Community Carbon Reduction Project (CRed) Keith Tovey M.A., PhD, CEng, MICE Energy Science Director: Low Carbon Innovation Centre School of Environmental.

• Slide 1

Community Carbon Reduction Project (CRed) Keith Tovey M.A., PhD, CEng, MICE Energy Science Director: Low Carbon Innovation Centre School of Environmental Sciences Slide 2 Future Global Warming Rates Slide 3 IRisks to Unique and Threatened Systems IIRisks from Extreme Climatic Events IIIDistribution of Impacts IVAggregate Impacts VRisks from Future Large Scale Discontinuities Reasons for Concern I II III IV V Range of predicted temperatures Risks to Many Risks to Some Large Increase Increase Negative for most Regions Negative for some Regions Some positive/ some negative Most people adversely affected Net Negative for all markets most Very Low Risk Higher Risk Current temperature Average 1950 - 1970 Historic Average oCoC Slide 4 Government Response Energy White Paper aspiration for 60% cut in CO 2 emissions by 2050 Will require unprecedented partnership activity in local communities to ensure on track by 2020s ( but no indication of how this will be undertaken) There will be much more local generation, in part from medium to small local/community power plant, fuelled by locally grown biomass, from locally generated waste, and from local wind sources. These will feed local distributed networks, which can sell excess capacity into the grid. - Energy White Paper: February 2003 Slide 5 The CRed ambition To engage, enthuse and empower a large, diverse community to debate, plan and execute a programme to reduce carbon emissions by up to 60% by 2025 Can a local community take on the responsibility for starting to confront the challenge of climate change and make a difference? Or will it continue to be - someone/somewhere else? Can we encourage politicians/officials to be bolder on our behalf? exemplar for the world Slide 6 The CRed Community Participatory/inclusive Partnerships Modes of participation (targets/methods) Matrix of modes of participation = representative of real-world complexity Spark imaginations Centred on Norwich/Norfolk, but links across the region, country, the world. Slide 7 The Challenges Awareness, perceptions, attitudes, acceptances Awareness-raising, demonstration & research project Scientific/technological Slide 8 CRedibility School of Environmental Sciences 5** Climatic Research Unit Centre for Environmental Risk Centre for Social and Economic Research on the Global Environment Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research Slide 9 Could CRed make a difference? I am delighted to see East Anglia take the initiative at regional level to achieve deep cuts in CO2 emissions, Professor Sir David King CRed really can make a difference to the way the world approaches this important environmental challenge, by providing a focus for real action at the community level, Alan Raymant, Head of Greengen, Powergen One of the best things to have emerged in this area in recent years, The Bishop of Norwich CRed could be an exemplar for the world, Michael Meacher Slide 10 CRed Action Efficiency/conservation (e.g. Powergen/CRed report) Encouraging the adoption of appropriate existing good practice & technology (e.g. wind turbines) Encouraging the development of technology and the emergence of appropriate new technology (e.g. Biofuels briefing paper for Treasury; Star in the East) Inclusive and participatory Not prescriptive CRed is a network of partnerships Slide 11 InCRedible Opportunities Leading the way to the new lower-carbon economy Opportunities for innovation communities and businesses Attracting people with new ways of thinking and new ways of doing things Slide 12 How many people know what 9 tonnes of CO 2 looks like? 5 hot air balloons per person per year. 4 million each year for Norfolk On average each person in UK causes the emission of 9 tonnes of CO 2 each year. The Right Language Slide 13 Options for Electricity Generation in 2020 - Non-Renewable Methods Slide 14 Options for Electricity Generation in 2020 - Renewable Slide 15 Our Choices: They are difficult Do we want to exploit available renewables i.e onshore/offshore wind and biomass. If our answer is NO Do we want to see a renewal of nuclear power Are we happy on this and the other attendant risks? If our answer is NO Do we want to return to using coal? then carbon dioxide emissions will rise significantly unless we can develop carbon sequestration within 10 years which is unlikely If our answer to coal is NO Do we want to leave things are they are and see continued exploitation of gas for both heating and electricity generation? >>>>>> Slide 16 Our Choices: They are difficult If our answer is YES By 2020 we will be dependent on around 70% of our heating and electricity from GAS which will have to be imported from countries like Russia, Iran, Iraq, Libya, Algeria Are we happy with this prospect? >>>>>> If not: We need even more substantial cuts in energy use which could affect both industry and our ability to heat an light our homes in the future. Unless we are prepared to sacrifice our future to effects of Global Warming Do we wish to reconsider our stance on renewables? Inaction or delays in decision making will lead us down the GAS option route and all the attendant Security issues that raises. Slide 17 Our Choices: They are difficult A diverse supply of renewables across the country will provide security [it is rare for the wind not to be blowing anywhere except on sunny days when solar energy output is at a peak] A diverse renewable supply will be local, and will be less prone to cascade power cuts such as those recently in US, London, Italy, Denmark. Conventional generation is based on large units: 500 660 MW enough to supply over 1 million homes. These do fail from time to time, and require much greater backup than required for the failure of a few wind turbines. Renewable generation is less prone to major interruption BUT: Arent Renewables unreliable? we need secure supply Slide 18 The Elizabeth Fry Building Slide 19 The performance of the building has improved with time Energy Consumption in Elizabeth Fry Heating provided by domestic sized boilers. Energy requirement 20% of good practice for Academic Buildings. Slide 20 Elizabeth Fry performance has improved over years. ZICER will be better and less than 70% of emissions of mid 90s best practice building Photovoltaic cells will generate ~ 30 kW and save 20 tonnes CO 2 per annum. Projected Performance of ZICER Slide 21 Performance of Elizabeth Fry and ZICER Slide 22 UEA Combined Heat and Power Scheme Slide 23 CHP Review electricitygasoil total balloons 1997/98kWh198953283514815833150 kg/kWh0.430.1860.277 tonnes8555.06537.69.215101.78390 electricityexportimport Gener- ationboilersCHPoiltotal balloons 1999/00kWh204365319770005783100156304311451007828263077922563 kg/ kWh -0.430.43 0.186 0.277 tonnes -420.12486.70.02698.95256.9255.510278.05710 Saving in CO 2 emissions as a result of CHP - 4824 tonnes CO 2 or 31.9% Equivalent to 2680 hot air balloons. [Note: UEA expanded during time and consumption increased so CO 2 savings are really higher than this]. Slide 24 Duke Street Renovation Norwich led the way in 1940s First ever Heat Pump Opportunity now exists to reinstate a heat pump in the same building that John Sumner did his pioneering work. Slide 25 Duke Street Renovation Domestic Units Rebuild /Refurbishment of existing faade on Duke Street Location of former Heat Pump the first in the UK Commercial /Hotel Development Domestic Units Refurbishment of former Electricity Board Offices Slide 26 CRed Will Develop a Community in Our Region CRed can show how this community can meet the challenge facing us Slide 27 Slide 28 How to use your to beat global warming University aims to shame ministers into tougher action Ian Sample, science correspondent - Wednesday August 27, 2003 A group of scientists in East Anglia has launched an ambitious campaign to tackle the threat of global warming in an effort to shame ministers into stronger action on climate change. The task they have set themselves is formidable: to slash the region's emissions of carbon dioxide in half the time the government believes is possible. At first glance, the project, known as Cred, for carbon reduction, might easily be dismissed as well-meaning nonsense. But the team behind it, Keith Tovey and his colleagues at the University of East Anglia, belong to the most prestigious environmental science department in the country. "If anyone is going to do this, they will," said Dennis Thouless whose Norwich-based company, Global Commodities, collects used cooking oil from local businesses and turns it into fuel. The Cred project was set up in response to the government's white paper on energy, published in February. "The government pledged that they would be pushing to reduce carbon dioxide emissions by 60% by the year 2050," Dr Tovey said. "It looked impressive and sounded good, but didn't give any clues on how to do it. To put it bluntly, there were too many agendas being thrown around." The result was a statement of high intention that lacked any practical guidance. Growing frustration at the government's dithering has spurred Dr Tovey's team into action. They have taken the government's stated target of 60% reduction in carbon dioxide emissions, which according to the royal commission on environmental pollution is vital to avoid the adverse effects of climate change, and pledged that East Anglia would meet it in half the time. "If we can show that the people here can achieve this target by 2025, we can turn around and say to everybody else, 'What's your excuse?'" Dr Tovey said. Enthusiasm for the project has snowballed. Local businesses have submitted themselves to scrutiny, to see how much electricity they are wasting. School children have had crash courses in saving energy. Night classes have been set up to teach people the fine art of making solar cells that, strapped to their roofs, will give hot water. Others have gone one step further and installed silicon-based panels on their roofs that convert sunlight into electricity. Dr Tovey is talking to the Diocese of Norwich to try to get the Anglican church on board. "East Anglia has more than 600 churches," he said. "Because churches are all built running east to west, it means they've got a huge area of roof that's facing south, so they're perfect for catching the sun." "It would be very hard not to agree with the aims of the Cred project," said the Rev Jan MacFarlane, the Bishop of Norwich's chaplain. "And if there's a possibility of generating some income, why not?" But Dr Tovey knows that slashing carbon dioxide in East Anglia will have little impact on global climate change. The people of East Anglia produce 6.5m tonnes of carbon dioxide a year, against the 500m tonnes produced by the UK as a whole. "To make a real difference, the US will have to be doing this, but that will happen when they realise there is money to be made doing this." Word of the project is spreading beyond East Anglia. The Bishop of Hereford has expressed an interest. A delegation from Japan which visited the Cred team may set up a similar project. The biggest threat to success now, the scientists believe, is that people's enthusiasm dries up as the novelty wears off. Dr Tovey said: "There's always a chance we will fail. But if we fail, it can't be said we haven't tried." Cred Enthusiasm for the project has snowballed. Local businesses have submitted themselves to scrutiny, to see how much electricity they are wasting. School children have had crash courses in saving energy. Night classes have been set up to teach people the fine art of making solar cells that, strapped to their roofs, will give hot water. Others have gone one step further and installed silicon-based panels on their roofs that convert sunlight into electricity. Dr Tovey is talking to the Diocese of Norwich to try to get the Anglican church on board. "East Anglia has more than 600 churches," he said. "Because churches are all built running east to west, it means they've got a huge area of roof that's facing south, so they're perfect for catching the sun." "It would be very hard not to agree with the aims of the Cred project," said the Rev Jan MacFarlane, the Bishop of Norwich's chaplain. "And if there's a possibility of generating some income, why not?" Slide 29 Effet de serre : East Anglia montre lexemple lundi 15 septembre 2003, par collecte CND R.E.collecte CND R.E. Un groupe de scientifiques de luniversit dEast Anglia, lEst de lAngleterre, a lanc une campagne pour acclrer la rduction des missions de dioxyde de carbone de la rgion. Baptise CRed (pour Carbon Reduction Project), cette initiative ambitionne daller deux fois plus vite que les prvisions gouvernementales. Le projet a t lanc en raction au livre blanc sur lnergie publi en fvrier dans lequel le gouvernement stait fix comme objectif une diminution de 60% des missions de ce polluant dici 2050. Les responsables de CRed veulent y parvenir ds 2025. Pour cela, Keith Tovey et ses collgues ont russi mobiliser entreprises locales et particuliers pour faire des conomies dnergie et installer des panneaux photovoltaques sur les toits. La prochaine tape consiste rallier lEglise anglicane leur cause. Exposes plein sud, les glises ont en effet de larges toitures qui peuvent capter lnergie du soleil. Or, la rgion dEast Anglia compte plus de 600 chapelles. Si les scientifiques sont conscients du peu dimpact sur le changement climatique de leur action, ils comptent cependant provoquer dautres initiatives. Une dlgation japonaise est dj intresse par le projet. En France, la commune de Chalon-sur-Sane a dj mis en place une action similaire pour raliser en trois ans lengagement de rduction des missions de gaz effet de serre pris par lEurope sur dix ans. Pour lire notre article sur linitiative de Chalon-sur-Sane. Slide 30 ecologia e ambiente SULLEFFETTO SERRA LEAST ANGLIA DA LESEMPIO dalla redazione di Bruxelles Bruxelles, 15 settembre - Un gruppo di scienziati delluniversit di East Anglia (Inghilterra) ha lanciato una campagna per accelerare la riduzione delle emissioni di anidride carbonica della regione. Battezzato CRed (Carbon Reduction Project), liniziativa ha lambizione di andare due volte pi veloce delle previsioni governative. Il progetto (http://www.cred-uk.org/index.aspx) stato lanciato il reazione al Libro Bianco sullenergia pubblicato in febbraio nel quale il governo britannico aveva fissato come obiettivo una diminuzione del 60% delle emissioni di CO2 entro il 2025.http://www.cred-uk.org/index.aspx Per riuscire nellimpresa, Keith Tovey e i suoi colleghi sono riusciti a mobilitare le aziende locali e i cittadini per avviare programmi di efficienza e risparmio energetico e installare pannelli fotovoltaici. La prossima tappa consiste nel convincere la Chiesa anglicana a dar loro il suo sostegno. Esposte in pieno sud, le chiese hanno infatti grandi tetti che sono ideali per installare impianti che captano energia solare, e nella regione di East Anglia ci sono pi di 600 tra chiese e cappelle. Bench gli scienziati siano coscienti dello scarso impatto della loro iniziativa sul cambiamento climatico, contano tuttavia di promuovere altre iniziative. Una delegazione giapponese si gi interessata al progetto. Indice ecologia e ambienteecologia e ambiente Slide 31 Ida-Anglia nitab maailmale eeskuju ssihappegaasierituse piiramisel 27/08/03 07:49:56 Arni Alandi Rhm Suurbritannia Ida-Anglia teadlasi algatas suurejoonelise kampaania tulemaks toime leilmse kliimasoojenemise ohuga ning hbistamaks ministreid, kes kliimamuutuse rahoidmiseks liiga vhe ette on vtnud. Teadlased on endale pstitanud aukartustratava lesande: vhendada piirkonna ssihappegaasi hkupaiskamist poole lhema aja jooksul valitsuse mratud graafikust. Esmapilgul vib Credi nime kandev projekt tunduda mittemidagitleva mttetusena. hendkuningriigi teadlased usuvad, et nii see siiski pole, sest projekti taga seisavad vga vrikad ja tunnustatud teadlased. Ida-Anglia likooli keskkonnateaduste ppetooli peetakse parimaks omataoliseks kogu Suurbritannias. Kateedrit juhivad Keith Tovey ja tema kolleegid. Kui keegi nii julge lubaduse titmisega hakkama saab, siis just Tovey rhm on Dennis Thouless, firma Global Commodities juht, kindel. Thoulessi firma kogub kohalikelt ettevtteilt kasutatud toiduli, et seda autoktuseks tdelda. Cred loodi vastusena valitsuse veebruaris vlja antud valgele energeetikapaberile. Dokumendis totab valitsus vhendada ssihappegaasieritust 2050. aastaks 60 protsendi vrra. Tovey snul on valitsuse valgele paberile kirja pandud sna kenad mtted ja kogu dokument klab hsti. Paraku pole kodanikele antud htki juhist, kuidas kirjapandud kauneid mtteid ellu viia. Et segadust veelgi suurendada, on valge paberi sihtide saavutamiseks heaegselt kibel mitmeid tegevuskavu. Tagajrjeks on vga suur thelepanu kasvuhoonegaasiemissioonide vhendamisele samaaegselt igasuguste praktiliste juhiste puudumisega. Slide 32 Slide 33 Building a CRed Community Representing Our Region Diocese of Norwich Norwich Union Liftshare Eastern Heatpumps Woodys Norfolk County Council NEWS SMS Strattons Deepdale Farm Camelot Craft Alpha Schools Jarvis Farmers link SERCO LSI R.Bilbie Amicus AEEAC Norwich 21 Global Commodities Kingswood School 100 + SLP Energy Powergen EDP LEA Fielden & Mawson May Gurney EEDA BPS Sth Norfolk D. C. The Broads Authority. The RSPB SUSTRANS EEEGr EBC Ltd. Amicus Foodlink Your Energy Grp CML Contractors Creative Construction Norwich City FC Norwich City Council Rainbow foods Whitby Bird Suffolk County Council Slide 34 CRed can: Identify obstacles to the adoption of low carbon practices Help overcome them Help integrate myriad activities Through partnerships, provide joined-up thinking Promote demonstration and awareness-raising projects Stimulate/encourage research (scientific, economic, policy) Influence decision-making and policy Slide 35 WEBSITE www.cred-uk.org/ This Presentation may be viewed on the WEB at www2.env.uea.ac.uk/cred/creduea.htm