Development of Electricity Technology Roadmap (TRM) in Korea Young Eal LEE Policy Research Group Korea Electric Power Research Institute.

Development of Electricity Development of Electricity

Technology Roadmap (TRM) in KoreaTechnology Roadmap (TRM) in Korea

Young Eal LEEYoung Eal LEE

Policy Research GroupPolicy Research GroupKorea Electric Power Research InstituteKorea Electric Power Research Institute

Contents Contents

1.1. UnderstandingUnderstanding of TRM of TRM

2.2. Preliminary ActivitiesPreliminary Activities of of


TRM in KoreaTRM in Korea

3.3. Major ActivitiesMajor Activities of of


TRM in KoreaTRM in Korea

Understanding Understanding Technology Roadmap (TRM)Technology Roadmap (TRM)

Time dimension of

technological progress

Plans driven by the

projected needs of future

market

Approach to

“Selection &

Concentration”11

22

Short-term GoalShort-term Goal

Mid-term GoalMid-term Goal

Long-term GoalLong-term Goal

44

Final GoalFinal Goal

33

11

What is TRM ?What is TRM ?

Forecasts of what is possible or likely to happen as well as plans that articulate a course of action (example)

EPRI – Electricity TRM (1999)

Why is TRM important ?Why is TRM important ?

Now & FutureNow & Future

Market (Customer) Driven

Opportunity Based Strategy (TRM, Top Down Approach)

Needs Product Technology

Competitive Market, Mid/long term planning

YesterdayYesterday

Technology Driven

Resource Based Strategy(Technology Tree, Bottom Up Approach

Technology Product Needs

Non-competitive Market, Short / mid term planning

Strategic planning method of R&D or technology is being changed because time-to-market is shortening and reduced R&D budgets are making impossible to develop all the technologies to meet future market needs

“ Selection and Concentration”

What is differ from Others ?

Satisfaction with Satisfaction with Market NeedsMarket Needs

Development of Technology

Creation Creation of Productof Product

Other Planning Other Planning MethodsMethods

Technology Driven

Planning

Identification Identification of Market of Market

NeedsNeeds

Development Development of Technologyof Technology

Forecasting Forecasting MarketMarket

TRMTRM

Market Driven

Planning

Establish the purpose and the goals of TRM

Define the customer needs based on market projection

Specify the major areas to be explored

steering committee

vision & target

Ph

ase I

Action plan

Detailed roadmapPh

ase II

specify technology

How to produce TRMHow to produce TRM

Preliminary Activities of Preliminary Activities of Development of Electricity TRM Development of Electricity TRM

in Koreain Korea

• 2001. 12 – 2002. 7 (8

months)

• USD 60,000

Periods / Budget

Purposes

• Define the industry and

the needs of its

customers in the future

• Specify the major

areas of technology to

be explored

How and for WhatHow and for What

Guide for roadmapping

Where we are now

Suppliers

Where we want to be

Build-up of Competitive

Electricity Market

Build-up of Competitive

Electricity Market

Stabilization of Power Supply

Stabilization of Power Supply

Environmental Friendliness of

Technology

Environmental Friendliness of

Technology

Innovation of Technology

Innovation of Technology

Time

Key Issues

‘01.12.1 ‘02.2 ‘02.4 ‘02.7.30‘02.6

Consult about process of roadmapping

Consult about process of roadmapping

1st - Internal review1st - Internal review 2 nd - Experts interview

2 nd - Experts interview

3rd - Working group WS

3rd - Working group WS

4th - Senior group WS

4th - Senior group WS

Analysis on technology trends / Identify future demands / Define vision / Specify technology

Analysis on technology trends / Identify future demands / Define vision / Specify technology

Finalize the area of technology of TRM

Finalize the area of technology of TRM

Consult with economists about future industry

Consult with economists about future industry

Consult about electricity

industry

Consult about electricity

industry

Consult about roadmap guide

Consult about roadmap guide

Establish guide of roadmap report

Establish guide of roadmap report

Procedure of RoadmappingProcedure of Roadmapping

Part Area of Technology

Power System

Stabilization of Competitive Electricity Market Large Capacity Transmission

Energy Renewable Energy Fuel Cell Electric Device of Super Conductor

Power Generation

Coal Power Gen. for High Efficiency Gas Power Gen. for High Efficiency

Nuclear National Integrated DB of NPPs

Major Areas to be Developed Major Areas to be Developed

Major Activities of Major Activities of Development of Electricity TRM Development of Electricity TRM

in Koreain Korea

2002. 9 – 2004. 2 (18 2002. 9 – 2004. 2 (18 months) / USD 320,000 months) / USD 320,000

Roadmapping of electricity industry Roadmapping of electricity industry

(Electric Power System, Energy, Power Generation)(Electric Power System, Energy, Power Generation)

Establish strategic plans of technology developmentEstablish strategic plans of technology development

National guide for the selection of long-term R&D

project using Electricity Industry Infrastructure Fund

Periods / Budget

Purposes

How and for WhatHow and for What

Results will be used for

Steering Committee

Coordinating Committee

FrameworkCommittee

Technology Committee

PublicHearing

Project Group Experts Experts Industry

Exchanging information and work progresses

Supporting administrative work

Overall TRM Defining the

scope and boundary of TRM

Organizing the technology committee

Meeting every two month

Responsible for mapping

Defining a vision & target

Specifying the technology

Planning a course of action

Meeting once a month

Enhancing the validity of results

Making consensus of industry

Meeting every six month

Working GroupWorking Group

8 개분야 90 여명

Establish a roadmap procedure

Establish a steering committee

Notify a purpose and guide of roadmapping

Define the customer needsbased on the market projection

Specify the technology to be explored

Roadmapping and Report

Phase IPhase I

Selection Selection of Major Areaof Major Area

Phase IIPhase II

Detail Planning Detail Planning of Tech. of Tech.

Development Development

Identify the strategic plan of technology

Procedure of RoadmappingProcedure of Roadmapping

Mission/Vision

• Define the industry and what future customers are likely to demand

Mission/Vision

• Define the industry and what future customers are likely to demand

Goal

•Define the what industry must develop to attain its vision

Goal

•Define the what industry must develop to attain its vision

Objective

•Define the obstacles

•Analyze the SWOT

Objective

•Define the obstacles

•Analyze the SWOT

Strategy

•Identify tech. alternatives and their develop-ment timelines

Strategy

•Identify tech. alternatives and their develop-ment timelines

Perform-ance

Measure

•Specify the performa-nce targets to meet the customer demands

Perform-ance

Measure

•Specify the performa-nce targets to meet the customer demands

TRM ReportTRM Report

Roadmapping Roadmapping

Expected ResultsExpected Results

Statement of TRM ReportStatement of TRM Report

1. Vision & Goal in A Tech.

Area

2. Identify A Tech. Area

2.1 Status of technology &

market

2.2 Trend of tech.

development

2.3 Technology break-down

(A.1 , A.2 , )

2.4 Portfolio

1. Vision & Goal in A Tech.

Area

2. Identify A Tech. Area

2.1 Status of technology &

market

2.2 Trend of tech.

development


(A.1 , A.2 , )

2.4 Portfolio

3. A.1 Technology

3.1 Current & future of

technology

3.2 Quantitative target

3.3 Strategic plan of tech.

development

3.4 Obstacles and

countermeasure


(A.1.1 , A.1.2 , )

3. A.1 Technology

3.1 Current & future of

technology



development

3.4 Obstacles and

countermeasure


(A.1.1 , A.1.2 , )

3. A.1.1 Technology

3.1 Current & future of technology



development

3.4 Obstacles and countermeasure


(A.1.1.1 , A.1.1.2 , )

3. A.1.1 Technology

3.1 Current & future of technology



development

3.4 Obstacles and countermeasure


(A.1.1.1 , A.1.1.2 , )


RoadmappingRoadmapping


•Pay attention to the role of electricity Pay attention to the role of electricity industryindustry

vision & goal according to the economic vision & goal according to the economic and scientific trend and scientific trend

Consist of uConsist of unbiased steering committeenbiased steering committee

economists & socialists as well as economists & socialists as well as

engineersengineers

•Adopt the proper procedure within budget & Adopt the proper procedure within budget & periodperiod

Keep in mind the reason of roadmapping and Keep in mind the reason of roadmapping and

the guide for technology selectionthe guide for technology selection

Suggest the validity and basis of technology Suggest the validity and basis of technology

selectionselection

Suggest the follow-up process & updateSuggest the follow-up process & update

Conclusion & ConsiderationConclusion & Consideration

Development of Electricity Technology Roadmap (TRM) in Korea Young Eal LEE Policy Research Group Korea Electric Power Research Institute.

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