From Numbers to Action: Understanding the New Autism Prevalence Estimates & How YOU Can Help Families Take Action Presenters: Jon Baio and Katie Green, CDC
Aug 29, 2014
From Numbers to Action: Understanding the
New Autism Prevalence Estimates & How YOU
Can Help Families Take Action
Presenters: Jon Baio and Katie Green, CDC
Autism Spectrum Disorders:
Findings from CDC’s Most Recent Prevalence Report
Autism and Developmental Disabilities Monitoring (ADDM) Network
14 Sites, United States, 2008
National Center on Birth Defects and Developmental Disabilities
Division of Birth Defects and Developmental Disabilities
Presented for the ADDM Network by Jon Baio, Ed.S.
Background
• Autism spectrum disorders (ASDs) are a group of developmental disabilities characterized by impairments in social interaction and communication and by restricted, repetitive, and stereotyped patterns of behavior
• Challenges in tracking the prevalence of ASDs include:
– Complex nature of the disorders
– Lack of biologic markers for diagnosis
– Changes in diagnostic practices over time
CDC’s Autism Public Health Actions
• Surveillance:
– Autism and Developmental Disabilities Monitoring (ADDM) Network
• Document and understand changes in identified prevalence over time
• Expand monitoring to include younger populations
• Research:
– Study to Explore Early Development (SEED)
• Identify factors that may put children at risk for ASDs
• Awareness:
– Learn the Signs. Act Early.
• Improve early identification of developmental delays and ASDs
• Collaboration:
– Interagency Autism Coordinating Committee (IACC)
• Public/Private coordination of research efforts to address ASDs
ADDM Network Methods
Screening and abstraction of records at multiple data
sources in community
All abstracted evaluations reviewed by trained
clinicians to determine ASD case status
• Multisite, multisource, records-based surveillance methodology
ADDM Network ASD Prevalence Reports
• 2007: First reports in MMWR SS representing 2000 & 2002 surveillance years
– 1 in 150 8-year-old children in these communities identified with ASD
• 2009: Second reports in MMWR SS representing 2004 & 2006 surveillance years
– 1 in 110 8-year-old children in these communities identified with ASD
– Autism prevalence increased 57% between 2002 and 2006
• Current ADDM Network report provides:
– 14 areas in U.S.
– ASD prevalence estimates for the 2008 surveillance year
– Characteristics of children identified with autism spectrum disorders
– Comparisons to earlier ADDM surveillance years (2002 & 2006)
ADDM Network 2000-2008 Identified Prevalence of ASDs
Combining Data from All Sites
Surveillance Year
Birth Year Number of ADDM Sites Reporting
8-year-old Population
Number of children identified
with ASDs
Prevalence per 1,000 Children
(Range)
2000 1992 6 187,761 1,252 6.7
(4.5-9.9)
2002 1994 14 407,578 2,685 6.6
(3.3-10.6)
2004 1996 8 172,335 1,376 8.0
(4.6-9.8)
2006 1998 11 308,038 2,757 9.0
(4.2-12.1)
2008 2000 14 337,093 3,820 11.3
(4.8-21.2)
Change in Identified ASD Prevalence Among ADDM Sites
0
5
10
15
20
25
Iden
tifi
ed A
SD P
reva
len
ce p
er 1
,00
0 2002 2006 2008
Change in Identified ASD Prevalence by Sex (*Percent change in 13 sites completing both 2002 & 2008 surveillance years)
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
2002 2004 2006 2008
Iden
tifi
ed A
SD P
reva
len
ce p
er 1
,00
0
Surveillance Year
Both Sexes
Male
Female
*82%
*78%
*63%
Change in Identified ASD Prevalence by Race/Ethnicity (*Percent change in 13 sites completing both 2002 & 2008 surveillance years)
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
2002 2004 2006 2008
Iden
tifi
ed A
SD P
reva
len
ce p
er 1
,00
0
Surveillance Year
All Race/Ethnicity
White
Black
Hispanic
*78%
*91%
*110%
*70%
Change in Identified ASD Prevalence by Intellectual Ability⁺ (*Percent change in 7 sites⁺ completing both 2002 & 2008 surveillance years)
0
1
2
3
4
5
2002 2004 2006 2008
Iden
tifi
ed A
SD P
reva
len
ce p
er 1
,00
0
Surveillance Year
IQ ≤ 70
IQ = 71-85
IQ > 85
*107%
*44%
*96%
⁺Includes sites having information on intellectual ability available for at least 70% of children who met the ASD case definition
Iden
tifi
ed A
SD P
reva
len
ce p
er 1
,00
0
Variation across Sites in Identified Prevalence of ASDs ADDM Network, 14 Sites, 2008
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Prevalence for All Sites Combined
Health-Only Records Access
Education & Health Records Access
Change in Proportion of Children with Previously Documented ASD Classification
(Combining data from 10 sites completing 2002, 2006 and 2008 surveillance years)
Surveillance Year
2002 2006 2008
% with Previously Documented ASD
Classification 72% 77% 79%
• Proportion of children meeting the ASD surveillance case definition with a documented ASD classification in their records increased over time in 7 of 10 sites completing all three surveillance years
Earliest Known ASD Diagnosis Median Age and Proportion by Diagnostic Subtype
ADDM Network, 2008
(Combining data from 14 sites completing 2008 surveillance year)
Subtype of Earliest Diagnosis: Autistic Disorder
ASD/PDD Asperger Disorder
Distribution of Subtypes: 44% 47% 9%
Median Age of Earliest Diagnosis: 48 Months 53 Months 75 Months
Limitations: 1) Diagnostic information obtained from evaluation records may not
capture the exact age of each child’s earliest diagnosis 2) Instability of diagnostic subtypes over time
Summary of Findings
• Identified prevalence of ASDs continues to rise in most ADDM Network communities
• Combining data from all sites:
– 1 in 88 eight-year-old children identified with ASD
• 23% increase, 2006-2008
• 78% increase, 2002-2008
– Rate of increase higher among Hispanic children, black children, and children without intellectual disability
• Identified prevalence of ASDs varies widely
– Across sites
– By sex
– By race/ethnicity
Implications of ADDM Network Findings
• ASDs continue to be an important public health concern
– Estimate over 1 million children with ASDs in the United States
• Better identification among certain subgroups
– Still concerned about disparities in identified prevalence
• Across sites (methodologic: access to records / geographic: access to care)
• Among children of minority race/ethnicity, low socioeconomic status
• More children than ever are being recognized as having ASDs
– Still concerned that 20% are not classified with autism by community providers, others are not recognized as early as they can be
• Continue ongoing surveillance to evaluate temporal trends
• Investigator-initiated analyses
– Timing and stability of diagnosis – Socioeconomic disparities – Intellectual functioning – Geospatial analyses – Birth characteristics
• Parental age • Multiple births • Gestational age and birthweight
Moving Forward
http://www.cdc.gov/Features/
CountingAutism/
ADDM Network SY2008 Investigators and Coordinators Martha Wingate, DrPH, Beverly Mulvihill, PhD, University of Alabama at Birmingham;
Russell S. Kirby, PhD, University of South Florida, Tampa; Sydney Pettygrove, PhD,
Chris Cunniff, MD, F. John Meaney, PhD, University of Arizona, Tucson; Eldon
Schulz, MD, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences, Little Rock; Lisa Miller,
MD, Colorado Department of Public Health and Environment, Denver; Cordelia
Robinson, PhD, University of Colorado at Denver and Health Sciences Center; Gina
Quintana, Colorado Department of Education, Denver; Marygrace Yale Kaiser, PhD,
University of Miami, Coral Gables, Florida; Li-Ching Lee, PhD, Johns Hopkins
University, Rebecca Landa, PhD, Kennedy Krieger Institute, Baltimore, Maryland;
Craig Newschaffer, PhD, Drexel University, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania; John
Constantino, MD, Robert Fitzgerald, MPH, Washington University in St. Louis,
Missouri; Walter Zahorodny, PhD, University of Medicine and Dentistry of New
Jersey, Newark; Julie Daniels, PhD, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill; Ellen
Giarelli, EdD, Drexel University, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania; Jennifer Pinto-Martin,
PhD, University of Pennsylvania; Susan E. Levy, MD, The Children’s Hospital of
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania; Joyce Nicholas, PhD, Jane Charles, MD, Medical
University of South Carolina, Charleston; Judith Zimmerman, PhD, University of
Utah, Salt Lake City; Matthew J. Maenner, PhD, Maureen Durkin, PhD, DrPH,
University of Wisconsin, Madison; Catherine Rice, PhD, Jon Baio, EdS, Kim Van
Naarden Braun, PhD, Keydra Phillips, MPH, Nancy Doernberg, Marshalyn Yeargin-
Allsopp, MD, Division of Birth Defects and Developmental Disabilities, National
Center on Birth Defects and Developmental Disabilities, CDC.
Data collection was coordinated at each site by ADDM Network project coordinators:
Anita Washington, MPH, Yasmeen Williams, MPH, Kwin Jolly, MS, Research
Triangle Institute, Atlanta, Georgia; Neva Garner, University of Alabama at
Birmingham; Kristen Clancy Mancilla, University of Arizona, Tucson; Allison Hudson,
University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences, Little Rock; Andria Ratchford, MSPH,
Colorado Department of Public Health and Environment, Denver; Yolanda Castillo,
MBA, Colorado Department of Education, Denver; Claudia Rojas, Yanin Hernandez,
University of Miami, Coral Gables, Florida; Kara Humes, Rebecca Harrington, MPH,
Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland; Rob Fitzgerald, MPH, Washington
University in St. Louis, Missouri; Josephine Shenouda, MS, University of Medicine
and Dentistry of New Jersey, Newark; Paula Bell, University of North Carolina,
Chapel Hill; Rachel Reis, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia; Lydia King, PhD,
Medical University of South Carolina, Charleston; Amanda Bakian, PhD, Amy
Henderson, University of Utah, Salt Lake City; Carrie Arneson, MS, University of
Wisconsin, Madison; Susan Graham Schwartz, MSPH, CDC. Additional assistance
was provided by project staff including data abstractors, clinician reviewers,
epidemiologists, and data management/programming support. Ongoing ADDM
Network support was provided by Joanne Wojcik, Victoria Wright, National Center on
Birth Defects and Developmental Disabilities, CDC, Rita Lance, Northrop Grumman,
contractor to CDC.
Katie K. Green, MPH, CHES
Health Communication Specialist
CDC’s “Learn the Signs. Act Early.” Program
Helping Families “Learn the Signs” and “Act Early”
National Center on Birth Defects and Developmental Disabilities
Division of Birth Defects and Developmental Disabilities, Prevention Research Branch
Purpose
To improve early
identification of autism
and other developmental
disabilities so children
and their families can get
the services and support
they need
“Learn the Signs. Act Early.” Overview
Program Components
Health education campaign
Act Early initiative
Research and evaluation
“Learn the Signs. Act Early.” Overview
Program Component 1: Health Education Campaign
Aims to change
perceptions about the
importance of identifying
developmental concerns
early
Gives parents,
professionals free tools to
help track development
Promotes awareness
“Learn the Signs. Act Early.” Overview
Communication Objectives
Parents of young children…
Know that developmental milestones exist
Monitor their child’s development
Recognize some early warning signs of delay
Know the importance of acting early
Initiate discussion with provider about development
“Learn the Signs. Act Early.” Overview
Communication Objectives
Health Care Providers who serve young children…
Initiate discussion with parent about development
Encourage developmental monitoring
Are receptive to parental concern (and take action!)
Have and use campaign materials (reinforce msg)
“Learn the Signs. Act Early.” Overview
Communication Objectives
Early Educators/ Child Care Providers…
Know that developmental milestones exist
Know the early warning signs of delay
Have self-efficacy to talk with parents about
development
Aid in monitoring development
Have and use campaign materials (reinforce msg)
“Learn the Signs. Act Early.” Overview
Learn the Signs. Act Early. www.cdc.gov/actearly
“Learn the Signs. Act Early.” Materials 101:
Campaign materials are
FREE!
Research-based, audience-tested
Designed for parents (mostly)
Useful for all those working with young children
Written in plain language
Focused on milestones, when to act early, what
to do if concerned
Learn the Signs. Act Early. www.cdc.gov/actearly
“Learn the Signs. Act Early.” Materials 101:
Campaign materials are
Reproducible (no copyright)
Easily customizable
Available in Spanish (and a few in other
languages)
Available to print immediately (most)
Popular!
Learn the Signs. Act Early. www.cdc.gov/actearly
Materials 101: Print Materials
“The Milestones Collection”
Milestones Card
Milestones Brochure
Milestone Moments Booklet
Growth Chart
“Parent Kit”
Learn the Signs. Act Early. www.cdc.gov/actearly
Materials 101: Print Materials
“Amazing Me—It’s Busy Being 3!”
Children’s book
Milestones highlighted throughout story
Parent section includes 3 year-old milestones, tips,
when to act early
Limited availability
Fotonovela coming soon!
Learn the Signs. Act Early. www.cdc.gov/actearly
Materials 101: Ready-to-Print Materials
Milestones Checklists
2 months—5 years of age
Condition-Specific Fact Sheets
Lay introduction to disability
ASD, Asperger’s Syndrome, ADHD, FASD, CP, Intellectual
Disability, Vision Loss, Hearing Loss, Duchene’s Muscular
Dystrophy
Developmental Screening Fact Sheet
National Resource List
Learn the Signs. Act Early. www.cdc.gov/actearly
Materials 101: Outreach Materials
Flyers
Half sheet
General/Parent, Early Educator, Health Professional
Card Stand
Displays Milestones Cards and/or Milestones Brochures
Exhibit Table Topper
Public Service Announcements
TV & Radio
“Baby Steps” video
Web banner ads
Web buttons
Learn the Signs. Act Early. www.cdc.gov/actearly
Materials 101: E-Resources
Milestones Quiz Widget
Interactive Milestones Checklists
Milestone Moments Fun Facts
Health-E-Card (links to milestones page)
Learn the Signs. Act Early. www.cdc.gov/actearly
Materials 101: Materials for Professionals
Early Educators/Child Care Providers
“Go Out & Play” Kit (ready-to-print)
Tips for Talking with Parents (ready-to-print)
Suggested links
Health Care Professionals
Autism Case Training (ACT) Curriculum
(ready-to-print, view online)
Suggested links
Including links to MCHAT, and other info about screening
Learn the Signs. Act Early. www.cdc.gov/actearly
Materials 101: Materials for Professionals
Milestones materials have multiple
professional uses
Early educators: milestone checklists or Milestone
Moments booklet >> track milestones & communicate with
parents
Home visitors : Milestone Moments booklet >> tool to help
parents track milestones and try new activities between visits
College instructors/ Professional trainers: Milestone
Moments booklet>> used to teach about development
Academic detailers: Milestone Moments booklet>>
offering of booklets for patients helped them gain access to
practices
Learn the Signs. Act Early. www.cdc.gov/actearly
Materials 101: Making the Materials Your Own
Customize! Help parents get help for their child sooner—
customize LTSAE materials with local contact
information and resources. Promote
customization among your partners.
Nearly all campaign materials can be customized with
your organization’s local contact information and logo.
1. Contact us and we will provide access to our file
sharing site
and the editable file (Adobe InDesign).
2. You add your contact information and/or logo.
3. You take the files to a local printer.
Learn the Signs. Act Early. www.cdc.gov/actearly
Examples:
Display brochures in pediatric waiting or exam rooms
Include a campaign flyer in mailings to parents (i.e. birth
certificates)
Include Milestone Moments booklets in new patient “welcome”
packets/ or “new mom” gift bags (encourage them to bring to
every well-child visit)
Incorporate Milestone Checklists into the home visit or WIC
certification visit (encourage staff to guide parent through
checklist during visit)
Materials 101: Putting the Materials to Work
Learn the Signs. Act Early. www.cdc.gov/actearly
Examples:
Encourage child care resource and referral agencies to offer a
milestones brochure when parents call with questions about
development//share cond-specific disability fact sheets with
child care professionals
Ask partners to add the LTSAE web button to their homepages
Have colleagues show the Milestone Moment Fun Facts during
break times at trainings or presentations
Add the Baby Steps video or TV PSA to waiting room video
programming
Materials 101: Putting the Materials to Work
Learn the Signs. Act Early. www.cdc.gov/actearly
Examples:
Share “Go Out & Play” kit with child care trainers
Ask local day cares to celebrate kids birthdays by sending an
E-card to mom and dad
Add the campaign table topper to all planned exhibits
Share materials through new parent classes, breastfeeding
support groups, toddler play groups/classes
Materials 101: Putting the Materials to Work
Learn the Signs. Act Early. www.cdc.gov/actearly
Get Creative!
Think impact!
Share your message in “surround-sound!”
Materials 101: Putting the Materials to Work
Learn the Signs. Act Early. www.cdc.gov/actearly
Materials 101: Get the Most from Materials
Remember:
These materials are just the introduction to our
messages
How the materials are delivered, who delivers them,
and how often are all critical to the message making
a difference
Parent, early educators, and health professionals
need support to take the next step; tap into supports
that are already in place
The National Resource & Information Center
Website: www.autismnow.org
Information & Referral Call Center: 1-855-828-8476
Next Webinar: Tuesday, April 24, 2012, 2:00-3:00 PM, EDT Overview of Disability Services
PowerPoint/Recording: We will send out these materials to all attendees. If you do not receive
them, please email Phuong ([email protected] ).