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1 DEVOLUTION ‘EXPRESS’
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Devolution Express

Jan 19, 2017

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Page 1: Devolution Express

1

DEVOLUTION

‘EXPRESS’

Page 2: Devolution Express

2

Source: Ipsos MORI Fieldwork dates: 18° Sept to 29° Sept 2015

Three-quarters of public know either ‘just a little’ or ‘nothing’

about devolution proposals

Q. Before today, how much, if anything, would you say you knew about the proposals for devolving more power to local councils, or groups of councils, within England?

Base: All adults aged 16-75 in England (3831)

23%

25%

27%

22%

19%

21%

20%

17%

3%

17%

34%

25%

17%

3%

A great deal

A fair amount

Just a little

Heard of, but knownothing about

Never heard of

Don't know

16%

% knowing ‘a great deal’ or a ‘fair

amount’ about devolution

76%

Page 3: Devolution Express

3

Source: Ipsos MORI Fieldwork dates: 18° Sept to 29° Sept 2015

Overall, all regions support rather than oppose the concept of

local decision making, although extent of support varies

Q. Thinking overall, to what extent, if at all, do you support or oppose giving more decision-making powers (on issues

such as economic development, transport, housing, planning and policing) to local areas?

Base: All adults aged 16-75 in England (3831)

14

16

19

14

15

18

17

20

18

17

57

54

53

48

46

46

46

44

42

49

Yorkshire and The Humber

North West

South West

East Midlands

West Midlands

South East

Greater London

North East

East of England

Overall

% Oppose % Support Net +%

+42

+38

+33

+34

+31

+29

+28

+24

+24

+32

Page 4: Devolution Express

4

Source: Ipsos MORI Fieldwork dates: 18° Sept to 29° Sept 2015

Support for increased accountability and flexibility to respond to local area

needs…however, only a third expect standards of public service to improve

59%

59%

56%

42%

33%

22%

3%

1%

1%

It will allow local councils and other local agencies like the police to

be more flexible in responding to changing local demand

Local politicians know better than national politicians what is best for

the local area

Decisions affecting me should be made by local politicians who are

more accountable to local people

It will lead to better joining up and co-ordination between public

services in the local area

Standards of public services will improve in the local area

It will save money when delivering services

Something else

No reason

Don’t know

Q. Why do you say you support devolving more powers to local areas?

Base: All adults stating they support devolution (1862)

Page 5: Devolution Express

5

Source: Ipsos MORI Fieldwork dates: 18° Sept to 29° Sept 2015

Concerns that devolution will result in a ‘postcode lottery’

when it comes to service delivery – plus distrust in politicians

58%

58%

44%

43%

41%

41%

39%

36%

27%

11%

*%

1%

Standards of services risk being different depending on where you

live – a ‘postcode lottery’

I don’t trust local politicians to make the right decisions for the local

area

It will lead to services being less joined up

It will do nothing to improve local services

It won’t lead to savings

Local politicians do not always know what is best for the local area

It will cost money to implement

Standards of service will decline in the local area

I think taxes will increase

Something else

No reason

Don’t know

Q. Why do you say you oppose devolving more powers to local areas?

Base: All stating they don’t support devolution (656)

Page 6: Devolution Express

6

Source: Ipsos MORI Fieldwork dates: 18° Sept to 29° Sept 2015

Nearly two-thirds believe that public service standards should be

equal no matter where they live

Q. To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statement…?

Base: All adults aged 16-75 in England (3831)

36%

35%

16%

6% 1% 5%

Strongly agree Tend to agree Neither/nor Tend to disagree Strongly disagree Don't know

“Standards of public services should be the same everywhere in

England”

Page 7: Devolution Express

7

Source: Ipsos MORI Fieldwork dates: 18° Sept to 29° Sept 2015

Public is less likely to support devolution if it means creating a

postcode lottery in service provision

16%

12%

26%

12%

7%

26%

I am more likely to support devolution if it means local

services could differ from other areas of the country

I support devolution regardless of whether it means local

services could differ from other areas of the country

I am less likely to support devolution if it means local

services could differ from other areas of the country

I do not support devolution regardless of whether it means

local services could differ from other areas of the country

None of the above

Don’t know

Q. Which of these statements comes closest to your views about devolution and local services in your area?

Base: All adults aged 16-75 in England (3831)

Page 8: Devolution Express

8

Source: Ipsos MORI

25%

21%

51%

3

Yes, definitely Yes, think so No Don’t know

Awareness of the ‘Northern Powerhouse’ is unsurprisingly

greatest amongst those living in the North

Q. Before today, had you heard of the term ‘Northern Powerhouse’?

46%

59%

41%

40%

40%

Overall

North

Midlands

South

London

% yes

Base: All adults aged 16-75 in England (3831) Fieldwork dates: 18° Sept to 29° Sept 2015

Page 9: Devolution Express

9

Source: Ipsos MORI

2

19%

37%

22%

9%

10%

Very optimistic Fairly optimistic Neither/nor

Fairly pessimistic Very pessimistic Don't know

Only a fifth of the public are optimistic that the Northern

Powerhouse will achieve its ambitions – another 37% ambivalent Q. To what extent are you optimistic or pessimistic that the ‘Northern Powerhouse’ will achieve these ambitions?

Base: All adults aged 16-75 in England (3831)

Optimistic Net 22%

Pessimistic Net 31%

3%

3%

2%

3%

4%

1%

1%

2%

3%

2%

24%

22%

23%

20%

17%

19%

18%

16%

14%

19%

North West

Greater London

Yorkshire and The Humber

East Midlands

West Midlands

East of England

South East

South West

North East

Overall

Very optimistic Fairly optimistic

-9

Fieldwork dates: 18° Sept to 29° Sept 2015

Page 10: Devolution Express

10

Source: Ipsos MORI

Attracting investment and rebalancing the north/south economic

divide are the two key aims for the Northern Powerhouse

53%

49%

31%

30%

28%

15%

1%

4%

14%

Attracting investment to the North

Closing the gap between the North and South-

East economies (eg rebalancing)

Improving skills of workers and those looking for

work

Improving transport connections in the North

Services working together (for example, health

and social care working in partnership)

Increasing accountability for local public services

Other

None of these

Don’t know

Q. Which two or three of the following, if any, do you think is most important for the ‘Northern Powerhouse’ to deliver?

Base: All adults aged 16-75 in England (3831) Fieldwork dates: 18° Sept to 29° Sept 2015

Page 11: Devolution Express

11

Source: Ipsos MORI Fieldwork dates: 18° Sept to 29° Sept 2015

Need to elect a mayor is more likely than not to make public

support devolution, although over a quarter are undecided

17%

19%

15%

13%

9%

27%

I support more devolution regardless of

the need to elect a mayor

I am more likely to support devolution if

I have to elect a mayor

I am less likely to support devolution if I

have to elect a mayor

I do not support devolution anyway

regardless of whether it might involve

electing a mayor

None of the above

Don’t know

Q. Which of these statements comes closest to your views about devolution and the need for a mayor?

Base: All adults aged 16-75 in England (3831)

Page 12: Devolution Express

12

Source: Ipsos MORI Fieldwork dates: 18° Sept to 29° Sept 2015

More people think the London mayor has had a positive than

negative impact, and this opinion is not limited to Gtr London

Base: All adults aged 16-75 in England (3831)

9%

37%

31%

6%

3%

15%

Very positive Fairly positive No impact

Fairly negative Very negative Don't know

Q. As you may know London has an independent elected mayor, currently Boris Johnson. Do you think that having an independently elected mayor has had a positive or negative impact on London?

10%

9%

9%

9%

8%

8%

8%

8%

6%

9%

40%

42%

36%

30%

37%

37%

36%

26%

36%

37%

South East

Greater London

South West

West Midlands

Yorkshire and The Humber

East of England

East Midlands

North East

North West

Overall

Very positive impact Fairly positive impact

45%