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Chap006-The Business-Investment Sector

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    Chapter 6The Business-Investment Sector

    Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-1

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    Chapter Objectives The three types of business firms

    How investment is carried out

    The difference between gross investment

    and net investment

    How capital is accumulated

    The determinants of the level of investment

    The graphing of the C + I line

    Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-2

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    Proprietorships, Partnerships,

    and Corporations

    ProprietorshipProprietorships are owned by individuals

    Proprietorships are almost always a small

    businesses Grocery stores, barbershops, restaurants, family

    farms, gas stations, etc

    Some Advantages of a proprietorship

    You can be your own bossYour income is taxed only once

    Some Disadvantages of a proprietorship The largest is unlimited liability

    Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-3

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    Proprietorships, Partnerships,

    and Corporations Partnership Partnerships are owned by two or more people

    Some law and accounting firms have hundreds of

    partners

    Some Advantages of a partnership

    It is easier to raise more capital

    The work and responsibility can be divided

    Some Disadvantages

    Partnerships must be dissolved when one partner

    dies or wants to leave

    Unlimited liability 6-4Co

    pyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

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    CorporationA corporation is a legal entity like a person

    Most corporations are small firms

    Corporations are owned by the stockholders

    It is easier to raise money by selling stock

    Most corporations are not publicly held

    Proprietorships, Partnerships,

    and Corporations

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    Corporation Some Advantages of a corporation

    Limited liability

    Corporations have potential perpetual life

    Corporations may pay lower federal taxes

    Some Disadvantages of a corporation

    You need a lawyer and have to pay a charter fee You have to pay federal (perhaps state) corporate

    income tax

    Double taxation

    Proprietorships, Partnerships,

    and Corporations

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    The New Hybrid Varieties Limited Partnerships, S corporations, and

    Limited Liability companies

    Do not pay corporate income taxes

    Taxes assessed solely on the individual level profits

    Minimize legal risks to their investors

    So far on a small minority of businesses havetake advantage of these legal loopholes to enjoy

    the security of limited liability without paying

    corporate income tax

    Proprietorships, Partnerships,

    and Corporations

    6-7Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

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    Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-8

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    Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-9

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    Why Incorporation Came Late to

    Islamic Middle Eastern Nations Western Inheritance Laws

    Enabled the accumulation of large fortunes Incorporation became the dominant form of

    business by the second half of the 19th century

    Became the engine of economic growth Was the facilitator of the economy of mass

    production and mass consumption

    Islamic Inheritance Laws Encouraged economic equality Discouraged the accumulation of capital Discouraged the formation of large business

    enterprises

    Prevented the advent of corporations well into the

    20th centuryCopyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-10

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    Stocks and Bonds

    Stockholders are the OWNERSofa corporationCommon stock

    Voting rights

    Preferred stock Receive a stipulated dividend No voting rights

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    Bondholders are CREDITORSrather than owners

    Must be paid a stipulated percent ofthe face value of the bond whether ornot the company makes a profit

    If a company goes bankrupt Bondholders are paid off before

    stockholders

    Stocks and Bonds

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    A corporations total capital(capitalization)

    Consists of the total value of its stocks andbonds

    Example 1,000,000,000 in bonds

    500,000,000 in preferred stock 2,500,000,000 in common stock

    4,000,000,000 capitalization (capitalized)

    Capitalization and Control

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    Theoretically, you would need 50percent plus one share to control acorporation

    Practically, holding 5 percent of thecommon stock would probably giveyou control

    Most economist believe that you need 10

    percent of the common stock to beassuredof control

    Many stockholders dont bother to voteor give their proxies to others

    Capitalization and Control

    Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-14

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    The Business Population and Shares of

    Total Sales, 2002

    Source: Statistical Abstract of the United States, 2006

    Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-15

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    Investment Investment is the thing that reallymakes our economy go and grow!

    Investment is anyNEW:Plant and equipment

    Investment is:

    Additional inventory Investment is anyNEW

    Residential housing

    6-16Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

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    Inventory InvestmentIncludes only net change

    Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-17

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    Inventory Investment

    Includes only net change

    Date Level of Inventory

    Jan. 1, 2003 $120 million

    July 1, 2003 145 million

    Dec. 31, 2003 130 millionStarted the year with $120 million

    Ended the year with 130 million

    Net change is a (+) 10 million

    6-18Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

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    Inventory Investment

    Includes only net change

    Date Level of Inventory

    Jan. 1, 2003 $145 million

    July 1, 2003 120 million

    Dec. 31, 2003 130 millionStarted the year with $145 million

    Ended the year with 120 million

    Net change is a (-) 25 million

    6-19Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

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    Inventory Investment

    Includes only net change

    Date Level of Inventory

    Jan. 1, 2003 $130 million

    July 1, 2003 145 million

    Dec. 31, 2003 120 millionStarted the year with $130 million

    Ended the year with 120 million

    Net change is a (-) 10 million

    Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-20

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    6-21Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

    Inventory Investment, 1960-2005 (in billions of 1987 dollars)

    Economic Report of the President, 2001:Business Cycle Indicators, May 2005

    This is the most volatile sector of investment. Note that investment

    was actually negative during three recessions

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    Investment in Plant and

    Equipment Investment inplant and equipmentis

    more stable than inventory

    Even in bad years companies will stillinvest a substantial amount in newplant and equipment

    This is mainly because old and obsoletefactories, office buildings, and machinerymust be replacedThis is the depreciation part of investment

    Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-22

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    Residential Construction

    Involves replacing old housing as

    well as adding to it

    Fluctuates considerably from year to

    year

    Mortgage interest rates play adominant role

    Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-23

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    Investment Investment is the most volatile sector in

    our economy

    GDP = C +II+ G + Xn Fluctuations in GDP are largely

    fluctuations in investment

    6-24Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

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    Investment

    Recessions are touched off by declines in

    investment

    Recoveries are brought about by risinginvestment

    Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-25

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    In the equation

    GDP = C + I + G + Xn

    the I represent Gross Investment

    Gross Investment - Depreciation = Net Investment

    depreciation is taking into account for the fact

    that plant & equipment wear out and housesdeteriorate.

    Start the year with 10 machines

    bought -----------> 6 machines (gross investment)

    worn out/obsolete - 4 machines (depreciation)

    end the year with 12 machines

    actual gain of ---> 2 machines (net investment)

    6-28Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

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    Calculate Gross Investment

    and Net InvestmentDate level of inventory

    Jan 1 $60 billion

    July 1 55 billion

    Dec 31 70 billion

    Expenditures on new plant & equipment

    $120 billion

    Expenditures on new residential housing

    $ 90 billion

    Depreciation on plant & equipment and

    residential housing $30 billionCopyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-29

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    Solution

    Date level of inventory

    Jan1 $60 billion

    July 1 55 billion

    Dec 31 70 billion inventory investment $ 10

    Expenditures on new plant & equipment new P & E 120

    $120 billion new RH 90

    Expenditures on new residential housing gross investment 220

    $ 90 billion -depreciation - 30

    Depreciation on plant & equipment and net investment $ 190

    Residential housing $30 billion

    6-30Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

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    Building Capital

    Investment involves sacrifice (onsomeones part)

    To invest

    We must work more

    We must consume less(save)

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    MarxCapital is created by labor but stolen by

    capitalist

    Assume it takes $3 to keep a person alive for 24 hours

    Assume that one person can use a machine to produce $3

    worth of cloth in 6 hoursThe capitalist owns the machine and pays $3 for 12 hours

    work

    12 hours of work produces $6 worth of cloth

    Capitalist pays ------------> $3 wages

    creates a surplus of ------->$ 3

    6-32Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

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    Determinants of the

    Level of Investment Sales outlook

    Capacity utilization rate

    Interest rate

    Expected rate of profit (ERP)

    Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-33

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    The Sales Outlook

    You wont invest if the sales outlookis bad

    If sales are expected to be strong thenext few months the business isprobably willing to add inventory

    If sales outlook is good for the next fewyears, firms will probably purchasenew plant and equipment

    6-34Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

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    Capacity Utilization Rate

    This is the percent of plant andequipment that is actually being used atany given time

    You wont invest if you have a lot ofunused capacity

    During recessions, why build more when youare not using all of what you have

    Other factorsManufacturing is a shrinking part of U.S.

    economy due to imports and increasinginvestment overseas by U.S. Companies

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    Capacity Utilization Rate in Manufacturing, 1965-2005

    Since the mid-1980s, our capacity utilization rate has been below

    85. Note that it fell during each recession, which is indicated by a

    shaded area

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    The Interest Rate

    You wont invest if interest ratesare too high

    Interest rate = The interest paid / The amount borrowed

    Assume you borrow $1000 for one year @ 12% , how

    much interest do you pay?

    .12 =X

    $1000

    X = $120

    6-37Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

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    The Interest Rate

    You wont invest if interest ratesare too high

    Interest rate = The interest paid / The amount borrowed

    X =$120

    $1000

    X = .12 = 12 %

    Assume you borrowed $1000 for one year and paid $120

    interest. What was the interest rate?

    Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-38

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    How much is the ERP on a $10,000

    investment if you expect to make a profit

    of $1,650?

    ERP = -------------------------------------------

    Expected Profits

    Money Invested

    ERP = -------------------------------------------$1,650

    $10,000

    ERP = .165 = 16.5 %

    Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-40

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    Why Do Firms Invest?

    Firms wont invest unless the expectedprofit rate is high enough

    Firms invest whenTheir sales outlook is good

    Their capacity utilization rate is high

    Their expected profit rate is high enough

    Even if firms invest their own money,the interest rate is still a consideration

    Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-42

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    What Accounts for our Low

    Rate of Investment? The short time horizon of corporate

    America

    The quality of management in America The quality of labor in America

    The low savings rate in America

    The less we save, the less we can investThe less we invest, the slower our rate of

    economic growth

    6-43Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

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    Disposable income ($)

    45

    C

    1,000

    1,000

    2,000

    3,000

    2,000 3,000

    Disposable income ($)

    45

    C

    C + I

    1,000

    1,000

    2,000

    3,000

    2,000 3,000

    Graphing the C + I Line

    Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-44

    To keep things simple so we can read the graph were going to

    assume the level of investment stays the same for all levels of income

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    Disposable income ($)

    45

    C

    1,000

    1,000

    2,000

    3,000

    2,000 3,000

    Disposable income ($)

    45

    C

    C + I

    1,000

    1,000

    2,000

    3,000

    2,000 3,000

    Graphing the C + I Line

    Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 6-45

    How much is I when disposable income is 1000, 2000, and 3,000?

    The C line and the C+I line are parallel. Therefore I is about 480 at

    every level of disposable income.

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    Gross Investment as a Percentage of GDP

    C t I

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    Current Issue

    Benedict Arnold Corporations

    To whom are corporate leaders loyal?

    To their employees

    To their customers

    To their ownersAnswer: Their owners

    One thing should be perfectly clear . . . If a

    corporation does not maximize its profits, it is

    disloyal to its ownersIf shifting production and jobs abroad will

    maximize profits, then almost every firm will do it