification requiring the having of independent justification to reject skeptical possibilities. This seems

    doubtful, especially for the theoretical considerations. Even if we have good reason to posit experiences as

    providing foundational justification, questions would arise about whether and how we could go beyond the claim

    about whatjustifies to the conditions of having that justification. This distinction is discussed in the next section.

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    P P P

    are mediate, rather than immediate, justifications of P. Let us say, then, that E immediately

    justifies one in believing that P iff there is an immediate justification of P in which E is the sole

    justifier, or in terms of our models, in which E is the sole anchor. Thus, if E immediately

    justifies one in believing that P, the corresponding chain takes this shape:

    E

    P5

    Next: independent justifications. In asking about whether one needs to be

    independently justified in rejecting a bad possibility Q, in order to have a certain justification to

    believe P, we are asking, as Pryor (2000, 525) puts it, whether one needs a justification to reject

    Q which does not rest on that justification to believe P. Again, I read this as being about

    constitution. As a first approximation, then, an experience E as of P and proposition P, one is

    independently justified in rejecting a Q which is bad with respect to E and P iff one has a

    justification of ~Q which does not contain the E=>P justification as a part.

    However, I think this first approximation needs amending. Consider

    Chain 1:

    My experience as of a red wall

    I perceive a red wall

    I am not dreaming

    Suppose Chain 1 represents a justification of ~Q. Is the represented justification independent of

    the justification represented by the Chain 2?

    Chain 2:

    5 If one accepted what Wright calls unearned justifications, we could model these as follows: =>P.

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    My experience as of a red wall

    There is a red wall before me

    Not if we are attempting to capture the intuitive idea of independent justifications. If I claimed

    the wall was red, clearly relying only on my visual experience, then if you demanded that I

    needed independent justification to believe I was not dreaming, then Chain 2 would not satisfy

    you. But it does not contain Chain 1 as a part.

    A second proposal is that in order to be independent of E=>P justification, a justification

    to reject a bad Q must not contain the justifier of P, the experience E. But this is too strong.

    Consider this reasoning:

    I have a very realistic experience as of a red wall, and given that dreaming experiencesare not this realistic, Im not dreaming.

    If we model the justification to this reasoning by a chain, we must add a justifier for the

    proposition that my experience is realistic. The justification for this proposition presumably

    comes from the experience itself. The resulting chain would therefore look like this:

    My experience as of a red wall Background evidence (?)

    My experience as of a red wall is very realistic Dream experiences are not this realistic

    Im not dreaming

    This justification is independent of the experience/red wall justification in the desired sense and

    yet it contains the experience.

    Here I will hazard an account of my own. What appears to qualify a justification to reject

    a possibility which is bad with respect to E and P as independent of the E=>P justification is

    its not containing E as its sole ultimate justifier. In terms of chains: a justification counts as

    independent of a putative immediate justification by E of P just in case the chain correctly

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    modeling that justification does not contain E as its sole anchor. This is how we will understand

    the talk of independent justification in what follows.6

    One reminder before proceeding. An important qualification of the dogmatist claim is

    that experiences areprima faciejustifiers. They justify in the absence of defeaters. We should

    therefore think of the E=>P chain as depicting a structure of prima facie justification which, in

    the absence of defeaters, is a structure of (ultima facie) justification.

    3. What it would take for dogmatism to have anti-skeptical punch

    Dogmatism has anti-skeptical punch iff it provides a way to diagnose and defuse skeptical

    arguments demanding independent justifications to reject certain bad possibilities. The tempting

    line of reasoning mentioned earlier was that since dogmatism holds that experiences as of P are

    justifiers all by themselves, the truth of dogmatism guarantees that perceptual justification does

    not require independent justifications to reject bad possibilities.

    6

    There are several minor modifications we might wish to make to this definition. Suppose that ones justificationfor ~Q were correctly represented by a chain:

    E rational intuition

    P P->~Q

    ~Q

    As Robert Howell has suggested to me, one might wish to count this as independent of the E=>P justification. Or,

    suppose E* is an experience which is a part of E. Consider the chain:

    E*

    P

    ~Q

    This might seem not to be independent of the E=>P justification. To capture these intuitions, we could revise our

    definition accordingly. The modification needed to avoid the second issue is clear: to be independent a justification

    must contain something that is distinct from any part of E. As for the first issue, we might go in one of several

    ways. We might allow a justification to be independent if it includes some anchor X, distinct from E (and its parts),

    which is analytic or conceptual in some favored sense. Since I doubt these modifications will be important in

    anything that follows, I will ignore them and work with the simpler definition in the text.

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    However tempting it is, this reasoning ignores theprima facie clause in dogmatism.

    Consider how the tempting reasoning would proceed if we take account of this clause.

    Dogmatism claims that experiences as of P prima facie immediately justify believing P.

    Experiences as of P prima facie immediately justify believing P only if whenever someone has

    an experience as of P, and lacks defeaters, then that experience immediately justifies believing P.

    So, if dogmatism is true, then in the absence of defeaters, all it would take to have perceptual

    justification for P is to have an experience as of P. Notice that we cannot complete this

    reasoning as follows: and one can have the experience without having the independent

    justifications to reject any bad possibilities; and therefore one can have perceptual justification

    without having such independent justifications. Yes, one can have the experience without having

    the independent justifications; but the issue is whether this would be a case of defeat.

    How could it be that whenever someone had the experience as of P and lacked the

    relevant independent justifications that this was a case ofdefeat? We should not read too much

    into the word defeat. The guiding idea is simply that relations of justification, even of

    immediate justification, obtain only under certain conditions. Some of these conditions will

    concern the lack ofcounterevidence; but others might be merely enablingconditions; and still

    others might be mere necessary conditions. The dogmatist might wish to say, for instance, that

    someone could have an experience as of P, lack anything we would be willing to

    counterevidence, but still not be justified in believing P, because the person did not understandP

    or perhaps because the person lacked the capacity to believe P. These might be counted enabling

    conditions. Or, again, the dogmatist might wish to say that no one could have any justification

    for anything without having justification for thinking that one exists (Silins 2008, 131-2). This

    seems to be a case of a mere necessary condition. Now, suppose that it was either an enabling

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    condition or mere necessary condition of an experiences immediately justifying one in believing

    P that one had independent justification to reject certain bad possibilities. Then we could see

    how dogmatism could be true even though a principle demanding independent justifications was

    also true. Silins (2008) has argued for precisely such a view. According to Silins, an experience

    as of P can immediately justify one in believing that P, but it is a necessary condition of its doing

    so that one have independent justification to reject certain skeptical possibilities.

    The dogmatist must concede, then, that dogmatism does not entailthe falsity of

    principles demanding independent justifications to reject bad possibilities. Still, she might insist

    that nevertheless dogmatism takes us most of the way to rejecting them and to doing so on

    principled grounds. For, consider the familiar non-dogmatist view that a perceptual justification

    cannot consist merely in the having of an experience but must also contain independently

    justified beliefs in the reliability of ones experience. On this view, there is no quick way with

    skeptical principles demanding independent justifications; for, on this view independent

    justifications to believe otherthings are required for perceptual justification for the simple reason

    that they are constitutive of it. But once we accept that a perceptual justification can be

    immediate, we overcome this serious obstacle.

    All the dogmatist needs if her dogmatism is to have anti-skeptical punch, in fact, is the

    plausible assumption that an experiences immediately justifying a belief does not require ones

    being independently justified in rejecting anybad possibilities. Given this, the truth of

    dogmatism guarantees the falsity of SPJ and its relatives. The question is whether the dogmatist

    is entitled to this assumption. There is a good case to be made that she is, at least prima facie.

    The assumption seems supported by the basic Humean methodological principle that, other

    things being equal, we should not posit necessary connections between distinct existences.

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    Immediate justifications do not have among their parts justifications to believe other

    propositions, including propositions asserting the falsehood of bad possibilities; thus, an

    immediate justification of P is a distinct existence from those independent justifications. In the

    absence of a special reason to think that in such cases there are necessary connections, we are

    entitled to think there are not.

    There are exceptions to this methodological principle. As noted above, one might need to

    be justified in thinking one exists to have any justifications at all. If so, then even an immediate

    justification for such an external world proposition would require that one had a justification for

    the proposition that one exists, and presumably one which is independent of the immediate

    justification. Or again, perhaps one could not have any justifications for a proposition about a

    things being a zebra without having the concept of a zebra, and perhaps having the concept of a

    zebra requires having justifications to believe propositions likezebras are animals. This would

    be another instance in which even an immediate justification would require that one had other

    justifications. Or again, for an example more directly related to our concerns in this paper,

    suppose that one could not have a justification to believe that there is a zebra before one without

    also having a justification to believe that there is something before one. So, even immediate

    justification would have this necessary condition.

    So, the dogmatist who hopes to defuse and diagnose skepticism should agree questions

    about constitution in general are distinct and not equivalent to questions about necessary

    conditions. But she can nevertheless appeal to the general Humean principle in defending her

    assumption that if dogmatism is true, perceptual justification does not require that one be

    independently justified in rejecting any bad possibilities.

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    I agree with this assessment of the dialectical situation, except for one detail. A minor

    modification is needed to make sure the dogmatist is not making life too easy for herself. A

    skeptic might not feel the need to insist that someone who had an experience as of P but who

    didnt grasp any bad possibilities at all say a very young child or an animal needs to be

    independently justified in rejecting those bad possibilities in order to have perceptual

    justification. The skeptic will remind us that we grasp these possibilities. Moreover, the skeptic

    might even insist that anyone who grasps a bad possibility must have certain independent

    justifications to reject it in order to have justification from the experience; perhaps a child might

    grasp the possibility that one is dreaming but not understand its badness, not understand its

    skeptical potential in relation to his experience and belief. Again, the skeptic will remind us that

    we do understand the badness of the dreaming possibility. So, all the skeptic needs to demand

    for her argument to have purchase on us is that those who understand the badness of the

    relevant bad possibilities need the independent justifications. To guarantee the falsity of such

    weaker skeptical principles, the dogmatist needs to strengthen the plausible assumption

    accordingly. Making this adjustment and cleaning up the language to make the assumption

    precise, we arrive at what Ill call:

    The Humean assumption: For any bad possibility Q (with respect to E and P), whether or

    not one understands the badness of Q, its not the case that in order for E to immediately

    justify one in believing P, one must be independently justified in rejecting Q.

    I call it Humean because its best defense appeals to the Humean methodological principle. If,

    but only if, this assumption is true, does dogmatism have anti-skeptical punch. The remainder of

    this paper argues that this assumption is false.

    The natural way to argue against the Humean Assumption to provide a find some E/P/Q

    triple such that if one understands the badness of Q with respect to E and P, then E can

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    immediately justify P only if one is independently justified in rejecting Q. We will consider two

    strategies for doing this, one focusing on bad Qs which are alternatives to P and another focusing

    on bad Qs which are not alternatives to P but what Pryor (2000, 527) calls underminers.

    Examples of underminers are possibilities areI am dreaming; I am in a field containing not only

    deer but also lawn ornaments that look from this distance like deer. I will argue that the

    underminers strategy can be used to provide grounds for rejecting the Humean Assumption.

    4. First strategy: bad alternatives

    Suppose you are immediately justified by E in believing P, and suppose you understand

    the badness of some bad alternative Q. Pick any such Q. Given your understanding of Qs

    badness, you are justified in believing that P entails ~Q. So, you are justified in believing P and

    you are justified in believing that P entails ~Q. Next, apply the closure principle for

    justification in believing to conclude that you must be justified in believing ~Q, that is, in

    rejecting Q. Finally, argue that if the alternative Q is bad, then the only way to be justified in

    rejecting it is to be independently justified in rejecting it.

    If the argument strategy succeeds, it shows that if one understands the badness of a bad

    alternative Q, then in order to have immediate justification to believe P from experience as of P

    to have dogmatic justification one must be independently justified in rejecting Q. This

    would refute the Humean Assumption.

    How might the dogmatist block this strategy? It would be a significant cost to the anti-

    skeptical dogmatist to have to deny closure, especially since the basis of the denial could not

    plausibly be the familiar just barely problem, which is a serious problem for closure

    independently of skeptical worries. If I am just barely justified in believing P and I just

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    barely know that P entails ~Q, it seems I might fail (just barely) to be justified in believing ~Q.

    However, in ordinary perceptual cases one is surely much more than just barely justified in

    having the perceptual belief that its a deer, its a tree, I have a hand; and ordinary adults know

    quite well that the relevant entailments hold and not just barely that being a deer implies not

    being a non-deer which is a lawn ornament, that being a tree implies not being a mere hologram

    of a tree, and that having a hand implies not being only a brain in a vat. So, just barely

    difficulties with closure will not do the dogmatist any good. The dogmatist would have to mount

    a full-on attack on closure.

    The better response for the dogmatist, and the one I think most dogmatists would wish to

    make, is to attempt to show that one can be justified in rejecting bad alternatives non-

    independently. The question is whether the dogmatist can plausibly argue that there are genuine

    justifications solely anchored solely in the experience as of P and terminating in the falsity of a

    bad alternative to P. Call anyone who thinks such chains can correspond to genuine

    justifications aMooreanabout bad alternatives. Is such Mooreanism credible?

    We now are on familiar ground. This is the territory of the recent debates over Moorean

    responses to skepticism. Consider the chain:

    Experience as of zebra

    The thing I see is a zebra.

    The thing I see is not a cleverly disguised mule.

    There are familiar objections to the claim that such a chain be a genuinely justificatory. The

    best-known is that the chain fails to be justificatory because it is question-begging or circular in

    some way (Stroud 1984). If there is a question about whether the thing seen is a cleverly

    disguised mule, an inference corresponding to this chain will beg the question. More recently, a

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    probabilistic objection has also been raised (White (2006) and Cohen (2007)). How could my

    experience as of a zebra serve as the sole anchor for a justificatory chain for the conclusion that

    its not a cleverly disguised mule when my experience lowers the probability of that conclusion

    (and even raises the probability it is false)? On a familiar and attractive probability-raising view

    of evidence, the experience would count as evidence that the conclusion is false, not that it is

    true.7

    I will not attempt to adjudicate the debate over Moorean responses to skepticism here. I

    will only note that some headway has been made in replying to the anti-Moorean objections.

    Pryor (2004) and Markie (2007) argue for a distinction between an inference failing to transfer

    epistemic support and an inference not begging the question against a doubting opponent. The

    above chain begs the question against an opponent who doubts whether its a zebra because she

    doubts whether its a painted mule; but for Pryor and Markie, it transfers justification all the

    same. In response to the probabilistic objection, one might argue that the probability-raising

    account is problematic as an account of evidential support. One might in particular claim that

    evidential confirmation and disconfirmation of a hypothesis should be understood in terms of

    providing good reasons for or against believing it but that in general probabilistic models of

    confirmation and disconfirmation cannot distinguish between lacking good reasons to believe

    something and having good reasons to reject it. Pryor (manuscript) has attempted recently to

    construct an alternative model of confirmation and rational updating which avoids these

    problems and is compatible with the Moorean E=>P=~Q chain being justificatory.8

    7 White (2006, 233) suggests that his diagnosis of the failure of these arguments fits well with the transmission

    failure accounts of Wright (2004) and Davies (2000). See also Weisbergs (forthcoming) No Feedback Principle.8 See Klein (1995) for another account of how the Moorean model for bad alternatives might be genuinely

    justificatory, and Weatherson (2007) for argument that dynamic Keynesian models of uncertainty, which are

    compatible with dogmatism, have advantages over the standard Bayesian model.

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    Having mentioned this debate, I will set it aside. What should be noticed is that in

    arguing against the Humean Assumption we need not restrict ourselves to bad alternatives. As I

    will argue in the next two sections, if we expand our range of attention to bad underminers, we

    can devise a better strategy.

    5. Second strategy: underminers

    Consider two questions:

    #1: Do we need to be justified in rejecting each of the underminers whose badness we

    understand in order to have dogmatic justification?

    #2: If we do, can we find some underminer Q, which is bad with respect to some proposition

    P and some experience as of P, such that the only way to be justified in rejecting Q is tobe independently justified in rejecting it?

    If the answer to both questions isyes, then the Humean Assumption is false and so dogmatism

    would lack anti-skeptical punch. In this section I will argue that ifthe answer to question #1 is

    affirmative, then the answer to question #2 is affirmative as well. I argue for the antecedent in

    the next section.

    Return to the zoo example. Suppose I am looking at one of the animals in the zebra pen,

    and it is a zebra. I have an experience as of a zebra. Consider the following underminer:

    HALF FAKES: half of the zebra-looking animals in the pen before me are zebras; the

    other half are not zebras but mules cleverly disguised to look exactly like zebras.

    I appreciate the badness of this possibility. Recall that we are assuming that the answer to

    question #1 is affirmative, i.e., that having dogmatic justification requires being justified in

    rejecting the underminers whose badness one understands. Given this assumption, I need to be

    justified in rejectingHALF FAKES. If anti-skeptical dogmatism is true, I would need to be non-

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    independently justified in rejecting it. I would need to have a Moorean justification to reject it,

    i.e., a justification which is grounded solely in my experience as of its being a zebra.

    The most obvious Moorean model here is:

    Experience as of a zebra

    The thing I see is a zebra

    TheHALF FAKESpossibility doesnt obtain

    A second model includes a proposition about the experience as an element:

    Experience as of a zebra

    The thing I see is a zebra. I have an experience as of a zebra.

    I have a veridical experience as of a zebra over there.

    TheHALF FAKESpossibility fails to obtain.

    Compare these to the model for alternatives which we discussed in the previous section:

    Experience as of zebra

    The thing I see is a zebra.

    The thing I see is not a cleverly disguised mule.

    All three models are subject to the circularity and probabilistic objections. But the models for

    underminers have an additional problem: the final links in the chains are not strong enough.

    Picture, if you will, G.E. Moore, standing before the zebra pen, pointing and arguing,

    That animal is a zebra, so it is not a cleverly disguised mule. This argument, though it might

    seem to beg the question, does at least have the appearance of a proof. Crucially, the conclusion

    follows from the premise.Now picture Moore pointing and arguing, That animal is a zebra, so

    its not the case that half of zebra-looking animals in the pen are zebras and the other half are

    painted mules. This doesnt have the appearance of a proof. The conclusion doesnt follow

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    from the premise, nor does it seem substantially supported by it alone. Whatever justification

    provided here would therefore seem relatively weak, and not enough to justify outright rejection

    of theHALF FAKESpossibility. To put it probabilistically: ZEBRA doesnt substantially

    increase the probability of~HALF FAKES. Nor doesZEBRA together with the fact that one has

    the experience as of a zebra. At best these providesome support, nowhere nearly enough for a

    proof or even a strong case of the sort needed if one is to acquire justification good enough to

    reject ~HALF FAKES.

    The general point is that underminers differ from alternatives in that the falsity of an

    underminer U is not necessarily strongly supported by the target proposition P, nor even the

    conjunction of P and the fact that one has the experience as of P. HALF FAKESis not at all

    unique in this respect. It is easy to construct further examples (e.g., take U as many of the hills

    you see are much farther away than they lookand P as that hill is near, or take U assome of the

    fruit-looking items in the bowl on the table are plastic and P as that is an apple). And there are

    examples concerning other putative sources of justification as well (e.g., take U asJohn is quite

    often insincere and P as the proposition John just presented to you as true, or take U as my

    memory for dates of the Stuart kings is spotty and P as some proposition you seem to remember

    concerning a Stuart king).

    In fact, not only is it easy to find examples like this, I suspect it can be done for any

    putative case of dogmatic justification. All we need to do is cook up appropriate half-fakes or

    barn-faade country-style underminer U for a given E/P pair. One recipe might be to let U = it

    could easily have been that I have E but not-P, and it could easily I have been that I have E and

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    P. Another might be to let U =I am a victim of an evil scientist who seamlessly envats me every

    other day. Other recipes might be available.9

    Finally, I do not wish to give the impression that the Moorean models for underminers

    encounter obstacles only with the sorts of underminers Ive discussed. Even the old favorites

    like dreaming differ from bad alternatives in that the target proposition by itself intuitively

    provides weaker evidence against them. Imagine Moore pointing at the pen and arguing, Thats

    a zebra, so Im not dreaming. This does not seem like a proof in anything like the way Thats

    a zebra, so its not a painted mule does. One feels one could object, Well, you could be

    dreaming while standing in front of a zebra. Remember the Duke of Devonshire! Moore would

    need, and the actual historical Moore knew he needed, something stronger.10

    We have considered only the two most obvious Moorean models, which include a weak

    step from the target proposition to the falsity of the underminer, but one might avoid the need for

    such a step by taking the experience directly to justify something that strongly supports the

    denial of the underminer. Thus, consider:

    Experience as of a zebra

    I perceive that the thing over there is a zebra

    I know through perception that the thing over there is a zebra

    HALF FAKESdoesnt obtain.

    Pointing and arguing, I perceive that the thing over there is a zebra, so I know it is; so its not in

    a pen of zebra-looking animals only half of which are zebras has the appearance of a proof.9 The Humean Assumption claims that any dogmatic justification could be had without the having of independent

    justifications to reject any bad possibilities Q, regardless of whether one understands Qs badness or not. To refute

    this assumption it only takes one E/P/Q triple to falsify it. The dogmatist might wonder if she maintains at least

    some degree of anti-skeptical punch if there are plenty of E/P/Q triples which dont falsify the principle. The

    existence of these recipes for cooking up bad underminers would show that even this weaker sort of anti-skeptical

    punch will not be forthcoming.10 In Four Forms of Skepticism, G.E. Moore (1959, 246) maintains that if he knows hes standing up then hes not

    dreaming. He does not attempt to argue that if hes standing up hes not dreaming.

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    Still, it is difficult to see how an experience as of a thing being a zebra could immediately

    justify one in believing that one perceives that the thing is a zebra in a sense of perceives that

    P sufficient for perceptual knowledge that P. As we noted earlier, it is important to the

    motivation of dogmatism, to its avoidance of the charge of being arbitrary, that dogmatism

    amount to a fleshing-out of the idea that it is reasonable to take experiences at face value, i.e., to

    accept the testimony of the senses. But once we think of an experience as immediately justifying

    beliefs in propositions which are stronger than the experiences own content we lose this

    intuitive motivation. If the experience presents things as P, and a philosopher claims that it

    justifies one in believing a proposition Q, stronger than P, we need a plausible story about how

    this could be; and it is hard to see how one would not need to appeal to something additional to

    the experience as of P as a further justificatory ground.

    One might hope to assuage the difficulty by revising standard assumptions about the

    content of perceptual experiences. On John Searles (1983) account, for instance, the experience

    in question would have the reflexive content there being a zebra over there is causing this very

    experience. However, this account by itself would not do, of course, because even if my

    experience has this content, and even if it justifies me in believing it, this justification could not

    be transmitted to ~HALF FAKES,because there is just not enough support provided. There

    would remain a problematic step in the chain. The thing causing this experience is a zebra;

    therefore its not the case that there are half zebras and half fakes in the pen is no proof.

    The dogmatist would hope to go beyond the Searlean view by claiming that the content

    of the relevant experiences which would standardly be thought to be P is rather the reflexive

    contentI am hereby perceiving that P. Taking an experience at face value would then amount to

    taking it to be a case of perceptual knowledge, and its being perceptual knowledge does strongly

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    support ones not being amidst many fakes. But this proposal is a non-starter. There is

    controversy about whether cases of so-called veridical hallucination are possible, i.e., cases in

    which there is a match between the experiential content and the scene despite the absence of any

    causal connection. But it seems wrong to think that whether ones perceptual experience as of a

    zebra is veridical depends not only on such causal connections but on whether there are cleverly

    disguised mules lurking around out of ones area of visual focus. Henry in fake barn country

    surely cannot complain, after he is apprised of the facts, that his experience of the barn was non-

    veridical, or that his experience when looking at the barn was misrepresenting the object or his

    relation to it. The same goes for the zebra case.

    I conclude that ifone must be justified in rejecting all underminers whose badness one

    understands in order to have dogmatic justification, then the only way to retain the Humean

    Assumption, and so the only way to maintain that dogmatism has anti-skeptical punch, is to

    embrace one of three unpleasant claims: (i) an overly strong claim about the content of

    experience, viz. that experiences have the contents that they are cases of perceptual knowledge;

    (ii) an ad hoc claim that experiences can justify propositions which go well beyond their own

    contents; or (iii) an implausible Mooreanism about underminers.

    6. The necessity of being justified in rejecting underminers

    Consider, again, the zebra case. Must I be justified in rejecting the possibility of

    underminers likeHALF FAKESin order to have dogmatic justification that its a zebra? Here we

    cannot appeal on a widely accepted closure principle to answer affirmatively. We need a

    substantive new argument. In a nutshell, my argument is this:

    Either Im justified in believing HALF FAKESobtains, justified in being agnostic about

    it, or justified in rejecting it. But if I am justified in believing it obtains, my experience

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    as of zebra would not justify me in believing the thing I see is a zebra. And if I am

    justified in being agnostic about it, again my experience wouldnt justify me in believing

    this. So, I must be justified in rejecting it. It follows that in order to have dogmaticjustification from my experience as of a zebra to believe that the thing I see is a zebra, I

    must be justified in rejectingHALF FAKES.

    This reasoning can be generalized as follows:

    1. (Assumption): Im in a situation in which I have dogmatic justification from anexperience (E) as of P to believe P, and U is an underminer whose badness I understand.

    2. Either I am justified in believing U, in being agnostic about it, or in rejecting it.

    3. I am not justified in believing U (because if I were, I wouldnt have the dogmatic

    justification from E to believe P, contrary to (1)).

    4. I am not justified in being agnostic about U (because if I were, I wouldnt have thedogmatic justification from E to believe P, contrary to (1)).

    So, 5. I must be justified in rejecting U.

    From 1-5, we conclude

    6: In order to have dogmatic justification from E to believe P, I must be justified in

    rejecting every underminer U whose badness I understand.

    Note that in (6) there is no claim about how I must be justified in rejecting these underminers

    (whether I must be independently justified in doing so) but only thatI must be justified.

    The crucial steps that need defense here are (2) and (4). (1) is assumed and the cost of

    denying (3) for the dogmatist would be the rejection of the existence of what John Pollock

    (1986) calls undercuttingdefeaters, which I assume is out of the question.

    6.1 Defending Premise (2)

    (2) asserts a trilemma about U: either youre justified in believing it, being agnostic about it or

    in rejecting it. Before discussing the grounds for this trilemma, I should emphasize that we are

    speaking of (ex ante) justification tohave an attitude, whether you have it or not, rather than the

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    (ex post) justification of a possessed attitude. It would be psychologically implausible to assert

    the trilemma for ex post justification, but not for ex ante justification. We can be justified to an

    attitude toward a proposition even when we have never entertained it. For instance, a few

    minutes ago, you arguably did not or at least not explicitly take any attitude toward the

    proposition that Red Sox played the White Sox more than twice in the 2008 season. However, if

    you knew a little about American major league baseball, you were justified in believing that it

    was true. Nor does (2) impose unreasonable epistemic demands on us. Following Pryor, let us

    construe what it is to be justified in having an attitude toward P as a matter of its being

    epistemically appropriate to have that attitude. Epistemic appropriateness is a notion of

    permission rather than of obligation. So, (2) does not hold me at epistemic fault if I have no

    doxastic attitudes at all toward P. It only claims that one of the three attitudes perhaps more

    than one must be appropriate for me to have toward U.

    There is some obvious ways (2) could be false but which are ruled out by (1). For

    instance, I might not understand the underminer U at all or might not understand its badness with

    respect to the experience and target proposition. Are there any other ways for (2) to be false?

    Here are two suggestions. First, one might think that there are epistemic dilemmas, i.e., cases

    in which, because of competing epistemic demands, no attitude is appropriate. In a case of

    epistemic dilemma, for instance, I ought to believe P and also ought to be agnostic about P. But

    if I ought to believe P, I am not permitted not to believe P, and so I am not permitted to be

    agnostic about P nor permitted to reject P. Similarly, if I ought to be agnostic about P, I am not

    permitted to believe P nor permitted to reject P. It would follow that in such a case none of the

    three attitudes is permissible to take toward P. If U presented an epistemic dilemma like this, (2)

    would be false. Second, one might appeal to borderline cases in which ones evidence or

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    justification leans toward (or against) U but is on the borderline of what it takes to make

    believing (rejecting) U appropriate. One might think in these cases, too, that noneof the three

    attitudes is appropriate.

    Against the second objection, a reasonable reply is that if the evidence or justification is

    on the borderline, and if we dont want to say that only one attitude is appropriate, the best

    conclusion to draw is not that noattitude is appropriate but that twoattitudes are appropriate.

    Suppose the evidence is on the borderline of the belief threshold for P. Then the idea would be

    that both belief and agnosticism toward P are appropriate, but that neither is required. If this is

    right, then if Q presented a case of borderline evidence/justification, the trilemma (2) would still

    be true.

    What about epistemic dilemmas? The most plausible cases of epistemic dilemmas come

    from considerations of irresponsibility in the treatment of evidence. Suppose that you have

    neglected relevant evidence which would have justified agnosticism about Q. However, you

    have now forgotten about it, and later you reject Q in accord with the evidence you have at that

    later time. It might be claimed that you ought not reject Q at the later time, nor be agnostic about

    it, nor believe it. So, you wouldnt be permitted to have any of the three attitudes. Against this

    account, Feldman (2004) replies that in the sort of case described your later rejection of Q may

    be irresponsible or blameworthy, but surely at the later time what it makes sense for you to think

    is whatever attitude fits the evidence (reasons, etc.) that you have at that later time, and this is

    rejection of Q. So, on a notion of epistemic justification tied closely with that of epistemic

    rationality of what it makes sense to think at the time this is not a case of an epistemic

    dilemma at all.

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    But the main problem with both arguments is that they have such limited scope. Not

    every underminer whose badness one understands presents a borderline case. And if epistemic

    dilemmas arise at all, they arise infrequently. We could, if need be, therefore simply restrict the

    trilemma to cases that do not present these peculiarities. This would mean adding corresponding

    qualifications about Q in assumption (1). And (6) would then be slightly weakened, accordingly.

    But this slightly weaker version of (6) would not affect our overall argument against the Humean

    Assumption.11

    6.2. Defending Premise (4)

    Premise (4) states that I am not justified in being agnostic about U. This is the crucial

    step in the argument. It, in effect, takes being justified in agnosticism toward an underminer as

    sufficient to lack dogmatic justification.

    I will defend (4) by appealing to a principle about justification. The principle I will

    appeal to is not specifically about dogmatic justification. It concerns perceptual justification to

    believe P in ordinary cases in which we have an experience (E) as of P. Ordinary E-based

    perceptual justification to believe P is what is found in epistemically appropriate instances of

    simply taking things to be as ones perceptual experience (E) presents them as being.

    Dogmatists will take such justification to amount to dogmatic justification from E. A non-

    dogmatist might understand it in terms of justification from E together with background

    knowledge or an unearned a priori warrant to think ones faculties are reliable. But dogmatists

    11 Let me explain this. If we added to (1) the stipulation that the underminer Q not present an epistemic dilemma

    or present a borderline case, then we would need to add that same qualification to conclusion (6). The examples

    mentioned in 5 would then need to be shown not to involve epistemic dilemmas or borderline cases. I think this is

    extremely plausible for the case we considered involvingHALF FAKES.

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    and a great many non-dogmatists can agree that there is ordinary E-based perceptual

    justification. 12

    The principle to be defended about ordinary E-based perceptual justification is the

    Agnosticism Principle: If U is an underminer with respect to E and P, and one understands

    Us badness, then if one is justified in being agnostic about U, one lacks ordinary E-based

    perceptual justification to believe P.

    This is the parallel of the more familiar and logically weaker principle about justification to

    believe in underminers

    Undercutters Principle: If U is an underminer with respect to E and P, and one

    understands its badness, then if one is justified in believing that U obtains, one lacksordinary E-based perceptual justification justify one in believing P.

    If the Agnosticism Principle is true, then (4) will be true. This is because if that principle is true,

    then if I am justified in being agnostic about U, I will not have ordinary E-based perceptual

    justification to believe P; and if I do not have that, then a fortiori I do not have dogmatic

    justification from E to believe P.13

    I offer two arguments in favor of the Agnosticism Principle. Each parallels an argument

    supporting the widely accepted Undercutters Principle. The first argument is based on the claim

    that the Agnosticism Principle provides a plausible account of why there is something irrational

    about combiningan attitude of agnosticism about an underminer while also believing P in the

    ordinary way simply on the basis of E. Suppose I am agnostic about whether the zebra-looking

    12 There are prominent positions in the epistemology of perceptual belief which deny what Im calling ordinary E-

    based perceptual justification, and among these are disjunctivism as well as Williamsons (2000) knowledge-firstaccount. The disjunctivist will deny the highest common factor and so presumably deny the very Es we are

    discussing. Williamson claims that only knowledge justifies belief. For him, if anything justifies one in believing Pin an ordinary case of perceptual justification to believe that P, it must be part of ones knowledge, but an experience

    as of P does not meet this condition.

    Still, ordinary E-based perceptual justification is common ground between Pryor and Wright and many

    others in the dispute over dogmatism. Thanks to Jessica Brown for discussion here.13 Im assuming here that if I did have dogmatic justification from E to believe P, I would have ordinary E-based

    perceptual justification to believe P. This is unproblematic because in principle one way one could have ordinary E-

    based perceptual justification is to have dogmatic justification from E to believe P.

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    animals in the pen are only half zebras. Perhaps I think its more likely than not that theyre all

    zebras, but the question is open for me. I am agnostic about it.14Now, there is intuitively

    something irrational about retaining this agnosticism while at the same time simply relying on

    my visual experience as of a zebra in the ordinary way to conclude that the animal Im looking at

    is a zebra. If I think to myself, There really might be a number of mules that look exactly like

    zebras here; unlikely but possible, and then, while not abandoning this agnosticism I go on

    simply to trust my experience by concluding this one is a zebra, Im being irrational. But the

    faultiness in my combination of states cannot automatically be pinned on a certain component in

    the combination. We cannot conclude that my agnosticism is unjustified, or that my perceptual

    belief is. We need an explanation for how the combination could be faulty that doesnt

    automatically pin the faultiness on the agnosticism and doesnt automatically pin it on the belief.

    Its the irrationality of the combination qua combination that needs to be explained. Such

    irrational combinations can be found with other justificatory sources as well. Suppose I am

    agnostic about whether you are sincere in your testimony that P but without giving up my

    agnosticism I go on simply to rely on your word in believing that P. In having this combination

    of states, Im being irrational. But again, its the combination qua combination that is irrational.

    We cannot conclude that my agnosticism must be unjustified, or that my testimonially formed

    belief must be unjustified. 15

    14 It is immaterial to the argument which follows whether my agnosticism here is of the decided indifference sort,as one has when one thinks that the coin has a 50% chance of coming up heads on the next flip, or of a more

    unsettled sort, as when one is hard-pressed to say much that is informative about how likely it is and is in the

    position of thinking one just doesnt know.15 Crispin Wright (2007) makes vivid the irrationality involved in such combinations. My discussion here draws

    substantially on his. However, whereas Wright takes these problems to concern higher-level propositions

    propositions about ones justification I am here considering underminers in general, which need not be higher-

    level. See Pryor (forthcoming) for a critique of Wrights claims about higher-level propositions.

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    The Agnosticism Principle provides a good explanation of why these combinations

    would be irrational qua combinations.16 In combining the agnosticism about the underminer with

    the simple trust in experience, Im being epistemically self-defeating: Im guaranteeing, by

    having this combination, that one of the component attitudes is an attitude I shouldnt have, i.e.,

    is (ex post) unjustified. For suppose the agnosticism about the underminer is justified. Then I

    must be (ex ante) justified in being agnostic about it, and so by the Agnosticism Principle I lack

    ordinary E-based perceptual justification to believe the target proposition P. But if this is so,

    then my ordinary perceptual belief that P is unjustified. Alternatively, suppose the perceptual

    belief is justified. Then I must have ordinary E-based perceptual justification to believe P (if I

    didnt, my ordinary perceptual belief that P wouldnt be justified). But then, by the Agnosticism

    Principle, I cannot be justified in being agnostic about the underminer. But I am, and so I am

    unjustifiably agnostic about it. Either way, one of the two components of the combination is

    unjustified.17

    There are clear parallels between the intuitive irrationality of these combinations and the

    intuitive irrationality involved when one believes the underminer to obtain while relying simply

    on the experience. Perhaps in the case of believing the underminer, the combination is even

    more irrational, but that is presumably because when you are justified in believing an underminer

    U to obtain, it would be even more unjustified form an ordinary perceptual belief that P based on

    the experience than it would if you were only justified in being agnostic about U. Just as the

    Agnosticism Principle explains the irrationality of the combination involving agnosticism in an

    16 Notice that we cannot help ourselves to the same sort of explanation we might give to explaining why its

    irrational to combine belief in P with belief in ~P. Here one might hope that the obvious logical incompatibility of

    the belief contents would be a sufficient explanation. But in the case of relying on a visual experience in believing P

    while also being agnostic about a bad possibility, there is no incompatibility of contents.17 Several inferential steps here rely on a principle relating ex ante to ex post justification. If my belief that P is the

    uptake of a certain candidate justifier for P, then my belief is justified iff the candidate justifier is a genuine

    justifier for P, and similarly for agnosticism.

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    underminer, so the Undercutters Principle explains the (greater) irrationality of the combination

    involving belief in an underminer.

    Moreover, there are clear precedents in philosophy for explaining irrational

    combinations of states or attitudes in this way. A powerful example comes from the practical

    reasons literature (cf. Broome 1999 and 2002, Dancy 2000). There is something wrong about the

    combination ofintending to achieve end E, believing M is a necessary means for achieving E,

    and being undecided on whether to achieve M. Im going to bring about E, yes, and I need to

    do M to do that, but Im still undecided on whether to do M.18 This is practical self-defeat. But

    we cant pinpoint a particular element in the combination that must be irrational. The

    irrationality of the combination, however, can be explained by appealing to a principle about

    practical justification:

    If one is justified in being undecided on whether to M, then if one is justified in believing

    that M is a necessary means to E, then one isnt justified in intending to bring about E

    The irrational combination mentioned before is irrational insofar as in being in it I guarantee that

    one of my states is one I shouldnt have.

    The second argument I offer for the Agnosticism Principle is more indirect. Consider a

    strengthened variant of the Agnosticism Principle in which E-based perceptual justification is

    understood not merely topermitbelief in P but to make it the case that one epistemically ought

    to believe P if one has any attitude toward P at all.19 I will argue that there is excellent reason to

    accept this principle. The original principle and its strengthened variant become equivalent on

    the plausible assumption that ordinary E-based perceptual justification permits belief iff it makes

    18 As Broome (2002) notes, we may need to add further beliefs here, such as the belief that you will execute the

    intention for the end only if you have an intention for the means.19 Cf. Feldman (2004). For him, the sense in which one ought to believe a proposition P is conditional: if you have

    any doxastic attitude toward P, it should be belief.

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    belief the attitude to have concerning whether P. Plausibly, if you have dogmatic justification

    from experience as of a red wall to believe the wall is red, belief isnt just permitted; its the only

    reasonable cognitive attitude to have on the question of the color of the wall. Because of this

    plausible equivalence, my argument for the strengthened variant is transformable into an

    argument for the original Agnosticism Principle.20

    Here is the argument. Suppose it is possible to be epistemically permitted to be agnostic

    about an underminer whose badness one understands while also having ordinary E-based

    perceptual justification making it the case that one ought to believe P. Suppose that I

    epistemically ought to believe there is a red wall before me in the ordinary way on the basis of

    how the wall looks to me. This is an ought. Suppose also that I am epistemically permitted in

    being agnostic about whether there are hidden red lights shining on the wall. This is a

    permission. Notice a consequence of these suppositions: uptake on the ought precludes

    uptake the permission on pain of irrationality. By uptake or taking up I mean merely the

    having of the attitude on the basis of what makes it an attitude one ought/is permitted to have.

    To take up the ought is to rely on my experience as of a red well in believing that the wall is red.

    To take up the permission is to be agnostic about whether there are hidden red lights shining on

    the wall. To do both is to have an irrational combination of states. We should be very reluctant

    to think that epistemic justification could be so epistemically unfair, and so very reluctant accept

    the strengthened version of the Agnosticism Principle.

    20

    Even without the original Agnosticism Principle, the strengthened variant could be used in an argument for astrengthened version of (6):

    In order to have dogmatic justification from E to believe P which makes it the case that I ought to believe Pif I have

    any attitude toward it, I must be justified in rejecting every underminer U whose badness I understand.

    This version of (6), together with the results of 5, show that any dogmatism strong enough to deliver epistemic

    oughts fails to have anti-skeptical punch.

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    Similar considerations support the strengthened version of the Undercutters Principle, the

    one in which E-based justification understood as grounding an ought. For if this principle is

    false, there will be cases in which, merely by believing what one is permitted to believe about the

    lighting conditions (that they are abnormal) on the grounds that permit it, and believing what

    ought to believe on the color on the ground of ones experience, one hosts an irrational

    combination of attitudes. This, again, would be a case in which uptake on an ought precludes

    uptake on a permission on pain of irrationality.

    The reader will notice that both the Agnosticism and the Undercutters principles in their

    strengthened versions allow that in certain cases taking up an ought can introduce irrationality, at

    least if one maintains certain other states. But these will be cases in which the other states are

    themselves ones which is not permitted to have. If I already have an impermissible agnosticism

    about the lighting conditions, then I cant take up the epistemic ought concerning the color of the

    wall. But it is not implausible to think that by doing wrong in having an attitude, I can open

    myself up to irrationality in adding a further attitude I ought to have. Suppose poor Bill has

    fallen from a two-person canoe hes sharing with me. The sea is very rough and he will not

    survive unless I help him back in. Suppose I wrongly set out to achieve a horrible end, to end

    poor Bills life as soon as possible. I might also know that a necessary means of doing this is to

    not help him back into the boat. Still, surely, I oughtto help him back in. But if I do what I

    ought concerning whether to help him back in, while retaining my horrible end, I end up with an

    irrational combination of attitudes. This seems exactly what we should say about this case.

    There is nothing deeply unfair about it. To put it bluntly: thats just the luck one gets if one

    does wrong!

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    There is therefore good reason to accept the Agnosticism Principle. The principle

    provides an attractive explanation of the irrationality of combining agnosticism about

    underminers while relying on ones ordinary E-based perceptual justification. Moreover, given

    the plausible assumption that if ordinary E-based perceptual justification permits a belief in P it

    also makes it the case that one ought to believe P (in Feldmans conditional sense), one can argue

    for the Agnosticism Principle on the ground that its falsity would imply the implausible

    consequence that there can be cases in which uptake on an epistemic ought precludes one from

    taking up an epistemic permission, on pain of irrationality.

    These two considerations provide support for the Agnosticism Principle, just as parallel

    considerations provide support for the Undercutters Principle. With premise (4) defended, this

    completes the defense of the argument that in order to have dogmatic justification one must be

    justified in rejecting every underminer U whose badness one understands.

    7. Conclusion

    In order for dogmatism to have anti-skeptical punch, what I have called the Humean

    Assumption must be true; that is, dogmatic justification of a belief by an experience must not

    require being independently justified in rejecting any bad possibilities, whether the subject

    understands the badness of the possibility or not. When we turn our attention to underminers,

    we see that the only ways to save the Humean Assumption are to accept either (i) that we do not

    need to be justified in rejecting the underminers whose badness we understand in order to have

    dogmatic justification for the belief; or(ii) that if we do need to be rejected in rejecting these

    underminers, we at least do not ever need to be independently justified in rejecting them. 5

    argues that (ii) is unacceptable. The cost of (ii) would be embracing either an implausible theory

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    of experiential content, an ad hoc claim that experiences can justify beliefs in propositions well

    beyond their contents, or an overly ambitious Mooreanism. 6 argues that (i) is unacceptable.

    We need to be justified in rejecting the bad underminers whose badness we understand; because

    if we were not justified in rejecting them, we would either be justified in believing them or in

    being agnostic about them, and in either of those cases we would not be justified in believing the

    target proposition, and so a fortiori we would not be dogmatically justified in believing it.

    I want to close by making clear what I have notargued. First, I have not argued against

    dogmatism. For all I have argued, Silins (2008) dogmatism may well be true. On this view, the

    absence of such independent justifications would count as the absence of a necessary condition

    for the dogmatic justification. It remains true on this view that experiences as of P prima facie

    justify beliefs that P. This is dogmatism without anti-skeptical punch, but still with some of its

    principal attractions, especially its modest foundationalism. Second, although I have argued for

    the thesis that in order to have perceptual justification one needs to be independently justified in

    rejecting underminers whose badness one understands, I have not argued that perceptual

    justification requires having a justification to think perception is reliable which does not rely on

    other perceptual justifications. Imagine yourself in the zoo again, looking at a zebra. How could

    you be justified in thinking the animals in the pen are not half zebras and half cleverly disguised

    mules? The answer might well be: on the basis of your background empirical inductive

    grounds. The answer is not: on the basis of your present experience as of a zebra.21

    Works Cited

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    Richard Feldman, Robert Howell, Peter Markie, Andrew Moon, Nico Silins, Ernest Sosa, as well as members of the

    audience at the Feldmania conference at the University of Texas at San Antonio.

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