cmip5 ensembles canada ANN crop1climate-scenarios.canada.ca/files/cmip5/cmip5-plots/cmip... · 2019. 10. 10. · Precipitation change (%): December-February Variations des précipitations

Temperature change (deg. C): December-February

Variations des températures (deg. C) : de décembre à février

50e centile/50th percentile RCP2.6 RCP4.5 RCP8.5

2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100

Canada/Canada 1.4 2.2 2.4 1.5 3.2 4.2 1.8 4.4 8.2

Alberta/Alberta 1.2 1.9 2.2 1.2 2.9 3.6 1.8 3.7 6.9

Colombie-Britannique/British Columbia 1.1 1.7 1.8 1.1 2.4 3.1 1.5 3.1 5.7

Manitoba/Manitoba 1.5 2.4 2.7 1.7 3.6 4.8 2.2 5.0 9.5

Nouveau-Brunswick/New Brunswick 1.1 1.7 2.1 1.3 2.7 3.5 1.4 3.6 6.4

Terre-Neuve-et-Labrador/Newfoundland & Labrador 1.3 2.2 2.3 1.3 2.9 4.1 1.5 4.3 7.7

Territoires du Nord-Ouest/Northwest Territories 2.1 2.8 3.1 1.9 4.3 5.4 2.2 6.1 12.3

Nouvelle-Écosse/Nova Scotia 1.0 1.5 1.9 1.2 2.3 2.9 1.3 3.0 5.4

Nunavut/Nunavut 1.9 3.1 3.0 2.0 4.4 5.9 2.2 6.5 12.9

Ontario/Ontario 1.4 2.2 2.4 1.6 3.2 4.4 1.9 4.6 8.2

Île-du-Prince-Édouard/Prince Edward Island 1.1 1.7 2.1 1.3 2.7 3.4 1.4 3.4 6.0

Québec/Quebec 1.6 2.5 2.7 1.6 3.4 4.8 1.8 5.2 9.1

Saskatchewan/Saskatchewan 1.3 2.2 2.5 1.4 3.3 4.2 2.0 4.3 8.1

Yukon/Yukon Territory 1.8 2.1 2.3 1.5 3.3 4.1 1.9 4.4 8.1

25e centile/25th percentile RCP2.6 RCP4.5 RCP8.5

2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100

Canada/Canada 0.9 1.6 1.5 1.0 2.5 3.2 1.2 3.7 7.2

Alberta/Alberta 0.6 1.3 1.3 0.7 2.2 2.1 1.0 2.7 5.5

Colombie-Britannique/British Columbia 0.5 1.1 1.2 0.5 1.7 1.9 0.9 2.2 4.5

Manitoba/Manitoba 0.9 1.8 1.5 1.0 2.8 3.5 1.3 3.7 7.4

Nouveau-Brunswick/New Brunswick 0.8 1.3 1.4 0.7 2.0 2.9 1.0 3.0 5.6

Terre-Neuve-et-Labrador/Newfoundland & Labrador 0.8 1.4 1.3 0.8 2.2 3.1 1.0 3.4 6.5

Territoires du Nord-Ouest/Northwest Territories 1.3 2.0 1.8 1.2 3.1 4.1 1.7 4.8 9.4

Nouvelle-Écosse/Nova Scotia 0.7 1.1 1.0 0.7 1.7 2.4 0.9 2.5 4.7

Nunavut/Nunavut 1.4 2.2 2.0 1.4 3.4 4.7 1.7 5.4 10.5

Ontario/Ontario 0.8 1.5 1.4 0.9 2.4 3.1 1.2 3.4 6.9

Île-du-Prince-Édouard/Prince Edward Island 0.8 1.3 1.3 0.8 1.8 2.7 1.0 2.7 5.3

Québec/Quebec 0.9 1.6 1.5 1.0 2.6 3.6 1.3 4.0 8.0

Saskatchewan/Saskatchewan 0.7 1.6 1.5 0.9 2.6 2.8 1.4 3.1 6.5

Yukon/Yukon Territory 0.8 1.3 1.6 0.7 2.0 2.8 1.3 3.2 6.1

75e centile/75th percentile RCP2.6 RCP4.5 RCP8.5

2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100

Canada/Canada 2.1 3.1 3.4 2.2 4.3 5.7 2.4 5.7 10.8

Alberta/Alberta 1.9 2.8 2.8 1.9 3.9 4.7 2.3 4.8 7.8

Colombie-Britannique/British Columbia 1.7 2.4 2.5 1.5 3.1 3.7 2.0 3.9 6.6

Manitoba/Manitoba 2.1 3.3 3.4 2.4 4.4 6.1 2.7 6.1 10.9

Nouveau-Brunswick/New Brunswick 1.4 2.3 2.7 1.8 3.3 4.3 1.9 4.4 7.3

Terre-Neuve-et-Labrador/Newfoundland & Labrador 1.8 3.0 3.3 2.0 3.7 4.9 2.2 5.2 9.0

Territoires du Nord-Ouest/Northwest Territories 2.7 3.8 4.1 2.7 5.5 7.4 3.1 7.3 14.4

Nouvelle-Écosse/Nova Scotia 1.3 2.1 2.5 1.6 2.9 3.7 1.6 3.6 6.2

Nunavut/Nunavut 2.7 4.2 4.6 2.8 5.7 7.9 3.0 7.7 16.1

Ontario/Ontario 1.9 2.8 3.0 2.0 4.1 5.3 2.2 5.4 9.7

Île-du-Prince-Édouard/Prince Edward Island 1.6 2.5 2.9 1.8 3.2 4.1 1.8 4.1 6.7

Québec/Quebec 2.1 3.4 3.8 2.2 4.6 6.1 2.5 6.1 10.8

Saskatchewan/Saskatchewan 2.0 3.0 3.1 2.1 4.1 5.5 2.4 5.5 9.1

Yukon/Yukon Territory 2.5 3.0 3.1 2.0 4.3 5.1 2.4 5.3 10.0

Precipitation change (%): December-February

Variations des précipitations (%) : de décembre à février

50e centile/50th percentile RCP2.6 RCP4.5 RCP8.5

2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100

Canada/Canada 5.4 9.1 9.1 5.9 12.9 17.6 7.2 18.1 37.8

Alberta/Alberta 3.1 6.7 7.9 5.9 10.8 11.6 4.3 10.8 20.4

Colombie-Britannique/British Columbia 1.6 6.4 7.5 4.3 8.7 10.8 3.4 10.0 17.9

Manitoba/Manitoba 5.3 10.7 9.0 6.4 12.7 16.5 6.6 16.2 28.9

Nouveau-Brunswick/New Brunswick 4.8 6.7 3.5 5.2 8.9 11.9 5.8 11.4 19.0

Terre-Neuve-et-Labrador/Newfoundland & Labrador 3.2 5.8 6.3 5.0 9.5 14.5 4.8 12.0 23.2

Territoires du Nord-Ouest/Northwest Territories 7.1 11.9 10.9 6.8 15.4 19.5 8.2 19.7 42.9

Nouvelle-Écosse/Nova Scotia 2.8 2.5 3.0 2.8 5.4 8.7 3.7 8.3 13.9

Nunavut/Nunavut 7.2 13.6 15.4 8.8 19.0 28.7 10.9 29.1 66.4

Ontario/Ontario 5.3 8.9 7.9 5.7 12.9 16.4 6.6 17.5 31.8

Île-du-Prince-Édouard/Prince Edward Island 3.0 5.2 5.3 5.3 7.5 10.8 5.3 10.7 17.1

Québec/Quebec 6.2 10.2 9.9 6.5 14.9 21.2 7.5 20.7 39.8

Saskatchewan/Saskatchewan 4.1 8.1 8.4 5.7 11.0 11.7 5.3 12.1 22.2

Yukon/Yukon Territory 7.3 9.7 11.0 5.9 14.1 14.7 5.9 15.8 29.9

25e centile/25th percentile RCP2.6 RCP4.5 RCP8.5

2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100

Canada/Canada -0.5 1.9 2.0 0.1 6.2 9.1 0.4 10.5 24.8

Alberta/Alberta -1.8 2.5 2.0 0.6 5.7 5.7 0.2 5.2 12.2

Colombie-Britannique/British Columbia -2.6 1.5 1.7 -0.6 2.7 3.4 -1.4 2.6 9.0

Manitoba/Manitoba 0.4 3.5 3.6 0.6 7.8 9.2 1.2 10.0 17.0

Nouveau-Brunswick/New Brunswick 1.1 1.0 0.9 -0.7 3.6 7.0 -0.2 6.0 13.1

Terre-Neuve-et-Labrador/Newfoundland & Labrador -2.4 -0.1 1.0 -0.3 2.9 6.5 0.6 6.5 14.2

Territoires du Nord-Ouest/Northwest Territories 1.2 5.2 5.1 2.0 9.7 12.4 2.5 12.9 29.7

Nouvelle-Écosse/Nova Scotia -0.1 -2.2 0.3 -1.8 2.9 4.1 1.7 3.0 7.7

Nunavut/Nunavut 1.5 4.5 6.0 2.2 12.0 17.1 2.2 19.7 47.5

Ontario/Ontario 0.2 3.2 2.7 1.8 7.6 10.0 1.6 10.9 21.6

Île-du-Prince-Édouard/Prince Edward Island 1.2 -2.3 2.1 -1.2 2.5 5.1 1.4 3.4 8.3

Québec/Quebec 0.4 2.8 3.5 0.9 7.5 13.2 1.7 14.7 29.3

Saskatchewan/Saskatchewan -1.0 2.1 2.9 0.1 5.6 6.7 0.4 6.2 13.1

Yukon/Yukon Territory -0.8 3.4 4.7 0.7 8.5 8.4 1.0 9.7 18.9

75e centile/75th percentile RCP2.6 RCP4.5 RCP8.5

2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100

Canada/Canada 12.4 17.0 17.3 12.1 20.2 26.4 13.9 26.7 52.8

Alberta/Alberta 9.9 13.1 12.6 10.8 15.2 17.6 8.7 17.9 28.8

Colombie-Britannique/British Columbia 7.6 12.7 14.0 9.5 14.4 17.4 8.4 17.8 27.1

Manitoba/Manitoba 10.6 17.0 15.3 12.2 18.7 24.5 12.3 23.6 41.8

Nouveau-Brunswick/New Brunswick 10.1 12.4 9.9 10.1 15.2 19.1 11.3 17.3 28.6

Terre-Neuve-et-Labrador/Newfoundland & Labrador 8.1 11.8 12.9 11.7 16.1 20.8 10.6 20.7 34.8

Territoires du Nord-Ouest/Northwest Territories 13.0 18.8 18.3 11.9 22.6 27.3 13.5 27.9 55.1

Nouvelle-Écosse/Nova Scotia 6.2 7.0 7.8 6.1 9.3 14.4 6.7 12.5 21.1

Nunavut/Nunavut 16.8 24.4 26.0 15.7 28.7 40.4 18.7 39.8 89.8

Ontario/Ontario 10.8 14.9 13.4 11.2 18.2 23.5 12.1 23.9 41.7

Île-du-Prince-Édouard/Prince Edward Island 8.7 8.8 8.0 8.1 11.3 15.1 9.3 13.8 22.1

Québec/Quebec 11.6 17.2 16.9 12.2 21.6 28.7 13.9 29.5 52.3

Saskatchewan/Saskatchewan 8.1 14.1 12.7 9.9 16.7 17.1 10.6 18.7 30.6

Yukon/Yukon Territory 12.3 15.3 17.8 10.7 19.3 21.2 12.4 23.2 43.2

Snow depth change (cm): December-February

Changements de profondeur de neige (cm) : de décembre à février

50e centile/50th percentile RCP2.6 RCP4.5 RCP8.5

2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100

Canada/Canada -1.20 -1.70 -1.90 -1.10 -2.20 -3.30 -1.20 -3.10 -6.50

Alberta/Alberta -2.10 -3.50 -4.10 -2.10 -4.70 -6.50 -3.20 -6.20 -10.70

Colombie-Britannique/British Columbia -6.20 -10.00 -11.70 -6.10 -12.90 -17.40 -7.90 -18.30 -30.20

Manitoba/Manitoba -1.10 -1.50 -2.10 -0.70 -2.20 -2.60 -1.10 -3.70 -8.10

Nouveau-Brunswick/New Brunswick -1.70 -4.20 -4.60 -2.40 -5.50 -6.70 -3.50 -7.70 -12.20

Terre-Neuve-et-Labrador/Newfoundland & Labrador -3.60 -5.40 -4.90 -2.50 -5.80 -7.10 -3.00 -8.30 -15.80

Territoires du Nord-Ouest/Northwest Territories -0.40 0.30 0.00 -0.20 0.00 -0.90 -0.20 -1.20 -3.90

Nouvelle-Écosse/Nova Scotia -0.60 -1.10 -1.00 -0.60 -1.30 -1.50 -0.70 -1.60 -2.40

Nunavut/Nunavut -0.90 -1.60 -1.30 -1.50 -1.70 -3.40 -0.90 -2.40 -6.00

Ontario/Ontario -2.10 -3.20 -3.50 -1.40 -4.10 -5.00 -2.40 -5.70 -11.60

Île-du-Prince-Édouard/Prince Edward Island -1.20 -2.20 -1.90 -1.20 -3.10 -3.10 -1.50 -3.80 -5.40

Québec/Quebec -2.30 -3.60 -4.10 -2.40 -4.60 -5.40 -2.90 -6.20 -13.00

Saskatchewan/Saskatchewan -1.40 -2.10 -2.50 -1.30 -3.20 -4.10 -2.00 -4.50 -8.60

Yukon/Yukon Territory -2.80 -3.00 -2.80 -1.90 -4.10 -6.30 -2.50 -8.20 -17.40

25e centile/25th percentile RCP2.6 RCP4.5 RCP8.5

2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100

Canada/Canada -3.00 -4.70 -5.20 -3.10 -5.80 -8.00 -3.40 -7.50 -13.80

Alberta/Alberta -4.70 -6.30 -6.60 -3.70 -7.00 -9.20 -5.10 -9.20 -14.60

Colombie-Britannique/British Columbia -10.10 -15.80 -17.40 -9.70 -18.50 -24.40 -12.10 -25.90 -43.10

Manitoba/Manitoba -2.90 -4.10 -3.70 -2.30 -4.00 -4.90 -3.10 -5.70 -11.70

Nouveau-Brunswick/New Brunswick -2.90 -5.90 -7.20 -4.20 -8.00 -9.70 -5.00 -9.90 -15.30

Terre-Neuve-et-Labrador/Newfoundland & Labrador -6.00 -8.60 -8.00 -5.10 -8.50 -10.70 -5.60 -11.90 -19.60

Territoires du Nord-Ouest/Northwest Territories -1.70 -1.70 -2.00 -1.80 -1.70 -3.50 -2.00 -3.30 -8.20

Nouvelle-Écosse/Nova Scotia -1.10 -1.80 -2.00 -1.30 -2.20 -2.70 -1.40 -2.60 -3.60

Nunavut/Nunavut -4.50 -7.90 -9.10 -5.70 -9.80 -14.40 -5.40 -11.90 -23.20

Ontario/Ontario -3.50 -5.80 -5.50 -3.20 -6.30 -7.40 -4.30 -8.70 -15.50

Île-du-Prince-Édouard/Prince Edward Island -2.40 -3.10 -4.70 -3.20 -5.20 -7.10 -3.20 -7.90 -9.30

Québec/Quebec -4.10 -6.60 -6.10 -4.40 -7.10 -8.40 -4.70 -8.80 -17.10

Saskatchewan/Saskatchewan -3.40 -4.40 -4.60 -2.60 -4.90 -7.00 -3.90 -6.60 -12.20

Yukon/Yukon Territory -5.70 -6.60 -7.10 -4.80 -8.30 -11.30 -5.80 -11.60 -26.40

75e centile/75th percentile RCP2.6 RCP4.5 RCP8.5

2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100

Canada/Canada 0.20 0.00 -0.10 0.30 -0.40 -0.70 0.10 -0.80 -2.50

Alberta/Alberta -0.50 -1.40 -1.70 -0.50 -2.30 -3.60 -1.10 -3.80 -7.80

Colombie-Britannique/British Columbia -3.20 -4.90 -6.60 -2.50 -8.10 -11.40 -3.60 -11.90 -19.30

Manitoba/Manitoba 0.10 0.20 -0.50 0.30 -0.80 -1.20 0.30 -2.20 -5.80

Nouveau-Brunswick/New Brunswick 0.20 -2.80 -2.50 -0.60 -3.10 -5.00 -1.40 -5.50 -8.30

Terre-Neuve-et-Labrador/Newfoundland & Labrador -1.20 -2.30 -2.50 -0.50 -2.80 -3.10 -0.60 -4.80 -11.60

Territoires du Nord-Ouest/Northwest Territories 1.10 1.80 1.80 1.80 1.40 0.90 1.30 0.60 -1.00

Nouvelle-Écosse/Nova Scotia 0.00 -0.60 -0.60 -0.10 -0.70 -0.90 -0.20 -1.00 -1.30

Nunavut/Nunavut 1.80 2.00 2.70 1.40 2.20 2.30 1.70 2.30 0.80

Ontario/Ontario -0.40 -1.20 -1.40 0.40 -2.20 -2.90 -0.80 -3.20 -8.20

Île-du-Prince-Édouard/Prince Edward Island -0.50 -1.30 -1.40 -0.40 -1.90 -2.30 -0.80 -2.20 -3.00

Québec/Quebec -0.50 -1.00 -1.90 -0.30 -2.00 -3.00 -0.80 -3.20 -8.80

Saskatchewan/Saskatchewan -0.10 -0.60 -1.20 -0.20 -1.20 -2.40 -0.50 -2.70 -6.10

Yukon/Yukon Territory 0.30 0.30 0.00 1.20 -1.20 -1.40 0.30 -3.40 -7.90

Temperature change (deg. C): March-May Variations des températures (deg. C) : de mars à mai

50e centile/50th percentile RCP2.6 RCP4.5 RCP8.5

2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100

Canada/Canada 1.2 1.6 1.5 1.1 2.1 2.8 1.3 2.9 5.4

Alberta/Alberta 1.2 1.5 1.6 1.2 2.0 2.7 1.3 2.7 4.9

Colombie-Britannique/British Columbia 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.1 2.1 2.7 1.3 2.5 4.7

Manitoba/Manitoba 1.4 1.8 1.7 1.3 2.1 2.9 1.4 3.3 5.8

Nouveau-Brunswick/New Brunswick 0.9 1.6 1.2 1.0 1.8 2.7 1.0 2.7 4.6

Terre-Neuve-et-Labrador/Newfoundland & Labrador 0.8 1.2 1.1 0.8 1.6 2.1 1.0 2.4 4.7

Territoires du Nord-Ouest/Northwest Territories 1.8 2.0 2.1 1.4 2.7 3.7 1.9 3.7 7.2

Nouvelle-Écosse/Nova Scotia 0.9 1.4 1.3 1.0 1.7 2.5 1.0 2.5 4.4

Nunavut/Nunavut 1.5 1.9 1.9 1.3 2.7 3.5 1.7 3.8 7.1

Ontario/Ontario 1.1 1.6 1.4 1.1 2.0 2.5 1.2 3.0 5.2

Île-du-Prince-Édouard/Prince Edward Island 0.9 1.5 1.3 1.1 1.7 2.5 1.1 2.6 4.7

Québec/Quebec 0.9 1.4 1.2 0.9 1.9 2.5 1.1 2.8 5.3

Saskatchewan/Saskatchewan 1.4 1.7 1.7 1.3 2.1 2.9 1.4 3.1 5.4

Yukon/Yukon Territory 1.3 1.6 1.8 1.1 2.3 3.2 1.4 2.9 5.6

25e centile/25th percentile RCP2.6 RCP4.5 RCP8.5

2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100

Canada/Canada 0.8 1.1 1.0 0.7 1.7 2.1 0.9 2.5 4.8

Alberta/Alberta 0.9 1.1 1.2 0.8 1.5 1.9 0.9 1.9 4.2

Colombie-Britannique/British Columbia 0.8 1.1 1.2 0.7 1.5 1.9 0.8 1.9 4.0

Manitoba/Manitoba 1.0 1.1 1.1 0.9 1.7 2.0 1.0 2.6 4.9

Nouveau-Brunswick/New Brunswick 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.6 1.4 1.8 0.8 2.2 4.2

Terre-Neuve-et-Labrador/Newfoundland & Labrador 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.4 1.1 1.6 0.5 2.0 3.8

Territoires du Nord-Ouest/Northwest Territories 1.2 1.4 1.3 0.8 1.9 2.4 1.2 2.8 5.6

Nouvelle-Écosse/Nova Scotia 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.6 1.5 1.8 0.7 2.1 3.9

Nunavut/Nunavut 1.0 1.3 1.1 0.8 2.1 2.5 1.1 3.2 5.9

Ontario/Ontario 0.7 1.0 0.8 0.6 1.4 1.8 0.8 2.3 4.5

Île-du-Prince-Édouard/Prince Edward Island 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.8 1.6 1.9 0.8 2.1 4.3

Québec/Quebec 0.5 0.9 0.7 0.5 1.4 1.8 0.7 2.3 4.3

Saskatchewan/Saskatchewan 1.0 1.3 1.2 0.9 1.5 1.9 1.1 2.2 4.6

Yukon/Yukon Territory 0.9 1.0 1.1 0.7 1.6 1.9 1.0 2.1 4.5

75e centile/75th percentile RCP2.6 RCP4.5 RCP8.5

2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100

Canada/Canada 1.6 2.3 2.3 1.7 3.0 4.0 1.9 3.9 7.1

Alberta/Alberta 1.6 2.1 2.0 1.6 2.5 3.6 1.8 3.4 5.8

Colombie-Britannique/British Columbia 1.5 1.9 2.2 1.5 2.6 3.4 1.7 3.5 5.9

Manitoba/Manitoba 1.7 2.4 2.1 1.8 2.8 4.1 2.0 3.8 6.9

Nouveau-Brunswick/New Brunswick 1.2 2.0 2.0 1.5 2.5 3.2 1.5 3.5 6.0

Terre-Neuve-et-Labrador/Newfoundland & Labrador 1.2 1.9 1.9 1.2 2.3 2.8 1.4 3.1 6.0

Territoires du Nord-Ouest/Northwest Territories 2.2 2.8 2.9 2.1 3.6 5.1 2.4 4.8 8.5

Nouvelle-Écosse/Nova Scotia 1.2 1.9 1.9 1.4 2.2 2.9 1.4 3.2 5.5

Nunavut/Nunavut 1.8 2.7 2.7 1.9 3.5 5.0 2.2 4.7 9.0

Ontario/Ontario 1.4 2.1 1.9 1.6 2.6 3.7 1.7 3.4 6.3

Île-du-Prince-Édouard/Prince Edward Island 1.2 2.1 2.3 1.4 2.6 3.1 1.6 3.3 6.0

Québec/Quebec 1.3 2.1 2.1 1.5 2.7 3.5 1.7 3.6 6.7

Saskatchewan/Saskatchewan 1.7 2.3 2.0 1.7 2.7 3.9 1.9 3.6 6.3

Yukon/Yukon Territory 1.8 2.2 2.4 1.7 3.0 4.0 1.9 3.8 7.0

Precipitation change (%): March-May

Variations des précipitations (%): de mars à mai

50e centile/50th percentile RCP2.6 RCP4.5 RCP8.5

2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100

Canada/Canada 4.3 6.1 6.6 4.3 8.6 10.6 5.3 11.7 23.3

Alberta/Alberta 3.5 8.2 8.1 7.1 10.7 13.1 6.4 13.0 21.7

Colombie-Britannique/British Columbia 2.2 5.8 5.3 4.1 8.0 8.9 3.3 9.2 17.3

Manitoba/Manitoba 2.0 6.1 5.2 2.6 8.9 11.3 5.7 10.9 22.2

Nouveau-Brunswick/New Brunswick 5.4 5.9 7.3 4.1 7.1 11.6 3.4 10.6 16.6

Terre-Neuve-et-Labrador/Newfoundland & Labrador 5.3 8.1 7.9 6.0 8.5 10.5 5.4 10.2 18.9

Territoires du Nord-Ouest/Northwest Territories 4.7 7.8 6.8 6.0 9.8 11.4 6.3 13.2 26.3

Nouvelle-Écosse/Nova Scotia 4.0 3.6 6.6 3.5 8.1 8.6 4.4 7.6 12.8

Nunavut/Nunavut 5.0 6.8 7.8 4.1 10.1 12.5 6.2 14.2 32.6

Ontario/Ontario 3.7 6.5 5.5 3.7 8.5 10.7 4.0 13.1 24.2

Île-du-Prince-Édouard/Prince Edward Island 5.6 6.2 7.7 3.1 8.5 8.8 5.2 9.0 14.9

Québec/Quebec 5.9 7.3 7.8 6.2 10.0 12.6 5.2 13.9 24.7

Saskatchewan/Saskatchewan 3.2 6.3 7.3 5.9 9.5 13.5 6.0 13.3 22.9

Yukon/Yukon Territory 4.9 9.3 6.8 5.6 9.9 13.1 6.9 14.2 25.4

25e centile/25th percentile RCP2.6 RCP4.5 RCP8.5

2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100

Canada/Canada -1.2 0.0 0.3 -1.6 2.1 3.5 -0.4 4.9 13.6

Alberta/Alberta -1.5 2.3 0.5 0.8 3.7 6.6 -0.1 4.1 9.8

Colombie-Britannique/British Columbia -1.7 0.7 0.2 -2.7 2.6 2.8 -1.3 3.6 8.1

Manitoba/Manitoba -3.2 -0.4 -1.8 -2.2 2.2 3.7 -0.9 3.0 12.0

Nouveau-Brunswick/New Brunswick 1.4 2.1 2.2 -0.6 3.9 6.1 0.1 6.1 12.0

Terre-Neuve-et-Labrador/Newfoundland & Labrador 1.2 1.7 2.7 0.7 3.8 5.1 0.8 5.6 12.0

Territoires du Nord-Ouest/Northwest Territories -0.7 1.5 0.7 0.3 3.8 5.4 0.2 6.4 15.0

Nouvelle-Écosse/Nova Scotia 1.7 0.9 1.9 -0.8 2.8 4.0 0.5 3.8 7.3

Nunavut/Nunavut -0.2 0.4 1.0 -1.8 3.4 5.1 0.5 6.8 21.8

Ontario/Ontario -1.6 0.7 0.1 -0.9 3.8 4.0 -0.8 5.3 14.1

Île-du-Prince-Édouard/Prince Edward Island 1.3 1.1 4.1 -2.0 3.3 6.6 0.7 4.0 8.6

Québec/Quebec 1.3 2.6 2.9 1.8 4.8 6.4 0.6 8.4 17.1

Saskatchewan/Saskatchewan -2.9 0.2 0.4 -0.7 2.0 5.6 -0.4 5.3 13.2

Yukon/Yukon Territory -0.7 3.8 0.6 0.5 3.7 5.5 1.8 6.4 16.4

75e centile/75th percentile RCP2.6 RCP4.5 RCP8.5

2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100

Canada/Canada 10.1 12.8 13.5 10.6 15.9 19.1 11.3 19.4 34.6

Alberta/Alberta 9.6 15.6 14.9 13.7 19.4 21.4 12.3 21.8 34.6

Colombie-Britannique/British Columbia 6.6 10.9 10.3 8.6 13.3 15.3 8.3 15.4 26.1

Manitoba/Manitoba 7.8 12.4 11.7 9.8 15.5 19.2 11.9 19.4 33.4

Nouveau-Brunswick/New Brunswick 8.5 10.2 10.5 8.8 13.2 19.1 7.3 15.1 23.0

Terre-Neuve-et-Labrador/Newfoundland & Labrador 10.2 13.3 13.3 11.5 13.7 17.4 9.0 15.8 28.5

Territoires du Nord-Ouest/Northwest Territories 10.2 14.5 14.1 11.9 17.0 20.5 12.9 20.6 39.7

Nouvelle-Écosse/Nova Scotia 8.0 10.1 9.8 7.6 13.7 16.5 8.6 13.8 18.1

Nunavut/Nunavut 10.9 14.5 16.0 10.5 18.2 22.4 12.9 23.1 46.3

Ontario/Ontario 8.4 12.8 11.2 10.1 14.2 18.8 9.7 21.5 36.9

Île-du-Prince-Édouard/Prince Edward Island 7.8 9.8 9.8 7.9 14.3 20.4 8.7 13.1 22.5

Québec/Quebec 10.5 13.4 13.6 11.1 15.0 19.4 9.4 20.6 34.9

Saskatchewan/Saskatchewan 10.3 13.5 14.2 12.7 19.3 21.3 13.5 20.9 32.3

Yukon/Yukon Territory 10.6 13.5 13.0 11.3 16.7 19.9 12.5 20.7 37.3

Snow depth change (cm): March-May

Changements de profondeur de neige (cm) : de mars à mai

50e centile/50th percentile RCP2.6 RCP4.5 RCP8.5

2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100

Canada/Canada -1.38 -1.78 -1.76 -1.27 -2.37 -3.39 -1.48 -3.15 -6.21

Alberta/Alberta -2.69 -3.40 -3.33 -2.35 -4.61 -5.50 -3.30 -5.62 -9.17

Colombie-Britannique/British Columbia -8.87 -12.39 -13.21 -7.96 -16.10 -20.94 -10.20 -19.85 -34.29

Manitoba/Manitoba -2.11 -1.91 -2.37 -1.65 -2.93 -3.97 -2.42 -4.15 -8.22

Nouveau-Brunswick/New Brunswick -1.34 -4.11 -3.46 -2.38 -5.07 -5.39 -2.24 -6.61 -9.22

Terre-Neuve-et-Labrador/Newfoundland & Labrador -4.64 -6.43 -5.83 -3.27 -7.70 -8.95 -4.46 -11.64 -19.01

Territoires du Nord-Ouest/Northwest Territories -1.62 -0.85 -0.43 -0.54 -1.55 -3.22 -1.67 -2.64 -7.12

Nouvelle-Écosse/Nova Scotia -0.10 -0.31 -0.32 -0.30 -0.39 -0.42 -0.14 -0.46 -0.62

Nunavut/Nunavut -0.98 -1.48 -0.98 -1.66 -1.83 -3.40 -1.13 -2.53 -5.15

Ontario/Ontario -2.43 -3.43 -3.36 -2.09 -4.30 -5.24 -3.03 -5.69 -10.34

Île-du-Prince-Édouard/Prince Edward Island -0.38 -0.84 -1.50 -1.13 -1.47 -1.96 -0.52 -1.54 -2.15

Québec/Quebec -3.24 -4.66 -4.63 -3.65 -6.48 -7.20 -4.26 -8.72 -15.51

Saskatchewan/Saskatchewan -1.85 -2.00 -2.00 -1.32 -2.92 -3.88 -2.24 -3.74 -6.83

Yukon/Yukon Territory -4.95 -4.73 -4.97 -2.62 -6.61 -10.48 -4.38 -10.95 -27.48

25e centile/25th percentile RCP2.6 RCP4.5 RCP8.5

2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100

Canada/Canada -3.41 -5.04 -5.20 -3.42 -6.04 -8.24 -3.79 -7.59 -13.58

Alberta/Alberta -4.51 -5.99 -5.15 -4.08 -6.43 -7.96 -5.46 -8.10 -13.16

Colombie-Britannique/British Columbia -15.16 -21.12 -21.83 -13.76 -24.67 -32.72 -17.35 -32.81 -52.65

Manitoba/Manitoba -3.92 -5.04 -3.78 -3.43 -4.99 -6.42 -3.97 -6.13 -11.64

Nouveau-Brunswick/New Brunswick -4.10 -6.75 -6.08 -5.12 -7.80 -10.04 -4.61 -10.55 -13.88

Terre-Neuve-et-Labrador/Newfoundland & Labrador -8.32 -11.95 -9.88 -7.20 -12.25 -15.58 -9.51 -17.67 -27.44

Territoires du Nord-Ouest/Northwest Territories -3.34 -3.30 -2.93 -2.46 -3.64 -6.26 -3.71 -5.53 -12.02

Nouvelle-Écosse/Nova Scotia -0.59 -1.45 -0.92 -0.87 -1.21 -1.53 -0.55 -1.40 -1.81

Nunavut/Nunavut -4.81 -7.99 -8.77 -5.82 -9.84 -14.09 -5.74 -11.86 -21.44

Ontario/Ontario -4.12 -6.22 -5.32 -4.28 -6.75 -7.88 -4.66 -8.13 -13.53

Île-du-Prince-Édouard/Prince Edward Island -1.44 -3.13 -2.37 -2.12 -2.81 -3.74 -1.22 -3.34 -4.18

Québec/Quebec -6.23 -8.72 -7.37 -6.19 -9.52 -11.23 -7.01 -12.16 -20.73

Saskatchewan/Saskatchewan -3.32 -4.62 -3.42 -3.00 -4.68 -6.20 -3.84 -5.90 -9.74

Yukon/Yukon Territory -9.83 -11.60 -11.66 -6.65 -13.85 -19.49 -9.94 -17.20 -39.78

75e centile/75th percentile RCP2.6 RCP4.5 RCP8.5

2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100

Canada/Canada 0.04 0.05 0.14 0.12 -0.39 -0.67 0.07 -0.70 -2.14

Alberta/Alberta -1.21 -1.59 -1.90 -0.76 -2.85 -3.77 -1.50 -3.35 -6.08

Colombie-Britannique/British Columbia -4.63 -6.04 -7.38 -3.44 -10.01 -12.87 -4.87 -12.19 -20.45

Manitoba/Manitoba -0.58 -0.26 -0.46 -0.25 -1.31 -2.24 -0.57 -2.13 -5.83

Nouveau-Brunswick/New Brunswick -0.31 -1.36 -1.54 -0.67 -2.40 -1.93 -0.95 -2.25 -2.98

Terre-Neuve-et-Labrador/Newfoundland & Labrador -2.04 -2.24 -1.53 -0.41 -2.55 -4.60 -1.17 -6.44 -11.99

Territoires du Nord-Ouest/Northwest Territories 0.21 1.04 1.27 0.89 0.29 -0.62 0.60 -0.35 -3.43

Nouvelle-Écosse/Nova Scotia 0.00 -0.06 -0.09 -0.01 -0.06 -0.08 -0.02 -0.11 -0.13

Nunavut/Nunavut 1.73 2.05 3.11 1.15 2.25 2.46 1.77 2.31 1.51

Ontario/Ontario -0.83 -1.08 -1.11 -0.51 -2.19 -3.07 -1.29 -2.44 -6.65

Île-du-Prince-Édouard/Prince Edward Island -0.10 -0.26 -0.30 -0.16 -0.34 -0.36 -0.19 -0.45 -0.49

Québec/Quebec -0.81 -1.36 -1.75 -0.77 -3.43 -3.92 -1.54 -4.67 -9.15

Saskatchewan/Saskatchewan -0.83 -0.81 -1.00 -0.29 -1.80 -2.70 -0.94 -2.04 -4.94

Yukon/Yukon Territory -1.62 -0.06 -0.02 0.21 -2.90 -3.94 -0.24 -5.96 -12.98

Temperature change (deg. C): June-August Variations des températures (deg. C) : de juin à août

50e centile/50th percentile RCP2.6 RCP4.5 RCP8.5

2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100

Canada/Canada 1.0 1.5 1.4 1.1 2.0 2.6 1.2 2.9 5.4

Alberta/Alberta 1.1 1.5 1.4 1.1 2.2 2.7 1.4 3.2 5.9

Colombie-Britannique/British Columbia 1.1 1.5 1.5 1.2 2.2 2.7 1.3 3.0 5.6

Manitoba/Manitoba 1.2 1.5 1.5 1.2 2.2 3.0 1.4 3.4 6.3

Nouveau-Brunswick/New Brunswick 1.0 1.5 1.4 1.1 2.1 2.5 1.2 3.0 5.4

Terre-Neuve-et-Labrador/Newfoundland & Labrador 0.8 1.2 1.2 0.8 1.7 2.2 1.0 2.5 4.6

Territoires du Nord-Ouest/Northwest Territories 1.1 1.5 1.4 1.1 2.1 2.4 1.2 2.9 5.1

Nouvelle-Écosse/Nova Scotia 0.9 1.5 1.3 1.0 1.9 2.4 1.1 2.7 4.9

Nunavut/Nunavut 1.0 1.4 1.2 0.9 1.8 2.4 1.1 2.6 4.8

Ontario/Ontario 1.1 1.4 1.3 1.1 2.1 2.9 1.3 3.1 6.0

Île-du-Prince-Édouard/Prince Edward Island 0.9 1.6 1.4 1.1 2.0 2.5 1.2 2.9 5.1

Québec/Quebec 0.9 1.4 1.3 1.0 1.9 2.6 1.2 2.8 5.3

Saskatchewan/Saskatchewan 1.2 1.5 1.5 1.2 2.3 2.8 1.4 3.4 6.3

Yukon/Yukon Territory 1.1 1.4 1.3 1.1 1.9 2.4 1.1 2.6 4.9

25e centile/25th percentile RCP2.6 RCP4.5 RCP8.5

2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100

Canada/Canada 0.7 0.9 0.8 0.7 1.4 1.7 0.9 2.2 4.2

Alberta/Alberta 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.9 1.5 1.8 1.1 2.3 4.4

Colombie-Britannique/British Columbia 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.9 1.5 2.0 0.9 2.3 4.3

Manitoba/Manitoba 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.9 1.7 1.9 1.0 2.7 4.9

Nouveau-Brunswick/New Brunswick 0.8 1.0 0.8 0.7 1.5 2.0 1.0 2.4 4.4

Terre-Neuve-et-Labrador/Newfoundland & Labrador 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.5 1.2 1.5 0.8 1.9 3.9

Territoires du Nord-Ouest/Northwest Territories 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.8 1.4 1.7 0.9 2.1 4.0

Nouvelle-Écosse/Nova Scotia 0.7 1.0 0.9 0.7 1.5 1.9 0.9 2.2 4.2

Nunavut/Nunavut 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.5 1.1 1.3 0.6 1.8 3.4

Ontario/Ontario 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.8 1.6 1.8 1.0 2.6 4.7

Île-du-Prince-Édouard/Prince Edward Island 0.7 1.0 0.8 0.7 1.6 2.0 1.0 2.4 4.2

Québec/Quebec 0.6 0.9 0.8 0.6 1.4 1.7 0.9 2.2 4.1

Saskatchewan/Saskatchewan 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.9 1.7 1.9 1.1 2.6 4.9

Yukon/Yukon Territory 0.7 0.9 0.8 0.7 1.5 1.7 0.7 1.9 3.8

75e centile/75th percentile RCP2.6 RCP4.5 RCP8.5

2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100

Canada/Canada 1.5 2.0 2.0 1.4 2.6 3.4 1.6 3.6 6.6

Alberta/Alberta 1.4 2.1 2.1 1.4 2.6 3.5 1.6 3.8 6.8

Colombie-Britannique/British Columbia 1.4 2.1 2.2 1.5 2.8 3.6 1.6 3.8 6.8

Manitoba/Manitoba 1.7 2.4 2.2 1.5 2.9 4.1 1.8 4.2 7.8

Nouveau-Brunswick/New Brunswick 1.4 2.1 1.8 1.4 2.6 3.5 1.6 3.7 6.3

Terre-Neuve-et-Labrador/Newfoundland & Labrador 1.2 1.8 1.7 1.3 2.3 3.0 1.3 3.2 5.9

Territoires du Nord-Ouest/Northwest Territories 1.6 2.2 2.1 1.5 2.7 3.4 1.6 3.7 6.8

Nouvelle-Écosse/Nova Scotia 1.2 1.8 1.8 1.5 2.4 3.2 1.5 3.4 5.9

Nunavut/Nunavut 1.5 2.0 2.1 1.4 2.5 3.2 1.5 3.4 6.6

Ontario/Ontario 1.5 2.2 2.0 1.4 2.8 3.6 1.6 3.9 6.9

Île-du-Prince-Édouard/Prince Edward Island 1.3 2.1 1.9 1.4 2.5 3.3 1.6 3.4 6.0

Québec/Quebec 1.3 2.0 1.9 1.3 2.6 3.3 1.5 3.5 6.3

Saskatchewan/Saskatchewan 1.6 2.3 2.2 1.5 2.7 3.9 1.7 4.0 7.5

Yukon/Yukon Territory 1.5 2.0 2.0 1.5 2.6 3.4 1.5 3.7 6.4

Precipitation change (%): June-August

Variations des précipitations (%) : de juin à août

50e centile/50th percentile RCP2.6 RCP4.5 RCP8.5

2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100

Canada/Canada 2.8 5.0 5.2 2.2 5.1 6.5 3.0 6.4 10.6

Alberta/Alberta 3.3 4.4 5.9 2.3 2.3 4.1 1.7 2.8 2.4

Colombie-Britannique/British Columbia 1.3 3.4 3.7 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.7 2.1 0.1

Manitoba/Manitoba 0.2 2.2 2.9 0.6 2.0 2.2 0.8 1.7 -1.1

Nouveau-Brunswick/New Brunswick 2.8 1.1 3.9 3.0 3.9 4.5 3.2 4.2 7.8

Terre-Neuve-et-Labrador/Newfoundland & Labrador 3.5 4.8 4.3 3.3 5.1 5.9 3.5 6.6 11.5

Territoires du Nord-Ouest/Northwest Territories 4.5 7.4 6.8 3.5 7.8 10.1 4.5 11.1 17.8

Nouvelle-Écosse/Nova Scotia 2.8 2.2 3.6 3.0 4.4 6.4 1.7 4.3 6.8

Nunavut/Nunavut 4.6 6.2 5.9 3.1 8.1 10.8 5.2 11.3 22.9

Ontario/Ontario 0.5 2.6 1.2 0.4 2.7 3.3 0.7 1.3 -0.5

Île-du-Prince-Édouard/Prince Edward Island 0.6 1.9 2.7 3.1 3.9 6.1 2.5 5.4 6.3

Québec/Quebec 2.5 4.1 4.2 2.6 5.2 5.1 3.0 5.6 6.5

Saskatchewan/Saskatchewan 1.9 2.7 4.4 0.6 1.2 1.4 0.5 1.7 -1.9

Yukon/Yukon Territory 5.0 7.4 6.8 4.5 8.9 12.0 4.5 13.2 21.1

25e centile/25th percentile RCP2.6 RCP4.5 RCP8.5

2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100

Canada/Canada -3.2 -1.5 -1.4 -3.4 -1.7 -0.4 -2.9 -0.6 0.7

Alberta/Alberta -2.9 -1.4 -0.3 -3.5 -4.2 -2.9 -5.1 -3.4 -7.8

Colombie-Britannique/British Columbia -4.0 -2.8 -2.3 -4.7 -5.0 -5.4 -5.1 -4.0 -8.3

Manitoba/Manitoba -4.2 -2.5 -2.7 -5.4 -4.7 -4.5 -4.1 -4.5 -9.1

Nouveau-Brunswick/New Brunswick -3.4 -2.7 -0.6 -2.2 0.2 -0.7 -2.3 -1.3 -1.1

Terre-Neuve-et-Labrador/Newfoundland & Labrador -0.2 0.8 0.3 -0.6 0.7 2.2 -1.7 2.2 5.3

Territoires du Nord-Ouest/Northwest Territories -1.0 1.8 0.4 -1.6 1.8 3.8 -1.7 4.4 8.9

Nouvelle-Écosse/Nova Scotia -3.9 -3.8 -2.9 -2.2 -3.6 -1.3 -4.5 -2.2 -3.0

Nunavut/Nunavut -2.4 -0.8 -0.9 -2.7 0.6 3.7 -1.0 4.0 12.6

Ontario/Ontario -3.8 -2.6 -3.4 -4.5 -3.0 -2.0 -3.5 -3.8 -8.2

Île-du-Prince-Édouard/Prince Edward Island -3.7 -4.3 -1.4 -3.1 -1.4 -2.1 -6.0 -2.4 -1.8

Québec/Quebec -2.1 0.2 -0.2 -1.3 0.6 0.5 -1.6 0.8 0.0

Saskatchewan/Saskatchewan -3.1 -2.4 -1.1 -5.3 -4.6 -4.4 -4.9 -4.8 -9.2

Yukon/Yukon Territory 0.9 2.8 2.0 1.1 4.0 6.2 0.2 7.4 12.0

75e centile/75th percentile RCP2.6 RCP4.5 RCP8.5

2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100

Canada/Canada 8.9 12.0 12.4 8.5 12.6 14.5 9.3 14.2 21.3

Alberta/Alberta 9.1 10.0 12.0 8.4 8.4 10.9 8.0 9.2 12.9

Colombie-Britannique/British Columbia 7.0 9.2 9.9 5.4 6.3 7.8 7.1 8.1 8.0

Manitoba/Manitoba 4.5 7.7 8.4 5.2 7.5 8.7 6.6 7.4 7.4

Nouveau-Brunswick/New Brunswick 5.8 8.6 10.1 8.2 9.1 11.3 6.6 9.9 14.8

Terre-Neuve-et-Labrador/Newfoundland & Labrador 7.3 9.8 8.8 7.8 10.7 10.5 7.9 11.2 18.6

Territoires du Nord-Ouest/Northwest Territories 10.0 13.5 13.1 9.4 15.1 17.4 10.9 18.2 27.5

Nouvelle-Écosse/Nova Scotia 7.3 8.0 9.2 7.6 9.2 9.8 5.8 8.5 15.3

Nunavut/Nunavut 10.8 13.4 13.8 9.5 17.1 19.1 11.2 20.1 34.2

Ontario/Ontario 4.6 7.9 7.6 5.3 7.4 8.3 5.1 6.2 5.9

Île-du-Prince-Édouard/Prince Edward Island 8.1 7.7 6.6 9.4 12.2 9.8 5.9 9.4 15.6

Québec/Quebec 7.2 8.6 9.5 6.9 10.5 10.9 7.5 10.8 14.1

Saskatchewan/Saskatchewan 7.7 8.7 10.1 5.7 7.4 9.1 6.3 9.0 8.4

Yukon/Yukon Territory 9.7 12.6 12.9 8.7 14.7 17.6 9.8 18.6 30.8

Snow depth change (cm): June-August

Changements de profondeur de neige (cm) : de juin à août

50e centile/50th percentile RCP2.6 RCP4.5 RCP8.5

2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100

Canada/Canada -0.68 -1.01 -1.09 -0.76 -1.41 -2.10 -0.74 -2.03 -4.35

Alberta/Alberta 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Colombie-Britannique/British Columbia -0.33 -0.32 -0.48 -0.28 -0.74 -0.74 -0.31 -0.83 -1.01

Manitoba/Manitoba -0.01 0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01

Nouveau-Brunswick/New Brunswick 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Terre-Neuve-et-Labrador/Newfoundland & Labrador -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 -0.03 -0.08 -0.11 -0.05 -0.11 -0.14

Territoires du Nord-Ouest/Northwest Territories -0.13 -0.15 -0.23 -0.20 -0.34 -0.37 -0.19 -0.54 -0.89

Nouvelle-Écosse/Nova Scotia 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Nunavut/Nunavut -1.97 -3.15 -3.27 -2.64 -4.20 -5.66 -2.27 -5.70 -11.67

Ontario/Ontario 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Île-du-Prince-Édouard/Prince Edward Island 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Québec/Quebec -0.06 -0.10 -0.07 -0.06 -0.12 -0.16 -0.09 -0.17 -0.22

Saskatchewan/Saskatchewan 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Yukon/Yukon Territory -0.52 -0.53 -1.08 -0.36 -1.39 -1.73 -0.60 -1.69 -2.78

25e centile/25th percentile RCP2.6 RCP4.5 RCP8.5

2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100

Canada/Canada -2.00 -3.31 -3.84 -2.20 -4.46 -6.25 -2.17 -5.79 -10.88

Alberta/Alberta -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 -0.03 -0.03

Colombie-Britannique/British Columbia -1.16 -1.32 -1.58 -1.12 -2.05 -2.31 -1.13 -2.34 -3.00

Manitoba/Manitoba -0.03 -0.04 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.04 -0.03 -0.04 -0.04

Nouveau-Brunswick/New Brunswick 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Terre-Neuve-et-Labrador/Newfoundland & Labrador -0.27 -0.33 -0.38 -0.11 -0.34 -0.72 -0.16 -0.63 -0.86

Territoires du Nord-Ouest/Northwest Territories -0.62 -1.08 -1.18 -0.73 -1.48 -1.75 -0.63 -1.83 -2.46

Nouvelle-Écosse/Nova Scotia 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Nunavut/Nunavut -5.64 -9.85 -11.38 -6.67 -12.82 -17.95 -6.43 -16.05 -32.04

Ontario/Ontario -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01

Île-du-Prince-Édouard/Prince Edward Island 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Québec/Quebec -0.24 -0.35 -0.26 -0.17 -0.41 -0.53 -0.27 -0.61 -0.77

Saskatchewan/Saskatchewan 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Yukon/Yukon Territory -2.14 -2.37 -2.63 -2.08 -3.47 -4.13 -2.00 -4.14 -6.57

75e centile/75th percentile RCP2.6 RCP4.5 RCP8.5

2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100

Canada/Canada -0.05 -0.11 -0.06 -0.09 -0.24 -0.37 -0.07 -0.43 -1.14

Alberta/Alberta 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Colombie-Britannique/British Columbia -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.01 -0.03 -0.03 -0.01 -0.03 -0.03

Manitoba/Manitoba 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Nouveau-Brunswick/New Brunswick 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Terre-Neuve-et-Labrador/Newfoundland & Labrador 0.00 0.00 -0.01 0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0.00 -0.02 -0.03

Territoires du Nord-Ouest/Northwest Territories 0.00 -0.01 0.00 -0.01 -0.05 -0.08 -0.01 -0.15 -0.26

Nouvelle-Écosse/Nova Scotia 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Nunavut/Nunavut -0.05 -0.41 0.01 -0.37 -0.67 -0.96 -0.22 -1.07 -2.47

Ontario/Ontario 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Île-du-Prince-Édouard/Prince Edward Island 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Québec/Quebec 0.00 0.00 -0.01 0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.04 -0.05

Saskatchewan/Saskatchewan 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Yukon/Yukon Territory -0.09 -0.09 -0.17 -0.06 -0.21 -0.20 -0.05 -0.22 -0.24

Temperature change (deg. C): September-November

Variations des températures (deg. C) : de septembre à novembre

50e centile/50th percentile RCP2.6 RCP4.5 RCP8.5

2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100

Canada/Canada 1.3 1.8 1.8 1.3 2.5 3.1 1.5 3.6 6.1

Alberta/Alberta 1.2 1.6 1.8 1.0 2.1 2.7 1.3 3.1 5.5

Colombie-Britannique/British Columbia 1.1 1.5 1.6 0.9 2.1 2.5 1.1 2.8 4.9

Manitoba/Manitoba 1.4 2.0 2.0 1.4 2.6 3.4 1.6 3.8 6.7

Nouveau-Brunswick/New Brunswick 1.0 1.6 1.5 1.1 2.1 2.5 1.3 3.1 5.1

Terre-Neuve-et-Labrador/Newfoundland & Labrador 1.0 1.5 1.4 1.0 1.8 2.3 1.2 2.7 4.8

Territoires du Nord-Ouest/Northwest Territories 1.8 2.8 2.8 1.8 3.8 4.8 2.3 5.3 8.8

Nouvelle-Écosse/Nova Scotia 1.0 1.5 1.4 1.1 1.9 2.4 1.2 3.0 4.8

Nunavut/Nunavut 2.1 2.8 2.8 2.1 4.0 5.2 2.5 5.8 10.1

Ontario/Ontario 1.2 1.7 1.6 1.3 2.2 2.8 1.4 3.3 5.8

Île-du-Prince-Édouard/Prince Edward Island 1.0 1.5 1.4 1.0 2.1 2.5 1.2 2.9 4.8

Québec/Quebec 1.1 1.7 1.5 1.2 2.1 2.6 1.4 3.1 5.4

Saskatchewan/Saskatchewan 1.4 1.8 1.9 1.3 2.4 3.1 1.5 3.6 6.3

Yukon/Yukon Territory 1.4 2.0 2.0 1.2 2.8 3.4 1.5 3.7 6.2

25e centile/25th percentile RCP2.6 RCP4.5 RCP8.5

2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100

Canada/Canada 1.0 1.5 1.3 1.0 2.3 2.9 1.3 3.4 6.0

Alberta/Alberta 0.8 1.2 1.1 0.7 1.5 2.0 0.9 2.5 4.6

Colombie-Britannique/British Columbia 0.7 1.0 1.1 0.6 1.4 2.0 0.7 2.2 4.3

Manitoba/Manitoba 1.1 1.4 1.2 0.9 2.0 2.6 1.3 3.1 5.6

Nouveau-Brunswick/New Brunswick 0.9 1.2 1.0 0.9 1.7 2.2 1.0 2.5 4.4

Terre-Neuve-et-Labrador/Newfoundland & Labrador 0.7 1.0 0.9 0.8 1.5 1.9 0.9 2.3 4.2

Territoires du Nord-Ouest/Northwest Territories 1.2 2.0 1.6 1.2 2.8 3.7 1.5 4.3 7.4

Nouvelle-Écosse/Nova Scotia 0.8 1.1 1.0 0.8 1.6 2.1 0.9 2.3 4.1

Nunavut/Nunavut 1.4 2.2 1.8 1.6 3.3 4.2 1.8 5.0 8.5

Ontario/Ontario 0.9 1.2 1.0 0.9 1.8 2.4 1.1 2.8 4.9

Île-du-Prince-Édouard/Prince Edward Island 0.8 1.1 1.0 0.8 1.6 2.0 0.9 2.3 4.2

Québec/Quebec 0.8 1.2 1.0 0.9 1.8 2.2 1.1 2.6 4.6

Saskatchewan/Saskatchewan 1.0 1.4 1.2 0.8 1.8 2.3 1.2 2.9 5.2

Yukon/Yukon Territory 0.7 1.2 1.2 0.7 1.8 2.4 1.0 2.9 5.2

75e centile/75th percentile RCP2.6 RCP4.5 RCP8.5

2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100

Canada/Canada 2.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 3.7 4.8 2.2 5.0 8.6

Alberta/Alberta 1.6 2.2 2.2 1.4 2.7 3.4 1.6 3.6 6.4

Colombie-Britannique/British Columbia 1.4 2.0 2.1 1.1 2.5 3.2 1.5 3.4 5.9

Manitoba/Manitoba 1.7 2.8 2.7 1.8 3.2 4.2 2.0 4.4 7.8

Nouveau-Brunswick/New Brunswick 1.4 2.3 2.0 1.5 2.6 3.6 1.8 3.8 6.2

Terre-Neuve-et-Labrador/Newfoundland & Labrador 1.3 2.1 2.1 1.3 2.5 3.3 1.5 3.5 6.2

Territoires du Nord-Ouest/Northwest Territories 2.6 3.8 3.7 2.6 4.7 6.0 3.0 6.2 10.2

Nouvelle-Écosse/Nova Scotia 1.3 2.1 1.8 1.4 2.5 3.3 1.6 3.6 6.0

Nunavut/Nunavut 2.9 4.5 4.5 3.0 5.5 7.4 3.3 7.4 12.6

Ontario/Ontario 1.5 2.5 2.3 1.6 2.9 3.8 1.8 4.0 7.0

Île-du-Prince-Édouard/Prince Edward Island 1.3 2.2 1.9 1.5 2.6 3.4 1.6 3.7 6.0

Québec/Quebec 1.5 2.4 2.3 1.5 2.8 3.6 1.7 3.9 6.6

Saskatchewan/Saskatchewan 1.8 2.5 2.5 1.6 2.9 3.9 1.8 4.1 7.2

Yukon/Yukon Territory 1.9 2.5 2.6 1.7 3.3 4.2 2.0 4.2 7.0

Precipitation change (%): September-November

Variations des précipitations (%) : de septembre à novembre

50e centile/50th percentile RCP2.6 RCP4.5 RCP8.5

2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100

Canada/Canada 4.4 7.0 7.4 4.8 10.1 11.9 5.2 13.7 24.9

Alberta/Alberta 2.8 6.1 5.1 3.7 7.5 7.9 2.5 8.4 16.6

Colombie-Britannique/British Columbia 4.4 5.8 6.6 3.5 7.9 9.5 4.3 11.1 19.8

Manitoba/Manitoba 2.3 3.8 2.7 3.7 6.8 7.2 2.1 6.9 15.1

Nouveau-Brunswick/New Brunswick 1.9 0.6 2.7 1.1 5.9 1.4 -0.4 3.5 4.3

Terre-Neuve-et-Labrador/Newfoundland & Labrador 4.3 5.3 6.0 3.2 7.2 7.1 3.8 7.8 12.2

Territoires du Nord-Ouest/Northwest Territories 6.7 10.9 11.2 7.2 13.6 16.6 7.9 18.7 35.3

Nouvelle-Écosse/Nova Scotia 1.5 1.7 2.2 2.7 4.8 3.8 -0.3 4.0 3.7

Nunavut/Nunavut 8.2 12.0 12.2 7.7 17.3 21.8 9.5 25.1 45.7

Ontario/Ontario 3.6 5.0 6.0 3.3 7.8 7.7 3.1 7.7 13.6

Île-du-Prince-Édouard/Prince Edward Island 1.6 0.9 2.8 1.6 5.0 1.9 -0.6 3.8 3.7

Québec/Quebec 5.0 6.5 7.1 4.4 9.7 10.3 5.5 11.8 19.2

Saskatchewan/Saskatchewan 2.3 3.9 4.2 4.2 7.5 7.0 2.7 7.7 14.4

Yukon/Yukon Territory 7.2 9.9 11.4 5.9 11.8 15.3 7.4 16.2 33.0

25e centile/25th percentile RCP2.6 RCP4.5 RCP8.5

2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100

Canada/Canada -1.4 0.9 0.8 -0.8 3.7 5.1 -0.4 6.8 15.7

Alberta/Alberta -2.6 0.7 -0.7 -1.0 1.5 1.6 -3.5 1.7 8.8

Colombie-Britannique/British Columbia -0.4 1.6 2.0 -0.6 1.7 3.9 -0.7 6.0 13.8

Manitoba/Manitoba -2.5 -1.5 -3.0 -0.9 0.8 1.1 -2.7 0.7 7.5

Nouveau-Brunswick/New Brunswick -1.9 -2.7 -2.8 -2.5 -0.8 -3.1 -4.2 -1.0 1.2

Terre-Neuve-et-Labrador/Newfoundland & Labrador 0.7 1.1 1.9 -0.6 3.3 2.7 0.2 4.0 7.2

Territoires du Nord-Ouest/Northwest Territories 1.6 5.3 5.3 2.3 6.8 9.9 3.0 11.8 25.9

Nouvelle-Écosse/Nova Scotia -1.8 -2.7 -2.1 -0.9 -1.3 -3.7 -4.6 -1.8 -0.6

Nunavut/Nunavut 1.9 4.8 3.9 2.1 9.3 13.5 3.5 17.2 33.1

Ontario/Ontario -1.4 0.8 0.2 -1.6 3.3 3.1 -1.1 1.7 6.3

Île-du-Prince-Édouard/Prince Edward Island -3.3 -5.2 -3.3 -0.3 -0.3 -4.7 -4.2 -3.0 0.4

Québec/Quebec 1.1 2.4 2.5 0.2 5.9 6.2 1.6 7.0 12.9

Saskatchewan/Saskatchewan -2.9 -1.4 -2.1 -1.9 0.8 1.3 -3.6 1.5 7.7

Yukon/Yukon Territory 2.9 4.8 4.8 2.7 6.6 9.6 3.3 10.1 23.7

75e centile/75th percentile RCP2.6 RCP4.5 RCP8.5

2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100

Canada/Canada 10.3 13.9 14.4 10.6 17.1 19.9 10.9 21.3 36.1

Alberta/Alberta 8.4 11.1 12.3 8.5 13.4 13.7 8.6 14.9 24.7

Colombie-Britannique/British Columbia 9.5 11.2 13.4 8.4 13.8 15.7 9.8 16.4 28.3

Manitoba/Manitoba 7.4 9.2 10.5 9.1 12.5 13.7 6.9 13.1 22.2

Nouveau-Brunswick/New Brunswick 4.6 4.2 6.1 5.9 9.5 6.7 3.7 10.4 10.3

Terre-Neuve-et-Labrador/Newfoundland & Labrador 8.1 9.0 9.8 7.2 10.2 10.7 7.2 11.5 18.9

Territoires du Nord-Ouest/Northwest Territories 12.7 17.7 18.5 12.1 20.4 24.0 13.6 26.0 46.4

Nouvelle-Écosse/Nova Scotia 4.2 5.0 6.5 6.3 9.1 9.1 4.0 8.8 8.6

Nunavut/Nunavut 14.4 21.5 20.6 13.8 26.1 33.4 15.1 35.0 63.6

Ontario/Ontario 8.2 9.7 11.1 9.0 13.2 13.5 7.9 13.6 19.9

Île-du-Prince-Édouard/Prince Edward Island 4.0 5.5 5.5 5.5 8.1 9.5 3.6 8.5 8.6

Québec/Quebec 9.1 11.0 11.9 9.0 13.8 15.1 9.7 17.1 26.7

Saskatchewan/Saskatchewan 8.8 9.7 11.0 9.0 14.4 12.8 9.0 13.3 22.1

Yukon/Yukon Territory 11.0 15.3 16.9 10.4 17.6 21.2 11.4 23.8 42.8

Snow depth change (cm): September-November

Changements de profondeur de neige (cm) : de septembre à novembre

50e centile/50th percentile RCP2.6 RCP4.5 RCP8.5

2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100

Canada/Canada -0.81 -1.25 -1.30 -0.85 -1.68 -2.48 -0.88 -2.37 -5.06

Alberta/Alberta -0.45 -0.55 -0.66 -0.36 -0.70 -0.90 -0.51 -1.09 -1.47

Colombie-Britannique/British Columbia -1.16 -1.85 -1.98 -1.25 -2.51 -3.07 -1.63 -3.33 -5.07

Manitoba/Manitoba -0.51 -0.73 -0.76 -0.47 -0.80 -1.07 -0.51 -1.27 -2.04

Nouveau-Brunswick/New Brunswick -0.19 -0.30 -0.29 -0.24 -0.34 -0.38 -0.25 -0.43 -0.51

Terre-Neuve-et-Labrador/Newfoundland & Labrador -0.56 -0.94 -0.97 -0.64 -1.26 -1.50 -0.74 -1.76 -2.62

Territoires du Nord-Ouest/Northwest Territories -0.62 -1.03 -0.96 -0.68 -1.37 -2.03 -0.91 -2.08 -4.06

Nouvelle-Écosse/Nova Scotia -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.03 -0.04 -0.01 -0.03 -0.04

Nunavut/Nunavut -1.95 -3.28 -3.32 -2.50 -4.26 -6.18 -2.24 -5.60 -12.18

Ontario/Ontario -0.44 -0.72 -0.69 -0.40 -0.85 -0.97 -0.48 -1.13 -1.65

Île-du-Prince-Édouard/Prince Edward Island -0.03 -0.05 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.07 -0.03 -0.05 -0.08

Québec/Quebec -0.74 -1.11 -1.08 -0.81 -1.42 -1.70 -0.82 -2.00 -3.19

Saskatchewan/Saskatchewan -0.43 -0.61 -0.66 -0.31 -0.63 -0.83 -0.48 -0.97 -1.58

Yukon/Yukon Territory -1.54 -2.71 -2.47 -1.59 -3.45 -3.76 -1.92 -4.37 -6.87

25e centile/25th percentile RCP2.6 RCP4.5 RCP8.5

2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100

Canada/Canada -2.12 -3.52 -4.01 -2.32 -4.63 -6.54 -2.36 -6.08 -11.62

Alberta/Alberta -0.83 -0.85 -1.01 -0.67 -1.09 -1.38 -0.94 -1.56 -2.33

Colombie-Britannique/British Columbia -2.17 -3.03 -3.37 -2.23 -3.69 -4.74 -2.53 -4.97 -7.66

Manitoba/Manitoba -0.93 -1.25 -1.25 -0.91 -1.26 -1.66 -0.94 -1.99 -2.95

Nouveau-Brunswick/New Brunswick -0.38 -0.39 -0.42 -0.37 -0.52 -0.55 -0.39 -0.59 -0.77

Terre-Neuve-et-Labrador/Newfoundland & Labrador -1.06 -1.54 -1.64 -1.26 -1.87 -2.14 -1.24 -2.53 -3.69

Territoires du Nord-Ouest/Northwest Territories -1.44 -2.27 -2.20 -1.67 -2.66 -3.46 -1.71 -3.62 -6.35

Nouvelle-Écosse/Nova Scotia -0.05 -0.06 -0.05 -0.05 -0.07 -0.07 -0.05 -0.06 -0.08

Nunavut/Nunavut -5.19 -9.26 -10.80 -6.26 -12.04 -17.26 -6.03 -15.08 -31.79

Ontario/Ontario -0.81 -1.11 -1.06 -0.78 -1.21 -1.47 -0.82 -1.72 -2.36

Île-du-Prince-Édouard/Prince Edward Island -0.10 -0.11 -0.11 -0.08 -0.12 -0.10 -0.06 -0.13 -0.13

Québec/Quebec -1.22 -1.76 -1.67 -1.36 -1.91 -2.47 -1.46 -2.71 -4.04

Saskatchewan/Saskatchewan -0.78 -0.91 -0.96 -0.66 -1.00 -1.25 -0.85 -1.40 -2.10

Yukon/Yukon Territory -3.05 -4.46 -4.47 -3.10 -5.73 -6.59 -3.24 -7.51 -12.75

75e centile/75th percentile RCP2.6 RCP4.5 RCP8.5

2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100

Canada/Canada -0.08 -0.22 -0.17 -0.08 -0.41 -0.63 -0.08 -0.73 -1.82

Alberta/Alberta -0.21 -0.28 -0.33 -0.08 -0.36 -0.51 -0.19 -0.66 -0.98

Colombie-Britannique/British Columbia -0.43 -0.85 -1.04 -0.54 -1.43 -1.77 -0.74 -1.83 -2.89

Manitoba/Manitoba -0.14 -0.17 -0.43 -0.12 -0.40 -0.62 -0.17 -0.91 -1.38

Nouveau-Brunswick/New Brunswick -0.11 -0.20 -0.15 -0.13 -0.17 -0.26 -0.09 -0.24 -0.30

Terre-Neuve-et-Labrador/Newfoundland & Labrador -0.16 -0.52 -0.48 -0.23 -0.82 -0.94 -0.28 -1.16 -1.89

Territoires du Nord-Ouest/Northwest Territories -0.04 -0.31 -0.13 0.07 -0.65 -1.13 -0.09 -1.28 -2.82

Nouvelle-Écosse/Nova Scotia 0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 0.00 -0.02 -0.02

Nunavut/Nunavut -0.02 -0.51 -0.05 -0.22 -0.79 -1.37 -0.14 -1.56 -4.28

Ontario/Ontario -0.20 -0.44 -0.38 -0.13 -0.55 -0.63 -0.22 -0.77 -1.08

Île-du-Prince-Édouard/Prince Edward Island -0.01 -0.03 -0.01 -0.02 -0.03 -0.04 -0.01 -0.04 -0.05

Québec/Quebec -0.31 -0.51 -0.56 -0.43 -0.90 -1.12 -0.40 -1.31 -2.15

Saskatchewan/Saskatchewan -0.12 -0.18 -0.37 -0.11 -0.36 -0.48 -0.23 -0.68 -1.06

Yukon/Yukon Territory -0.70 -1.28 -1.19 -0.32 -1.85 -1.91 -0.74 -2.64 -4.23

Temperature change (deg. C): Annual

Variations des températures (deg. C) : Annuel

50e centile/50th percentile RCP2.6 RCP4.5 RCP8.5

2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100

Canada/Canada 1.2 1.8 1.8 1.2 2.4 3.2 1.4 3.5 6.3

Alberta/Alberta 1.2 1.6 1.7 1.1 2.3 2.9 1.4 3.2 5.8

Colombie-Britannique/British Columbia 1.1 1.5 1.6 1.0 2.2 2.7 1.3 2.9 5.2

Manitoba/Manitoba 1.4 1.9 2.0 1.4 2.6 3.5 1.7 3.9 7.1

Nouveau-Brunswick/New Brunswick 1.0 1.6 1.6 1.1 2.2 2.8 1.2 3.1 5.4

Terre-Neuve-et-Labrador/Newfoundland & Labrador 1.0 1.5 1.5 1.0 2.0 2.7 1.2 3.0 5.4

Territoires du Nord-Ouest/Northwest Territories 1.7 2.3 2.3 1.6 3.2 4.1 1.9 4.5 8.4

Nouvelle-Écosse/Nova Scotia 0.9 1.5 1.5 1.1 2.0 2.5 1.1 2.8 4.9

Nunavut/Nunavut 1.6 2.3 2.2 1.6 3.2 4.2 1.9 4.7 8.7

Ontario/Ontario 1.2 1.7 1.7 1.3 2.4 3.2 1.4 3.5 6.3

Île-du-Prince-Édouard/Prince Edward Island 1.0 1.6 1.6 1.1 2.1 2.7 1.2 3.0 5.2

Québec/Quebec 1.1 1.7 1.7 1.2 2.3 3.1 1.4 3.5 6.3

Saskatchewan/Saskatchewan 1.3 1.8 1.9 1.3 2.5 3.2 1.6 3.6 6.5

Yukon/Yukon Territory 1.4 1.8 1.9 1.2 2.6 3.2 1.5 3.4 6.2

25e centile/25th percentile RCP2.6 RCP4.5 RCP8.5

2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100

Canada/Canada 0.9 1.3 1.1 0.9 2.0 2.5 1.1 3.0 5.6

Alberta/Alberta 0.8 1.1 1.1 0.8 1.7 2.0 1.0 2.3 4.7

Colombie-Britannique/British Columbia 0.7 1.1 1.1 0.7 1.5 1.9 0.8 2.1 4.3

Manitoba/Manitoba 1.0 1.3 1.2 0.9 2.0 2.5 1.2 3.0 5.7

Nouveau-Brunswick/New Brunswick 0.8 1.1 1.0 0.7 1.7 2.2 0.9 2.5 4.7

Terre-Neuve-et-Labrador/Newfoundland & Labrador 0.6 1.0 0.8 0.6 1.5 2.0 0.8 2.4 4.6

Territoires du Nord-Ouest/Northwest Territories 1.1 1.6 1.4 1.0 2.3 3.0 1.3 3.5 6.6

Nouvelle-Écosse/Nova Scotia 0.7 1.0 0.9 0.7 1.6 2.1 0.9 2.3 4.2

Nunavut/Nunavut 1.1 1.6 1.4 1.1 2.5 3.2 1.3 3.8 7.1

Ontario/Ontario 0.8 1.2 1.0 0.8 1.8 2.3 1.0 2.8 5.3

Île-du-Prince-Édouard/Prince Edward Island 0.8 1.1 1.0 0.8 1.6 2.2 0.9 2.4 4.5

Québec/Quebec 0.7 1.2 1.0 0.8 1.8 2.3 1.0 2.8 5.3

Saskatchewan/Saskatchewan 0.9 1.3 1.2 0.9 1.9 2.2 1.2 2.7 5.3

Yukon/Yukon Territory 0.8 1.1 1.2 0.7 1.7 2.2 1.0 2.5 4.9

75e centile/75th percentile RCP2.6 RCP4.5 RCP8.5

2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100

Canada/Canada 1.7 2.5 2.5 1.7 3.2 4.2 1.9 4.3 7.7

Alberta/Alberta 1.5 2.1 2.1 1.4 2.7 3.6 1.7 3.6 6.4

Colombie-Britannique/British Columbia 1.4 2.0 2.1 1.4 2.7 3.4 1.6 3.5 6.2

Manitoba/Manitoba 1.7 2.5 2.4 1.7 3.0 4.2 2.0 4.2 7.5

Nouveau-Brunswick/New Brunswick 1.3 2.1 2.0 1.5 2.6 3.5 1.7 3.7 6.2

Terre-Neuve-et-Labrador/Newfoundland & Labrador 1.3 2.0 2.0 1.3 2.4 3.1 1.5 3.3 6.3

Territoires du Nord-Ouest/Northwest Territories 2.1 2.9 2.9 2.0 3.7 4.8 2.3 4.9 8.6

Nouvelle-Écosse/Nova Scotia 1.2 1.9 1.8 1.4 2.4 3.2 1.5 3.4 5.7

Nunavut/Nunavut 2.1 3.1 3.2 2.1 3.9 5.3 2.3 5.2 9.6

Ontario/Ontario 1.4 2.3 2.1 1.6 2.8 3.8 1.7 3.9 6.9

Île-du-Prince-Édouard/Prince Edward Island 1.3 2.2 2.1 1.4 2.6 3.3 1.7 3.5 6.0

Québec/Quebec 1.4 2.2 2.2 1.5 2.8 3.6 1.7 3.8 6.9

Saskatchewan/Saskatchewan 1.7 2.3 2.3 1.6 2.9 3.9 1.8 3.9 7.0

Yukon/Yukon Territory 1.7 2.2 2.4 1.6 3.0 3.9 1.9 4.0 6.9

Precipitation change (%): Annual

Variations des précipitations (%) : Annuel

50e centile/50th percentile RCP2.6 RCP4.5 RCP8.5

2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100

Canada/Canada 4.2 6.8 7.1 4.3 9.2 11.6 5.2 12.5 24.2

Alberta/Alberta 3.2 6.3 6.8 4.8 7.8 9.2 3.8 8.7 15.3

Colombie-Britannique/British Columbia 2.4 5.3 5.8 3.0 6.3 7.5 2.9 8.1 13.8

Manitoba/Manitoba 2.5 5.7 4.9 3.3 7.6 9.3 3.8 8.9 16.3

Nouveau-Brunswick/New Brunswick 3.7 3.6 4.3 3.3 6.4 7.4 3.0 7.4 11.9

Terre-Neuve-et-Labrador/Newfoundland & Labrador 4.1 6.0 6.1 4.4 7.6 9.5 4.4 9.1 16.4

Territoires du Nord-Ouest/Northwest Territories 5.7 9.5 8.9 5.9 11.7 14.4 6.7 15.7 30.5

Nouvelle-Écosse/Nova Scotia 2.8 2.5 3.9 3.0 5.7 6.9 2.4 6.0 9.3

Nunavut/Nunavut 6.2 9.7 10.3 5.9 13.6 18.5 7.9 19.9 41.9

Ontario/Ontario 3.3 5.7 5.2 3.3 8.0 9.5 3.6 9.9 17.3

Île-du-Prince-Édouard/Prince Edward Island 2.7 3.5 4.6 3.3 6.2 6.9 3.1 7.2 10.5

Québec/Quebec 4.9 7.0 7.2 4.9 9.9 12.3 5.3 13.0 22.5

Saskatchewan/Saskatchewan 2.9 5.2 6.1 4.1 7.3 8.4 3.6 8.7 14.4

Yukon/Yukon Territory 6.1 9.0 9.0 5.5 11.2 13.8 6.2 14.9 27.4

25e centile/25th percentile RCP2.6 RCP4.5 RCP8.5

2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100

Canada/Canada -1.6 0.3 0.4 -1.4 2.6 4.3 -0.8 5.4 13.7

Alberta/Alberta -2.2 1.0 0.4 -0.8 1.7 2.8 -2.1 1.9 5.7

Colombie-Britannique/British Columbia -2.2 0.3 0.4 -2.1 0.5 1.2 -2.1 2.1 5.7

Manitoba/Manitoba -2.4 -0.2 -1.0 -1.9 1.5 2.4 -1.6 2.3 6.9

Nouveau-Brunswick/New Brunswick -0.7 -0.6 -0.1 -1.5 1.7 2.3 -1.7 2.5 6.3

Terre-Neuve-et-Labrador/Newfoundland & Labrador -0.2 0.9 1.5 -0.2 2.7 4.1 0.0 4.6 9.7

Territoires du Nord-Ouest/Northwest Territories 0.3 3.4 2.9 0.7 5.5 7.9 1.0 8.9 19.9

Nouvelle-Écosse/Nova Scotia -1.0 -2.0 -0.7 -1.4 0.2 0.7 -1.7 0.7 2.9

Nunavut/Nunavut 0.2 2.2 2.5 0.0 6.3 9.8 1.3 11.9 28.8

Ontario/Ontario -1.6 0.5 -0.1 -1.3 2.9 3.8 -0.9 3.5 8.5

Île-du-Prince-Édouard/Prince Edward Island -1.1 -2.7 0.4 -1.7 1.0 1.2 -2.0 0.5 3.9

Québec/Quebec 0.2 2.0 2.2 0.4 4.7 6.6 0.6 7.7 14.8

Saskatchewan/Saskatchewan -2.5 -0.4 0.0 -1.9 1.0 2.3 -2.1 2.1 6.2

Yukon/Yukon Territory 0.6 3.7 3.0 1.3 5.7 7.4 1.6 8.4 17.8

75e centile/75th percentile RCP2.6 RCP4.5 RCP8.5

2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100

Canada/Canada 10.4 13.9 14.4 10.4 16.5 20.0 11.4 20.4 36.2

Alberta/Alberta 9.2 12.4 13.0 10.4 14.1 15.9 9.4 16.0 25.2

Colombie-Britannique/British Columbia 7.7 11.0 11.9 8.0 11.9 14.0 8.4 14.4 22.4

Manitoba/Manitoba 7.6 11.6 11.5 9.1 13.6 16.5 9.4 15.9 26.2

Nouveau-Brunswick/New Brunswick 7.3 8.8 9.2 8.2 11.8 14.1 7.2 13.2 19.2

Terre-Neuve-et-Labrador/Newfoundland & Labrador 8.4 11.0 11.2 9.5 12.7 14.9 8.7 14.8 25.2

Territoires du Nord-Ouest/Northwest Territories 11.5 16.1 16.0 11.3 18.8 22.3 12.7 23.2 42.2

Nouvelle-Écosse/Nova Scotia 6.4 7.5 8.3 6.9 10.3 12.5 6.3 10.9 15.8

Nunavut/Nunavut 13.2 18.5 19.1 12.3 22.5 28.8 14.5 29.5 58.5

Ontario/Ontario 8.0 11.3 10.8 8.9 13.3 16.0 8.7 16.3 26.1

Île-du-Prince-Édouard/Prince Edward Island 7.2 8.0 7.4 7.7 11.5 13.7 6.9 11.2 17.2

Québec/Quebec 9.6 12.6 13.0 9.8 15.2 18.5 10.1 19.5 32.0

Saskatchewan/Saskatchewan 8.7 11.5 12.0 9.3 14.5 15.1 9.9 15.5 23.4

Yukon/Yukon Territory 10.9 14.2 15.2 10.3 17.1 19.9 11.5 21.6 38.5

Snow depth change (cm): Annual

Changements de profondeur de neige (cm): Annuel

50e centile/50th percentile RCP2.6 RCP4.5 RCP8.5

2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100

Canada/Canada -1.00 -1.44 -1.50 -1.00 -1.93 -2.82 -1.08 -2.68 -5.52

Alberta/Alberta -1.31 -1.85 -2.02 -1.20 -2.50 -3.22 -1.74 -3.23 -5.33

Colombie-Britannique/British Columbia -4.14 -6.13 -6.84 -3.90 -8.05 -10.54 -5.01 -10.57 -17.64

Manitoba/Manitoba -0.93 -1.04 -1.32 -0.72 -1.50 -1.93 -1.01 -2.28 -4.60

Nouveau-Brunswick/New Brunswick -0.80 -2.15 -2.09 -1.26 -2.73 -3.12 -1.49 -3.68 -5.49

Terre-Neuve-et-Labrador/Newfoundland & Labrador -2.21 -3.20 -2.95 -1.60 -3.71 -4.42 -2.07 -5.46 -9.38

Territoires du Nord-Ouest/Northwest Territories -0.69 -0.44 -0.41 -0.42 -0.82 -1.62 -0.74 -1.60 -3.99

Nouvelle-Écosse/Nova Scotia -0.19 -0.36 -0.33 -0.22 -0.42 -0.48 -0.21 -0.53 -0.78

Nunavut/Nunavut -1.46 -2.38 -2.23 -2.08 -3.01 -4.67 -1.64 -4.05 -8.76

Ontario/Ontario -1.25 -1.84 -1.88 -0.98 -2.31 -2.81 -1.47 -3.12 -5.89

Île-du-Prince-Édouard/Prince Edward Island -0.41 -0.77 -0.85 -0.60 -1.15 -1.28 -0.52 -1.35 -1.90

Québec/Quebec -1.60 -2.36 -2.47 -1.73 -3.16 -3.61 -2.01 -4.27 -7.99

Saskatchewan/Saskatchewan -0.92 -1.19 -1.28 -0.72 -1.68 -2.21 -1.19 -2.30 -4.26

Yukon/Yukon Territory -2.44 -2.75 -2.83 -1.62 -3.89 -5.56 -2.34 -6.31 -13.63

25e centile/25th percentile RCP2.6 RCP4.5 RCP8.5

2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100

Canada/Canada -1.99 -3.54 -4.51 -1.99 -4.49 -7.71 -2.09 -4.88 -9.05

Alberta/Alberta -1.31 -1.79 -1.65 -1.27 -2.02 -2.60 -1.62 -2.45 -3.92

Colombie-Britannique/British Columbia -4.65 -6.75 -7.26 -4.38 -8.04 -10.91 -5.28 -10.10 -15.94

Manitoba/Manitoba -1.22 -1.59 -1.38 -1.10 -1.76 -2.36 -1.24 -2.05 -3.69

Nouveau-Brunswick/New Brunswick -1.12 -1.83 -1.67 -1.39 -2.12 -2.73 -1.26 -2.81 -3.70

Terre-Neuve-et-Labrador/Newfoundland & Labrador -2.44 -3.56 -3.20 -2.16 -3.87 -5.06 -2.74 -5.24 -8.04

Territoires du Nord-Ouest/Northwest Territories -1.44 -1.86 -2.04 -1.21 -2.28 -3.78 -1.52 -2.75 -5.23

Nouvelle-Écosse/Nova Scotia -0.16 -0.38 -0.25 -0.23 -0.32 -0.41 -0.15 -0.37 -0.48

Nunavut/Nunavut -4.45 -8.23 -11.02 -4.59 -10.27 -19.51 -4.56 -10.78 -21.38

Ontario/Ontario -1.24 -1.87 -1.71 -1.28 -2.14 -2.58 -1.38 -2.49 -4.01

Île-du-Prince-Édouard/Prince Edward Island -0.39 -0.82 -0.63 -0.55 -0.75 -0.99 -0.33 -0.89 -1.10

Québec/Quebec -1.95 -2.78 -2.61 -1.99 -3.23 -4.03 -2.20 -3.89 -6.43

Saskatchewan/Saskatchewan -1.01 -1.42 -1.18 -0.97 -1.53 -2.09 -1.18 -1.84 -2.99

Yukon/Yukon Territory -3.77 -5.22 -5.61 -2.98 -6.40 -9.73 -3.81 -7.24 -14.84

75e centile/75th percentile RCP2.6 RCP4.5 RCP8.5

2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100 2016-2035 2046-2065 2081-2100

Canada/Canada -0.02 -0.07 -0.02 -0.01 -0.87 -0.42 -0.02 -0.47 -1.28

Alberta/Alberta -0.36 -0.47 -0.56 -0.21 -0.89 -1.08 -0.43 -1.01 -1.78

Colombie-Britannique/British Columbia -1.27 -1.74 -2.13 -1.00 -3.34 -3.70 -1.41 -3.54 -5.89

Manitoba/Manitoba -0.18 -0.11 -0.22 -0.09 -0.53 -0.72 -0.18 -0.77 -1.82

Nouveau-Brunswick/New Brunswick -0.10 -0.40 -0.43 -0.20 -0.69 -0.56 -0.26 -0.64 -0.84

Terre-Neuve-et-Labrador/Newfoundland & Labrador -0.55 -0.70 -0.51 -0.16 -0.98 -1.39 -0.37 -1.92 -3.51

Territoires du Nord-Ouest/Northwest Territories 0.05 0.18 0.29 0.24 -0.35 -0.46 0.13 -0.44 -1.63

Nouvelle-Écosse/Nova Scotia 0.00 -0.02 -0.03 0.00 -0.02 -0.03 -0.01 -0.03 -0.04

Nunavut/Nunavut 0.42 0.29 0.77 0.14 -1.55 0.04 0.36 -0.07 -1.31

Ontario/Ontario -0.26 -0.38 -0.38 -0.16 -0.77 -0.93 -0.38 -0.81 -1.95

Île-du-Prince-Édouard/Prince Edward Island -0.03 -0.07 -0.08 -0.05 -0.10 -0.10 -0.05 -0.13 -0.14

Québec/Quebec -0.28 -0.47 -0.58 -0.30 -1.25 -1.27 -0.49 -1.51 -2.86

Saskatchewan/Saskatchewan -0.24 -0.25 -0.35 -0.10 -0.61 -0.80 -0.29 -0.69 -1.51

Yukon/Yukon Territory -0.60 -0.36 -0.34 -0.04 -1.94 -1.51 -0.26 -2.21 -4.38