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Caiib Gbm Moda PartII

Apr 10, 2018

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    International Banking

    (Module A) Part II

    Risk Management and Derivatives

    Tanushree Mazumdar, IIBF

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    Dealing room (1)

    Foreign exchange dealing roomoperations comprise functions of a servicebranch to meet the needs of other

    branches/divisions to buy/sell foreigncurrency.

    Acts as a profit centre for the

    bank/financial institution A dealer has to maintain two positions-

    funds position and currency position

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    Dealing room (2)

    The funds position reflects inflows and outflowsof funds i.e. receivables and payables

    A mismatch in funds position will throw open

    interest rate risks in the form of overdraft interestin the Nostro a/c, loss of interest income oncredit balances, etc.

    Currency position deals with overbought and

    oversold positions, arrived after taking variousmerchant or inter-bank transactions and thedealer is concerned with the overall net position

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    Dealing room (3)

    The overall net position exposes the dealer toexchange risks from market movements

    The dealer has to operate within the permittedlimits prescribed for the exchange position bythe management

    Back office: Takes care of processing deals,accounts reconciliation. It plays a supportive aswell as checking role

    Mid office: Mid-office deals with the riskmanagement and parameterisation of risks forforex operations. Gives market information todealers

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    Risks in foreign exchange dealings

    RBI and FEDAI issue guidelines to all

    banks to identify, measure and manage

    risks Risks can be classified under:

    Market risk: Loss arising out of change in the

    market price of an asset

    Liquidity risk: risk that you will not be able to

    easily sell your assets

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    Risks(contd)

    Operational risk: Failure of internal processes,

    people, systems or external events

    Legal risk: Contracts are not legally enforceable

    or documented incorrectly

    Credit risk: Counterparty defaulting in payment

    Pre-settlement: Credit risk before the maturity of a

    transaction

    Settlement risk: Timing differences in cash flows, e.g.

    of Herstatt Bank in Germany failing in 1974

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    Risks (3)

    Country risk: Movement of funds across

    borders may be obstructed by sudden

    government controls Interest rate risk: Interest rate risk or gap

    risk arises out of adverse movement of

    interest rates a bank faces on its currency

    swaps/forward contracts or other interestrate derivatives

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    Management of risks

    Traditional measures adopted by bank

    managements to manage/limit risks are:

    Limits on intra-day open position in each currency

    Limits on overnight open positions in each currency(lower than intra-day)

    Limits on aggregate open position for all currencies

    A turnover limit on daily transaction volume for all

    currencies Countrywise exposure limits

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    Guidelines on risk management

    Measure risks that can be quantified viz.,exchange rate risk, interest rate risk usingmathematical or statistical tools

    Have a detailed policy on risk management(given by the Board)

    A specific limit structure for various risks andoperations

    A sound management information system Specified control, monitoring and reporting

    system

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    RBI guidelines on risk management

    RBI has issued internal control guidelines(ICG) for foreign exchange business

    It covers various aspects of dealing roomoperations, code of conduct for dealersand brokers and other aspects of riskcontrol guidelines

    Specifies limits including gap limits,counterparty limit, dealer limit, deal sizelimit, etc.

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    Derivative Instruments

    Derivatives are management tools derivedfrom underlying exposures such ascurrency, commodities, shares, etc.

    Used to neutralise the exposures on theunderlying contracts

    Can be over the counter(OTC) i.e.

    customised products orexchange tradedwhich are standardized in terms ofquantity, quality, start and ending dates

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    Forward Contracts (1)

    Forward contracts: Typical OTCderivatives which involves fixing of rates(exchange rate, commodity price, etc.) in

    advance for delivery in future. Risk ofadverse price movement is covered.

    Forward contracts are specified at forward

    rates which are spot rates plus cost ofcarry (interest rate differential in case offoreign exchange forward)

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    Forward Contract (2)

    Forward rate: spot rate + premium or discount

    Premium/discount: function of cost of carry(interest rate differential)

    The currency with lowerinterest rate would be ata premium in future

    Other factors affecting forward rate Demand and supply for forward currency

    Perception about the movement in the currency Political, fiscal and trade-related conditions in the

    country and for the currency

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    Example of a forward differential

    If GBP/USD Spot = 1.8000

    6 months interest rate USD= 2%

    6 months interest rate GBP = 4%

    Forward differential=

    1.8000 * (4-2)/100 * 6/12 or 0.018

    6 months forward rate (GBP/USD) = 1.7820

    Since USD has a lower interest rate it will be at a

    premium in the future

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    Futures (1)

    Futures: A version of exchange traded forwardcontracts.

    Standardized contracts as far as the quantity

    (amounts) and delivery dates (period) of thecontracts.

    Conveys an agreement to buy a specific amountof commodity or financial instruments at a

    particular price on a stipulated future date An obligation on the buyer to purchase the

    underlying instrument and the seller to sell it

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    Futures (2)

    Types of Futures contracts Commodities futures

    Financial futures

    Currency futures

    Index futures

    There is a margin process Initial margin: to be paid at the start of a contract

    Variable margin: calculated daily by marking to

    market the contract at the end of each day Maintenance margin: Similar to minimum balance for

    undertaking trades in the Exchange and has to bemaintained by the buyer/seller in the margin account

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    Options (1)

    Options: An agreement between two parties inwhich one grants the other the right to buy (calloption) or sell (put option) an asset under

    specified conditions (price, time) and assumesthe obligation to sell or buy it.

    The party who has the right but not theobligation is the buyer of the option and pays afee or premium to the writer or seller of theoption.

    The asset could be a currency, bond, share,commodity or futures contract

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    Options (2)

    The option holder or buyer would exercise theoption (buy or sell) in case the market pricemoves adversely and would let it lapse if it

    moves favourably The option seller (usually a bank or a financial

    institution or an Exchange) is under obligation todeliver the contract if exercised at the agreedprice

    Strike price/exercise price: The price at whichthe option may be exercised and the underlyingasset bought or sold

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    Options (3)

    In the money: When the strike price is below the

    spot price (in case of a call option) or vice-versa

    in case of a put option the option is in the money

    giving gain to the buyer. At the money: When strike price is equal to the

    spot price

    Out of the money: The strike price is above the

    spot price (call option) or vice-versa (for a put

    option). It is better to let the option lapse here.

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    Options (4)

    Call option- The right, without the obligation, tobuy an asset

    Put option- The right, without the obligation, tosell an asset

    American option-An option that can beexercised at any time until the expiry date

    European option-An option which can beexercised only on expiry

    Bermudan option-An option which isexercisable only during a pre-defined portion ofits life

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    Options (5)

    Expiry: The last date on which the option may beexercised.

    Market participants often quote an expiration(calendar) month without specifying an actualdate.

    In such cases it is understood that the expirationdate is the Monday before the third Wednesdayof the month

    Expiration time is usually specified in thecontract. For example, for contracts entered inthe Pacific Rim countries the time specified is10:00 am New York time or 3:00 pm Tokyo time

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    Swaps

    In foreign exchange market, swap refers to

    simultaneous sale and purchase of one

    currency for another (currency swap).

    Financial or derivative swap refers to the

    exchange of two streams of cash flows

    over a defined period of time, between two

    counter-parties

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    Derivatives in India (1)

    Sodhani Committee (expert group on

    foreign exchange) was formed in 1992 to

    look into the issues in and development of

    the foreign exchange market in India

    Some recommendations

    Corporates should be allowed to hedge upon

    declaration of underlying assets

    Banks may be permitted to initiate overseas

    cross currency positions

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    Sodhani Committee..

    Banks should be allowed to borrow and lend inthe overseas markets

    More participants be allowed in the foreign

    exchange market Corporates must be allowed to cancel and re-

    book option contracts

    Banks be permitted to use hedging instruments

    for their own ALM Banks to be allowed to fix interest rates on

    FCNR (B) deposits subject to caps fixed by RBI

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    Derivatives in India (2)

    The use of financial derivatives started in India isthe nineties in the foreign exchange and stockmarket

    In 1992 RBI had permitted banks to offer crosscurrency options to their clients

    In 1996 banks were allowed to offer theircorporate clients interest rate swaps, currencyswaps, interest rate options and forward rate

    agreements The derivatives market in India is still in anevolving stage