BUREAUOFTHECENSUS.1111 2 CURRENT POPULATION REPORTS Population Projections for States, by Age, Sex, Race, and Hispanic Origin: 1993 to 2020 P25-1111 by Paul R. Campbell U.S. Department

CENSUS

Census HA 203

,1'32 .1111 2

CURRENT POPULATION REPORTS

Population Projections for States, by Age, Sex, Race, and

Hispanic Origin: 1993 to 2020

P25-1111

by Paul R. Campbell

U.S. Department of Commerce Economics and Statistics Administration

BUREAUOFTHECENSUS

Acknowledgments

This report was prepared under the general direction of Gregory Spencer, Chief of the Population Projections Branch. John f. Long, Assistant Division Chief for Population Estimates and Projections. provided overall direction. The methodological and assumption development was prepared with the assistance of Signe I. Wetrogan, Chief of the Administrative Records and Methodology Research Branch. and Larry D. Sink. Larry D. Sink developed the alternative internal migration scenarios; and provided computer programming and research on the domestic migration models. Rosalyn M. Green provided computer programming of the tabular presentation. Statistical assistance was provided by Barbara E. Brenner, Gloria J. Hampton, and Mary Jane Slagle.

Jennifer Cheeseman Day and frederick W. Hollmann provided professional consultation on the national projections and estimates. respectively. Edwin Byerly, Prithwis Das Gupta, and David Word provided professional consultation. Claudette E. Bennett, Donald C. Dahmann, John F. Long, and Arthur J. Norton provided comments on the draft.

The staff of Administrative and Publications Services Division. Walter C. Odom, Chief. provided publication planning. design. composition, editorial review. and printing planning and procurement. Joan Kinikin provided publication coordination and editing.

CURRENT POPULATION REPORTS

Population Projections for States, by Age, Sex, Race, and

Hispanic Origin~ 1993 to 2020 P25-1111

Issued March 1994

by Paul R. Campbell

U.S. Department of Commerce Ronald H. Brown, Secretary

Economics and Statistics Administration Paul A. London, Acting Under Secretary

for Economic Affairs

BUREAU OF THE CENSUS Harry A. Scarr, Acting Director

Economics and Statistics Administration

Paul A. London, Acting Under Secretary for Economic Affairs

BUREAU OF THE CENSUS

Harry A. Scarr, Acting Director

William P. Butz, Associate Director for Demographic Programs

POPULATION DIVISION Arthur J. Norton, Chief

SUGGESTED CITATION

Campbell, Paul R., Population Projections for States, by Age, Race, and Sex: 1993 to 2020, U.S. Bureau of the Census, Current Population Reports, P25-1111, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, DC, 1994.

For sale by Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, DC 20402.

,

Contents

Page

Highlights From the Preferred Series............ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . v Short term trends-1993 to 2000 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . v Long term trends-1993 to 2020 .............................................................. vi

Introduction. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . vi Projected Population Trends. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . vii

Comparison of Series. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . viii Size and Growth of the Population............................................................. viii Components of Population Change. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xi Race and Hispanic Origin....................................................................... xiv Age Distribution .................................................................................. xviii

Methodology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xx Overview. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xx Base Population...... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xxii Fertility . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xxiii Mortality. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. xxiv International Migration .......................................................................... xxvi Domestic Migration... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. xxvii Adjustment to National Projections by Age, Sex, Race, and Hispanic Origin. . . . . . . . . . . . . .. xxxi

Selection of Assumptions, Sensitivity Analysis, and Forecast Error............................ xxxi Selection of Assumptions ..................................................................... " xxxi Forecast Errors in Past Projections ............................................................ xxxii

Summary and Limitations of Projections ......................................................... xxxii Related Reports ................................................................................... xxxiii Availability of More Detailed Data ................................................................ xxxiii State Produced Projections ....................................................................... xxxiii Rounding of Projections ........................................................................... xxxiii Symbols .. , ......................................................................................... xxxiii

TEXT TABLES

A. Comparison of Population Projections, by Region and Series: 1993, 2000, and 2020 ............................................................................ , .......... viii

B. Projections of the Top 10 States, Ranked by Population Size: 1993,2000, and 2020......... ........ .... ........ ....... ...................... .... ..... ......... ...... ..... ix

C. Projections of the 10 Fastest Growing States, Ranked by Percent Growth for Each Series: 1993 to 2020 ..................................................................... x

D. States With the Largest Net Population Change, Ranked by Race and Hispanic Origin: 1993 to 2020. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xvi

E. States With the Largest Population, Ranked by Race and Hispanic Origin: 1993, 2000, and 2020 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xvii

iii

iv

FIGURES

1. Projected Average Annual Percent Change in State Populations: 1993 to 2000 . . . .. . xii 2. Projected Average Annual Percent Change in State Populations: 2000 to 2010 . . . .. . xii 3. Projected Average Annual Percent Change in State Populations: 2010 to 2020 . . . . . . xiii 4. Net Population Change, by State: 1993 to 2020.. .. .. .. .. . .. .. .... .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . .. .. . xv 5. Percentage of Population Under 20 Years of Age, by State: 2020..................... xix 6. Population 65 Years of Age and Over, by State: 2020.................................. xix 7. Percentage of Population 65 Years and Over, by State: 2020.......................... xxi 8. Ratio of Youth and Elderly per 100 Adults, by State: 2020 ............................. xxi

DETAILED TABLES

1. Total Population of Regions, Divisions, and States: 1990 to 2020 Series A (Preferred Series) ............................................................. . 1 Series B ............................................................................... '" 2 Series C ........................................... , ................................... '" 3 Series D ......................................................................... , ........ . 4

2. Components of Population Change, for Regions, Divisions, and States: 1990 to 2020 Series A (Preferred Series) ............................................................. . 5 Series B ................................................................................. . 8 Series C ................................................................................. . 11 Series D ................................................................................. . 14

3. Projections of the Population, by Sex, Race, and Hispanic Origin, for Regions, Divisions, and States; 1993 to 2020 - Series A (Preferred Series) ................... . 17

4. Projections of the Population, by Age and Sex, for Regions, Divisions, and States: 1993 to 2020 - Series A (Preferred Series) ............................................ . 24

5. Comparison of Projections of the Population of Regions, Divisions, and States, by Series: 2000, 2010, and 2020 ............................................................ . 38

6. Comparison of Projections of the Rate of Population Change for Regions, Divisions, and States, by Series: 1990 to 2020 ................................................... . 39

7. State Population Projections Developed by Individual State Agencies; 1990 to 2020. 40

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APPENDICES

A. 1990 Census Population................................................................... A-1 B. State Agencies Preparing Population Projections.................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . B-1 C. Race and Ethnic Definitions and Concepts............................................... C-1

APPENDIX TABLE

A-i. 1990 Census (Modified Race) by Sex, Race, and Hispanic Origin, for Regions, Divisions, and States . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . A-2

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Population Projections for States, by Age, Sex, Race, and Hispanic Origin: 1993 to 2020

This is the first State population projections by the U.S. Bureau of the Census to present data for four race groups (White; Black; American Indian, Eskimo, and Aleut; and Asian and Pacific Islander), and the Hispanic origin population. The four race groups sum to the State totals. Projections for Hispanic origin are treated separately and are not additive. 1

Many trends described here are substantially different from those shown in the pre~ious pr~jections. Th~se differences are primarily due to change over to the 1990 census base and to changes In the natIonal populatIon projections used as controls for these projections (see Current Population Reports, P25-1104, for further information).

HIGHLIGHTS fROM PREfERRED SERIES

Short Term Trends - 1993 to 2000

Size and Growth of Regions and States. The South and West regions combined are projected to account for 82 percent of the 18 million persons added to the Nation's population between 1993 and 2000. States in those two regions accounted for 84 percent of growth during the 1980's.

The South is projected to have the largest gains from net internal migration, while the Northeast would have the largest losses during 1993-2000. Net international migration is expected to be high for all regions except the Midwest.

California, the most populous State, contained 12 percent of the Nation's population in 1993. By 2000, it is projected to have 13 percen:t of the Nation's population.

By mid-1994, Texas is projected to replace New York as the Nation's second most populous State.

California is projected to attract 40 percent of the international migrants added to the Nation's population during the 1990's. It attracted 35 percent of the immigrants during the 1980's.

Race Distribution. During 1993 to 2000, the White population is projected to account for 60 percent or more of the absolute increase in the Nation's population in all regions, except the Northeast. The White population is expected to decline in the Northeast.

1 See appendix C for a discussion of race and ethnic definitions and concepts used in this report.

The South is projected to gain more than half (56 percent) of the 3.3 million Blacks added to the Nation's population during 1993 to 2000.

The Nation's third largest race group, the Asian and Pacific Islander population, is projected to be the fastest growing in aI/ regions-with an annual average change of 4 percent or greater.

American Indians, Eskimos, and Aleuts are projected to be the second fastest growing population in the West between 1993 and 2000. Between 1993 and 2000, California drops from first to third place as the Nation's most populous American Indian, Eskimo, and Aleut State, while Oklahoma and Arizona would move to first and second place, respectively.

Hispanic Origin Distribution. The largest share of growth for the Nation's Hispanic-origin population is projected to occur in the West and South. Both regions combined would account for 81 percent of the 6 million Hispanics added to the Nation during 1993 to 2000.

California and Texas are expected to continue to have the greatest share of the Nation's Hispanic population (with 34 and 20 percent, respectively, in 2000).

Age Distribution. The West and Northeast region's outh population (proportion of population under 20 ears of age) is projected to increase, while the South nd Midwest decrease (by less than a percentage point

n a/l regions between 1993 and 2000).

The West region is projected to have the largest roportion of youth (31 percent under age 20 in the year 000), while the Northeast is expected to have the mallest (27 percent). The South and Midwest would be

n the middle (29 percent).

yyai

p2si

vi

Most States (29 including the District of Columbia) are projected to show a decline in the proportion of youth (under 20 year of age) in their populations. Utah, with the largest proportion of youth (39 percent in 1993) among the States, is projected to have the largest decline (1.6 percentage points between 1993 and 2000).

The Northeast is projected to have the largest proportion of elderly (14 percent aged 65 and over) of any region, while the West would have the smallest (11 percent). Both the South and Midwest regions would fall in the middle (with 13 percent). the share of elderly slightly increases in all regions (by less than one-half percentage point) between 1993 and 2000.

Florida is expected to continue to be the State with the highest proportion of elderly (ages 65 and over) in its population (19 percent in 1993 and 20 percent in 2000).

Long Term Trends - 1993 to 2020

Size and Growth of Regions and States. The South is projected to remain the most populous region of the Nation between 1993 and 2020. The Midwest, the second most populated region in the Nation in 1993, is replaced by the West shortly after the year 2000.

After 2015, Florida is projected to replace New York as the Nation's third most populous State, with Texas ranked second and California first.

By 2020, California is expected to account for 15 percent of the Nation's population (up from 12 percent in 1993).

Race Distribution. During 1993 to 2020, the White population is projected to account for more than half of the absolute increase in the Nation's population in only two regions: the West and South.

Among the five most populous States for the White population, California, Texas, and Florida are projected to have large increases (30 percent or more) in the White population, while Pennsylvania would have almost no gain (less than 1 percent) and New York a small loss (-4 percent) between 1993 and 2020.

During 1993 to 2020, New York and California are projected to rank first and second, respectively, with the largest share of the Nation's Black population. Florida would have the largest net population change among the States for Blacks (with an increase of 1.5 million). After 2000, Florida replaces Texas as the third largest State for Blacks.

Between 1993 and 2020, the Nation's Asian and Pacific Islander population for California is projected to more than double (9.7 million in 2020-up from 3.5 million in 1993). In 2020, 43 percent of the Nation's Asian and Pacific Islander population is projected to reside in California. New York and Texas are expected to be the only other States with at least 1 million Asians and Pacific Islanders.

During 1993 to 2020, most of the growth projected for the American Indian, Eskimo, and Aleut population is concentrated in the West region. Nearly three quarters (73 percent) of the 0.9 million American Indians, Eskimos, and Aleuts added to the United States are expected to reside in this region.

The American Indian, Eskimo, ;:tnd Aleut population in Arizona is projected to nearly doJble between 1993 and 2020. After 2000, Arizona is expected to be the most populous State for the Nation's American Indian, Eskimo, and Aleut population, followed by Oklahoma and California.

Hispanic Origin Distribution. The Hispanic origin population is projected to comprise a substantially larger share of the total population in all regions by 2020: In the West 29 percent in 2020 versus 20 percent in 1993; in the South 14 versus 9 percent; in the Northeast 12 versus 8 percent; and in the Midwest 6 versus 3 percent.

California's Hispanic origin population is expected to double between 1993 and 2020. In 2020, the 17.5 million HispaniCS projected for California, would account for one-third of the Nation's HispaniCS.

Age Distribution. In 2020, the West is projected to continue as the leader with the greatest proportion of population under 20 years of age (28 percent), while the Northeast would have the smallest (25 percent).

As the Baby Boom generation (those born between 1946 and 1964) reaches retirement age after 2010, the growth of the elderly population is expected to accelerate rapidly in the West and South.

In 1993, only one State is projected to have at least 16 percent of its population in the elderly category (Florida with 19 percent). By 2020 that number would grow to 32 States (Florida, up to 26 percent).

INTRODUCTION

This report presents population projections for the 50 States and the District of Columbia by age, sex, race, and Hispanic origin for 1993 through 2020. Projections are given for the White; Black; American Indian, Eskimo, and Aleut (AIEA); Asian and Pacific Islander (API); and Hispanic origin populations.

The projections use the cohort-component method.2

The COhort-component method requires separate assumptions for each component of population change: births, deaths, internal migration, and international migration. These components are from various sources. State differentials in fertility are based on 1988 to 1990 births, 1990 census population distribution of females in childbearing ages for States, and 1990 national fertility data.

2For a definition of the cohort-component method see Shryock, Henry S., and Jacob S. Siegel, et aI., The Methods and Materials of Demography, Vol. 2, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, DC, 1971, p. 778.

State differentials in survival rates are based on 1988 and 1989 deaths, 1990 census population for States, and 1990 national life tables. The projections use Internal Revenue Service (IRS) data on interstate migration flows from 1975-76 through 1991-92. International migration was estimated using State totals of the foreignborn population immigrating during 1980 to 1990 as enumerated in the 1990 census. International migration for States was further disaggregated by age, sex, race, and Hispanic origin using the foreign-born population immigrating during 1975 to 1980 as enumerated in the 1980 census.

The April 1, 1990 State populations by age, sex, race, and Hispanic origin as enumerated in the census were projected to July 1, 1990, 1991, and 1992. These projected figures were prorated to the independently produced mid-year State estimates by age and sex, and national estimates by age, sex, and race/origin. The national total population is consistent with the middle series of the Census Bureau's national population projections.3 The projections' starting date is July 1, 1993. The July 1, 1992 estimates of State populations by single years of age and sex are consistent with previously released data from the U.S. Bureau of the Census.4 The July 1, 1992 estimates of the United States population by single years of age, sex, race, and Hispanic origin are consistent with released national estimates.5 These estimates are consistent with the 1990 census count, but cannot be directly compared to the published results by age and race because modifications were made to the data to correctly place each person in an appropriate age and race category. This was done to adjust for age misreporting and the reporting of an unspecified race in the 1990 census.6

This set of population projections provides a preferred series with alternative series. Given the sensitivity of internal migration to changes in economic conditions, internal migration changes can be both rapid and sizable. Identifying a preferred series along with alternative series, rather than the equa"y-likely series, reflects a process of evaluating State population projection models used in the last set of population projections. The four sets of projections presented in this report are based on different internal migration assumptions:

3See U.S. Bureau of· the Census, Current Population Reports, Series P25: 1104, Population Projections of the United States, by Age, Sex, Race, and Hispanic Origin: 1993 to 2050, by Jennifer Cheeseman Day, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, DC, 1993.

4U.S. Bureau of the Census, Current Population Reports, P25-1106, State Population Estimates by Age and Sex 1980 to 1992, by Edwin R. Byerly, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, DC, 1993.

5U.S. Bureau of the Census, U.S. Population Estimates, by Age, Sex, Race, and Hispanic Origin: 1990 to 1992, by Frederick W. Hollmann, 1993.

6U.S. Bureau of the Census, Age, Sex, Race and Hispanic Origin Information from the 1990 Census: A Comparison of Census Results with Results where Age and Race have been Modified, 1990 CPH-L-74, August 1991.

Description of the Projections Models

1) Series A, the preferred series, is a time-series model and uses State-to-State migration observed from 1975-76 through 1991-92;

2) Series B, the economic model, uses the Bureau of Economic Analysis (SEA) employment projections;?

3) Series C, the floating mean model, is the mean of the n most recent years for the n-th projection year;

4) Series 0, the zero net internal migration assumption.

The "Domestic Migration" section gives a detailed description of the four series. A separate set of projections was performed for the Hispanic origin population. The methodology is the same as that used for the total population, except where noted. Only the Series A model is used to project the Hispanic population. It is based on Hispanic migration observed from 1988-89 through 1 990-91 (the only years for which Hispanic migration data are currently available).

These population projections represent the results of assumptions about future trends in the components of population change. They are not intended as a forecast of future population. Unless otherwise noted, the discussion in this report refers to the preferred series.

The projections shown here supersede information contained in the recent set of State population projections in several ways.s First, the earlier set of State population projections used components of change available to derive 1988 State population projection starting pOints. The race projections were limited to Whites, Blacks, and Other races. No projections were prepared for the Hispanic-origin population. Finally, the earlier set of State population projections provided equa"y-likely alternative series.

PROJECTED POPULATION TRENDS

The projections of State population by age, sex, race, and Hispanic origin shown in this report result from the methodology and detailed assumptions about each component of population change presented in the methodology section of this report.

7U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, BEA Regional Projections to 2040, Volume 1: States, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, DC, 1990.

aU.S. Bureau of the Census, Current Population Reports, Series P-25, No.1 053, Projections of the Population of States, by Age, Sex, and Race: 1989 to 2010, by Signe I. Wetrogan, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, DC, 1990.

viii

Comparison of Series

The summary of regional projections provided in table A shows the range of results when comparing the preferred with the alternative series. The rate of growth in the Northeast and Midwest is below the national level on all four series. The West and South are above the national level on all series, except series D where the South is below the Nation. Under the Series D assumption of no internal migration, the Northeast, Midwest, and South would grow at approximately the same rate. In the West, the rate of growth does not vary much across the four series.

Under all four series, the South would continue to be the most populous region. One-third of the total United States population is projected to reside in the South during 1993 to 2020 under all series. For the South, Series D is at least 7 million persons lower than any other series. Among the four series, the Northeast and Midwest shows the largest net population gains under Series D.

The relative ranking of population size of States varies under the four projection series. Eight of the ten

most populous States are the same under the four series (table 8). California would continue to be the most populous State with over 47 million persons residing there in 2020 under all four projection scenarios.

The rankings of the fastest growing States by series show much variation over the projection periods (table C). Nevertheless, all four series;show Hawaii and California among the top three fastest growing States during the 2010 to 2020 period. Hawaii is the only State projected to be among the top 10 fastest growing in all four projection series during the three periods spanning 1993 to 2020. Although the District of Columbia is projected to be among the 10 fastest growing on Series D during 1993 to 2000, it ranked 51 st (with population loss) on the other three projection series.

Size and Growth of the Total Population

In the following sections projection results are only presented for Series A (labelled preferred series). A brief discussion is first given showing short-term results

Table A. Comparison of Population Projections, by Region and Series: 1993 to 2020

(In thousands. As of July 1. Series A, B, C, and D reflect different interstate migration assumptions. Percent changbeginning population)

Projections Percent of total population Series and region

1993 2000 2010 2020 1993 2000 2010 2020

SERIES A-PREFERRED SERIES

e is based on

Average annual pechange

1993 to 2000 to 2000 2010

rcent

2010 to 2020

United States ............ 257,928 276,242 300,430 325,939 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 1.0 0.9 0.8 Northeast. ................. 51,227 51,884 53,301 55,352 19.9 18.8 17.7 17.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 Midwest ................... 61,149 63,836 66,333 68,983 23.7 23.1 22.1 21.2 0.6 0.4 0.4 South ...................... 89,362 97,244 107,385 117,498 34.6 35.2 35.7 36.0 1.3 1.0 0.9 West ...................... 56,190 63,278 73,411 84,106 21.8 22.9 24.4 25.8

SERIES B

1.8 1.6 1.5

United States ............ 257,928 276,242 300,430 325,939 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 1.0 0.9 0.8 Northeast .................. 51,454 53,210 55,102 57,484 19.9 19.3 18.3 17.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 Midwest ................... 60,972 62,610 64,953 68,015 23.6 22.7 21.6 20.9 0.4 0.4 0.5 South ...................... 89,250 96,576 106,120 115,597 34.6 35.0 35.3 35.5 1.2 1.0 0.9 West ...................... 56,250 63,846 74,256 84,847 21.8 23.1 24.7 26.0

SERIES C

1.9 1.6 1.4

United States ............ 257,928 276,242 300,430 325,939 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 1.0 0.9 0.8 Northeast. '" .............. 51,226 52,329 54,225 56,482 19.9 18.9 18.0 17.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 Midwest ................... 61,149 63,664 65,982 68,745 23.7 23.0 22.0 21.1 0.6 0.4 0.4 South ...................... 89,364 96,931 106,852 116,833 34.6 35.1 35.6 35.8 1.2 1.0 0.9 West ...................... 56,190 63,315 73,372 83,880 21.8 22.9 24.4 25.7

SERIES D

1.8 1.6 1.4

United States ............ 257,928 276,242 300,430 325,939 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 1.0 0.9 0.8 Northeast .................. 51,584 54,582 58,183 61,868 20.0 19.8 19.4 19.0 0.8 0.7 0.6 Midwest ................... 61,175 64,075 67,716 "71,314 23.7 23.2 22.5 21.9 0.7 0.6 0.5 South ...................... 89,015 94,503 101,445 108,483 34.5 34.2 33.8 33.3 0.9 0.7 0.7 West ...................... 56,152 63,079 73,086 84,278 21.8 22.8 24.3 25.9 1.8 1.6 1.5

Note: Because of rounding, details may not add to totals. Source: Table 1.

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Table B. Projections of the Top 10 States, Ranked by Population Size: 1993, :;WOO, and 2020

(In thousands. As of July 1. Series A, S, C, and 0 reflect different interstate migration assumptions)

Rank Year and State Population Year and State Population Year and State Population

1993 2000 2020

Series A·· Series A·· Series A·· Preferred Series Preferred Series Pre~,erred Series

1 California ................... 31,399 California ................... 34,888 California ................... 47,953 2 New york ................... 18,140 Texas ...................... 20,039 Texas ...................... 25,592 3 Texas ...................... 17,983 New york ................... 18,237 Florida ................... ,. 19,449 4 Florida ..................... 13,730 Florida ..................... 15,313 New york ................... 19,111 5 Pennsylvania ................ 12,050 Pennsylvania ................ 12,296 Illinois ...................... 13,218 6 Illinois ...................... 11,708 Illinois ...................... 12,168 Pennsylvania ................ 12,656 7 Ohio ....................... 11,080 Ohio .............. '" ...... 11,453 Ohio ....................... 11,870 8 Michigan ....... '" ...... ". 9,485 Michigan ......... '" ....... 9,759 Michigan .............. , .. , . 10,377 9 New Jersey ................. 7,836 New Jersey ................. 8,135 Georgia .................... 9,426

10 North Carolina .............. 6,946 Georgia .................... 7,637 New Jersey ................. 9,058

Series B Series B Series B

1 California ................... 31,563 California ................... 36,062 California ................... 48,655 2 New york ................... 18,187 Texas ...................... 19,857 Texas ...................... 24,744 3 Texas ...................... 17,953 New york ................... 18,504 New york ................... 19,427 4 Florida ..................... 13,724 Florida ..................... 15,318 Florida ..................... 19,231 5 Pennsylvania ................ 12,071 Pennsylvania ................ 12,414 Pennsylvania ................ 13,254 6 Illinois ...................... 11,680 Illinois ...................... 11,974 Illinois ...................... 13,056 7 Ohio ....................... 11,047 Ohio ....................... 11,238 Ohio ....................... 11,870 8 Michigan ............. ...... 9,464 Michigan ................... 9,614 Michigan ••••••••••••• '" .0' 1 0, 11 0 9 New Jersey ................. 7,861 New Jersey ................. 8,267 Georgia ........... , ........ 9,619

10 North Carolina ......... ..... 6,940 Georgia ....... .. , .......... 7,678 North Carolina ............ , . 9,200

Series C Series C Series C

1 California ................... 31,392 California ................... 35,490 California ................... 48,945 2 New york ................... 18,139 Texas ...................... 19,633 Texas ...................... 24,066 3 Texas ...................... 17,983 New york ................... 18,321 Florida ..................... 20,533 4 Florida .. ........ '" ........ 13,723 Florida ..................... 15,633 New york ................... 19,457 5 Pennsylvania ................ 12,048 Pennsylvania ................ 12,336 Illinois ...................... 13,209 6 Illinois ...................... 11,707 Illinois ...................... 12,153 Pennsylvania ................ 12,851 7 Ohio ....................... 11,080 Ohio ....................... 11,430 Ohio .. , .............. '" .. , 11,963 8 Michigan ....... ... ......... 9,484 Michigan .......... ..... .... 9,826 Michigan '" ................ 10,570 9 New Jersey ................. 7,838 New Jersey ................. 8,165 Georgia .............. '" .. , 9,763

10 North Carolina .............. 6,949 Georgia .................... 7,664 North Carolina .............. 9,281

Series D Series D Series D

1 California ................... 31,631 California ................... 36,689 California ................... 52,516 2 New york ................... 18,347 New york ................... 19,838 Texas ...................... 25,255 3 Texas ...................... 17,949 Texas ...................... 19,813 New york ................... 23,754 4 Florida .......... ..... ...... 13,608 Florida ............ '" ...... 14,393 Florida ..................... 16,623 5 Pennsylvania ................ 12,055 Illinois ...................... 12,533 Illinois ...................... 14,606 6 Illinois ...................... 11,755 Pennsylvania ................ 12,335 Pennsylvnaia ................ 12,857 7 Ohio ....................... 11,082 Ohio ....................... 11,479 Ohio ....................... 12,287 8 Michigan .. ...... ........... 9,521 Michigan ...... ............. 10,040 Michigan ................... 11,290 9 New Jersey ................. 7,873 New Jersey ................. 8,413 New Jersey ................. 9,776

10 North Carolina ...... .... .... 6,890 Georgia '" , ................ 7,249 Georgia .................... 8,230

Source: Table 1.

ix

that cover only the 1990's (starting with 1993), followed Regional Population Growth. Short term trends-1993 by the long term results which cover the 27 years ending to 2000. The West and South are projected in the in 2020. Results are presented for regions, followed by preferred series to be the fastest growing regions in the States. The short term subsections are likely to be more United States (table A). During this short period, the accurate (for a discussion 9n the decline in accuracy West and South will increase by 18 and 13 percent, over the projection horizon, see section on forecast respectively. Although the West is growing the fastest, error in past projections). The long term summary of the South is expected to add more persons (7.9 versus trends is provided for users that need lengthier 7.1 million). projections.

x

Table C. Projections of the 10 Fastest Growing States, Ranked by Percent of Population Growth for Each Series: 1993 to 2020

(Series A, B, C, and 0 reflect different interstate migration assumption)

Period and rank of percent population growth Series A-Preferred Series Series B Series C Series D

1993 TO 2000

1 ...................... Nevada Alaska Nevada California 2 ...................... Idaho Nevada Washington Utah 3 ...................... Alaska Washington Florida Hawaii 4 ...................... Utah California California Alaska 5 ...................... Washington Hawaii Hawaii Texas 6 ...................... Colorado Utah Arizona Nevada 7 ...................... Arizona New Hampshire Oregon New Mexico 8 ...................... New Mexico Colorado Idaho Arizona 9 ...................... Hawaii Georgia Georgia New York 10 ..................... Oregon Florida Utah District of Columbia

2000 TO 2010

1 ...................... California Alaska California California 2 ...................... Hawaii Nevada Hawaii Utah 3 ...................... Washington Hawaii Arizona Alaska 4 ...................... Utah Washington Florida Hawaii 5 ...................... Nevada California Nevada Texas 6 ...................... Arizona Utah Alaska New Mexico 7 ...................... Wyoming Idaho Washington Idaho 8 ...................... New Mexico Oregon Georgia Arizona 9 ...................... Texas Arizona New Mexico Nevada 10 ..................... Oregon Colorado New Hampshire New York

2010 TO 2020

1 ...................... Hawaii Hawaii Hawaii California 2 ...................... California Alaska California Utah 3 ...................... Washington California Arizona Hawaii 4 ...................... Oregon Nevada Florida Alaska 5 ...................... Arizona Washington Nevada Texas 6 ...................... New Mexico Utah Washington New Mexico 7 ...................... Texas Idaho Alaska Arizona 8 ...................... Florida Oregon New Mexico Nevada 9 ...................... Utah Arizona Georgia Idaho 10 ..................... Nevada Montana Oregon New York

Source: Table 1. Based on July 1, 1993, 2000, 2010, and 2020 projections.

During the 1990's international migration is expected of trends during the 1980's when the South and West to play the major role in the population growth of the accounted for 84 percent of the 22 million persons West, while both internal and international migration will added to the Nation's population. 9

be important contributers to growth of the South. The The Midwest is projected to add 7.8 million persons slow population growth of the Northeast and Midwest is during the period 1993 to 2020, which will be almost

attributed to net internal outmigration to other regions double the number added in the Northeast. The average annual growth in all regions except the Northeast is (see section on components of population change expected to decline. below for details).

The South is the most populous region of the United Long term trends-1993 to 2020. The fast growth States. The second most populated region in the Nation

projected for the initial 7 years in the South and West in 1993, the Midwest, is replaced by the West shortly appears also for the long term. During the 1993 to 2020 period, the South and West are each expected to

9Based on 1980 and 1990 census figures reported in U.S. Bureau increase by nearly 28 million persons. The South and of the Census, Statistical Abstract of the United States: 1992, (112th West combined are projected to account for 82 percent edition), Washington, DC, 1992, table 23, p. 21. For a detailed

of the 68 million persons added to the Nation's popula discussion of past trends _see U.S. Bureau of the Census, Current Population Reports, Series P23, No. 175, Population Trends in the

tion over the 27 years. This is essentially a continuation 1980's, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, DC, 1992.

•

after the year 2000. Factors that contribute to the rapid growth or decline in regions are discussed below in the components of change section.

State Population Growth. Short term trends-1993 to 2000. During the 1993 to 2000 projection period the most populous State, California is expected to increase its share of the Nation's population (from 12.2 percent in 1993 to 12.6 percent in 2000).

New York is projected to be the second most populated State in 1993 (18.2 million persons), followed by Texas (18.0 million). Both of these States represent about 7 percent of the Nation's population. One year later, the two States will have switched places. By 2000, 7.3 percent of the Nation's population is expected to reside in Texas compared with 6.6 percent in New York. In addition, by the year 2000, Georgia is projected to replace North Carolina as the 10th most populous State (see table B).

Over the 7 year period only three States show a net increase of more than a million persons: California (3.5 million), Texas (2.1 million), and Florida (1.6 million). The only population losses projected are in Massachusetts (-42,000), District of Columbia (-40,000), Connecticut (-7,000), and Rhode Island (-6,000).

Long term trends-1993 to 2020. The State with the largest population, California, is projected to continue to grow rapidly. California accounted for 12 percent of the Nation's population in 1993, by 2020 it is projected to represent 15 percent. Besides natural increase, international migration will contribute to California's rapid growth. Nevertheless, California is projected to have substantial out-migration to other States.

In the year 2020, 8 percent of the Nation's population is projected to reside in Texas (the second largest State after replacing New York in 1994) compared to 6 percent in New York. Florida is projected to replace New York as the third largest after 2015, while Illinois replaces Pennsylvania in fifth place by 2005. Wyoming, with the smallest share of the Nation's inhabitants now (0.2 percent), is replaced by the District of Columbia after the year 2000.

The average annual rate of change among the 50 States and the District of Columbia will vary greatly during the 1990's (figure 1). Nevada is expected to have the most rapid growth (average annual rate of change at 3.2 percent) with the District of Columbia at the other end of the continuum with population loss (-1.0 percent). After 2000, the average annual rate of change for the States will narrow substantially (figures 1 and 2). California will have the most rapid growth (average annual rate of change at 1.8 percent) compared to West Virginia with the least (zero). Results for the 27-year period suggests that the trend is toward slower growth for most States: For example, during the 1993 to 2000 period, 25 States are projected to have an average

xi

annual rate of change at 1.0 percent or greater, compared with only 15 States during the 2010 to 2020 period.

Besides expecting the most rapid growth during the 1993 to 2000 period, Nevada, the 38th largest State in 1993, will have the greatest drop in the average annual rate of change. The decline of average annual rate of change for Nevada (1.1 perdent during the 2010 to 2020 period) is projected to be due to the decline of internal in-migration.

The District of Columbia with the least growth during the 1993 to 2000 period, is expected to show a reversal of trends (from an average annual rate of change at -1.0 percent during the 1993 to 2000 period to 1.0 percent during 2010 to 2020). The District of Columbia's turnaround in growth is due to the projected decline of internal out-migration.

Even though growth rates for most States are projected to decline, the few States during 1993 to 2000 with negative growth are projected to have a turnaround. For example, during the 1993 to 2000 period, the District of COlumbia and three States, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, and Connecticut are projected to have negative growth rates. However, during the 2010 to 2020 period no negative growth rates are projected. West Virginia (with 0.1 percent during 2010 to 2020) is expected to have the lowest average annual rate of change.

Components of Population Change

Regional Components of Change. Short term trends-1990 to 2000. 10 During the 1990's, the South is expected to have both the largest number of births (14.0 million) and deaths (8.1 million). The least births are expected in the Northeast (7.3 million). The fewest deaths are expected in the West (4.2 million).

During the 1990's, the internal migration component shows a great deal of variation among the regions. The South is expected to have the largest net gain of internal migrants (3.4 million) during the 10-year period. The Northeast will have the largest net loss (-3.3 million). Net internal migration in both the Midwest (-0.3 million) and the West (0.2 million) will be small.

Net international migration is expected to be high for all regions (West 4.0 million, South 2.1 million, and Northeast 2.0 million) except the Midwest (0.7 million).

Long term trends-1990 to 2020. The South is projected to account for more births (44 million) and deaths (29 million) in the population than any of the other three regions. The West ranks second among the regions with the most births (34 million), and at the bottom with the smallest number of deaths (15 million).

10There is a shift in showing results for 1990 to 2000 rather than 1993 to 2000 since the components of population change are only presented quinquennially for comparison purposes.

Figure 1.

Projected Average Annual Percent Change in State Populations: 1993 to 2000

Source: Preferred series, table 1.

Figure 2.



Under 0.5

0.5 to 0.9

0.9 to 1.4

_ 1.4ormore

United States 0.9

Figure 3.



United States 0.8

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Migration plays a major role in regional differences in York (with 1.7 million) will have more deaths than growth during the 30 years. The South is projected to Florida (1.5 million) and Texas (1.4 million) during the have the largest gains from net internal migration, while 1990's. Other States with at least 1 million deaths are the Northeast and Midwest will have the largest losses. Pennsylvania, Illinois, and Ohio. Nevertheless, the large losses through internal out Florida, with a gain of 1.2 million net internal migrants, migration for the Northeast and Midwest are projected is the only State to gain more than 1 million persons to nearly balance out due to gains from immigration. from net internal migration during the 10-year period. In

Over the 1990 to 2020 period, population growth in contrast both California and New York are projected to the South is projected to increase rapidly. The compo lose at least 2 million persons through net internal nents of this rapid change are a high rate of natural migration. increase (many births minus few deaths),11 high net Although California and New York are expected to internal in-migration, and high immigration. Most of the have the largest net internal migration losses in the growth in the West is projected to be due to natural Nation during the 1990's, these States are also proincrease and net immigration. Net internal migration is jected to show the largest gains through international projected to be marginally negative in the West. migration. The two States combined will account for

more than half (52 percent) of the international migraState Components of Change. Short term trends-1990 tion. California will make up for losses in net internal to 2000. Over the 10-year period, 11 States are pro migration by attracting a net of 3.5 million international jected to have 1 million or more births. California, Texas, migrants. Even though New York is expected to have and New York are expected to be the leaders with 6.1, the second largest number of international migrants (1.1 3.3, and 2.8 million births, respectively. Seven States million) in the Nation, this number does not compensate are expected to have at least 1 million deaths. The State for the loss of 2.0 million persons through out-migration with the most deaths is California (with 2.3 million). New to other States.

Long term trends-1990 to 2020. During the 1990 to

11 The surplus of births over deaths in a population for a given time 2020 period, five States are projected to have 5 million period is referred to as "natural increase". or more births: California (20 million), Texas (11 million),

I

xiv

New York (8 million), Florida (6 million), and Illinois (6 million). Three of these States will have 5 million or more deaths: California (8 million), Florida (6 million), and New York (5 million). Among the five States, California and Texas are expected to have twice as many births as deaths. Furthermore, California and Texas alone are projected to account for more t~an one-third of the Nation's growth from the surplus of births over deaths.

During 1990 to 2020, West Virginia (with 2,000 more deaths than births) is expected to be the only State to have a deficit of births. However, examining the three decades separately reveals no States with a deficit of births during 1990 to 2000, but the deficit for West Virginia (with 5,000 more deaths than births) shows during the 2000 to 2010 period. During the 2010 to 2020 decade, Florida jOins West Virginia, and is projected to have 36,000 more deaths than births (compared with 13,000 for West Virginia).

Four States will gain 1 million or more persons over the 30-year period through net internal migration: Florida with nearly 4 million; and Washington, North Carolina, and Georgia with slightly more than 1 million. Four States will lose at least 1 million: New York (5 million), California (4 million), Illinois (2 million), and Michigan (1 million).12

California is prOjected to add the largest number of international migrants (10 million). This would account for more than one-third (39 percent) of the immigrants added to the Nation's population over the 30 year period. Other States prOjected to have major gains of a million or more persons from immigration are New York (3.4 million), Texas (2 million), Florida (2 million), New Jersey (1 million), and Illinois (1 million).

Over the three decades, the net population change13

(figure 4) will be most evident in 8 States (California, Texas, Florida, Washington, Georgia, North Carolina, Virginia, and Arizona). They will account for 60 percent of the net population change in the United States. The net population change for California (i8 million), Texas (9 million), and Florida (6 million) combined is expected to account for 43 percent of Nation's total growth during this period.

Race and Hispanic Origin

Race was classified into four major groups: White; Black; American Indian, Eskimo, and Aleut (AIEA); and Asian and Pacific Islander (API). Throughout this report,

12F~r a detailed discussion of past internal migration trends, see Larry Sink, "Trends In Internal Migration in the United States," U.S. Bu~eau of the .Census, Current Reports Series, P25, No. 175, PopulatIon Trends m the 1980's, U.S. Government Printing Office Wash-ington, DC, 1992. '

13Net population change refers to the number of persons added to (subtracted from) the base population (in this instance the July 1, 1990 State population and the ending point July 1, 2020) due to births, deaths, and net internal and international migration.

the term "American Indian" or the abbreviation "AIEA" was used to represent the entire race group American Indian, Eskimo, and Aleut. The term "Asian" or the abbreviation "API" refers to the race group Asian and Pacific Islander. These four major groups sum to the State totals, while data for persons of Hispanic origin are treated separately and are not additive. Hispanic origin was considered an ethnicigroup, not a race group. Therefore, persons of Hispanic origin may be of any race (see appendix C for a detailed definition).

Regional Growth of Race Groups. Short term trends-1993 to 2000. The West and South regions (with an average annual change of 1.4 and 1.1 percent, respectively) are projected to experience the fastest growth in the White population. The average annual change for Whites in the Midwest is low (0.4 percent). The White population is projected to decline in the Northeast (-0.1 percent) during the 7 -year period. The average annual change for Whites is relatively low in comparison to the other race groups.

During the 1993 to 2000 period, the White population is projected to increase by 11 million. The South and West combined will account for most of this growth (88 percent of the net population change for Whites), while the Northeast is expected to have a net loss (of nearly 200,000).

In all four regions of the Nation, the Asian population is projected to be the fastest-growing among the race groups. Their average annual change during 1993 to 2000 ranges from 4.0 percent in the Northeast to 6.6 percent in the South. This rapid growth will result in 3.2 million Asians being added to the United States population during this period. More than half (54 percent) of the 3.2 million are projected for the West region.

The Black population is projected to be the second fastest-growing race group in the South and Northeast (with an average annual rate of change of 1.6 and 1.0 percent, respectively), while it is the third fastest growing race in the West (1.8 percent) and Midwest (1.5 percent). The South would gain more than half (56 percent) of the 3.3 million Blacks added to the Nation's population during 1993 to 2000.

During 1993 to 2000, American Indians are the second fastest-growing among the race groups in the West (with an average annual change of 2.0 percent) and Midwest (1.7 percent). The annual average change is low in the South (0.9 percent), and is projected to be negative for the Northeast (-1.7 percent).

Long term trends-1993 to 2020. In all four regions of the Nation, the White population is projected to be the slowest-growing among the race groups during the 1993 to 2020 projection period. During this period, the White population is projected to account for slightly more than half the absolute increase in the Nation's population in only two regions, the West and South. Eighty-nine percent of the 40 million Whites added to

Figure 4.

Net Population Change, by State: 1993 to 2020

West Virginia

District of Columbia

North Dakota 1993 to 2000

Vermont _ 2000 to 2020

Rhode Island

South Dakota

Maine

Delaware

Wyoming

Iowa

Montana

Alaska

Nebraska

New Hampshire

Connecticut

Massachusetts

Mississippi

Idaho

I Kentucky

Kansas

Arkansas

Pennsylvania

Hawaii

New Mexico

Nevada

Indiana

Wisconsin

Oklahoma

Ohio

Louisiana

Utah

Michigan

Missouri

"Minnesota

New York

South Carolina

Alabama

New Jersey

Colorado

Maryland

Oregon

Tennessee

illinois

Arizona

Virginia

North Carolina

Georgia

Washington

Florida

Texas 16.6

California

-2 0 2 4 6 8 10

Source: Preferred series, table 1. (In millions)

xv

I,

I I,

f I

fi ~

t ! I I I 1-ill

l [ f

•

xvi

the U.S. population will be located in these regions. By 2000, Whites will comprise 80 percent or more of Over the 27-year period, the West will replace the the population in 35 States, down from 39 States in Midwest as the second largest region for the White 1993. In 2000, the greatest proportion of Whites in any population. Although growth in the White population is State are found in Vermont and Maine (98 percent the most rapid in the West, the South will continue to each), compared to the smallest proportion in Hawaii have the largest share of the Nation's White population. (45 percent) and the District of Columbia (33 percent).

Asians are the third largest of the four major- race Among Blacks the largesf~population gains are progroups in the Nation, and the fastest-growing race jected for Florida, California, Texas, and Georgia between group in all regions. The Asian population is projected to 1993 and 2000 (table D). Only the District of Columbia have the greatest gains in the West with an increase of and West Virginia are expected to show a net Black 8 million persons (57 percent of the total added to the

population loss. U.S. Asian population during 1993 to 2020).

In all regions except the West, the Black population is Asians are projected to have the largest net populaprojected to be the second fastest-growing among the tion gains in California (1.4 million, between 1993 and

race groups and have the second largest gain in abso 2000). By 2000, 40 percent of the Nations 12 million

lute population among the four race groups. More than Asians are expected to reside in California.

half the 13 million Blacks added to the United States American Indians, Eskimos, and Aleuts are projected during 1993 to 2020 will be in the South. to have the largest population gains in the States of

American Indians are projected to be the second Arizona, New Mexico, Alaska, and Oklahoma during the fastest-growing population in the West during 1993 to 1993 to 2000 period. The American Indians, Eskimos, 2020. Nearly three-quarters (73 percent) of the 1 million and Aleuts in 21 States are projected to show no growth American Indians added to the Nation's American Indian or net losses. population will be located in the West. Long term trends-1993 to 2020. In 1993, States State Growth of Race Groups. Short term trends-1993 with the largest share of the Nation's White population to 2000. During the 7-year period, States projected to are projected to be California with 25 million Whites have the largest net population gains for Whites are (12 percent of the Nation's total White population), California (1.8 million), Texas (1.6 million), and Florida Texas (7 percent), New York (7 percent), Florida (5 (1.1 million, see table D). Whites are projected to have percent), and Pennsylvania (5 percent), see table E. net population losses during this period in New York, Among these five States in 2020, only New York (with 5 Rhode Island, Connecticut, District of Columbia, and percent of the Nation's White population) and PennsylMassachusetts. vania (4 percent) are projected to have a smaller share

Table D. States With the Largest Net Population Change, Ranked by Race and Hispanic Origin: 1993 to 2020

(In thousands. As of July 1)

Pe- White Black American Indian Asian Hispanic origin 1

riod and Popula- Popula- Popula- Popula- Popula-rank State tion State tion State tion State tion State tion

1993 to

2000

1 California ....... 1,823 Florida ......... 391 Arizona ......... 48 California ....... 1,381 California ....... 1,999 2 Texas .......... 1,618 California ....... 289 New Mexico .... _ 30 New york ....... 182 Texas .......... 1,272 3 Florida ......... 1,089 Texas .......... 261 Alaska .......... 20 Texas .......... 180 Florida ......... 530 4 Washington ..... 637 Georgia ......... 260 Oklahoma ...... 20 Washington ..... 147 Illinois .......... 248 5 Georgia ......... 463 Maryland ....... 211 South Dakota ... 16 Illinois .......... 128 Arizona ......... 230

1993 to

2020

1 California ....... 8,894 Florida ......... 1,522 Arizona ......... 178 California ....... 6,160 California ....... 8,904 2 Texas .......... 5,883 California ....... 1,419 New Mexico ..... 137 New york ....... 751 Texas .......... 5,401 3 Florida ......... 3,808 Texas .......... 1,050 Alaska .......... 93 Texas .......... 676 Florida ......... 2,370 4 Washington ..... 2,024 Georgia ......... 972 California ....... 82 Washington ..... 582 Illinois .......... 1,060 5 Georgia ......... 1,423 New york ....... 854 Oklahoma ...... 79 Illinois .......... 471 Arizona ......... 1,021

1 Persons of Hispanic origin may be of any race.

Source: Series A-Preferred Series, table 3.

xvii

Table E. States With the Largest Population, Ranked by Race and Hispanic Origin: 1993,2000, and 2020

(In thousands. As of July 1)

White Black American Indian Asian Hispanic origin 1 Year and Popula- Popula- Popula- Popula- Popula-rank State tion State tion State tion State tion State lion

.• 1993

1 California ..... 25,164 New York ..... 3,185 California ..... 280 California ..... 3,525 California ..... 8,585 2 Texas ........ 15,330 California ..... 2,430 Oklahoma ..... 270 New York ..... 795 Texas ........ 4,901 3 New york ..... 14,099 Texas ........ 2,175 Arizona ....... 237 Hawaii ........ 686 New York ..... 2,319 4 Florida ........ 11,530 Florida ........ 1,960 New Mexico ... 151 Texas ........ 410 Florida ........ 1,803 5 Pennsylvania .. 10,724 Georgia ....... 1,879 Alaska.· ....... 96 Illinois ........ 348 Illinois ........ 1,016

2000

1 California ..... 26,987 New york ..... 3,391 Oklahoma ..... 290 California ..... 4,906 California ..... 10,584 2 Texas ........ 16,948 California ..... 2,719 Arizona ....... 285 New york ..... 977 Texas ........ 6,173 3 New york ..... 13,819 Texas ........ 2,436 California ..... 276 Hawaii ........ 681 New york ..... 2,498 4 Florida ........ 12,619 Florida ........ 2,351 New Mexico ... 181 Texas ........ 590 Florida ........ 2,333 5 Pennsylvania .. 10,834 Georgia ....... 2,139 Alaska ........ 116 Illinois ........ 476 Illinois ........ 1,264

2020

1 California ..... 34,058 New york ..... 4,039 Arizona ....... 415 California ..... 9,685 California ..... 17,489 2 Texas ........ 21,213 California ..... 3,849 California ..... 362 New York ... " 1,546 Texas ........ 10,302 3 Florida ........ 15,338 Florida ........ 3,482 Oklahoma ..... 349 Texas ........ 1,086 Florida ........ 4,173 4 New york ..... 13,487 Texas ........ 3,225 New Mexico ... 288 Hawaii ........ 875 New york ..... 3,031 5 Pennsylvania .. 10,804 Georgia ....... 2,851 Alaska ........ 189 Washington ... 859 Illinois ........ 2,076

1Persons of Hispanic origin may be of any race.

Source: Series A-Preferred Series, table 3.

of the Nation's White population than in 1993 (com Among the States, the largest share of the Nation's pared to increases for California to i 3 percent, Texas to Asians are prOjected to reside in California in 1993 (40 8 percent, and Florida to 6 percent). percent of the Nation's 8.8 million Asians) . Other States

with high proportions of the Nation's Asian population The State of New York, with 3 million Blacks, is are New York (9 percent), Hawaii (8 percent), Texas (5

projected to have the largest share of the Nation's Black percent), and Illinois (4 percent). In 2020, California

population (10 percent) in 1993. Other States with large (with 43 percent of the Nation's 22.7 million Asians) shares of the Nation's Black population are California (8 remains number 1 with the largest share, followed by percent), Texas (7 percent), Florida (6 percent), and New York (7 percent), Texas (5 percent), Hawaii (4 Georgia (6 percent). By 2020, all of the States with the percent), and Washington (4 percent). Together these largest share of the Nation's Black population in 1993 five States will account for nearly two-thirds (62 percent) are projected to increase their share (California to 9 of the Asian population in 2020. percent, Florida to 8 percent, Texas to 7 percent, and

Growth of Hispanic Origin Population. Short term Georgia to 6 percent), except New York (9 percent). trends-1993 to 2000. The Hispanic-origin population is More than one-third (39 percent) of the Nation's Black projected to account for one-third of the growth in the population is projected to reside in these five States by Nation's population (6 million Hispanics out a total of 18 2020. million persons added to the United States population

During 1993, California, with 280,000 American Indi during 1993 to 2000). The largest share of growth for ans, is projected to have the largest share of the the Nation's Hispanic population will occur in the West Nation's American Indian population (13 percent). The and South. Both regions combined will account for 81 other leading States with the largest proportion of the percent of the 6 million Hispanics added to the Nation Nation's American Indian population are Oklahoma (13 during 1993 to 2000. percent), Arizona (1 i percent), New Mexico (7 percent), In 1993, only five States will have a Hispanic-origin and Alaska (4 percent). By 2020, Arizona with 415,000 population of 1 million or more persons. The States, in American Indians is projected to have the largest share rank order, are California, Texas, New York, Florida, and of the Nation's American Indians (13 percent), followed Illinois. By the year 2000, New Jersey and Arizona are by California (12 percent), Oklahoma (11 percent), New projected to add 200,000 Hispanics each, increasing Mexico (9 percent), and Alaska (6 percent). More than the number of States with 1 million or more HispaniCS to half the American Indian population (52 percent) is seven. In 2000, one-third of the Nation's Hispanic prOjected to reside in these five States by 2020. population will live in Califomia (with 10.6 million persons-up

xviii

from 8.6 million in 1993). Although New York ranks athe State with the third most populous Hispanic-origipopulation, over the 1993 to 2000 period, it will have thsmallest absolute gain in Hispanics among the seveStates with a million or more Hispanics.

Long term trends-1993 to 2020. The Hispanic origipopulation is projected to increase rapidly over the"199to 2020 projection period, accounting for 38 percent othe growth in the Nation's population (26 million Hispanics out of a total of 68 million persons added to theNation's population). Although the rate of populationchange is projected to be high in all regions except theNortheast, the absolute number of Hispanics is projected to increase the most in the West (13 million) andSouth (9 million), and the least in the Northeast andMidwest (2 million each). Even though the Hispanicorigin population growth in the Northeast is the slowestamong the regions, the Hispanic population accountsfor more than half the region's projected absolutepopulation increase (58 percent of the 4 million personsadded to the Northeast during the 1993 to 2020 periodare Hispanic).

The Hispanic-origin population is expected to increase its share of the total population in each region. The Hispanic population comprise a substantially larger share of the total population in 2020 than in 1993 in the West (29 percent in 2020, up from 20 percent in 1993), South (14 percent, up from 9 percent), Northeast (12 percent, up from 8 percent), and the Midwest (6 percent, up from 3 percent).

In 1993, nearly three-quarters (74 percent) of the Nation's Hispanic-origin population will reside in five States. California with 8.6 million will have the largest share of the Nation's Hispanic population (34 percent) followed by Texas (20 percent), New York (9 percent), Florida (7 percent), and Illinois (4 percent). California's Hispanic population will double over the projection period (17.5 million, 34 percent of the total Hispanic population in 2020). While Texas will remain in second place (with 20 percent of the Hispanics in 2020), New York (with 6 percent) will switch from third to fourth place with Florida (8 percent) and Illinois will remain in fifth place (4 percent).

s n e n

n 3 f

Age Distribution

Youth population. Short term trends-1993 to 2000. Throughout the 1993 to 2000 period, the Nation's youth (ages 0 to 19 years of age) are projected to remain about 29 percent of the total population. The regions show some variation over the projection period. In .1993, the West is projected to have the largest proportion of its population under 20 years of age (30 percent) in comparison with the smallest in the Northeast (27 percent). The Midwest and South regions would be in the middle (29 percent). Over the 7-year period, the

overall ran kings by region are not expected to change. By 2000, the proportions under 20 years of age in the West and Northeast are projected to be 31 and 27 percent, respectively.

At the State level, trends appear to vary. Over the 7 -year period starting in 1993, 29 States (including the District of Columbia) are projected to show a decline in the proportion of youth in their populations. In i 993, Utah had the highest proportion of its population under 20 years of age (39 percent) followed by Alaska (35 percent). By 2000, Utah declines to 38 percent, while Alaska remains virtually unchanged. At the opposite end of the spectrum, the 1993 proportion of youth in the District of Columbia (22 percent) and Florida (25 percent) are among the lowest. The percent under 20 years of age is projected to decline slightly by the year 2000 in the District of Columbia (21 percent) and Florida (25 percent-down less than 0.5 percentage points).

Long term trends-1993 to 2020. Over the long term the Nation's youth population is projected to decline as a fraction of the total population. In 2020, the Nation's youth is projected to be 27 percent of the U.S. total. This is a drop of 2 percentage pOints over the 27 year period. During this period all regions are expected to show a decline in the proportion of the population that is under 20 years of age. In 2020, the West will continue as the leader with the greatest proportion of population under 20 years of age (28 percent) while the Northeast will have the smallest (25 percent).

All States follow the national and regional trends during the period. Every State, including the District of Columbia, is projected to show a decline in the proportion of population that is under 20 years of age. In 2020, Utah is the State with the highest proportion of its population under 20 years of age (35 percent), followed by Alaska (34 percent). States projected with the smallest proportion of population under age 20 are the District of Columbia (21 percent) and Florida (22 percent).

Elderly population. Short term trends-1993 to 2000. The proportion elderly (aged 65 years and over) is projected to increase in aI/ regions, by less than 1 percentage point. In 2000, the Northeast is expected to have the largest proportion of elderly at 14 percent of any region, while the West will have the smallest at 11 percent. Both the Midwest and South are projected to have 13 p~rcent.

In 2000, Florida will have the largest proportion of elderly (20 percent, up 1 percentage point since 1993) of any State. Over the 7 year period, Florida will have the greatest increase in its share of elderly. Alaska, the State with the smallest proportion of its population classified as elderly (4 percent), will remain virtually unchanged over the 7 -year period.

Long term trends-1993 to 2020. The size of the elderly population is projected to increase in all States

Figure 5.

Percentage of Population Under 20 Years of Age, by State: 2020


Less than 25.0

United States 26.5

Figure 6.

Population 65 Years of Age and Over, by State: 2020 In thousands


Under 300

300 to 699

699 to 1200

_ 1200 and over

United States 53,340

xix

xx

over the 27 years. During this period California and Florida would continue to rank 1 st and 2nd, respectively, in having the largest number of elderly (figure 6). While New York and Pennsylvania ranked 3rd and 4th,

. respectively in 1993, by the year 2020 they are expected to drop to 4th and 5th place. Texas would move from 5th place in 1993 to 3rd place by the year 2020.

Although Alaska is projected to have the least elcferly among the States over the 27 -year period, it will have a high average annual rate of change in the elderly population (3.8 percent). In Alaska, the number of elderly persons is expected to double over the 27-year period.

The population 65 plus is expected to double in the top eight States with the fastest-growing elderly population. The States with the most rapid growth of the elderly population in rank order are Nevada, Arizona, Colorado, Washington, Georgia, Utah, Alaska, and California. These States are projected to have an average annual rate of change for the elderly that ranges from 4.5 to 3.8 percent between 1993 and 2020. The projections show that more than half the States will have an average annual rate of change at 2 percent or greater during 1993 to 2020.

The aging of the Baby Boom population after 2010 will have a dramatic impact on the growth of the elderly population. By the year 2020, the survivors of the Baby Boom will be between the ages of 56 and 74. The average annual rate of change in the proportion of population 65 years and over for States shows only minor growth or loss during the periods 1993 to 2000 and 2000 to 2010. During the period 2010 to 2020 all States shows a rapid acceleration in the growth of the elderly population. Most of the projected growth of the elderly population is concentrated in the West and South.

In 1993, Florida is expected to have the largest proportion of elderly (19 percent) of any State and Alaska would have the smallest at 4 percent. By 2020, Florida would remain the leading State with one quarter of its population classified as elderly. To further illustrate the rapid growth in elderly populations, in 1993 only five States are projected to have at least 15 percent of their population in the elderly category. By 2020 that number would grow to 41 States.

Dependency ratio. Short term trends-1993 to 2000. The dependency ratio indicates the number of youth (under age 20) and elderly (ages 65 and over) there would be for every 100 people of working ages (20 to 64 years). In 1993 the projected dependency ratio is the highest in the Midwest (73) and the lowest in the Northeast (68), while the South (71) and West (70) fall in the middle. By 2000 all regions show a slight increase in the dependency ratio.

The trend in the dependency ratio varies amon~ the States. In 1993 and 2000, the St[ltes with the highest

dependency ratios will be Utah (87 per 100, down from 93 in 1993) and South Dakota (83 per 100, down from 86). In 2000, Florida, Arizona, and New Mexico will be among the top five States with the highest dependency ratios. These States replaced Idaho, North Dakota, and Mississippi among the top five States in 1993.

Long term trends-1993 to(, 2020. In 1993 the projected dependency ratio for re'gions ranges from 73 to 68 per 100. By 2020 all regions show an increase in the dependency ratio, while the range among the regions narrows. Both the South and Midwest, are projected to have the highest dependency ratio (76 per 100 adults), while the West (75) and Northeast (73) have the smallest.

The States projected to have the highest dependency ratios in 1993 are Utah (93 per 100), South Dakota (86), Idaho (82), North Dakota (79), and Mississippi (79). The lowest dependency ratios are projected for the District of Columbia (54), Virginia (62), Nevada (63), Alaska (63), and Maryland (63). Over the projection period many States switch places. By 2020, States with the highest projected dependency ratios will be Florida (89), Utah (89), Arizona (87), South Dakota (85), and New Mexico (83). The lowest dependency ratios in 2020 will be among the District of Columbia (52), Nevada (65), Alaska (66), Colorado (68), and Virginia (68). Generally, States with the highest dependency ratios have slightly more than half their population in the working age group and the remaining proportion in the youth and elderly categories. In 1993, Utah is expected to have the highest dependency ratio due to its disproportionately large youth population. By 2020, Florida replaces Utah in first place, due to the growth of its elderly population.

METHODOLOGY

Overview

These State population projections were prepared using a cohort-component method by which each component of population change-births, deaths, State-toState migration flows, international in-migration, and international out-migration-was projected separately for each birth cohort by sex, race, and Hispanicorigin.14 The basic framework was the same as in past Census Bureau projections. However, in the absence of detailed components for some race and Hispanic origin groups the necessary starting point components were derived by indirect standardization from the starting pOints used in the national projections.

14The race groups projected were White; Black; American Indian, Eskimo, and Aleut; and Asian and Pacific Islander. Persons of Hispanic origin may be of any race (see appendix C for a detailed definition).

<:b~

HI C>

Figure 8.

Ratio of Youth and Elderly Per 100 Adults, by State: 2020

Source: Number of persons under 20. years of age and age 65 and over per 10.0. persons 20. to 64, table 4.

Under 73.0.

73.0. to 75.0.

Figure 7.

Percentage of Population 65 Years and Over, by State: 2020


Less than 15.0.

15.0. to 16.4

16.4 to 16.9

_ 16.9 or over

United States 16.4

xxii

The cohort-component method is based on the traditional demographic accounting system:

P1 = Po + B - D + DIM - DaM + 11M - 10M

where: P 1 = population at the end of the period Po = population at the beginning of the period B = births during the period . D = deaths during the period DIM = domestic in-migration during the period DaM = domestic out-migration during the period (Both

DIM and DaM are aggregations of the Stateto-State migration flows)

11M = international in-migration during the period 10M = international out-migration during the period

To generate population projections with this model, we first created separate data sets for each of these components. The assumptions and procedures by which these data were generated by single year of age, sex, race and Hispanic origin are described in the following sections. In general, the assumptions concerning the future levels of fertility, mortality, and international migration are consistent with the assumptions developed for the national population projections released by the Census Bureau. 15

Once the data for each component were developed, it was a relatively straightforward process to apply the cohort-component method and produce the projections. For each projection year the base population for each State was disaggregated into the four racial categories (White; Black; American Indian, Eskimo, and Aleut; and Asian and Pacific Islander), by sex, and single year of age (ages 0 to 85+). The next step was to survive each age-sex-race group forward 1 year using the pertinent survival rate. The internal redistribution of the population was accomplished by applying the appropriate State-to-State migration rates to the survived population in each State. The projected out-migrants were subtracted from the State of origin and added to the State of destination (as in-migrants). Next, the appropriate number of immigrants from abroad were added to each group. The populations under age 1 ~~re .created by applying the appropriate age-race-speclflc birth ~ates to females of childbearing age. The number of births by sex and race were survived forward and exposed to the appropriate migration rate to yield the population under age 1. The final results of the projecti~n process w~re adjusted to be consistent with the national population projections by Single years of age, sex, and race. The entire process was then repeated for each year of the projection. This same process was repeated for t~e HispaniC origin population separately. A complete· diScussion of each component follows.

-15 See U.S. Bureau of the Census, Current Population Reports, Series P25-11 04, op. cit.

Base Population

The base population of these projections is the estimate of the July 1, 1992, resident population of States by sex and single years of age. 16 However, to begin the projection system, the base population of each state must be further disaggregated into the four race categories. Such detailed information was available only for April 1, 1990. The race categorization from the 1990 census used in these projections was different from those used for census publications. The census counts were modified by age, race, and sex (MARS file) to correct for age misreporting and the reporting of an "Other" or unspecified race in the 1990 census. 17

Population projections were prepared for four race groups: White; Black; American Indian, Eskimo, and Aleut (AIEA); and Asian and Pacific Islander (API). These four major groups sum to the State totals, while data for persons of Hispanic origin are treated separately and are not additive.

I n order to generate the detailed race and Hispanicorigin information for each State on July 1, 1992, the modified census counts for each race on April 1, 1990 are carried forward to July 1, 1990, 1991, and 1992 with the basic cohort-component approach previously described. ,The appropriate mortality, fertility, international migration and State-to-State migration rates were used. The initi~1 estimates of State populations by race and HispaniC origin for July 1, 1990, 1991, and 1992 were further adjusted to be consistent with both the corresponding mid-year estimates of (1) the resident population of States by sex and Single years of age, and (2) the resident population of the United States by sex, race, Hispanic origin, and single years of age. 18

The population data shown in this report are for the resident population of each State. They include the members of the Armed Forces in the United States where they reside. They exclude Armed Forces overseas and match the published national projection totals. 19

Because of the marked differences in migration behavior exhibited by persons in the military, the projection of the military population was handled separately. Prior to the first step in the projection cycle, the military population in each State by sex, race, and single years of age was subtracted from the resident population. After the

16Consistent with the U.S. Bureau of the Census, Current Population Reports P25-1106 State Population Estimates by Age and Sex: 1980 to 1992, by Edwi~ R. Byerly, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, DC, 1993.

17U.S. Bureau of the Census, 1990 CPH-L-74, "Age, Sex, Race, and Hispanic Origin Information from the 1990 Census: A Comparison of Census Results with Results where Age and Race have been Modified," August 7, 1991. .

18Consistent with the U.S. Bureau of the Census, U.S. Population Estimates, by Age, Sex, Race, and Hispanic Origin: 1990 to 1992, Frederick W. Hollmann, 1993.

19See U.S. Bureau of the Census, Current Population Reports, Series P25-11 04, op. cit.

application of the appropriate mortality, fertility, international migration and State-to-State migration rates, the military population was added back to the State population. For these projections, the estimates of the military population in each State were assumed to remain constant at the July 1, 1992 levels.20

Fertility

Projections of births occurring in each State arbased upon 1) the projected number of females ochildbearing age in each state, and 2) an assumption onthe rate at which these women will bear children. Thefirst step for each projection year was to develop anapproximation of the female population exposed to thepossibility of childbearing. This population was the average of 1) the female population of each race/ethnicgroup by single years of age from age 14 through 49 atthe beginning of the year, and 2) the same populationprojected for the next year.

The next step in the projection process was thedevelopment of the appropriate age-race/ ethnic-specificfertility rates (ARSFR) for each State. Assumptionsabout future levels of fertility used in these projectionswere consistent with the middle series fertility assump

21 tion used in the national population projections. Ingeneral, the national projections assume a slight increasein the levels of fertility from a total fertility rate of 2.07 in 1993 to an ultimate level of 2.15 children per woman in the year 2050.22 The national projections provide a setof annual age-race/ ethnic-specific birth rates for each projection year. Levels of fertility are assumed to slightlyincrease for Whites (from 1.97 children per woman in 1992 to 2.05 in 2050), and slightly decrease for Blacks (2.47 to 2.45), American Indians ( 2.78 to 2.72), Asians (2.51 to 2.13), and Hispanics (2.90 to 2.47).

State projections require an additional assumption about the differentials in these rates by State. The projected fertility differences across States were based on recent vital statistics for 1988 to 1990 and national fertility patterns. There was considerable variation in the total fertility rates and the age patterns of childbearing

2°Data available were (1) national totals of resident military by branch of service and age, sex, race, and Hispanic origin, and (2) station strength by State (50 States, plus DC) and branch of service. It was assumed that age, sex, and race/ethnic distributions by branch of service at the national level applies to each State branch of service total.

21See U.S. Bureau of the Census, Current Population Reports, Series P25-1104, op. cit., for a complete discussion of the method used to develop these assumptions.

22Total fertility rates are for the twelve months ending on July 1.

e f

xxiii

among States for the different race/ethnic groupS.23Existing differentials in State ARSFR's are assumed toremain constant throughout the projection period.24

The initial number of 1990 total births by State ofresidence were based on the ratio of final 1989 totalbirths by State of residence to provisional 1989 births by State of occurrence. This ratio was multiplied by the provisional 1990 total births by State of occurrence. Thefinal State births were adjusted prorata to the total number of births estimated for the 1990 fertility starting points in the national population projections.

The 1990 pattern of births by age of mother for Whites and Blacks in each State were based on the State distribution of the 1988 births, by age and race. Some race/ethnic groups at the State level do not have readily available detailed births by age of mother (such as, Hispanic origin, American Indian, and Asian). For each of these groups the corresponding 1990 national pattern of ARSFR's were applied to the States 1990 census distribution of females in childbearing ages. The resulting births by age of mother and race for each State were weighted to the 1990 national totals. The final births were divided by the State's 1990 census distribution of females in childbearing ages to obtain the final ARSFA's. More precisely, the Hispanic, AIEA, and API State pattern of fertility were assumed to be identical with the national patterns. The results were starting point 1990 fertility rates by age of mother (in 5-year age groups) for (1) Whites, (2) Blacks, (3) American Indians, (4) Asians, and (5) Hispanic origin. The rates for single years of age were obtained by interpolating between the rates for 5-year age groups.

Furthermore, for the ultimate fertility levels it was assumed that there will be no convergence of State fertility to National levels. The differential by race/ ethnicity for the ultimate fertility level are identical with those made in the national projections.

Detailed Fertility Assumptions. In the absence of detailed fertility data, 1990 starting points were estimated using indirect standardization. Many assumptions were made to approximate 1990 births by age, race/ ethnicity and State of residence in the absence of the complete or final detailed data from the National Center for Health Statistics. The most recent fertility data were 1) 1988 total births for White, Black, American Indian, and Asians, by State of residence; and by

23Historical patterns of age-race-specific birth rates for States can be derived from fertility data published by the National Center for Health Statistics and decennial census data. For Whites, data are available for 1950, 1960, 1970, and 1980; and for Blacks, 1970 and 1980 only.

24See O'Connell, Martin, "Regional Fertility Patterns in the United States, Convergence or Divergence?", International Regional SCience Review, Vol. 6, No.1, 1981

xxiv

age of mother for White, Black, and Other races,25 by State of residence; 2) 1988 total births by Hispanic origin for each of 29 States, plus the District of Columbia, by State of residence and by age of mother for the sum of the 29 States, plus the District of Columbia; 3) 1989 and 1990 total births by State of occurrence, (provisional data); and 4) 1989, total births by State of residence, by 'race of mother' for White, Black, and Other races. 26 Additionally, there were national ARSFR's for 1990, 1992, 1993, and 2020,27

1990 Births for Whites and Blacks. Preliminary 1990 births by State of residence were derived from the ratio of final 1989 births by State of residence to provisional 1989 births by State of occurrence, multiplied by the provisional 1990 births by State of occurrence. The preliminary 1990 State births were adjusted prorata to

1990 28 the estimated national number of total births.The final 1990 total State births for Whites and

Blacks were accepted and distributed using the NCHS 1988 final births by State of residence and age of mother in 5-year age groups.29 The single year of age fertility rates were obtained by applying the Sprague interpolation formula to the 5-year age groups.30

1990 Births for American Indians and Asians. At the State level, AIEA and API births were obtained by indirect standardization using detailed 1990 national AIEA and API births, by age of mother; 1990 national ARSFR's; 1989 State Other race's total births; 1988 State AIEA and API total births; and the 1990 State census distribution of women in childbearing ages.

The 1990 State pattern of ARSFR's for AIEA and API were accepted as identical with the 1990 national AIEA and API patterns. The 1990 national ARSFR's were applied to 1990 State census distributions of females in

25NCHS combines American Indian, Eskimo, and Aleut; and Asian and Pacific Islander into the "Other" race category.

26National Center for Health Statistics, Unpublished data, 1992; and National Center for Health Statistics, Vital Statistics of the United States 1988, Vol. I, Natality, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, DC, 1990.

27See U.S. Bureau of the Census, Current Population Reports, Series P25-1092, Population Projections of the United States, by Age, Sex, Race, and Hispanic Origin: 1992 to 2050, by Jennifer Cheeseman Day, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, DC, 1992; for 1990 data; and Current Population Reports, Series P25-1104; for 1992, 1993, and 2020 data.

28The method of iterative proportions was used to distribute prorata the 1990 State births for Whites, Blacks, and Other races to the corresponding 1990 national births. For details on the method of iterative proportions, see Shryock, Henry S., and Jacob S. Siegel, et aI., 1971, op. cit., table 22-14, p. 708.

29The national total of annual births in 1990 were estimated at 4.2 million. The State births by age were raked to the national level using the method of iterative proportions. .

30The ARSFR's for ages 15 and 16 years of age were obtained by linear interpolation between ages 14 and 17 for the United States. Whenever the Sprague formula resulted in negative interpolated values between ages 42 and 47 years of age, then linear interpolation was used. For a discussion on Sprague interpolation, see Shryock, Henry S. and Jacob S. Siegel, et aI., 1971, op. cit., p. 688.

the childbearing ages. The results were weighted to the 1989 total State Other races births, by State of residence and 1990 national levels of births to API and AIEA. (The proportions of 1989 Other race's births were separated into AIEA and API groups using the 1988 distribution of AIEA and API births). These final births by age of mother for AIEA and AP;I were then applied to the corresponding 1990 State census distribution of females in childbearing ages. The results were the initial point ARSFR's for the AIEA and API populations.31

1990 Births for HispaniC Origin. Similar to the ArEA and API fertility starting pOints, the 1990 State pattern of age-specific fertility rates (ASFR's) for Hispanics were accepted as identical with the 1990 national Hispanic fertility pattern. In other words, the 1990 United States Hispanic ASFRs were applied to 1990 State census distribution of females in the childbearing ages. The results were weighted to both the 1989 total State births, by State of residence (for the 29 States with available data and the remaining total States) and to the 1990 national Hispanic births, by age of mother. States without fertility data were assumed to have the United States pattern for Hispanics. The final 1990 Hispanic births by age of mother were then applied to the 1990 State census distribution of women in the childbearing ages. This produced the starting point ASFR's for the Hispanic-origin population.

Projected Births, by Race/Ethnic Group. To project the State birth rates forward to each year through 2020, annual changes in the projected national birth rates were applied to the individual State rates calculated in 1990. The results were annual projections of the agerace/ ethnic-specific birth rates through the year 2020 for each State. The total number of projected births were calculated as the product of the State age-race/ ethnicspecific birth rates times the appropriate female population. Once the number of births were obtained for each projection year, the national race/ethnic-specific sex ratio at birth was used to divide the births into males and females. This yields births for each race/ethnic-sex group during the projection year. As a final step, the number of births, by sex and race/ethnic group, were survived to the end of the year, and "migrated" from State-to-State and moved between the United States and abroad using the procedures described below. The results were the projected population under age 1 on July 1 of each projection year for every race/ethnic-sex group in every State.

Mortality

In brief, the overall mortality assumptions were similar to those used in the previous set of State population

31The Sprague interpolation formula was used to split the 5-year age groups into single years of age.

I I I r

I I

I I

~

projections.32 First, the initial survival rates were created. Next, the middle series of the national population projections were used to derive future trends in mortality for the States.

Data used to estimate the State survival rates in the State population projections model were as follows: (1) 1988 total deaths for American Indian and Asian populations, by sex and State of residence, and for the Hispanic origin population in each of 29 States, by State of residence from the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS);33 (2) 1989 total deaths in 5-year age groups by State of residence, for White, Black, and Other races from NCHS;34 and (3) 1990, 2000, and 2050 unabridged National life tables by sex for the total, White, Black, American Indian, Asian, and Hispanic populations created for the national population projec

35 tions at the U.S. Bureau of the Census.In the absence of 1990 or later State level mortality

data from NCHS a set of survival rates by age, sex, and race/ ethnicity for States were developed by indirect standardization. Basically, the approach used was to assume that the pattern of deaths in 1990 for the States were a weighted combination of 1990 national and 1989 and/or 1988 State mortality patterns, by age, sex, and race/ ethnicity. These weight factors were used to adjust the national survival rates to State levels by age, sex, and race/ethnicity.

A detailed description of how indirect standardization was used to obtain State survival rates by age, sex, race, and Hispanic origin follows:

1990 Survival Rates for Whites and Blacks. Here are the detailed steps used to develop the initial survival rates for Whites and Blacks:

1. Obtain estimated 1990 State age-sex-race-specific deaths.36 The 1989 distribution of State deaths by age, sex, and race were moved to 1990 by prorating the 1989 State figures proportionately to the 1990 national distribution of deaths by age, sex, and race.

2. Calculate expected 1990 State age-sex-race-specific deaths. The 1990 national age-sex-race-specific death rates (ASRDR's) were multiplied by the corresponding States 1990 census populations (modified age, race, and sex file - MARS file).

3. Prorate expected 1990 State age-sex-race-specific deaths to the 1990 national age-sex-race-specific deaths.

32U.S. Bureau of the Census, Current Population Reports, Series P-25, No. 1053, op. cit., p. 5.

33National Center for Health Statistics, Vital Statistics of the United States 1988, Vol. II, Mortality, Part A, 1991, tables 1-22 and 1-34.

34National Center for Health Statistics, unpublished data, 1992. 35For more details on 1990 U.S. life tables, see Current Population

Reports, Series P25-1092, op. cit., 36The initial data are in 5 year age groups which includes under 1,

and 1 to 4 years of age.

xxv

4. Obtain proxy 1990 national ASRDR's as 1 minus the 1990 national age-sex-race-specific survival rates (proxy '1990 national ASRDR's = 1 - 1990 national age-sex-race-survival rates).

5. Final 1990 State ASRDR's obtained by multiplying the proxy 1990 national ASRDR's by the ratio of the estimated 1990 State age-sex-race-specific deaths to the corresponding expected 1990 State age-sexrace-specific deaths.

6. The resulting proxy 1990 State ASRDR's were converted to 1990 State age-sex-race-specific survival rates (1990 State age-sex-race-specific survival rates = 1 - proxy 1990 State ASRDR's). To derive 1990 survival rates for single years of age, each ratio (or weight factor) was applied directly to the center point of the 5 year age groups (i.e., for ages 5 to 9 the center is 7 years of age). The remaining pOints between the center points (i.e., points between 7 and 12 years are 8, 9, 10, and 11) were derived from linear interpolation. The 1990 State survival rates for age 1 were obtained by linearly interpolating the 1990 State survival rates at ages 0 and 2 and using the 1990 National sex-agerace-specific survival rates at ages 0, 1, and 2 (rather than the actual numerical age category). The 1990 State age-sex-race-specific survival rates for ages 83 and 84 years of age were obtained by linearly extrapolating on the 1990 State age-sexrace-specific survival rates for ages 77 and 82.

1990 Survival Rates for American Indians and Asians. In the absence of recent detailed mortality data for the

American Indian and Asian populations, survival rates were created using the following steps:

1. Obtain expected 1990 State age-sex-race-specific deaths. These deaths were calculated by multiplying the 1990 national age-sex-race-specific death rates (ASRDR's) by the corresponding 1990 Census population distributions (MARS files) for States.

2. Prorate the expected 1990 State age-sex-racespecific deaths to the 1990 national age-sex-racespecific deaths.

3. Adjust prorata the expected 1990 State age-sexrace-specific deaths to the 1988 State total deaths for each race.

4. Prorate the expected 1990 State age-sex-racespecific deaths to the 1990 State Other race's deaths.3?

5. Obtain expected 1990 State age-sex-race-specific death rates (ASRDR's). These rates were derived from the expected 1990 State age-sex-race-specific deaths divided by the corresponding 1990 census populations distributions for States (MARS file).

371n this instance, the NCHS Other race's category is comprised of American Indian, Eskimo, and Aleut; and Asian and Pacific Islander.

xxvi

6. Finally, the expected 1990 State age-sex-racespecific deaths were divided 'Jy the corresponding1990 national age-sex-race-specific deaths to obtainweight factors. The resulting factors were multipliedby the corresponding proxy 1990 national ASRDR's(proxy 1990 national ASRDR's = 1 - 1990 nationalage-sex-race-specific survival rates). The same procedure used to split the five year age groups *intosingle year State survival rates for White and Blackpopulations was applied to the American Indian andAsian populations.

1990 Survival Rates for Hispanic Origin. Using limitedmortality data for Hispanics, survival rates were createdusing the following steps:

1. Calculate estimated 1990 State total Hispanic deaths for each of 29 States (plus the District of Columbia) with Hispanic-origin data. The estimated 1990 State total Hispanic deaths were obtained by prorating the 1988 State total Hispanic deaths for each of 29 States to the 1990 national level using the ratio of the 1990 national total Hispanic deaths to the 1988 State total Hispanic deaths (for 29 States with Hispanic-origin data plus a combined estimate for the remaining 21 States).

2. Obtain expected 1990 State Hispanic age-sex-specific deaths by multiplying the 1990 national Hispanic age-sex-specific death rates (ASDR's) by the corresponding States 1990 Census population distributions (MARS files).

3. Prorate the expected 1990 States Hispanic age-sexspecific deaths to the 1990 national Hispanic agesex-specific deaths.

4. For each of 29 States with Hispanic deaths, obtain a ratio (or weight factor) by dividing the estimated 1990 State total Hispanic deaths by the expected 1990 State total Hispanic deaths.

5. The resulting factors for each State were multiplied by the proxy 1990 national Hispanic ASDR's which yields the proxy 1990 State Hispanic ASDR's (proxy 1990 national Hispanic ASDR's = 1 - 1990 national Hispanic age-sex-specific survival rates for single years of age).

6. Finally, the resulting proxy 1990 State Hispanic ASDR's, for each of 29 States were converted back to 1990 State Hispanic age-sex-specific survival rates (1990 State Hispanic age-sex-specific survival rates = 1 - 1990 State Hispanic ASDR's). The 1990 national Hispanic age-sex-specific survival rates were accepted for the remaining 21 States that did not have Hispanic mortality data.

Projected Survival Rates. The assumptions about future levels of mortality used in these projections are consistent with the middle series mortality assumptions used

in the national population projections.38 Those projections assume an increase in overall life expectancy from 75.9 years in 1993 to 82.6 in 2050. National level projections provide annual estimates of survival rates for 1990 and 1992, and annual projections of the survival rates by single years of age, sex, and race/ ethnicity for each year from 1993 through 2050.

The data sources cited aboye and indirect standardization were used to estimate the base year 1990 survival rates by single year of age and sex for White, Black, American Indian, ASian, and Hispanic origin populations. In terms of future trends, the final step involved projecting the initial sets of State survival rates by single years of age, sex, race, and Hispanic origin to 1992 and each year 1993 to 2020. To project the rates forward, the projected annual change in the national survival rates by single years of age, sex, race, and Hispanic origin for each year 1990 to 2020 was applied to each set of State rates. Throughout the projection period, we assumed that the existing patterns of State differentials in mortality remain unchanged.

International Migration

For this set of State population projections, foreign and domestic migration components were projected separately. In general, assumptions on the overall levels and the age, sex, and race/ ethnicity distribution of the international migration components were consistent with the levels and distributions used in the most rece.nt set of national projections issued by the U.S. Bureau of the Census.39 These projections assumed a constant level of net international migration at an annual level of 880,000 to the end of the projection cycle. The level of net immigration assumed in 1992 by race/ ethnicity comprised 482,000 Whites, 81,000 Blacks, 0 American Indians, 317,000 Asians, and 322,000 Hispanics. These estimates were from the middle series of the national population projections.

The foreign migration component was furtt:rer disaggregated into the following components: total foreign immigration, total emigration, and the flows of migrants between the United States and Puerto Rico. This annual net international migration assumption at 880,000 persons was comprised of 1,040,000 immigrants (which includes 800,000 legal and refugee immigrants, 200,000 undocumented immigrants, 20,000 Puerto Rico immigrants, and 20,000 civilian citizens) and 160,000 emigrants.

The age, sex, and race/ethnic distribution of the various international migration components were based on the most recent data available. For total foreign

38See Current Population Reports, Series P25-11 04, op. cit., for a complete discussion of the methodology used to develop these assumptions.

39U.S. Bureau of the Census, Current Population Reports, Series P25-1104, op. cit.,

immigration, we used the appropriate average age-sexrace/ethnic distribution found in Immigration and Naturalization Service (INS) data for the July 1, 1980, toJuly 1, 1985, period.4o The composition of the emigrantpopulation was based on the existing pattern developed at the Census Bureau for the years 1960 to 1970.41

Puerto Rican migrants were distributed accord.ing to the age-sex pattern of net movement from 1975 to 1980. Once the overall level and the age, sex, and race distribution of each international migration component was determined, the components were distributed to each State, as described below.

Emigration. Rates of emigration were applied to the base population of each State to develop the number of emigrants leaving each State. The emigration rates were based on the assumption used in the nationallevel projections of 160,000 emigrants leaving the United States each year. The foreign born population comprises the largest share of the emigrant population.42 To compute the rates for each State, the distribution of 160,000 emigrants by age, sex, and race was allotted to States based on the distribution of the foreign-born population in the 1980 Census. Using this distribution as the numerator and the total 1980 population of each State as the denominator, a rate of emigration was calculated for each State. Although the rates of emigration were assumed to remain constant throughout the projection period, the number of emigrants from each State and the total numbers from the United States changed throughout the projection period because of the projected changes in the base population of each State.

Flows Between United States and Puerto Rico. Another portion of the overall international migration component was the flow of persons between each State and Puerto Rico. For these projections, these flows were projected using sets of State-to-Puerto Rico and Puerto Rico-to-State migration rates based on 1980 decennial census data on residence in 1975. Although the decennial data were for a 5-year migration interval, they were the only data available on the separate flows of migrants between the United States and Puerto Rico. To convert the decennial migration data to a i-year migration interval, we assumed for simplicity that there was no return or repeat migration and obtained the annual flow by dividing the 5-year flow by five. In addition, since there were no current data to update this beginning set of rates, we assumed they remain constant throughout the projection cycle. Even so, the total

4°lmmigration and Naturalization Service, 1985 Statistical Yearbook of the Immigration and Naturalization Service, September, 1986.

41Warren, Robert and Jennifer Marks Peck, "Foreign-Born Emigration from the United States: 1960 to 1970", Demography, Vol. 17, No.1, February 1980.

42ibid.

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number of persons moving between the United States and Puerto Rico changes throughout the projection period because of projected changes in the base population of each State and Puerto Rico.

Total Foreign immigration. The remaining components of international migrationponsist of legal aliens, undocumented aliens, and the net movement of U.S. citizens. For convenience, we refer to this component as total foreign immigration. However, unlike the total emigration and Puerto Rico components of international migration which were sums of the calculations at the State level, the total number of foreign immigrants entering the United States was calculated prior to the distribution to each State. For these projections, the net international migration by age, sex, and race was assumed to equal the numbers used in the national projections. Given the national total and the projected emigrants and net movement between the United States and Puerto Rico already calculated in the model, the total number of foreign immigrants entering the United States was calculated as a residual.

Once the projected foreign immigration to the United States was calculated, it was distributed to each State. Decennial census data includes both legal and undocumented immigrants and provides an adequate basis for distributing foreign immigration to States, by age, sex, race, and Hispanic origin in the projection. Unpublished data used to distribute the foreign immigrants were from the 1990 census distribution of total foreign-born migrants by State of residence entering the United States between 1980 and 1990. The results were further disaggregated prorata by age, sex, race, and Hispanic origin using 1980 census data on the State of residence of foreignborn persons who entered the United States between 1975 and 1980.

Domestic Migration

Overview and Data Requirements. At the State level, internal migration was the most important and complex component of population change. In general, it was also the component that shows the greatest degree of fluctuation. Unfortunately, migration data are often the least comprehensive of the population data sets. For preparing demographic population projections, a complete migration data set should include timely, up-todate information on in- and out-migration for demographic and geographic disaggregation of the total population. Unfortunately, no single U.S. data source currently meets all these requirements.

In the absence of complete information, there are several choices. One option is to compromise the methodology to accommodate the available data. Another option is to devise techniques to extract and combine the maximum information from available data sets to construct a synthetic data set.

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Historically, we have prepared State population pro 3. The migration data must be available for a i-year jections using both approaches. In early 1983, detailed migration interval. This is not a general requirement, tabulations of migration from the 1980 decennial census but is necessary for cohort-component projections were not yet available.43 The projections published in done on a yearly basis. 1983 utilized a net migration projection system with data 4. The base data should be available on an annual developed as a residual using the 1970 and 1980 basis for a substantial number of time periods, to decennial censuses population counts and vital statis add a more dynamic element to the projection of tics data. The residual rates of net migration were migration rates. Traditional multi-state models and applied to the base population of each State to develop many former methods used at the Census Bureau the projections of net migration. Using this type of assume that the calculated migra~on rates remain approach, States with net in-migration would continue to constant throughout the projection' period. grow and in future decades automatically receive larger

5. Some procedure to update the rates annually should and larger numbers of inmigrants. However, States with be available.

net out-migration would be either growing very slowly or declining, thus contributing fewer a.nd fewer numbers of 6. The migration data must be consistent with the out-migrants. As a result, the sum of all interstate population base of the projection, which is a census

level population estimate.46 migration eventually becomes unbalanced with this procedure and requires greater and greater adjustments to achieve a national balance. A complete discussion of No single United States data source currently meets the inherent problems in a net migration system are all six of these conditions. In the United States, there

discussed in an earlier publication.44 are three major sources of migration data: national surveys (e.g. March supplements to the Current Popu

In the last two sets of State population projections lation Survey), administrative data sets (e.g., migration

issued by the Census Bureau, we used a modified data developed from matched tax returns),47 and the mUlti-state projection system. Multi-state projection or

decennial census. Each data set provides partial infordemographic accounting systems overcome many of mation and depicts unique characteristics of migration the limitations of a net migration approach.45 State-to

patterns, but no one data set possesses all six desired State migration data were used to model migration flows

attributes. between States explicitly. The-rate of moving from one

For these projections, it was necessary to create a origin State to one destination State was calculated and

synthetic data set incorporating information from the applied to the base population of the origin State. Using

three available data sets.4B The three specific data sets this approach in a projection system, the potential

used in these projections include 1) migration data from number of in-migrants to a State were linked to the

the March supplements of the 1976, 1980, and 1981 geographic as well as the age, sex, and race/ethnic

Current Population Surveys (CPS); 2) State-to-State distribution of the population. The use of State-to-State

migration flows by age, sex and race from the 1980 migration rates also ensured that the total for the nation

decennial census; and 3) annual State-to-State migraof all projected internal out- and in-migration was zero,

tion flows for the period 1975-76 to 1991-92 from a necessary ingredient of any multi-state model.

matched Internal Revenue Services (IRS) tax returns. To be used in multi-state demographic accounting A set of synthetiC data was created that incorporates

methods, a migration data set should meet the following the time trends implied by the administrative data and criteria: the demographic dimensions implied by the decennial

and CPS data. The steps used to develop sets of 1. Migration should be expressed as a destination state-to-state migration rates by single years of age,

specific, out· migration rate. To construct these rates, sex, and race for each year in the prOjection cycle are the data base must use state-to-state migration dfscussed in more detail below. streams applied to a base period population.

2. Each of these streams should be disaggregated by 46Th is is not a general requirement, but must be met for the Census Bureau production framework.

the major demographic dimensions (e.g., age, sex, 47See U.S. Bureau of the Census, Current Population Reports, and race). Series P·25, No. 957, Estimates of the Population of States: 1970 to

1983, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, DC, 1984; for a more complete discussion of the development of migration data from the tax return data available from the Internal Revenue Service.

43U.S. Bureau of the Census, Current Population Reports; Series 48Wetrogan, Signe I. and John F. Long, "Creating Annual StateP·25, No. 937, Provisional Projections of the Population of States, by to·State Migration Flows with Demographic Detail by Merging Census, Age and Sex: 1980 to 2000, by Signe I. Wetrogan, U.S. Government Survey, and Administrative Records Tabulations", in U.S. Bureau of Printing Office, Washington, DC, 1983, p. 6. the Census, Current Population Reports, Series P-23, No. 166,

44ibid. Perspectives on Migration Analysis, U.S. Government Printing Office, 45Rogers, Andrei and Frans J. Willekens, Migration and Settle· Washington, DC, 1990, for a complete discussion of the three data

ment, Dordrecht, Netherlands: D. Reidel Publishing Co., 1986. sets.

) I): Development of Base Year Migration Data. The first relative sizes of the American Indian and Asian populastep in this process was to develop an appropriate set tions in the origin and destination States. of beginning migration matrices consisting of annual After a matrix of appropriate age-sex-race-specific State-to-State migration rates by age, sex, and race. migration rates was obtained for each State-to-State The 1975-80 decennial migration data provided a good flow, the elements of this matrix were divided by the beginning framework. Although census data provide average crude migration rate for that flow over the good State-to-State information by age, sex, race, and 1975-80 period. This operation produces a migration Hispanic origin, these data cover a 5-year period. The matrix whose elements ar~ the ratios of age-sex-raceprojections model, however, requires the equivalent specific rates to crude rates, which may be thought of as migration rates for a i-year time frame. a matrix which decomposes crude migration rates (such

Given the effects of return and repeat migration, it as those obtained by our migration projections) into

was not appropriate to simply divide the 5-year rates by agesex-race-specific migration rates.

five. 49 Instead, it was nSQessary to develop an empirical Because we did not have the data necessary to

relationship between the i-year and 5-year migration construct beginning migration matrices for Hispanics, the White portion of the matrices for the total population data. The results of the questions on residence 1 year

earlier in the 1976 and 1981 CPS, were used to develop were used in the Hispanic projections.

an estimated average i-year interstate migration rate for 1975-1980 by single years of age. To produce an Projecting State-to-State Migration Rates. The pro

aggregated 5-year cohort migration rate, the estimated jection methodology required projecting the number of people entering and leaving each State by age, sex, and average i-year interstate migration rates for the approrace/ethnicity for each year of the projection period. priate single years of age groups were summed for the This involved a three step process. First, we projected 5 years. A comparison of the aggregated cohort migra

tion rate with the corresponding 5-year interval migra the total State-to-State migration rates using the administrative data on migration from matched tax returns. tion rate for the 1975-1980 period from the 1980 CPS Next, the beginning migration matrices were used to provides information by single years of age on the disaggregate the total migration rates by age, sex, and relationship of i-year and 5-year migration data. race. Finally, the migration flows entering and leaving

Once the relationship between 5-year and i-year each State were summed to produce the total in- and

interstate migration rates was established using the out-migration by age, sex, and race for each State.

CPS data, it was relatively straightforward to apply this The matched IRS tax returns data set contains 17

relationship to the decennial migration data. The ratios annual observations on each of the 2,550 State-to-State

between the 5-year and i-year interstate migration rates migration flows. The size and detail of this data set offer

within a given age group were applied by age to each so many different options for projection models as to

race-sex specific State-to-State migration rate from the create a special type of problem. Because reliable,

decennial data. comprehensive data on migration have been so scarce

For the current round of projections an additional in the past, professional researchers in this area have refinement was required for the beginning migration not yet developed any consensus as to the best method matrices. In previous projections we have used three for projecting migration. Consequently, we were conrace groups, and the beginning migration matrices were fronted with an overwhelming array of possibilities and constructed with this racial division. However, the cur have little guidance from the professional literature on rent set of projections uses four race groups, and since making a selection. In the previous set of projections it was not feasible to go back to the original data and issued by the Census Bureau, we dealt with this problem build a new set of beginning matrices it was necessary by using several different migration projection models to modify the existing set. Specifically, the beginning and presenting the results as equally-likely alternamigration matrices used in the last two sets of projec tives. 50 While this approach served to emphasize the tions were changed from the White-Black-Other race tentative nature of the methodology and offered users breakdown used in those projections to the White-Black the opportunity to select the approach best suited to American Indian-Asian race breakdown used in this set their own needs, it presented a problem for those who of projections. This was accomplished by means of a wished to use these projections as a standard, since we formula which decomposes Other migration rates into effectively presented them with four different standards. American Indian and Asian migration rates based on the In this set of projections we feature a preferred series

(labelled Series A), which was based on the migration model that our research indicated was the best avail

49See Long, John F., and Celia G. Boertlein, "Using Migration Data able (see model definition below for a description of the from Different Intervals," in U.S. Bureau of the Census, Current Population Reports, Series P-25, No. 166, Perspectives on Migration Analysis, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, DC, 1990; and Rees, Philip, "The Measurement of Migration from Census Data SOSee Current Population Reports, Series P-25, NO.1053, op. cit., and Other Sources," Environment and Planning, Vol. 9, No.3, 1977. pp.9-10.

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xxx

Projection Models for Internal Migration

Model Definitions Series A (Preferred Series) time series model; the first five projection years use the time series projections

exclusively, over the next ten years the projections are interpolated toward the mean of the series, and the last 15 years use the mean exclusively;

Series B economic model; division-to-division migration is regressed against the changes in employment in the origin, the destination, and tile rest of the nation - the regressions ire preformed separately for each origin with indicator variables for the destination, the projected division-to-division flows are allocated to the State-to-State flows based on the State-to-State flows' historic share of the division-to-division flow;

Series C floating mean model; for the first ten projection years the n-th projection is the mean of the n most recent observations, after ten years the projection is the mean of the most recent ten years;

Series D null series; assumes no internal migration.

preferred and alternative series). This migration model but suffers little loss of accuracy as the projection was developed by a research program conducted by the horizon lengthens. Our research indicates that for proCensus Bureau that proceeded in two phases. In the jections ten or more years out the mean predicts more first phase we tested general models suggested by a accurately than our time-series model. Consequently, variety of methodologies to find out what basic type of we varied our migration projection model according to approach seemed most promisrilg~ The results of this the length of the projection horizon. For the first five phase suggested that a time-series approach was best,51 years we used the time series model exclusively, for the Consequently, in the second phase with the assistance next ten years we gradually phased in the mean so that of Edward Frees, we determined the precise form of by fifteen years out we use the mean exclusively. The time-series model best suited for projecting State-to projected rates were held constant at the mean values State migration rates.52 The model we developed can for the rest of the projection period. Simulations suggest be expressed as: that this approach produced reasonably accurate pro

jections for the entire 27 -year projection period. The migration projection model used in Series B is

based upon research conducted for the Census Bureau54, where i, jYi and i, jYt-1 represent, respectively, the first and can be expressed as: differences of the natural logarithms of the migration rates from State i to State j in time periods t and t-1, and b is a constant which is estimated by regression. 53 where:

k,lMt is migration from division k to division I in time We evaluated the performance of these models by period t; withholding the most recent data and using the models

kEMPt is the change in employment in division k to predict the withheld data. Since withholding too much between time periods t-1 and t;

data can adversely affect model performance and thus IEMPt is the change in employment in division I invalidate the comparison, the models of necessity were

between time periods t-1 and t; compared on their short-term performance (Le., their k,lTOT _EMPt is the change in employment in the ability to predict from one to five years out). While the

nation between time periods t-1 and t, time-series model we selected offers the best shortexcluding divisions k and I; term projections, the predictive abilities of time-series

k,l~ is a vector of seven indicator variables which models are known to deteriorate rapidly as the projectogether serve to identify the destination divi-tion horizon lengthens. By contrast, the mean of the sion; time-series (Series B from the last set of State popula

is a vector of seven coefficients corresponding tion projections) does relatively poorly in the short-term to the seven indicator variables in k P; the various kb's are coefficients which are estimated by regression, the subscript k indicates 51Sink, Larry D. "The Efficacy of Economic and Demographic

Models in Predicting Interstate Migration Rates." Paper presented at that the coefficients are estimated separately the Western Regional Science Association Meeting, April 1989. for each origin division.

52Frees, Edward, "Forecasting State-to-State Migration Rates," Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, Vol. 10, No.2, pp. 153-167, 1992. 54Greenwood, Michael J., and Gary L. Hunt, University of Colo

53Differencing and logarithms are standard time-series techniques rado, "Forecasting Interdivisional Migration Flows Using Temporal for reducing the impact of errors in the data. A full description of the Data from the Internal Revenue Service," Unpublished preliminary derivation of this model can be found in Frees, Edward, 1992, ibid. report prepared for the U.S. Bureau of the Census, 1992.

The model is expressed in terms of division-todivision migration since previous research focused on using summation restrictions, which is difficult to do at the State level because of the number of State-to-State flows. 55 However, the model used here can be adapted to the State-to-State level, and we plan to investigate this possibility for the next set of projections. The projected division-to-division flows are allocated to the constituent State-to-State flows based on the State-toState flows' historic shares of the division-to-division flow. The employment projections used here are obtained from the Bureau of Economic Analysis.

The migration model used in Series C was suggested by research results which showed that the most recent observation i,s a good short-term predictor and the over-all mean is a good longterm predictor. For Series C we generalize this relationship to make the model a function of the projection horizon in the following fashion: for the n-th projection year, the model is the mean of the n most recent observations, where n is an integer from 1 to 10; for projections more than 10 years out, the mean of the 10 most recent observations is used. While it would have been possible to allow n to go to 17, the number of years of data currently available, this would have resulted in the last ten projection years using the mean of the entire time series, the same as is done in Series A. We elected to restrict n to 10 in order to make this series a true alternative. Despite the simplicity of this model, it is a good predictor, and on average it is considerably more accurate than the much more complicated economic model used in Series B.

Adjustment to National Projections by Age, Sex, Race, and Hispanic Origin

The final step in the projection model involves adjusting the sum of the State populations by age, sex, race and Hispanic origin to the middle series of the national population projections. 56 Although the State projections system was consistent with the projected national trends in fertility and mortality, the State population projections model incorporates State differentials in mortality and fertility. Thus, the total number of births and deaths calculated in the State projections system does not necessarily equal the numbers developed in the national projections system. The State populations by age, sex, and race/ethnic group in each projection series were adjusted to be consistent with the middle series national

55Greenwood, Michael J., and Gary L. Hunt, "Econometrically Accounting for Identities and Restrictions in Models of Interregional Migration," Regional Science and Urban Economies, Vol. 14, 1984, pp.113-128.

56See Current Population Reports, Series P25-11 04, op. cit., for a discussion of the methodology used to develop these projections.

xxxi

projections of the resident population which were censuslevel projections using the inflation-deflation procedure.57 Therefore, the sum of the annual components of change shown in table 2 may not agree with the annual changes in the total population. The difference between the figures represents the adjustment necessary to bring the sum of States into agreement with the projected U.S. total and is gen-arally small.

SELECTION Of ASSUMPTIONS, SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS, AND fORECAST ERROR

While population projections depend on the mathematical (or judgmental) extrapolation of historical events, i.e., births, deaths, and movement of migrants, in reality these natural and manmade events always deviate from the past patterns and result in forecasting errors. In this section an attempt is made to identify information the users should take into account when judging the validity of these projections. The user is not limited to using the preferred or alternative series. There are other public and private agencies active in the creation of State projections with more or less detailed State results, i.e., some State agencies produce projections using economic or labor force models at the county level. Furthermore, once the 1993 State population estimates are available, there will be an additional source to evaluate the projections in this report.

Selection of Assumptions

The preferred projection series was chosen based on evaluation of selected projections models with different approached to projecting internal migration.58 By withholding the more recent data points in the projections of the internal migration component, the subsequent data points were used to evaluate the projected data points. The accepted time series model appeared to be the most promising.

The alternative series were created to show "reasonably different or likely" projection scenarios. This approach was necessary to maximize variation between the series. 59

57For a discussion of the inflation-deflation methodology, see U.S. Bureau of the Census, Current Population Reports, Series P-25, No. 1045, United States Population Estimates, by Age, Sex, Race, and Hispanic Origin: 1980 to 1988, by Frederick W. Hollmann, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, DC, January 1990.

5BSink, Larry D. op. cit.; and Frees, Edward, op. cit. 591nitially we considered an alternative series that would be

sensitive to internal migration turnaround. Essentially, that model regresses each state-to-state flow against time, test for the presence of a quadratic term , and uses this term in projecting those flows for which it is statistically significant. However, the results did not show much variation from. the time-series model and was not accepted.

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Forecast Error in Past Projections

The evaluation of past State population projections in reports P-25, No. 1017 and P-25, No. 105360 may provide some indication of the accuracy of the projections.61 To evaluate the projections, we compared the projections of total State populations for midyear 1987, 1988, and 1989 with the independent estimates developed for those dates at the Census Bureau. To summarize the results of the comparisons for each series, we used the mean absolute percent error (or MAPE); where;

MAPE = (100/n) .~ [I (projection-estimate) I/estimate]

We developed the overall MAPE's for the United States where n equals 51 and for each census region where n equals the number of States in each region.

In general, projections for Series A and C in report No. 1053 and the projections in report No.1 017 appear to track close to the actual data. For all these series, the mean absolute percent errors were close to 0.5 percent per year. The most important finding was that Series A (which is very similar to our preferred series) in report No. 1053 tracked closest to the estimates' one year ahead of the base population.

As expected, some regional differences were found for the three projections series developed in report No. 1053. The MAPE's calculated for the West (ranging from 0.6 to 1.1) are larger than any other region, while MAPE's for the Midwest (ranging from 0.2 to 0.3) are consistently the smallest.

In this evaluation, the State population projections appear to approximate the population estimates. As expected, the errors in our projections increase with the projection horizon. For the 1989 (3 years ahead) projections in report No. 1017, the MAPE is 1.6 percent.

Earlier sets of State projections also track reasonably well. For example, for State projections prepared in 1965, the MAPE's are 9 percent for the 15 years ahead projection and about 11 percent for the 20 years ahead projection.62

The 1990 age distribution of State population projections in report No. 1053 has been evaluated using the

60U.S. Bureau of the Census, Current Population Reports, Series P-25, No.1 017, Projections of the Population of States, by Age, Sex, and Race: 1988 to 2010, by Signe I. Wetrogan, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, DC, 1988; and Current Population Reports, Series P-25, No. 1053, op. cit.

61Campbell, Paul R., "Evaluation of Recent State Population Projections," Federal Forecasters Conference 1990: Proceedings, 1990; and Wetrogan, Signe I. and Paul R. Campbell, "Evaluation of State Populations Projections," Presented at the Population Association of America, Toronto, Canada, May 3-5, 1990.

62U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, Revised Projections of the Population of States: 1910 to 1985, Current Population Reports, Series P-25, No. 375, 1967; and Wetrogan, Signe I., and Paul R. Campbell, 1990, op. cit.

1990 census. 63 This evaluation was limited to identifying dissimilarities between the overall age structure in the projections and census using the Index of Dissimilarity (D). The results suggest that age distributions in the State population projections are not markedly dissimilar for Whites from the 1990 census (mean D values for the States equal less than 2.0 percent for either sex). In comparison, the results wer~ twice as high for Blacks and 3 times higher for Other races.

No attempt was made in the age study to evaluate methodological sources of error affecting this comparison. For instance, the starting points of the projections (1988 population estimates) are grounded in the 1980 census rE)sults. Consequently, coverage differences in the 1980 and 1990 census results complicate the comparison of the projections with the 1990 census. Besides enumeration errors, any comparison may be further complicated by the quality of administrative records, as well as variation in procedures used to up-date the 1980 census to the 1988 starting point.

Evaluation of the internal migration components of past projections have been undertaken using the 1975-85 Internal Revenue Service (IRS) data.64 The six models tested were the Time-Series model; Straight Regression model; Last Period (constant) model; and Series A, B, and C from report No.1 053. MAPE's were computed for these models as follows: 1) the one year ahead uses 1975-85 data to forecast 1986; 2) the two years ahead uses 1975-85 data to forecast 1987; and 3) the five year ahead uses 1975-82 data to forecast 1987. Comparison of the one-, two-, and five-year ahead MAPE's shows that while predictive power decreases over time as expected, the decrease is fairly gradual. Among the six models the Time-Series appears to be the best, performing slightly better than the Last Period model. Series B appeared to be the worst.. Among the three models used in report No.1 053, Series A appears to be the best.

SUMMARY AND LIMITATIONS OF PROJECTIONS

The State population projections in this report represent wha.t the future population by age, sex and race/ethnic group would be, given the stated assumptions about fertility, mortality, international migration and internal migration trends. They are updates to the projections published in January, 1990 and represent a continuation of our research efforts to use an enhanced methodology that incorporates the annual State-to-State flows of

63Campbell, Paul R., "Evaluating the Age Distribution in State Populations," Federal Forecasters Conferencel1991, Papers and Proceedings of the Conference, Washington, DC, 1991.

64Sink, Larry D., "Evaluating Migration Projections," Paper Presented at Federal-State Cooperative Programs for Population Projections Conference, May 1990.

migrants from matched IRS tax returns together with the demographic detail from the Current Population Survey (CPS) and Decennial Census. Since the CPS and census information are derived from sample data, they are subject to sample variability.65 Much of the methodology and assumptions are in early stages of development. We plan to develop an extensive evaluation of the methods, assumptions, and results of these projections when additional results of the 1990 census are available.

RELATED REPORTS

The table below lists other Current Population Reports containing estimates and projections related to those in this report and specifies the years for which consistent data are provided.

Type of population estimate Years Series or projection covered number

State Estimates By Component ................... 1991 to 1992 CD92·276 By Age and Sex, and Component .. 1980 to 1992 P25·1106 By Age and Component ........... 1970 to 1979 P25-9~8

U.S. Projections By Age, Sex, and Race

Hispanic Origin and Component .. 1993 to 2050 P25-1104

U.S. Estimates By Age, Sex, and Race

Hispanic Origin and Component .. 1990 to 1992 (X) By Age, Sex, and Race

Hispanic Origin and Component .. 1980 to 1991 P25-1095

X Not applicable.

AVAILABILITY OF MORE DETAILED .DATA

The basic product of our methodology was a set of unrounded population data by single years of age, sex, and race for each year, 1993 to 2020, for each state. Due to limited publication space, only a limited amount

65Estimated standard errors and a detailed discussion of the accuracy of the data can be found in U.S. Bureau of the Census, Current Population Reports, Series P·20, No. 377, Geographical Mobility: March 1980 to March 1981, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, DC, 1983, Appendix B; and U.S. Bureau of the Census, 1980 Census of Population, Detailed Population Characteristics, PC80-1-0, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, DC.

xxxiii

of age data were included in this publication. However, more detailed age, sex, and race/origin data are available from the Bureau of the Census in machine-readable form. Selected age data are also available in tabular form. Further information may be obtained by writing to the Chief, Population Division, U.S. Bureau of the Census, Washington, DC, 20~93.

STATE PRODUCED PROJECTIONS

If one's interest is in projections for a single State rather than a consistent set of projections for all States, it may be useful to examine population projections prepared by State agencies. Most States have at least one public agency that prepares population projections at that level; most of these agencies are members of the Federal State Cooperative Program for Population Projections. These State-produced projections represent an alternative to the projections developed by the Census Bureau. Because each State is not required to produce a set of projections consistent with projections for other States, the individual State projections can be based on an assortment of models that incorporate a wider range of variables and data.

Table 7 in this report presents the State population projections that were prepared by each of the partiCipating agencies listed in appendix B. Each of these projections were prepared using the State's own methodological approach and set of assumptions. Therefore, the results presented for one State may not be comparable to the projections presented for an9ther State. In addition, the sum of the State agency produced State population projections are not consistent with the national projections published by the Bureau of the Census. Before using or evaluating the projections shown in table 7, users should contact the individual State agencies to obtain a complete explanation of their methods and assumptions.

ROUNDING OF PROJECTIONS

The population projections in the tables have been rounded to the nearest thousand without being adjusted to group totals, which are independently rounded.

SYMBOLS

In this report, a dash (-) means zero or rounds to zero. A minus sign preceding a figure denotes decrease. NA refers to not available. X refers to not applicable.

Table 1. Total population of Regions, Divisions, and States: 1990 to 2020 - Series A (Preferred Series)

[Numbers in thousands. Resident population. As of July 1. Series A, B, C, and D reflect different interstate migration assumptions See text for explanations J

Projections Estimates

Region, division, and State 2015 2020 1999 2000 2005 2010 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998

1990 1991 1992 1993 325,942 276,241 288,286 300,431 313,116

266,096 268,702 271,257 273,768 United Stales' __________ 263,434 249,391 252,160 255,082 257,927 260,711

REGION AND DIVISION

53,301 54,267 55,352 51,613 51,699 51,788 ~1,885 52,472

Northeast _________________ 51,440 51,531 50,837 50,961 61,118 51,227 51,336 13,406 13,754 14,131 14,527 13,194 13,190 13,192 13,201 13,217

New England _____________ 13,198 13,204 13,195 13,200 13,200 13,199 40,824 38,668 39,065 39,547 40,136 38,336 38,423 38,507 38,587

Middle Atlantic ____________ 38,243 37,633 37,766 37,918 38,027 38,137 66,332 67,619 68,984

63,166 83,514 63;837 85,193 Midwest ___________________ 61,578 61,994 62,401 62,796

59,781 60,240 60,713 61,149 46,998 47,799 44,602 44,806 45,621 46,258 43,335 43,610 43,879 44,139 44,379

East North Central _______ -- 42,091 42,427 42,753 43,048 21,185 18,912 19,031 19,572 20,074 20,621 18,244 18,383 18,522 18,657 18,787

West North Central -- ______ 17,690 17,812 17,960 18,101 107,385 112,485 117,498

95,100 96,180 97,241 102,366 South _____________________ 90,558 91,726 92,873 93,996

85,734 86,903 88,143 89,362 52,709 55,321 57,979 60,610 47,644 48,256 48,853 49,435 50,004

South Atlantic _____________ 47,017 43,732 44,403 45,061 45,720 46,376 17,384 17,941 18,514 19,078 16,331 16,481 16,624 16,762

15,529 15,695 15,858 16,018 16,176 35,992 37,809 East South Central -------- 15,210 15,350 30,476 32,274 34,124

28,690 29,053 29,410 29,766 30,121 West South Central ________ 26,791 27,151 27,554 27,947 28,323

78,746 84,109 61,292 62,286 63,277 88,255 73,412 West ______________________ 57,239 58,273 59,291 60,296

53,039 54,056 55,108 56,189 19,094 20,123 21,147 16,023 16,325 16,614 16,889 18,089

Mountain _________________ 15,384 15,706 13,734 14,036 14,381 14,723 15,057 62,961 46,388 50,167 54,318 58,623 42,890 43,585 44,273 44,968 45,672

Pacific _____________ ---- --- 39,305 40,020 40,726 41,466 42,182

STATE

1,355 1,400 New England 1,236 1,238 1,240 1,265 1,309 Maine ____________________ 1,236 1,236 1,236

1,229 1,234 1,235 1,236 1,236 1,215 1,280 1,341 1,399 1,138 1,144 1,151 1,158 1,165

New, Hampshire ___________ 1,125 1,132 1,108 1,104 1,111 1,118 641 658 587 590 592 607 623 573 576 579 582 584 6,221 6,363 Vermont ________ ------ ---- 564 567 570 5,991 6,097 5,967 5,959 5,953 5,950 5,950

Massachusetts ____________ 5,976 6,012 5,996 5,998 5,992 5,983 998 1,009 1,034 1,061 1,090 1,000 998 998 998

Rhode Island _____________ 1,002 1,001 1,004 1,005 1,005 1,004 3,512 3,617 3,268 3,271 3,319 3,412 3,276 3,274 3,271 3,268 3,267

Connecticut _________ - - ---- 3,287 3,289 3,281 3,278

18,& '4 19,111 Middle Atlantic 18,209 18,221 18,237 18,348 18,546 New York _________________ 18,178 18,189 18,198

18,002 18,055 18,119 18,140 18,159 8,135 8,338 8,562 8,8' 1 9,05~ 7,931 7,974 8,015 8,055 8,095

New Jersey _______________ 7,734 7,753 7,789 7,836 7,885 12,438 12,531 12,656 12,243 12,271 12,296 12,380

12,050 12,093 12,134 12,173 12,210 Pennsylvania _______ ------- 11,897 11,958 12,009

11,756 11,870 East North Central 11,659 11,368 11,413 11,453 11,587 Ohio _____________________ 11,203 11,261 11,318

10,866 10,941 11,016 11,080 11,143 6,190 6,286 6,385 6,488 5,920 5,965 6,007 6,045

Indiana ___________________ 5,769 5,820 5,871 5,557 5,610 5,662 5,717 12,924 13,~18 12,051 12,111 12,168 12,417 12,652 11,708 11,782 11,853 11,922 11,989 10,3:7 Illinois ___________ --------- 11,452 11,541 11,631 9,898 10,033 10,195 9,656 9,693 9,728 9,759

Michigan _________________ 9,575 9,617 9,312 9,380 9,437 9,485 9,531 5,528 5,629 5,737 5,846 5,256 5,301 5,343 5,381

Wisconsin ________________ 5,159 5,208 4,904 4,956 5,007 5,058 5,109

5,127 5,276 5,426 West North Central 4,986 4,706 4,748 4,787 4,824 Minnesota ________________ 4,573 4,619 4,663 4,386 4,432 4,480 4,527 2,981 3,006 3,038 2,907 2,920 2,930 2,965 Iowa _____________________ 2,845 2,861 2,877 2,893

2,780 2,795 2,812 2,828 5,592 5,760 5,940 6,123 5,347 5,377 5,407 5,437

Missouri __________________ 5,255 5,286 5,317 5,125 5,157 5,193 5,224 643 657 676 697 719 638 639 640 642

635 636 636 637 637 796 815 838 863 North Dakota ------------- 638 770 742 750 757 764

704 711 719 727 735 1,752 1,793 1,838 1,885 South Dakota ------------- 698 1,670 1,682 1,693 1,704 Nebraska _________________ 1,644 1,657 1,581 1,593 1,606 1,619 1,632 2,825 2,922 3,025 3,130

2,652 2,676 2,699 2,722 2,523 2,548 2,575 2,601 2,627

Kansas _____ ---------- - --- 2,481 2,495

815 842 871 South Atlantic 789 736 744 752 759

Delaware _________________ 709 718 727 669 680 689 699 5,548 5,782 6,032 6,289 5,180 5,229 5,276 5,322

Maryland _________________ 5,023 5,078 5,130 4,797 4,859 4,908 4,966 537 547 577 607 636 551 545 541 538

595 589 577 567 559 7,728 8,060 8,388 District of Columbia -------- 605 7,398 6,814 6,895 6,972 7,048 Virginia ___________________ 6,558 6,646 6,731 6,206 6,280 6,377 6,468 1,840 1,844 1,842 1,845 1,852

1,828 1,832 1,835 1,838 West Virginia ______________ 1,820 1,824 1,795 1,803 1,812 1,816 7,617 8,002 8,341 8,681 9,014

7,249 7,347 7,441 7,531 North Carolina ____________ 7,049 7,150 6,650 6,736 6,843 6,946 3,932 4,122 4,311 4,501 4,685

3,732 3,773 3,814 3,854 3,893 South Carolina - ___________ 3,660 3,501 3,560 3,603 3,647 9,426 7,535 7,637 8,111 8,553 8,996

6,987 7,102 7,214 7,324 7,431 6,507 6,623 6,751 6,871 16,347 17,372 18,414 19,449

14,663 14,883 15,099 15,313 13,488 13,730 13,973 14,210 14,439 ~1~~1aa_~~~~~=====~=~===== 13,003 13,267

4,160 4,237 4,313 East South Central 4,086 3,911 3,939 3,965 3,989

Kentucky _________________ 3,851 3,881 3,691 3,713 3,755 3,787 3,820 5,791 6,007 6,224 6,434 5,359 5,421 5,481 5,538

Tennessee _______________ 5,228 5,294 4,892 4,953 5,024 5,093 5,161 4,674 4,656 5,044 5,231 4,361 4,404 4,445 4,485

Alabama __________________ 4,229 4,274 4,318 4,050 4,091 4,136 4,182 2,750 2,832 2,918 3,009 3,100 2,683 2,700 2,717 2,733

Mississippi ________________ 2,649 2,668 2,577 2,593 2,614 2,632

2,782 2,893 3,005 West South Central 2,679 2,513 2,535 2,557 2,578

Arkansas _________________ 2,445 2,468 2,491 2,355 2,373 2,399 2,422 4,627 4,808 5,001 5,193

4,404 4,428 4,452 4,478 Louisiana _________________ 4,336 4,359 4,382 4,227 4,254 4,287 4,312 3,382 3,520 3,683 3,852 4,020

3,292 3,313 3,335 3,358 Oklahoma ________________ 3,271 3,151 3,175 3,212 3,231 3,251 22,850 24,247 25,592

19,468 19,755 20,039 21,447 Texas ____________________ 18,291 18,592 18,889 19,180

17,058 17,348 17,656 17,983

996 1,033 1,071 Mountain 920 962 874 887 898 909

809 824 836 849 862 1,454 1,526 1,600 Montana ___ - _ - - - -- -- - - - - -- 801 1,240 1,266 1,290 1,385 Idaho ____________________ 1,126 1,156 1,185 1,213

1,013 1,040 1,067 1,097 658 515 522 559 596 629 480 487 494 501 507

455 460 466 473 4,059 4,309 4,494 4,683 4,871 3,786 3,861 3,932 3,998

3,378 3,470 3,551 3,631 3,710 1,956 2,082 2,211 2,338 ~ciJ~:~g =:=============== 3,311 1,823 1,707 1,737 1,766 1,795 1,549 1,581 1,614 1,645 1,676 4,763 5,074 5,394 5,713

New Mexico -------------- 1,522 4,296 4,367 4,437 3,915 3,994 4,072 4,148 4,223 2,749 Arizona ________ ----------- 3,682 3,748 3,832 2,110 2,148 2,318 2,462 2,606

1,944 1,987 2,030 2,071 1,732 1,770 1,813 1,859 1,901 1,691 1,835 1,935 2,040 2,145

Utah --------------------- 1,571 1,614 1,654 Nevada __________________ 1,429 1,477 1,525 1,218 1,283 1,327 1,379

7,025 7,490 7,960 Pacific 5,850 5,962 6,070 6,570

Washington _______________ 5,376 5,497 5,616 5,735 4,896 5,012 5,136 5,255 3,645 3,876 4,119 4,367

3,249 3,302 3,354 3,404 Oregon ___________________ 3,141 3,195 2,858 2,922 2,977 3,030 3,086 37,771 41,085 44,513 47,953

33,364 33,856 34,364 34,888 California _________________ 32,398 32,884 29,883 30,380 30,867 31,399 31,902 699 745 781 823 866

634 648 663 676 688 554 570 587 603 619 1,327 1,436 1,551 1,678 1,815

1,242 1,263 1,284 1,306 1,137 1,160 1,179 1,200 1,221 ~~!~~ =:============:==== 1,114

2

Table 1. Total Population of Regions, Divisions, and States: 1990 to 2020 - Series 8-(on. [Numbers in thousands Resident population As of July 1 Series ABC and D reflect different interstate migration assumptions See text for explanations 1

Projections Estimates

Regfon, division, and State 2015 2020 1999 2000 2005 2010

1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1990 1991 1992 1993

325,942 276,241 288,286 300,431 313,116 263,434 266,096 268,702 271,257 273,769

United States' __________ 260,711 249,391 252,160 255,082 257,927

REGION AND DIVISION

56,240 57,484 53,010 53,210 54,151 55,102 Northeast _________________ 52,123 52,359 52,586 52,804

50,837 50,961 51,118 51,456 51,792 14,408 14,785 15,214 15,661 13,691 13,780 13,865 13,946 14,025

New E~land _____________ 13,469 13,600 13,204 13,195 13,200 13,336 39,743 40,317 41,026 41,823 ~ 38,668 38,807 38,939 39,064 39,185 ..

Middle tlantic ____________ 38,32 3 38,522 37,633 37,766 37,918 38,120 66,450 68,013 62,398 62,609 63,709 64,954

Midwest ___________________ 61,227 61,468 61,715 61,951 62,178 47,473 59,781 60,240 60,713 60,973 44,013 44,717 45,506 46,465 43,258 43,424 43,582 43,732 43,876

East North Central _________ 43,099 42,091 42,427 42,753 42,930 18,992 19,448 19,984 20,540 18,291 18,369 18,446 18,522 18,596

17,812 17,960 18,043 18,128 18,210 West North Central -------- 17,690

106,118 110,890 115,598 94,558 95,576 96,576 101,384

South _____________________ 90,331 91,386 92,465 93,522 85,734 86,903 88,143 89,248 52,763 55,421 58,049 60,665

47,619 48,236 48,841 49,433 50,014 South Atlantic _____________ 46,355 46,987 43,732 44,403 45,061 45,709 16,868 17,411 18,015 18,604

15,950 16,055 16,158 16,259 16,357 15,350 15,529 15,636 15,742 15,844 33,286 34,826 36,328

East South Central -------- 15,210 29,884 30,204 31,752 28,234 28,556 28,896 29,231 29,560

West South CentraL _______ 26,791 27,151 27,554 27,903 74,256 79,536 84,847

61,718 62,785 63,846 69,042 West ______________________ 57,360 58,457 59,556 60,643 20,914 53,039 54,056 55,108 56,249 18,626 19,779 15,631 15,870 16,106 16,339 17,487

Mountain _________________ 15,141 15,388 13,734 14,036 14,381 14,642 14,894 59,757 63,933 46,680 47,507 51,555 55,631 42,466 43,316 44,168 45,013 45,848

Paciflc ___________ --- ------ 39,305 40,020 40,726 41,608

STATE

1,413 1,464 1,513 New-England 1,305 1,314 1,323 1,367

Maine ____________________ 1,263 1,276 1,286 1,295 1,229 1,234 1,235 1,249 1,355 1,429 1,503 1,573

1,203 1,222 1,240 1,258 1,274 New Hampshire ___________ 1,160 1,183 1,108 1,104 1,111 1,135 675 702 728

611 617 623 649 577 585 593 599 605 6,820 Vermont _______ - - - ---- ---- 564 567 570 6,495 6,651 6,164 6,206 6,232 6,254 6,372

Massachusetts ____________ 6,089 6,133 6,159 1,181 6.012 5,996 5,998 6,045 1,087 1,115 1,148 1,037 1,043 1,049 1,054 1,060

Rhode Island _____________ 1,031 1,004 1,005 1,005 1,014 1,022 3,658 3,749 3,846 3,452 3,472 3,491 3,578

Connecticut _______________ 3,385 3,406 3,431 3,267 3,289 3,281 3,315 3,350

16,856 19,120 19,427 Middle Atlantic 18,398 18,435 18,469 16,504 16,666

New York _________________ 18,253 18,319 18,360 18,002 18,055 18,119 18,187 8,681 8,902 9,142 8,170 8,219 8,267 8,482

New Jersey _______________ 7,934 8,005 8,063 6,117 7,734 7,753 7,789 7,861 12,595 12,780 13,004 13,254

12,246 12,291 12,335 12,375 12,414 Pennsylvanla ______________ 12,136 12,196 11,697 11,958 12,009 12,071

11,679 11,870 East North Central 11,190 11,215 11,238 11,361 11,500

Ohio ___________ " _________ 11,103 11,134 11,163 10,866 10,941 11,016 11,047 11,076 6,371 6,530 5,893 5,922 6,068 6.212

Indiana ___________________ 5,733 5,766 5,799 5,832 5,863 5,557 5,610 5,662 5,698 12,424 12,730 13,056

11,856 11,896 11,935 11,974 12,180 11,631 11,680 11,726 11,770 11,814 9,948 10,110

Illinois ______ ---- -- -- --- --- 11,452 11,541 9,597 9,614 9,698 9,803 9,490 9,512 9,537 9,559 9,579

9,312 9,380 9,437 9,464 5,567 5,737 5,908 5,173 5,204 5,235 5,265 5,412

5,007 5,041 5,074 5,107 5,140 ~i;~~~~n -== = ===== ::: ::::: 4,904 4,956

5,180 5,342 West North Central 4,873 5,020 4,613 4,645 4,675 4,705 4,733

Minnesota ________________ 4,581 4,386 4,432 4,480 4,514 4,548 3,066 2,867 2,902 2,946 3,004 2,834 2,841 2,848 2,854 2,861

2,780 2,795 2,812 2,819 2,827 5,489 5,609 5,737 5,270 5,285 5.299 5,313 5,392

5,193 5,208 5,225 5,241 5,256 654 668 ~::ou;i:::::=:=:==::::::: 5,125 5,157 633 633 635 642 635 634 634 633 633

638 635 636 635 757 781 811 843 North Dakota --------.---- 737 720 723 726 730 733

704 711 714 717 1,697 1,742 1,794 1,849 South Dakota ------------- 698 1,653 1,660 Nebraska _________________ 1,619 1,626 1,633 1,639 1,646

1,681 1,593 1,606 1,612 2,736 2,827 2,932 3,036 2,592 2,608 2,623 2,639 2,654

2,495 2,523 2,540 2,558 2,575 Kansas _____ -- - - - -- -- -- --- 2,481

873 913 South Atlantic 749 757 795 834

Delaware _________________ 715 724 732 741 669 680 689 698 OP6 5,552 5,762 5,979 6,204

5,135 5,188 5,238 5,287 5,334 Maryland ________________ " 5,025 5,081 4,797 4,859 4,908 4,967 558 574 548 545 539 545

571 564 559 554 551 District of Columbia ________ 605 595 589 579 8,087 8,410 6.981 7,060 7,423 7,760 Virginia ___________________ 6,557 6,645 6,732 6,818 6,901

6,206 6,280 6,377 6,467 1,811 1,815 1,827 1,848 1.870 1,812 1,812 1,812 1,812 1,811

West Virginia ______________ 1,812 1,795 1,803 1,612 1,812 8,813 9,200 7,499 7,588 8,009 8,416 7,036 7,130 7,225 7,318 7,409

6,650 6,736 6,843 6,940 4,107 4,287 4,467 4,643 North Ca;olina ------------ 3,806 3,847 3,886 3,924 South Carolina ____________ 3,686 3,727 3,768 3,501 3,560 3,603 3,645 9,156 9,619 7,570 7,678 8,188 8,679

7,000 7,120 7,236 7,350 7,461 6,507 6,623 6,751 6,877 17,312 18,267 19,231

14,657 14,881 15,101 15,318 16,334 13,488 13,724 13,962 14,194 14,428 ~1~~;Jl~a_::===:====::====== 13,003 13,267

4,050 4,153 4,252 Easl South Central 3,837 3,853 3,868 3,883 3,962

Kentucky _________________ 3,788 3,803 3,820 3,691 3,713 3,755 3,772 5,857 6,100 6,334 5,262 5,309 5,354 5,399 5,626

Tennessee _______________ 5,120 5,166 5,214 4,892 4,953 5,024 5,072 5,026 4,375 4,521 4,677 4,852 4,228 4,258 4,288 4,318 4,347

4,091 4,136 4,167 4,198 2,828 2,910 2,992 Alabama------------------ 4,050 2,700 2,759 2,647 2,657 2,688 2,679 2,689 Mississippi ________________ 2,636 2,577 2,593 2,614 2.626

2,751 2,852 2,953 Wesl South Central 2,497 2,518 2,538 2,557 2,653

Arkansas _________________ 2,438 2,456 2,477 2,355 2,373 2,399 2,418 4,604 4,710 4,821 ·4,353 4,371 4,389 4,406 4,424 4,509

Louisiana _________________ 4,319 4,334 4,227 4,254 4,287 4,304 3,578 3,693 3,811 3,305 3,325 3,346 3,366 3,469

Oklahoma ___ " ____________ 3,247 3,265 3,285 3,151 3,175 3,212 3,229 23,571 24,744 19,057 19,328 19,595 19,857 21,121 22.~53

Texas ____________________ 18,230 18,500 18,782 17,058 17,348 17,656 17,953

993 1,053 1,111 Mountain 869 877 886 894 941

Montana __________________ 842 851 680 801 809 824 632 1,561 1,200 1,285 1,373 1,467

1,117 1,134 1,151 1,167 1,184 Idaho ____________________ 1,101 1,013 1,040 1,067 1,064 605 636

501 507 512 541 571 Wyoming _________________ 479 484 490 496

455 460 466 472 4,477 4,726 4,966 3,784 3,843 3,901 3,957 4,224

Colorado _________________ 3,600 3,663 3,724 3,311 3,378 3,470 3,536 1,894 2,005 2,115 2,225 1,683 1,707 1,732 1,756 1,780

1,549 1,581 1,608 1,633 1,658 4,891 5,181 5,475 New Mexico -------------- 1,522 4,144 4,203 4,261 4,320 4,604

3,832 3,899 3,962 4,024 4,084 2,585 2,755 Arizona 2,047 2,079 2,244 2,413 Utah ______ - -- - - - - -- ---- 3,682 3,748

_____________________ 1,881 1,914 1,948 1,981 2,014 1,732 1,770 1,813 1,849 2,047 2,185 1,565 1,597 1,753 1,902

Nevada __________________ 1,397 1,431 1,465 1,499 1,532 1,218 1,283 1,327 1,363

7,087 7,590 8,095 Pacific 6,564 5,569 5,684 5,798 5,912 6,025

Washington _______________ 5,347 5,453 4,896 5,012 5,136 5,240 4,057 4,307 3,293 3,340 3,573 3,812 3,061 3,105 3,152 3,199 3,246

2,858 2,922 2,977 3,018 42,255 45,437 48,655 34,176 34,807 35,436 36,062 39,138

30,867 31,563 32,231 32,892 33,537 948 1,013 g~ffllg,.~ia=:::::=::=::::::: 29,883 30,380 732 809 880 642 681 680 698 715

554 570 587 606 624 1,597 1,725 1,863 1,273 1,298 1,323 1,348 1,471

1,160 1,180 1,202 1,224 1,249 ~~;~fi ::::::::::::::::::: 1,114 1,137

3

Table 1. Total Population of Regions, Divisions, and States: 1990 to 2020 - Series C-Con. [Numbers in thousands. Resident population. As of July 1. Series A, B, C, and D reflect different interstate migration assumptions. See text for explanations 1

Projections Estimates --:-r-" Region, division, and State

1997 1998 1999 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996

288,286 300,431 313,116 325,942 United Stlllea' __________ 266,096 268,702 271,258 273,768 2711,241 249,391 252,160 255,082 257,927 260,711 263,434

REGION AND DIVISION

Northeast _________________ 51,177 61,957 62,141 52,331 S3,2611 64,225 55,294 66,484 50,837 60,961 61,118 61,226 61,336 51,465 51,610

14,578 14,964 New England _____________ 13,303 13,367 13,436 13,508 13,869 14,212 13,204 13,195 13,200 13,201 13,198 13,213 13,250

39,411 40,012 40,717 41,520 Middle Atlantic ____________ 38,474 38,590 38,705 38,623 37,633 37,766 37,918 38,025 38,139 38,251 38,360

Midwest ___________________ 62,750 63,000 63,395 63,664 64,7911 65,982 61,327 68,744 59,781 60,240 60,713 61,149 61,578 61,1189 62,381

44,585 44,769 45,495 46,242 47,100 48,016 East North CentraL ________ 44,141 44,374 42,091 42,427 42,753 43,045 43,338 43,620 43,888

18,810 18,895 19,302 19,740 20,226 20,728 West North Central ________ 18,610 18,716 17,690 17,812 17,960 18,104 18,240 16,369 18,493

South _____________________ 93,679 94,900 115,1124 96,030 101,909 106,852 111,883 116,833 86,734 86,903 08,143 89,363 90,656 91,706 92,816

49,846 50,517 53,667 56,735 59,837 62,897 South Atlantic _____________ 48,462 49,180 43,732 44,403 45,061 45,713 46,385 47,072 47,765

16,518 16,632 17,182 17,697 16,255 18,807 East Soutll Cantral ________ 16,265 16,395 15,210 15,350 15,529 15,699 15,853 15,996 16,133

29,353 29,561 29,781 31,061 32,419 33,790 35,130 West South CentraL ____ " __ 28,919 29,151 26,791 27,151 27,554 27,951 28,316 28,636

Well! ______________________ 711,612 83,681 59,2811 80,296 61,302 62,300 63,315 68,299 73,372 53,039 54,056 55,1011 56,188 57,240 511,274 19,334 20,326 Mountain ______ ". __________ 15,783 15,990 16,192 16,390 17,357 18,332 13,734 14,036 14,381 14,731 15,048 15,322 15,564

Paclfic ____________________ 44,513 45,312 46,116 46,925 50,942 65,040 59,278 63,554 39,305 40,020 40,726 41,458 42,193 42,952 43,724

STATE

New England 1,375 1,419 1,462 Maine ____________________ 1,260 1,270 1,279 1,288 1,332 1,229 1,234 1,235 1,235 1,237 1,242 1,258

1,281 1,350 1,414 1,474 New Hampshire ___________ 1,153 1,169 1,187 1,204 1,108 1,104 1,111 1,120 1,123 1,128 1,139

Vermont __________________ 683 590 596 801 805 625 644 664 564 567 570 573 576 580 585

6,249 6,376 6,518 Massachusetts ____________ 5,985 5,998 6,013 6,032 6,140 6,012 5,996 5,998 5,994 5,981 5,974 5,976

1,072 1,100 1,129 Rhode Island _. ___________ 1,008 1,012 1,017 1,022 1,047 1,004 1,005 1,005 1,003 1,003 1,004 1,006

3,606 3,697 Connecticut _______________ 3,307 3,322 3,338 3,356 3,443 3,522 3,287 3,289 3,281 3,276 3,279 3,285 3,295

Middle Atlantic New york _________________ 19,457 18,205 18,229 18,255 18,284 18,321 18,547 18,799 19,105 18,002 18,055 18,119 18,139 18,161 18,164

New Jersey _______________ 8,012 8,059 8,111 8,165 8,431 8,677 8,934 9,211 7,734 7,753 7,789 7,838 7,882 7,926 7,966

12,537 12,678 12,851 Pennsylvania ______________ 12,168 12,234 12,276 12,310 12,336 12,433 11,897 11,958 12,009 12,048 12,096 12,142

East North Central Ohio _____________________ 11,310 11,357 11,397 11,430 11,544 11,661 11,804 11,963 10,866 10,941 11,016 11,080 11,143 11,203 11,259

Indiana ___________________ 5,918 5,961 5,999 6,032 6,155 6,274 6,400 6,527 5,557 5,610 5,662 5,716 5,770 5,821 5,870

Illinois ____________________ 11,989 12,049 12,103 12,153 12,376 12,621 12,905 13,209 11,452 11,541 11,631 11,707 11,783 11,855 11,924 10,356 10,570 Michigan _________________ 9,682 9,732 9,782 9,826 9,992 10,160 9,312 9,380 9,437 9,484 9,533 9,684 9,634 5,748 Wisconsin ________________ 5,636 5,201 5,241 5,275 5,304 5,328 5,426 5,526 4,904 4,956 5,007 5,058 5,109 5,157

5,395 Weal Minnesota North Central ________________ 4,705 4,744 4,781 4,814 4,955 5,096 5,246 4,386 4,432 4,480 4,527 4,573 4,618 4,662

Iowa _____________________ 2,882 2,887 2,888 2,885 2,872 2,868 2,876 2,892 2,780 2,795 2,812 2,828 2,844 2,859 2,873 5,964 6,142 Missouri __________________ 5,357 5,392 5,426 5,459 5,622 5,78B 5,125 5,157 5,193 5,224 5,255 5,289 5,323

626 633 643 North Dakota _____________ 629 626 624 622 621 638 635 636 637 638 634 631

766 786 809. 833 South Dakota _____________ 737 741 744 747 750 698 704 711 719 727 732 1,768 1,803 Nebraska _________________ 1,664 1,671 1,676 1,661 1,706 1,734

1,581 1,593 1,608 1,819 1,632 1,644 1,654 2,761 2,642 2,930 3,020 Kaneas ___________________ 2,832 2,651 2,668 2,664

2,461 2,495 2,523 2,550 2,573 2,593 2,613

South AtlantiC 932 Delaware _________________ 891 730 741 751 761 770 810 850 669 660 669 699 709 719 6,615 Maryland _________________ 5,221 5,290 5,356 5,420 5,718 6,008 6,309

4,797 4,859 4,908 4,964 5,026 5,089 5,154 548 548 649 564 584 608 634

District of Columbla ________ 549 605 595 589 576 567 559 553 6,666 Virginia ___________________ 8,829 6,924 7,017 7,106 7,515 7,902 6,287 6,206 6,280 6,377 6,470 6,556 6,644 6,734

1,746 1,720 1,703 1,692 West Virginla ______________ 1,810 1,802 1,792 1,783 1,795 1,803 1,812 1,816 1,820 1,819 1,816

8,040 6,455 8,873 9,281 North Carolina ____________ 7,339 7,434 7,526 7,616 6,650 6,736 6,643 6,949 7,046 7,143 7,241

3,976 4,178 4,376 4,581 4,780 South CeroUna ____________ 3,793 3,641 3,888 3,933 3,501 3,560 3,603 3,644 3,693 3,743 9,255 9,763 7,207 7,319 7,433 7,548 7,664 8,206 8,732

6,507 6,623 6,751 6,872 6,986 7,097 15,833 16,890 18,106 19,330 20,533

13,982 14,257 14,536 14,813 15,092 15,364 ~1~~:lI~a_=:::::::=:==:::::: 13,003 13,267 13,488 13,723

East South Contral 4,118 4,185 Kentucky _________________ 3,864 3,864 3,901 3,915 3,927 3,984 4,046 3,691 3,713 3,755 3,790 3,817 3,642 6,213 8,436 Tennesaoo _______________ 5,281 5,341 5,402 5,459 5,513 5,750 5,980 4,892 4,953 5,024 5,094 5,159 5,221

4,434 4,471 4,644 4,618 5,000 5,184 Alabama __________________ 4,314 4,354 4,394 4,050 4,091 4,136 4,183 4,228 4,272 2,853 2,926 2,999 Mississlppl ________________ 2,886 2,698 2,710 2,722 2,785

2,577 2,693 2,614 2,633 2,648 2,662 2,674

Woet South Central 2,546 2,629 2,716 2;810 2,905 Arkansas _________________ 2,480 2,497 ·2,514 2,530

2,355 2,373 2,399 2,423 2,444 2,462 4,580 4,655 Louisiana _________________ 4,350 4,345 4,342 4,343 4,398 4,471 4,227 4,254 4,287 4,313 4,335 4,346 4,351 3,425 3,505, Oklahoma ________________ 3,270 3,266 3,262 3,259 3,294 3,352 3,151 3,175 3,212 3,232 3,250 3,262 3,269

20,760 21,679 22,995 24,066 Texas ____________________ 18,819 19,034 19,227 19,426 19,633

17,058 17,348 17,656 17,963 18,290 18,568

Mountain 867 680 899 923 946 Montana __________________ 860 864 865 866 901 909 824 637 648 855 1,453 Idaho ____________________ 1,393 1,175 1,193 1,207 1,219 1,229 1,261 1,335

1,013 1,040 1,067 1,097 1,126 1,152 500 510 Wyoming _________________ 486 467 485 463 463 485 491 455 460 466 473 480 464

3,851 4,017 4,183 4,354 4,523 Colorado _________________ 3,726 3,759 3,790 3,820

3,311 3,378 3,470 3,555 3,627 3,663 2,129 2,248 New Mexico ______________ 1,693 1,713 1,734 1,755 1,776 1,692 2,009 1,522 1,549 1,581 1,615 1,644 1,670 5,505 5,866 Arizona _____________ - __ - __ 4,111 4,176 4,248 4,325 4,404 4,772 5,136 3,682 3,748 3,832 3,918 3,990 4,051

2,177 2,294 2,415 2,535 Utah _____________________ 1,887 1,993 2,017 2.040 2,063

1,732 1,770 1,813 1,660 1,900 1,936 2,116 2,243 Nevada __________________ 1,547 1,597 1,643 1,663 1,718 1,853 1,984 1,218 1,283 1,327 1,376 1,433 1,492

Pacific 6,898 7,332 7,770 Washington _______________ 5,627 5,745 5,855 5,958 6,054 6,477

4,886 5,012 5,136 5,255 5,377 5,504 3,950 4,155 3,206 3,261 3,311 3,356 3,396 3,571 3,753 2,858 2,922 2,977 3,029 3,087 3,147 48,945 34,845 35,490 38,749 42,075 45,500

30,867 31,392 31,910 32,458 33,010 33,598 34,213 &T~~ia==:=::::::====::= 29,883 30,360 658 706 754 802 849 Alaska ___________________ 640 646 649 653 554 570 587 604 618 631 1,693 1,835 Hawa" ___________________ 1,242 1,263 1,285 1,306 1,326 1,439 1,561

1,114 1,137 1,160 1,179 1,199 1,221

!If ...•... ~\.

4

Table 1. Total Population of Regions, Divisions, and States: 1990 to 2020 - Series D-con. [Numbers in thousands. Resident population. As of July 1. Series A, S, C, and D reflect different interstate migration assumptions, See text for explanations J

Estimates Projections Regipn, division, and State

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020

United States' __________ 249,391 252,160 255,082 257,927 260,711 263,434 266,096 268,702 271,258 273,768 276,241 288,286 300,431 313,116 325,942

REGION AND DIVISION I

Northeast _________________ 50,837 50,961 51,118 51,586 52,050 52,506 52,944 53,370 53,786 54,188 54,582 56,418 58,183 60,005 61,869 New England _____________ 13,204 13,195 13,200 13,310 13,417 13,522 13,624 13,722 13,817 13,908 13,996 14,392 14,752 15,115 15,482 Middle Atlantic ____________ 37,633 37,766 37,918 38,276 38,633 38,983 39,320 39,648 39,968 40,280 40,58.6 42,026 43,431 44,891 46,387

Midwest ___________________ 59,781 60,240 60,713 61,174 61,629 62,067 62,495 62,907 63,307 63,698 64,076 65,900 67,715 69,562 71,315 East North Central _________ 42,091 42,427 42,753 43,096 43,431 43,753 44,067 44,369 44,662 44,946 45,221 46,528 47,804 49,096 50,327 West North Central ________ 17,690 17,812 17,960 18,078 18,199 18,315 18,428 18,538 18,645 18,751 18,855 19,372 19,911 20,466 20,987

South _____________________ 85,734 86,903 88,143 89,014 89,863 90,686 91,488 92,269 93,032 93,775 94,503 98,002 101,446 104,983 108,479 South Atlantic _____________ 43,732 44,403 45,061 45,466 45,869 46,258 46,632 46,993 47,342 47,678 48,004 49,521 50,976 52,476 53,966 East South Central ________ 15,210 15,350 15,529 15,630 15,729 15,823 15,915 16,003 16,089 16,172 16,251 16,623 16,963 17,290 17,583 West South Central ________ 26,791 27,151 27,554 27,917 28,265 28,605 28,941 29,273 29,600 29,925 30,247 31,859 33,506 35,218 36,930

West ______________________ 53,039 54,056 55,108 56,153 57,169 58,175 59,169 60,155 61,133 62,107 63,080 67,966 73,087 78,565 84,279 Mountain _________________ 13,734 14,036 14,381 14,559 14,732 14,902 15,070 15,235 15,397 15,559 15,719 16,525 17,360 18,225 19,085 Pacific ____________________ 39,305 40,020 40,726 41,595 42,437 43,273 44,099 44,921 45,736 46,549 47,361 51,441 55,727 60,339 65,193

STATE

New England Maine ____________________ 1,229 1,234 1,235 1,240 1,245 1,250 1,255 1,259 1,263 1,267 1,270 1,286 1,300 1,313 1,319 New Hampshire ___________ 1,108 1,104 1,111 1,118 1,126 1,133 1,140 1,146 1,152 1,158 1,163 1,186 1,207 1,228 1,244 Vermont __________________ 564 567 570 573 577 581 584 587 590 593 596 609 620 630 638 Massachusetts ____________ 6,012 5,996 5,998 6,054 6,107 6,159 6,211 6,260 6,309 6,356 6,401 6,605 6,785 6,965 7,152 Rhode Island _____________ 1,004 1,005 1,005 1,013 1,021 1,029 1,036 1,044 1,051 1,058 1,065 1,096 1,126 1,156 1,189 Connecticut _______________ 3,287 3,289 3,281 3,311 3,341 3,371 3,399 3,426 3,452 3,477 3,501 3,610 3,713 3,823 3,939

Middle Atlantic New York _________________ 18,002 18,055 18,119 18,347 18,572 18,795 19,009 19,220 19,429 19,634 19,838 20,808 21,761 22,744 23,754 New Jersey _______________ 7,734 7,753 7,789 7,873 7,957 8,040 8,119 8,196 8,270 8,343 8,413 8,746 9,075 9,419 9,776 Pennsylvania ______________ 11,897 11,958 12,009 12,055 12,104 12,149 12,192 12,232 12,269 12,303 12,335 12,472 12,596 12,728 12,857

East North Central Ohio _____________________ 10,866 10,941 11,016 11,082 11,147 11,209 11,268 11,325 11,379 11,431 11,479 11,705 11,913 12,114 12,287 Indiana ___________________ 5,557 5,610 5,662 5,700 5,737 5,771 5,805 5,838 5,870 5,900 5,929 6,085 6,167 6,300 6,397 Illinois ____________________ 11,452 11,541 11,631 11,755 11,874 11,991 12,105 12,215 12,323 12,429 12,533 13,035 13,541 14,072 14,606 9,312 9,380 9,437 9,521 9,603 9,682 9,758 9,832 9,904 9,973 10,040 10,356 10,666 10,982 11,290 W\;~~;~n-==============:= 4,904 4,956 5,007 5,038 5,Q70 5,100 5,130 5,158 5,186 5,213 5,239 5,367 5,498 5,629 5,747

West North Central Minnesota ________________ 4,386 4,432 4,480 4,518 4,555 4,591 4,626 4,660 4,693 4,725 4,756 4,909 5,068 5,235 5,393 Iowa _____________________ 2,780 2,795 2,812 2,825 2,838 2,851 2,864 2,876 2,888 2,900 2,912 2,971 3,032 3,092 3,143 Missouri __________________ 5,125 5,157 5,193 5,222 5,251 5,279 5,306 5,332 5,357 5,382 5,406 5,521 5,638 5,756 5,865 North Dakota _____________ 638 635 636 639 643 647 650 653 657 660 663 680 698 716 733 South Dakota _____________ 698 704 711 716 721 725 730 735 739 744 749 776 805 837 868 Nebraska _________________ 1,581 1,593 1,606 1,615 1,625 1,635 1,644 1,653 1,662 1,671 1,680 1,725 1,773 1,822 1,866 Kansas ___________________ 2,481 2,495 2,523 2,544 2,566 2,587 2,608 2,629 2,649 2,669 2,689 2,790 2,897 3,008 3,119

South Atlantic Delaware _________________ 669 680 689 695 700 705 710 714 719 723 727 743 758 772 787 Maryland _________________ 4,797 4,859 4,908 4,967 5,025 5,081 5,136 5,188 5,239 5,287 5,334 5,553 5,763 5,984 6,206 District of Columbia ________ 605 595 589 595 602 608 615 621 627 634 640 669 697 726 757 Virginia ___________________ 6,206 6,280 6,377 6,442 6,507 6,570 6,631 6,690 6,747 6,802 6,854 7,097 7,318 7,531 7,730 West Virginia ______________ 1,795 1,803 1,812 1,815 1,818 1,820 1,823 1,825 1,827 1,829 1,830 1,836 1,835 1,829 1,818 North Carolina ____________ 6,650 6,736 6,843 6,890 6,936 6,980 7,022 7,062 7,100 7,135 7,169 7,314 7,438 7,553 7,654 South Carolina ____________ 3,501 3,560 3,603 3,633 3,661 3,688 3,714 3,739 3,763 3,786 3,808 3,908 3,998 4,084 4,163 Georgia __________________ 6,507 6,623 6,751 6,822 6,889 6,954 7,017 7,078 7,137 7,194 7,249 7,510 7,758 8,003 8,230 Florida ___________________ 13,003 13,267 13,488 13,608 13,732 13,851 13,966 14,077 14,184 14,289 14,393 14,891 15,411 15,992 16,623

East South Central Kentucky _________________ 3,691 3,713 3,755 3,777 3,799 3,819 3,839 3,859 3,878 3,896 3,913 3,993 4,064 4,130 4,184 Tennessee _______________ 4,892 4,953 5,024 5,053 5,081 5,108 5,133 5,157 5,180 5,202 5,222 5,313 5,392 5,464 5,520 Alabama __________________ 4,050 4,091 4,136 4,166 4,196 4,225 4,253 4,280 4,306 4,332 4,357 4,472 4,580 4,689 4,795 Mississippi ________________ 2,577 2,593 2,614 2,634 2,653 2,671 2,689 2,707 2,725 2,742 2,760 2,844 2,926 3,008 3,085

Wesl South Central Arkansas _________________ 2,355 2,373 2,399 2,411 2,423 2,434 2,446 2,457 2,468 2,479 2,489 2,540 2,592 2,644 2,694 Louisiana _________________ 4,227 4,254 4,287 4,329 4,369 4,407 4,446 4,483 4,520 4,556 4,592 4,769 4,947 5,127 5,302 Oklahoma ________________ 3,151 3,175 3,212 3,229 3,248 3,267 3,285 3,302 3,320 3,337 3,353 3,438 3,524 3,607 3,680 Texas ____________________ 17,058 17,348 17,656 17,949 18,225 18,496 18,765 19,030 19,293 19,554 19,813 21,111 22,444 23,840 25,255

Mountsln Montana __________________ 801 809 824 828 833 837 842 846 850 855 859 882 906 931 952 Idaho ____________________ 1,013 1,040 1,067 1,078 1,089 1,101 1,112 1,123 1,135 1,146 1,156 1,219 1,282 1,345 1,405 Wyoming _________________ 455 460 466 470 474 477 481 485 488 492 495 514 534 552 567 Colorado _________________ 3,311 3,378 3,470 3,506 3,541 3,575 3,608 3,640 3,671 3,701 3,729 3,867 4,000 4,131 4,249 New Mexico ______________ 1,522 1,549 1,581 1,601 1,621 1,641 1,660 1,679 1,699 1,718 1,737 1,836 1,939 2,Q48 2,158 Arizona ___________________ 3,682 3,748 3,832 3,882 3,931 3,978 4,024 4,069 4,114 4,158 4,201 4,417 4,645 4,893 5,153 Utah _____________________ 1,732 1,770 1,813 1,847 1,878 1,910 1,943 1,975 2,009 2,Q42 2,076 2,254 2,442 2,633 2,826 Nevada __________________ 1,218 1,283 1,327 1,347 1,365 1,383 1,400 1,416 1,432 1,448 1,463 1,537 1,611 1,692 1,774

Pacific Washington _______________ 4,896 5,012 5,136 5,188 5,243 5,295 5,346 5,396 5,445 5,493 5,539 5,770 6,005 6,246 6,479 Oregon ___________________ 2,858 2,922 2,977 2,998 3,022 3,045 3,067 3,088 3,109 3,130 3,151 3,253 3,360 3,469 3,574 California _________________ 29,883 30,380 30,867 31,631 32,365 33,Q97 33,821 34,541 35,257 35,973 36,689 40,288 44,076 48,172 52,516 Alaska ___________________ 554 570 587 597 608 618 628 638 647 657 666 716 769 826 882 Hawaii ___________________ 1,114 1,137 1,160 1,179 1,199 1,219 1,238 1,258 1,277 1,296 1,316 1,414 1,517 1,626 1,743

'Totals may be different from those in the national population projections report (Current Population Reports P25·1104) due to rounding.

Table 2. Components of Population Change, for Regions, Divisions, and States: 1990 to 2020 - Series A (Preferred Series)

[Numbers in thousands. Resident population Series A, B C, and D reflect different interstate migration assumpt'lons. See text for explanations 1 July 1, 1990 to July 1, 1995 July 1, 1995 to July 1, 2000

Net change1 Components of change Net change Components of change

' Net migration

Net migration Region, division, and State

Net Net internal International

• internal International Net Percent Net Percent migration Births Deaths migration2

change change Births Deaths migration2 migration change change

4,397 4,397 12,795 4.9 20,088 11,792

5.6 20,504 11,093 Unlled Stales ---------------- 14,024

REGION AND DIVISION 984

441 0.9 3,498 2,526 '1,555 Northeast _____________________ _ -1,784 969

594 1.2 3,790 2,460 ·417 179 176 18 0.1 850 609

New England _________________ _ ·553 ·8 ·0.1 948 592 805 1.1 2,649 1,917 ·1,137 ·1,230 793 423

603 1.6 2,842 1,867 Middle Atlantic ----------------- ·186 339

340 1,844 3.0 4,490 2,835 Midwest ____________________ ---- -152 2,206 3.7 4,623 2,730 ·283 267

268 1,195 2.7 3,190 1,994 East North Central _____________ _ ·238 1,517 3.6 3,299 1,910 71 1,300 841 97

86 72 649 3.5 West North Central ____________ _ 689 3.9 1,325 819

1,690 1,054 1,059 5,509 6.0 6,976 4,246

South _________________________ _ 1,742 5,988 7.0 7,053 3,903 1,236 608 609 2,980 6.3 3,359 2,258

South Atlantic _________________ _ 1,307 3,280 7.5 3,439 2,037 33 1,181 788 315 305 33 743 4.6

5.3 1,195 745 139 413 East South Central ------------- 808 2,436 1,201 130 417 1,786 6.2 West South Central ____________ _ 1,900 7.1 2,420 1,121

2,020 8.6 5,124 2,185 53 West __________________________ _ 196 2,029 5,002

5,236 9.9 5,038 2,001 627 144 147 1,506 9.8 1,295 573

Mountain _____________________ _ 772 1,647 12.0 1,216 510 ·573 1,876 1,882 3,496 8.2 3,828 1,612

3,822 1,491 ·575 Pacific ________ -- - - - - - - - - - -- - - -- 3,589 9.1

STATE

·12 1 New England 1 4 0.3 73 59

Maine ________________________ _ -20 7 0.5 80 57 4 3 3 33 3.0 71 47

New Hampshire _______________ _ ·10 23 2.1 79 44 ·1 13 2.3 39 25 Vermont ______________________ _ -2 15 2.7 41 24 ·246 112

110 ·25 ·0.4 381 280 Massachusetts ________________ _ ·318 ·37 ·0.6 425 274 ·34 16

16 ·2 ·0.3 64 50 Rhode Island _________________ _ ·45 ·2 -0.3 71 49 150 -124 46

45 ·3 ·0.1 220 Connecticut ___________________ _ ·154 ·13 ·0.4 252 145

·950 550 Middle Atlantic 874 540 59 0.3 1,332

New York _____________________ _ ·1,017 173 1.0 1,436 864 384 ·164 199 198 203 2.6 547

New Jersey ___________________ _ -190 195 2.5 591 368 658 ·21 56 56 161 1.3 771

2.0 815 636 ·21 Pennsylvania __ - - - -- - - - --- - - - - -- 235

·23 26 East North Central 773 532

Ohio _________________________ _ 12 26 250 2.2 336 3.1 800 508 13 416 266 61

82 1 13 225 3.9 263 4.7 420 253 • 545 ·229 178

Indiana ____ -------------------- 314 2.6 912 Illinois ________________________ _ ·227 178

401 3.5 945 528 33 1.9 741 423 ·167 ·175 33 184

263 2.8 783 404 77 18 18 222 4.3 348 227

350 218 96 Xii~~~~~n -::: :::: :::::::: :::::: 253 5.2

34 25 West North Central 25 206 4.5 324 183

Minnesota ____________________ _ 42 231 5.3 333 176 7 9 9 70 2.4 190 140

Iowa _________________________ _ 14 80 2.9 191 138 27 14 14 151 2.9 369 264

Missouri ______________________ _ 8 161 3.1 384 257 ·9 1 1 6 1.0 42 28

North Dakota _________________ _ ·0.1 44 28 ·19 11 1 1 36 4.9 55 33

South Dakota _________________ _ 13 37 5.3 53 32 13 4 4 60 3.6 117 76

4.0 117 75 15 117 16 17 Nebraska __ -_ -- -- --- ----- ------ 63 17 121 4.6 202 Kansas _______________________ _ 13 119 4.8 203 114

34 18 3 South Atlantic 3 41 5.7 53

Delaware _____________________ _ 23 49 7.3 53 31 ·16 78 78 244 4.8 396 216

Maryland _____________________ _ 4 281 5.9 418 199 18 44 35 ·48 -87 18 -21 ·3.9

District of Columbia ____________ _ -45 ·7.6 51 36 87 473 271 109 120 87 401 6.0

440 7.1 486 248 6 1 1 16 0.9 108 102

100 5 27 ~~~~i~irgin;a::::::::::::::::::: 29 1.6 110 497 332 270 270 28 466 6.5

500 7.5 506 299 171 82 8 North Caronna ---------------- 280 86 8 199 5.3

231 6.6 287 154 302 223 49 South Carolina ----------------- 565 244 49 534 7.5

595 9.1 564 272 593 336 336 1,102 7.8 942 793

963 700 643 ~I~~~~a _:::::::::: ::::::: :::::: 1,201 9.2

43 7 East South Central 7 138 3.6 275 189

Kentucky _____________________ _ 42 160 4.3 279 182 186 13 13 310 5.9 362 253

Tennessee -- _________________ _ 192 336 6.9 362 235 9 334 212 81 80 9 211 4.9

224 5.5 339 200 5 4 4 83 3.1 210 134

215 128 ·9 ~i~~~~~iii:::::: :::::::::: ::::: 89 3.5

60 5 West South Central 5 109 4.4 175 132

Arkansas _____________________ _ 50 113 4.8 178 126 ·58 18 18 119 2.7 361 200

191 ·83 16 Louisiana _________ ------------- 132 3.1 368 26 16 110 3.4 222 156 Oklahoma ____________________ _ 120 3.8 227 152 374 7.8 1,678 712 113

165 378 1,447 Texas ________________________ _ 1,535 9.0 1,647 653

37 32 Mountain 62 34 58 6.8 60 7.5 58 35 44 71 6

Montana 6 134 11.6 101 Idaho __ - - - - - - - - - -- - - - - - - - - --________________________ _ 91 142 14.0 88 40 1 7.1 38 18 14

14 1 35 Wyoming _____________________ _ 32 7.1 35 17 168 27

28 350 9.4 277 125 Colorado _____________________ _ 207 398 12.0 263 112 48 16

16 147 8.8 142 62 New Mexico __________________ _ 55 154 10.1 137 56 142 58

59 365 9.0 332 174 Arizona ____________________ ---- 143 389 10.6 330 152 36 12

13 205 to.5 213 55 Utah _________________________ _ 54 212 12.2 189 49 24 14.4 131 58 117 Nevada ______________________ _ 174 24 213

259 21.3 117 49

300 64 Pacific 65 573 10.4 413 209

393 190 332 31 Washington _______ ----- ---- ---- 600 12.3 144 31 264 8.4 227 140 215 131 162 ·1,033 1,737

Oregon ________ ---------------- 282 9.9 2,487 7.7 3,018 1,212 California _____________________ _ ·1,097 1,741

2,518 8.4 3,054 1,125 7 6 65 10.3 64 12 Alaska _______________________ _ 25 6

80 14.4 58 11 9 39 106 8.6 106 39

Hawaii _______________________ _ 4 39 109 9.8 102 35

5

6

Table 2. Components of Population Change, for Regions, Divisions, and States: 1990 to 2020 - Series A (Preferred Series)-con.

[Numbers in thousands. Resident population. Series A, B, C, and D reflect different interstate migration assumptions. See text for explanations 1 July I, 2005 to July I, 2010

July I, 2000 to July I, 2005 Components of change

Components of change Net change' Net change'

Net migration Net migration Region, division, and State


International Net Percent Net Percent • internal migration Births" Deaths migration'

Births Deaths migration' migration change change change change

4,397 4,397 12,107 4.2 20,516 13,211

United States ________________ 12,011 4.3 19,907 12,614

REGION AND DIVISION

Northeast _____________________ _ 581 New England _________________ _ 188 Middle Atlantic ________________ _ 393

Mldwllst _______________________ _ 1,347 East North CentraL ____________ _ 808 West North Central ____________ _ 539

South _________________________ _ 5,112 South Atlantic ___ ~ _____________ _ 2,698 East South Central ____________ _ 619 West South Central ____________ _ 1,795

Weat __________________________ _ 4,972 Mountain _____________________ _ 1,197 Paciflc ________ - -- - - - - - - - - - - - --- 3,775

1.1 1.4 1.0

2.1 1.8 2.8

5.3 5.4 3.7 5.9

7.9 7.1 8.1

3,254 775

2,479

4,396 3,095 1,300

6,958 3,316 1,158 2,483

5,300 1,365 3,935

2,591 628

1,963

2,940 2,073

867

4,596 2,479

832 1,285

2,388 635

1,753

-1,147 ·162 ·984

-501 ·513

12

1,619 1,186

249 184

31 310

·277

996 181 815

338 267

71

1,048 606

33 409

2,015 142

1,873

828 348 480

1,129 631 498

5,002 2,605

554 1,843

5,148 1,002 4,148

1.6 2.6 1.2

1.7 1.4 2.5

4.9 4.9 3.2 5.7

7.5 5.5 8.3

3,231 774

2,456

4,434 3,103 1,330

7,176 3,418 1,164 2,594

5,675 1,432 4,243

2,642 847

1,995

3,027 2,135

892

4,944 2,689

877 1.378

2,598 692

1,907

·861 9

·870

·717 ·672

·44

1,573 1,169

208 196

7 93

·85

1,006 182 824

338 267

71

1,042 605

33 405

2,011 140

1,871

STATE

Naw England • Maine ________________________ _ 25 New Hampshire _______________ _ 50 Vermont ______________________ _ 14 Massachusetts ________________ _ 41 Rhode Island ____________ • ____ _ 11 Connecticut ______________ -- ---- 47

2.0 4.3 2.4 0.7 1,1 1.4

69 67 37

343 59

199

81 49 26

286 51

156

13 27

1 ·140

·14 ·47

1 3

113 16 46

44 64 17

106 24 93

3.5 5.3 2.7 1.8 2.4 2.8

71 70 38

338 59

199

63 53 27

291 52

161

32 42

4 ·66

·1 1

1 3

115 16 46

Middle Atlantic New York _____________________ _ 109 202 82 ~:~n~~~:k==================

0.6 2.5 0.7

1,243 508 728

887 400 676

·818 ·118

·46

559 200

57

198 224

58

1.1 2.7 0.5

1,230 50-7 719

898 413 685

·720 ·88 ·60

567 200

57

Eaat North Central Ohio _________________________ _ 132 Indiana _____________________ --- '144 illinois __________ -----~---- ----- 248

137 147 W\~~~~~n-=================:===

1.2 2.4 2.0 1.4 2.7

747 407 884 710 347

556 279 561 440 236

·94

·257 ·170

12

26 12

178 33 18

71 94

233 134 100

0.6 1.5 1.9 1.4 1.8

741 406 893 713 351

574 290 573 453 244

·140 ·43

·279 ·173 ·34

26 12

178 33 18

Weill North central Minnesota ___________________ .- 162 Iowa ____ " ____________________ _ .34 Missouri ______________________ _ 154

13 North Dakota South Dakota ------------------_________________ _ 25 Nebraska ________ , ___ ~ ________ _ 48 Kansas ______________ ________ _ c 103

3,4 1.2 2.8 2.1 3.2 2.8 3.8

322 1'89 364

42 57

119 206

192 142 273

28 33 78

121

·24 43 ·2 ·1

25 9

14 1 1 4

17

140 15

167 19 19 41 96

2.8 0.5 3.0 3.0 2.4 2.3 3.4

332 189 372

44 60

122 212

200 143 282

28 34 80

126

·25 ·43 54

1 ·9 ·8

·10

24 9

14 1 1 4

17

South Atlantic Delaware _____________________ _ 30 Maryland _____________________ _ 225 District of Columbla ____________ _ 11 VIrginia _______________________ _ 350 West Vlrglnla __________________ _ 3 North Carolina __ ------------~-- 384 South Carolina ________________ _ 189

473 1,032 ~I~:p~a _===== ======= ======= = = ==

4.0 4.2 2.0 5.0 0.2 5.0 4.8 6.2 6.7

52 383

42 460 103 487 275 569 945

37 233

35 296 103 366 188 333 888

12 ·8

·13 91

224 91

186 606

3 78 19 86

1 27

8 48

335

25 234

30 329 '-·1 337 188 441

1,023

3.2 4.2 5.4 4.4

·0.1 4.2 4.6 5.4 6.3

53 395

44 468

99 498 280 592 989

40 249

35 320 104 398 204 364 975

8 1 3

82 ·1

193 97

157 630

3 78 19 86

1 27

8 48

335

Eost South Central 97

252 ~:~~~~~~-==:=======:========= Alabama ______________________ _ 188 MIssissippi ____________________ _ 82

2.4 4.5 4.2 3.0

269 360 327 203

197 270 224 140

14 145

75 15

7 13

9 4

72 215 180 85

1.8 3.7 3.9 3.0

266 367 330 201

205 289 237 147

·2 115

71 24

7 13 9 4

west South Central 102 149 ~6~fs7:~: Oklahoma ====================== ________________ " ___ _ 138 Texas ________________________ _ 1,406

3.9 3.3 4.1 7.0

173 359 224

1,728

138 210 161 776

59 ·17 56 87

5 18 16

370

102 180 162

1,399

3.8 3.9 4.6 6.5

175 365 232

1,821

145 219 168 846

61 13 77 45

5 18 16

366

Mountain Montana 43 Idaho ______ - _ - - - - -- - -- -- -- --________________________ _ 95

38 249 ~61~~ag ===============:====== 133 New Mexico -------------------

Arizona 326 Utah ______ - - - - - -- - - -- -- - - - --_________________________ _ 169 Nevada ______________________ _ 144

4.6 7.4 7.2 6.1 7.3 7.4 7.9 8.5

65 108

41 289 149 343 230 140

39 48 19

139 68

195 61 67

15 28 14 69 32

113 ·8 48

6 1

27 16 58 12 23

33 69 37

184 126 310 143 100

3.5 5.0 6.6 4.3 6.4 6.5 6.2 5.5

68 112 45

300 159 364 239 146

41 51 19

151 74

215 66 74

4

10 4

20 93

·41 4

6 1

26 15 57 12 23

Pacilic 500 Washlngt9n --------~----------- 240

2,881 gWJl~~iii==:: == ======= = Alaska == == ==== _______________________ _ 46 HawaII _______________________ _ 108

8.2 7.1 8.3 6.5 8.2

435 240

3,081 71

109

229 149

1,318 13 43

224 116

-608 ·17

9

63 30

1,735 5

39

453 230

3,311 36

115

6.9 6.3 8.8 4.9 8.0

463 255

3,333 77

116

249 158

1,437 14 48

165 98

·326 ·32 12

63 30

1,734 5

39

Table 2. Components of population Change, for Regions, Divisions, and States: 1990 to 2020 - Series A (Preferred Series)-con.

{Numbers in thousands. Resident population. Series A, B, C, and D reflect different interstate migration assumptions. See text for explanations J July 1,2010 to July 1, 2015 July 1, 2015 to July 1, 2020

Net change' Components of change Net change' Components of change


Net Net Internationa International Net Percent internal Net Percent ~ internal migratior migration change change Births Deaths migration'

change change Births Deaths migration'

4.1 22,585 14,586 4,396 United States _______________ _ 4,396 12,845

12,690 4.2 21,662 13,882

REGION AND DIVISION

Northeast _____________________ _ New England -----------------Middle Atlantic -----------------

Midwest _______________________ _ East North Central _____________ _ West North Central ____________ _

968 377 592

1,287 741 546

1.8 2.7 1.5

1.9 1.6 2.7

3,371 822

2,548

4,569 3,197 1,371

2,680 664

2,016

3,103 2,185

918

-830 7

-838

-650 ·625

·24

1,016 183 833

339 268

71

1,089 397 692

1,370 805 566

2,0 3,502 2.8 865 1.7 2,637

2.0 4,667 1.7 3,270 2.7 1,397

2,718 682

2,035

3,178 2,232

946

-798 1,026 3 184

·801 842

-572 340 -570 269

-1 71

South _________________________ _ South Atlantic _________________ _ East South Central ____________ _ West South Central ____________ _

5,099 2,658

574 1,868

4,8 4.8 3.2 5.5

7,559 3,612 1,202 2,744

5,290 2,889

925 1,477

1,582 1,205

225 152

1,038 605

32 401

5,017 2,633

565 1,819

4.5 7,849 4.5 3,759 3.1 1,232 5.1 2,858

5,655 3,091

978 1,585

1,594 1,034 1,240 606

246 32 107 396

West __________________________ _ Mountain _____________________ _

Pacific __________ - - - -- - -- - - - - ---

5,335 1,029 4,306

7,3 5.4 7.9

6,164 1,509 4,655

2,809 745

2,064

·99 87

·186

2,004 138

1,866

5,368 1,026 4,342

6.8 6,567 5.1 1,570 7.4 4,997

3,035 801

2,234

-222 1,996 83 137

·305 1,859

STATE

New England Maine ________________________ _ New Hampshire _______________ _ Vermont ______________________ _ Massachusetts ________________ _ Rhode Island - ________________ _

Connecticut __ - - _ - - - - - - -- - - - - - --

46 62 17

125 27

100

3.5 4.8 2.8 2.0 2.7 2.9

75 76 40

357 63

213

66 56 26

297 52

165

33 37

4 ·60 ·1 ·2

1 3

116 16 46

45 58 17

142 29

106

3.3 77 4.3 80 2.7 41 2.3 376 2.8 66 3.0 226

69 61 29

303 52

168

33 1 33 3

4 -57 118

-2 16 ·5 46

Middle Atlantic New YorL ____________________ _ New Jersey ___________________ _ Pennsylvania ________ --- -- -- ----

260 239 93

1.4 2.8 0.7

1,275 536 737

906 424 686

-701 ·91 -43

574 200 58

309 258 125

1.6 1,319 2.9 566 1.0 752

914 434 687

·689 581 ·89 201 ·22 59

East North Central Ohio _________________________ _ Indiana _______________________ _ Illinois ___________ -------- ------

X!i~~~~~n -=====================

97 100 273 163 107

0.8 1.6 2.2 1.6 1.9

752 415 931 741 358

585 300 584 463 253

·119 -39

-270 -164

·29

27 12

178 33 18

115 103 295 182 110

1.0 760 1.6 422 2.3 962 1.8 765 1.9 362

595 309 595 472 261

·95 27 -33 12

·262 179 ·155 33

·21 18

West North Central Minnesota ____________________ _

~is:ou-ri = = == = North Dakota = - = = = == = == = == = = = === ________________ _ South Dakota - ________________ _ Nebraska _____ - ----------------Kansas _______________________ _

148 25

180 21 23 45

104

2.9 0.8 3.1 3.1 2.8 2.5 3.5

343 189 386 46 62

125 221

208 143 293 28 34 81

130

·23 ·35 60

1 -7 -6 ·9

24 9

14 1 1 4

17

150 32

184 22 25 47

105

2.8 350 1.1 188 3.1 394 3,1 47 3.0 64 2.6 127 3.5 227

218 144 304

28 35 84

134

-20 24 -27 9 67 14

1 1 -6 1 ·3 4 -9 17

South Atlantic Delaware _____________________ _ Maryland _____________________ _ District of Columbia ____________ _ Virginia _____________________ ---West Virginia __________________ _ North Carolina ________________ _ South Carolina ________________ _

~I~ri~~a _ == = == == = = = == = = = == = = = = = =

28 250 30

332 3

340 190 443

1,041

3.4 4.3 5.3 4.3 0.2 4.1 4.4 5.2 6.0

55 423

47 493

99 523 294 628

1,049

43 264 35

344 105 428 219 398

1,053

10 3

83 2

200 99

152 654

3 78 19 86

1 27

7 48

336

29 257 29

329 7

334 184 430

1,035

3.4 57 4.3 447 4.8 50 4.1 514 0.4 99 3.8 539 4.1 304 4.8 655 5.6 1,093

45 279 36

369 106 460 236 435

1,125

12 3 4 78

·2 19 84 86

8 1 211 27 100 7 151 47 674 337

East South Central Kentucky _____________________ _ Tennessee ___________________ _

Alabama __ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - --- - ---Mississippi ______________ -------

78 217 188

91

1,9 3.6 3.9 3.1

271 381 346 204

214 307 249 155

3 119 72 31

7 13

9 4

76 210 187

91

1.8 275 3.4 389 3.7 360 3.0 207

223 328 263 163

9 8 125 13

74 9 38 4

West South Central Arkansas _____________________ _ Louisiana _____________________ _ Oklahoma ____________________ _ Texas ________________________ _

111 192 169

1,396

4.0 4.0 4.6 6.1

181 379 243

1,940

152 230 175 920

69 17 78

·11

5 18 17

361

113 192 168

1,346

3.9 185 3.8 391 4.4 250 5.6 2,032

161 241 184 999

77 5 17 18 80 17

-66 357

Mountain Montana _____ -- --- ------ --- - ---Idaho ________________________ _ Wyoming ______________________ 1 Colorado _____________________ _ New Mexico __________________ _

Arizona ______ - - -- - -- - - - - - - - - - --Utah _________________________ _ Nevada ______________________ _

37 72 33

189 129 320 145 105

3.7 4.9 5.5 4.2 6.2 6.3 5.9 5.4

70 116 48

312 172 390 248 153

42 54 20

163 79

235 72 81

6 1 4 5

16 95

·46 7

6 1

26 15 57 12 23

39 74 29

189 127 319 143 105

3.7 72 4.9 120 4.6 50 4.0 323 5.8 181 5.9 407 5.5 259 5.2 159

43 58 20

175 85

254 77 87

8 4 6

1 8 26

12 15 97 56

-52 12 9 22

Pacific Washington ___________________ _ Oregon _______________________ _ California _____________________ _ Alaska _______________________ _ Hawaii _______________________ _

466 243

3,430 41

127

6.6 6.3 8.3 5.3 8.2

496 272

3,679 83

125

269 167

1.561 15 53

162 100

-431 -32 17

62 30

1,729 5

39

470 249

3,444 43

137

6.3 522 6.0 287 7.7 3,964 5.3 88 8.1 135

291 177

1,693 16 57

162 62 101 30

-554 1,723 ·34 5 21 40

8

Table 2. Components of Population Change, for Regions, Divisions, and States: 1990 to 2020 - Series B-Con.

[Numbers in thousands. Resident population. Series A, S, C, and D reflect different interstate migration assumptions. See text for explanations 1 July 1, 1995 to July 1, 2000

July 1,1990 to July 1,1995 Components of change


Net migration Net migration

Region, division, and State Net

Net Internal International internal International Net Percent

Net Percent migration Births ,,:Deaths migration' Births Deaths migration' migration change change

change change 4,397

4,397 12,797 4.9 20,096 11,793 United States ________________ 14,024 5.6 20,505 11,094

REGION AND DIVISION

Northeast _____________________ _ New England _________________ _ Middle Atlantic ________________ _

Mldwest _______________________ _ East North CentraL ___________ _

West North Central -------------South _________________________ _

South Atlantic _________________ _

East South Central -------------West South Central ____________ _

West __________________________ _ Mountain _____________________ _

Pacific _________ - - -------- - -----

1,277 394 883

1,680 1,164

518

5,648 3,250

834 1,765

5,419 1,404 4,015

2.5 3.0 2.3

2.8 2.8 2.9

6.6 7.4 4.2 6.8

10.2 10.2 10.2

3,805 957

2,849

4,611 3,290 1,320

7,045 3,439 1,190 2,418

5,043 1,210 3,833

2,462 594

1,868

2,728 1,909

819

3,902 2,037

744 1,121

2,002 509

1,493

-1,114 -158 -955

·667 -584 -82

1,408 1,278

134 ·1

375 534

-158

968 175 793

340 288

72

1,060 809

33 417

2,029 147

1,881

1,083 423 660

1,141 754 387

5,184 3,022

513 1,649

5,388 1,199 4,189

2.1 3.1 1.7

1.9 1.7 2.1

5.7 6.4 3.2 5.8

9.2 7.9 9.7

3,595 908

2,887

4,402 3,134 1,269

6,930 3,362 1,152 2,415

5,169 1,255 3,914

2,545 620

1,928

2,819 1,982

837

4,237 2,255

783 1,199

2,192 567

1,626

·981 ·55

-925

-821 -881 -138

1,400 1,272

107 21

404 353

51

979 176 803

341 269

72

1,057 609

33 414

2,020 145

1,875

STATE

New England Maine ________________________ _ New Hampshire _______________ _ Vermont ______________________ _ Massachusetts ________________ _ Rhode Island _________________ _ Connecticut _________ ---- - - -- - --

48 75 29

120 27 97

3.8 6.7 5.2 2.0 2.7 2.9

80 80 42

429 72

254

57 44 24

274 49

145

18 40 11

·164 ·15 ·46

1 3

110 16 45

47 91 30

121 29

108

3.7 7.7 5.0 2.0 2.8 3.1

78 78 41

405 89

237

80 48 25

283 51

153

28 58 13

-117 ·8

·25

1 3

111 18 45

Middle Atlantic New york _____________________ _ New Jersey ___________________ _ Pennsylvania __________ - -- --- ---

314 269 299

1.7 3.5 2.5

1,440 592 817

864 368 838

-878 -117

41

540 198

56

184 261 215

1.0 3.3 1.8

1,352 558 778

879 387 680

·838 -113

27

548 199 56

East North Central Ohio _________________________ _ Indiana _______________________ _ Illinois ________________________ _

Wi;~~~~n -== == = = == ========= = = = = West North Central Minnesota ____________________ _

Iowa _________________________ _ Missouri ______________________ _

North Dakota -----------------South Dakota -----------------Nebraska ----------------------Kansas ______ - - ----- --- --------

237 208 317 201 201

193 53

115 -3

22 44 94

2.2 3.7 2.8 2.2 4.1

4.4 1.9 2.2

-0.6 3.1 2.8 3.8

798 418 943 781 349

332 190 383

44 53

117 202

507 253 527 404 218

178 138 257

28 32 75

113

-110 28

-309 -238

45

6 -11 -38 -22

-3 ·12

26 13

178 33 18

25 9

14 1 1 4

17

135 158 204 101 158

152 33 72 -1 17 34 79

1.2 2.7 1.7 1.1 3.1

3.3 1.2 1.4

·0.2 2.4 2.1 3.1

758 407 899 730 340

317 185 381

41 52

114 198

529 284 542 421 225

182 139 283

28 32 76

116

·126

·330 -242

19

-13 -25 ·44 -16 -5 ·9

·20

27 13

179 33 18

25 9

14 1 1 4

17

South Atlantic Delaware _____________________ _ Maryland _____________________ _

District of Columbia -------------Virginia _______________________ _ West Virglnia ___________________ _

North Carolina ----------------South Carolina -----------------

~I~~~~a _ = = === === = = == ========== = East south Central Kentucky - ____________________ _

Tennessee ___________________ _

Alabama_ ---Mississippi -------- ------- ----____________________ _

48 284 -39 439

17 480 228 614

1,186

112 274 177

70

6.9 5.9

·6.7 7.1 0.9 7.2 8.4 9.4 9.1

3.0 5.6 4.4 2.7

53 418

51 488 110 506 287 584 983

277 361 338 214

31 199 36

248 100 299 154 272 700

181 235 200 128

20 7

·82 119

-8 250 80

262 627

·3 132 35

-27

3 78 18 87

1 28 8

49 336

7 13 9 4

42 253 -18 414

456 197 557

1,123

80 233 147

52

5.9 5.0

.3.4 8.2

·0.1 6.4 5.3 7.8' 7.9

2.1 4.5 3.5 2.0

52 396 45

473 107 495 280 568 945

268 353 326 208

34 216 35

271 101 332 171 303 792

188 251 211 133

20 -7

-45 122

-9 262 79

244 610

-8 118 24

-22

3 78 18 87

1 27 8

49 338

7 13 9 4


101 108 113

1,443

4.3 2.5 3.6 8.5

177 388 228

1,845

128 190 152 652

39 -107

·8 75

5 18 18

378

101 90

102 1,357

4.1 2.1 3.1 7.3

173 357 221

1,885

132 200 156 711

53 -84 18 35

5 18 16

375

Mountain Montana Idaho ______ - - - - - - --- - --- - - --________________________ _ Wyoming _____________________ _ Colorado _____________________ _

New Mexico -------------------Arizona Utah ______ - - - - - - - -- - - --- - ---_________________________ _ Nevada ______________________ _

50 103

30 352 135 341 181 212

6.2 10.2

8.5 10.6 8.9 9.3

10.5 17.4

58 87 35

281 138 329 186 118

35 40 17

112 58

152 49 49

24 53 12

161 36 98 24

129

8 1

28 18 59 13 24

44 83 28

294 122 295 188 168

5.1 7.5 5.7 8.0 7.4 7.3 8.7

11.6

60 94 38

270 139 325 208 124

37 43 18

124 81

172 55 57

19 26

7 119 26 78 3

75

6 1

27 18 59 12 24

Pacific Washington ____ -- --------------

g~f;P~~ia-= = = = == = = ======== = === = =

~~!~~ ========================

558 246

3,013 88

112

11.4 8.6

10.1 15.8 10.1

392 214

3,067 58

102

190 131

1,128 11 35

289 126

-613 33

8

65 31

1,741 8

39

572 236

3,156 90

123

10.5 7.6 9.6

14.0 10.0

408 223

3,110 68

107

209 139

1,227 12 39

303 119

·425 30 25

85 31

1,735 6

39

Table 2. Components of Population Change, for Regions, Divisions, and States: 1990 to 2020 - Series B-con.

[Numbers In thousands. Resident population. Series A, B, C, and D reflect different Interstate migration assumptions. See text for explanations J July 1. 2005 to July 1, 2010

July 1, 2000 to July 1. 2005 Components of change



Region, division. and State Net

Net internal International • internal International Net Percent migration Net Percent change Births I'r Deaths migration'

Births Deaths migration' migration change change change

4,397 4,397 12,105 4.2 20,523 13,213

United States ________________ . 12,011 4.3 19,921 12,515

REGION AND DIVISION -815 998

989 949 1.8 3,355 2,685 Northeast _____________________ _ -879 177 934 1.B 3,381 2,624 ·8 177 376 2.6 847 669

New England _________________ _ ·23 821 381 2.7 852 646 2,016 -806 813 572 1.4 2,508

Middle Atlantic ________________ _ -854 553 1.4 2,529 1,978 342 4,323 2,997 -531

-662 342 1,235 1.9 271 Midwest _______________ --------- 1,092 1.7 4,273 2,912 3,041 2,115 -478 -568 270 783 1.8 72 East North CentraL ___________ _ 698 1.6 3,020 2,054 1,282 881 -52 ·93 72 452 2.4

West North Central ____________ _ 394 2.1 1,253 858 1,344 1,047

4.7 7,094 4,919 South _________________________ _ 1,352 1,052 4,717 607 4,795 5,0 6,892 4,579 1,188 608 2,650 5.0 3,439 2,684

South Atlantic _________________ _ 1,216 33 2,743 5.5 3.327 2,475 1,125 866 222 170 33 540 3.2 408 3.1 1,118 823 1,370 -65

East South Central ------------- 508 2,530 -33 411 1,627 4.8 West South Central ____________ _ 1,545 5.1 2,447 1,281

3 2,009 7.5 5,752 2,613 West __________________________ _ 5,205 2,401 191 2,014 141 5,189 8,1 5,376 254 1,136 6.5 1,392 679

Mountain _____________________ _ 624 300 143 1,868 1,146 7.0 1,312 -250 1,870 4,069 7.9 4,360 1,934 4,064 1,777 ·108

Pacific ______ - - - - - - -- - - - - - - - - --- 4,043 8.5

STATE

1 65 29 New England 1 46 3.3 78 Maine ________________________ _ 27 3 45 3.4 76 62 80 56 45

50 3 74 5.5 New Hampshire _______________ _ 80 6.3 77 52 41 28 11

11 26 4.0 Vermont ______________________ _ 113 27 4.3 41 26 -87

112 124 1.9 367 300 Massachusetts ________________ _ ·86 16 117 1.9 374 292 65 53 -1

-3 16 28 2.6 45 Rhode Island _________________ _ 27 2.6 65 52 167 -22 45 79 2.2 216

Connecticut _________________ --- -22 87 2.5 219 161

564 908 -739 Middle AtlantiC 1.0 1,252 New York _____________________ _ -781 557 189 200 160 0.9 1,268 895 417 ·117

199 198 2.3 515 New Jersey ___________________ _ -113 57 214 2.6 519 404 52 185 1.5 741 691

679 41 56 Pennsylvanla ___________ --- - ---- 179 1.4 741

27 569 -64 Esst North Central 137 1.2 727

Ohio _________________________ _ -92 27 13 120 1.1 728 551 12 145 2.4 399 288 Indiana _______________________ _ 6 13 180 143 2.4 396 276 568 ·258

179 242 2.0 874 866 556 -288 -190 34

Illinois _________ ---------------- 204 1.7 695 449 -213 33 103 1.1 18 83 0.9 694 436 346 242 23 20 18 154 2.9

147 2.8 336 234 Wi~~~~n-===================== -12 25 25 146 3.0 323 198 West Minnesota North Celltrsl ____________________ _ -13 9 140 3.0 313 190 1.5 185 142 -12

Iowa _________________________ _ -19 9 44 14 34 1.2 183 140 -2 14 96 1.8 353 278 Missouri ______________________ _ 270 -20 1 79 1.5 350 -8 1 7 1.1 42 28

28 -11 1 2 0.4 41 3.3 57 33 -1 North Dakota ----------------- 1 25 33 ·3 4

20 2.7 54 2.6 118 79 -1 South Dakota ------------------ 4 44 Nebraska _____________________ _ -5 17 38 2.3 115 77 ·10 17 90 3.3 204 124

3.1 198 120 ·15 Kansas ____________ --- -- ------- 82

3 40 20 South Atlantic 3 38 4,8 54

Delaware _____________________ _ 20 78 38 5.1 52 37 3.8 394 249 -21 Maryland _____________________ _ ·16 78 209 19 218 4.1 383 233 1.0 42 34 -19

-30 19 5 86 District of Columbla ____________ _ -5 -1.0 42 35 4.5 471 321 88 102 87 337 1 Virginia _______________________ _ 362 5.1 462 297 11 1 11 0.6 98 104

West Virglnla __________________ _ 2 27 4 0.2 101 102 5.1 503 397 257 260 27 406 8 420 5.5 487 365 4.4 279 203 89

North Carolina ----------------- 84 8 179 48 South Carolina ________________ _ 182 4.6 274 188 6.0 600 366 199 218 48 490 336 509 6.6 574 334 6.0 997 968 565 579 336 975

1,015 6.6 952 884 ~1~~I:f~a _ === === == = == ======= = == = = 7 202 17 East South Central 2.2 258 4 7 87 13 79 2.0 269 194 4.1 356 285 138 128 13 230 9 226 4.2 347 267 55 9 155 3.4 317 233

222 41 12 4 ~:~~U;:lee - 145 3.3 315 2.5 195 145 Alabama = === ===== = ___ -- - - - - =: ----- - = - = == = ----= = = --- 4 68 Mississippi ____________________ _ 139 ·3 59 2.2 191'

145 59 5 West South Central 5 97 3.7 173

Arkansas _____________________ _ 138 56 18 95 3.7 170 -60 18 93 2.1 350 217 208 -74 28 17 Louisiana ____________ ---------- 85 1.9 351 3.1 227 166

22 16 109 368 102 3.0 221 161 5.8 1,780 841 -90 Oklahoma ---------------------Texas ________________________ _ -36 372 1,227

1,262 6.4 1,705 774

5.5 67 40 23 Mountain 52 39 21 6 47 5.2 63 6.8 104 49 25

Montana Idaho ___ - - - - - - - - - - - - - -- - - ---________________________ _ 25 6 88 1 84 7.0 99 46 5.6 43 19 5 6 1 30 26 29 5.6 40 18 75 27 252 6.0 297 151

137 94 16 267 6.8 281 10 16 111 5.9 153 73 6.4 145 67 17 76 58 'tf6i~:~g ===================:== 114 6.2 351 210 New Mexico ------------------- 58 286 192 78 12 284 6.6 331 7.5 234 66 -12

Arizona Utah ___ ---- --- --- -- --- --- ---_________________________ _ -5 12 168 23 165 7.9 221 60 54 24 149 8.5 143 72 Nevada ______________________ _ 64 156 9.B 132 64

63 469 249 230 PacifiC 264 64 522 8.0 30 Washington ___________________ _ 538 8.9 434 229 108 6.7 251 157 112 30 238 1,731 232 7.0 235 148 3,436 1,464 -602

-513 1,732 3,112 8.0 5 3,073 8.5 3,207 1,343 15 -4 5 71 8.7 85

Alaska _______________________ _ 75 13 9 18 39 g~f;~g,.~ia = = = == = = = =: == = = = = = == = = = 77 10.5 126 8.6 120 48 Hawaii _______________________ _ 20 39

122 9.1 112 43

9

10

Table 2. Components of Population Change, for Regions, Divisions, and States: 2020 - Series B-con.

[Numbers in thousands. Resident population. Series A, B C, and D reflect different Interstate migration assumptions. See text for explanations J July 1, 2015 to July 1, 2020

July 1, 2010 to July 1, 2015



Net Net internal International International Net Percent Net Percent Internal

migration change change Births Deaths migration' migration change change Births Deaths migration'

4,396 4,396 12,843 4.1 22,568 14,590 United States _______________ _ 12,687 4.2 21,654 13,884

REGION AND DIVISION

1,017 3,634 2,783 ·701 Northeast _____________________ _ -722 1,008 1,248 2.2

1,141 2.1 3,492 2,733 20 179 178 447 2.9 934 714

New England _________________ _ 23 430 2.9 889 691 ·721 838 830 801 2.0 2,700 2,069

Middle Atlantic ______________ .. __ -745 711 1.8 2,603 2,042 ·327 343

343 1,567 2.4 4,591 3,156 Midwest _______________________ _ -382 1,496 2.3 4,480 3,076 271 1,011 2.2 3,241 2,224 ·347

East North Central _____________ _ ·380 271 960 2.1 3,155 2,170 20 72 72 557 2.8 1,351 932

West North Central ____________ _ -1 535 2.8 1,325 906 1,359 1,041 4,711 4.2 7,717 5,605

South _____ - ___________________ _ 1,319 1,044 4,771 4.5 7,451 5,254 608 2,616 4.5 3,788 3,078 1,180 Soulh Atlantic _________________ _ 1,139 607

2,628 4.7 3,639 2,880 289 33 33 590 3.3 1,198 963

East South Central -- __________ _ 279 603 3.5 1,166 912 ·110 400 404 1,504 4.3 2,731 1,563

West South CentraL ___________ _ ·98 1,539 4.6 2,646 1,462 1,995 6.7 6,625 3,046 ·328

West • _________________________ _ ·212 2,003 5,316 5,280 7.1 6,231 2,822 138 1,136 5.7 1,554 788 195

Mountain • ____________________ _ 224 140 1,153 6.2 1,483 733 1,857 4,180 7.0 5,071 2,258 ·523

2,089 ·438 1,863 Pacific _____ • __ -. -. - - - - - -. -' - - -- 4,127 7.4 4,747

STATE

1 New Engfand 50 3.4 84 72 33 Maine ________________________ _ 33 1 50 3.6 82 69 40 2

2 70 4.7 90 66 New Hampshire _______________ _ 43 74 5.2 85 60

26 3.7 46 31 10 Vermont ______________________ _ 11 27 3.9 44 29 115 170 2.6 402 315 -42 Massachusetts ________________ _ -44 114

155 2.4 383 307 16 34 3.0 72 55 Rhode Island _________________ _ 16

32 2.9 69 54 45 97 2.6 240 176 -18 172 -17 44

Connecticut _. _______ - - - - - - -- - -- 91 2.5 227

579 Mlddfe Atlantic 309 1.6 1,336 926 ·691 New york ____ • ________________ _ -700 572 266 1.4 1,292 918 201 241 2.7 570 439 -105 New Jersey ___________________ _ -109 200 221 2.5 541 428 58 250 1.9 794 702 75

769 696 66 57 Pennsylvania ______ - - - - -- - - - - --- 224 1.8

27 East North Central 191 1.6 758 595 ·18 Ohio • ________________________ _ -33 27 179 1.6 746 583 12 159 2.5 425 309 19

298 19 12 Indiana ______ • ___ .------------- 159 2.6 414 ·222 180

180 326 2.6 947 591 Illinois ________________ -- --- ---- ·226 307 2.5 914 579 742 468 -157 34

-167 34 163 1.6 145 1.5 721 459 368 261 33 18

30 18 171 3.0 169 3.0 360 252 ~~~~~~n -= = === ========= ====== =

3.1 344 216 ·4 24 West Minnesota North Central ____________________ _ -7 25 162 159 3.2 337 207 144 9

-3 9 62 2.1 191 57 2.0 189 143 295 29 15

17 15 128 2.3 367 120 2.2 362 286 1 1 14 2.1 43 28 -3 ~~:oLj;.i = = = = = North Dakota === = = = == = = = === = == = _________________ _ 12 1.9 43 28 ·5 1 1 31 3.9 62 34

South Dakota _________________ _ 30 3.8 60 34 4 4 54 3.0 124 83 5 Nebraska _____________________ _ 3 52 3.0 122 81 -5 17 17 105 3.6 219 132

3.7 213 128 -3 Kansas _______ -- - - -- - - - - -- - - - -- 104

3 South Atlantic 3 40 4.6 61 46 20 Delaware _____________________ _ 21 40 4.8 58 43 78 78 225 3.8 440 280 ·20 Maryland _____________________ _ ·24 217 3.8 419 264 34 ·12 19

-13 19 16 2.9 45 District of Columbia ____________ _ 13 2.4 43 34 86 4.0 515 371 78

345 76 86 323 Virginia ________________ --- ----- 327 4.2 495 1 1 22 1.2 101 106 23 West Virginia __________________ _ 20 21 1.2 99 105 462 250 27

247 27 387 4.4 554 397 4.7 534 428 94 7 North Carolina ---------------- 7 176 3.9 301 235

4.2 292 219 91 47 South Carolina -----------.----- 180 439 174 177 48 463 5.1 670

477 5.5 640 401 1,105 574 339 546 337 964 5.3 1,101

955 5.5 1,059 1,041 ~I~~i~~a _ = === == = = == = == == === = = = == 8 East South Central 8 100 2.4 270 221 35

Kentucky ________________ • ____ _ 32 103 2.5 265 211 13 13 234 3.8 382 325 152 Tennessee ______________ • ____ _ 150 243 4.2 372 304 3.6 345 257 70 9

244 69 9 175 Alabama _______ - - __ - - - - - - - -- - -- 175 3.8 332 4 4 82 2.8 200 160 33 Mississippi _______________ • ____ _ 27 82 2.9 198 152

5 West South Central 5 101 3.6 182 161 68 Arkansas _____________________ _ 62 101 3.7 179 152 235 ·40 18

·50 18 111 2.3 361 Louisiana ________________ ------ 106 2.3 356 226 17 3.2 237 180 40 Oklahoma ____ • _______________ _ 31 17 118

115 3.2 234 173 5.0 1,951 987 ·177 360 Texas • _______________________ _ ·140 364 1,174

1,218 5.4 1,878 912

Mountain 59 5.6 75 44 25 42 27

Montana _________ ---- -- -- -- ---- 59 6.0 72 6 6.4 117 56 24 Idaho • _______________________ _ 27 6 94

94 6.9 111 53 20 2 1 6 1 31 5.2 47

34 5.9 45 19 177 56 26 63 26 240 5.1 328

248 5.5 314 163 15 15 110 5.2 172 83 2 't{Zr~~~~ ====================== New Mexico __________________ _ 3 110 5.5 164 78 57 5.7 393 245 76 227 71 57 294

Arizona ___________ ----- -- ------ 291 5.9 376 12 6.6 260 76 ·26 Utah _________________________ _ ·17 12 171

172 7.1 247 71 22 6.7 163 87 37 Nevada _____ • ________________ _ 45 23 138

145 7.6 154 79

62 Pacific 505 6.7 534 293 187 Washington ___________________ _ 190 62 502 7.1 506 270 30 250 6.2 284 175 104

165 102 30 Oregon _________ -- - - - - - - - -- -- -- 244 6,4 269 1,714 ·809 1,721

·727 1,726 3,222 7.1 4,014 California ______________ -------- 3,184 7.5 3,750 1,584 18 ·21 5

·14 5 66 6.9 100 68 7.8 93 16 139 58 17 40

14 39 137 8.0 128 8.0 129 53 ~~!~~ ========================

1990 to

Table 2. Components of Population Change, for Regions, Divisions, and States: 1990 to 2020 - Series C - Con.

[Numbers In thousands. Resident population. Series A, B, C, and D reflect different interstate migration assumptions. See text for explanations 1

July I, 1990 to July 1,1995 July 1,1995 to July 1, 2000

Components of change Components of change Net change'

Net change' Net migration

Net migration Region, division, and State Net

Net internal International internal International Net Percent

Net Percent migration Births Deaths migration2

change change Births Deaths • migration2 migration change change

4,397 . 4,397 12,795 4.9 20,088 11,792 Unlled Stales ________________ 14,024 5.6 20,504 11,093

REGION AND DIVISION

Northeast _____________________ _ 618 New England _________________ _ 6 Middle Atlantic ________________ _ 612

Midwest _______________________ _ 2,201 East North Central _____________ _ 1,526 West North Central ____________ _ 675

South _________________________ _ 5,968 South Atlantic _________________ _ 3,334 East South Central ------------- 786 West South Central ____________ _ 1,848

West __________________________ _ 5,236 Mountain _____________________ _ 1,585 Pacific _______ ---- --------- - ---- 3,651

1.2

1.6

3.7 3.6 3.8

7.0 7.6 5.2 6.9

9.9 11.5

9.3

3,790 948

2,842

4,623 3,299 1,325

7,053 3,439 1,195 2,420

5,038 1,216 3,822

2,460 592

1,867

2,730 1,910

819

3,903 2,037

745 1,121

2,001 510

1,491

·1,760 ·538

·1,221

-157 ·229

72

1,722 1,361

283 78

197 710

·512

969 176 793

340 268 72

1,059 609

33 417

2,029 147

1,882

863 294 569

1,675 1,149

527

5,218 3,440

635 1,143

5,039 1,068 3,970

1.7 2.2 1.5

2.7 2.6 2.9

5.7 7.3 4.0 4.0

8.6 7.0 9.2

3,520 863

2,657

4,485 3,191 1,294

6,956 3,378 1,174 2,403

5,127 1,268 3,859

2,527 611

1,916

2,833 1,993

840

4,245 2,263

786 1,196

2,186 569

1,617

·1,151 ·151 ·998

·352 ·331

·19

1,416 1,682

212 ·477

88 212

·123

984 179 805

339 268

71

1,054 607

33 414

2,020 145

1,876

STATE

New England Maine ________________________ _ 13 New Hampshire _______________ _ 20 Vermont ______________________ _ 16 Massachusetts - _______________ _ ·39 Rhode Island ------------------Connecticut _______________ ----- ·2

1.0 1.8 2.9

·0.7

·0.1

80 79 41

425 71

252

57 44 24

274 49

145

·14 ·13

·1 ·320

·42 ·143

1 3

110 16 45

47 76 25 58 19 70

3.7 6.7 4.4 1.0 1.9 2.1

75 72 40

385 65

225

59 47 25

280 50

151

28 46

9 ·165

·13 ·53

1 3

112 16 46

Middle Atlantic New York _____________________ _ 179 New Jersey ___________________ _ 190 Pennsylvania ________ ---- -- - - - -- 243

1.0 2.5 2.0

1,436 591 815

864 368 636

·1,011 ·195

·13

540 198

56

136 239 194

0.7 3.0 1.6

1,337 547 773

874 384 658

·877 ·130

9

549 199

56

East North Central Ohio _________________________ _ 336 Indiana _______________________ _ 263 Illinois ________________________ _ 403

272 ~~~~~~n-======::::::::::::::: 252

3.1 4.7 3.5 2.9 5.1

800 420 945 783 350

508 253 528 404 218

·12 82

·225 ·166

95

26 13

178 33 18

227 211 297 242 171

2.0 3.6 2.5 2.5 3.3

773 416 912 745 346

532 266 545 423 226

·45 47

·247 ·112

27

26 13

178 33 18

West North Central 231 Minnesota ---------------------Iowa _________________________ _ 78

Missouri ______________________ _ 163 North Dakota ·3 South Dakota ------------------_________________ _ 34 Nebraska _____________________ _ 62 Kansas _______________________ _ 112

5.3 2.8 3.2

·0.7 4.9 3.9 4.5

333 191 384

44 53

117 203

176 138 257 28 32 75

114

42 13 11

·22 11 14 5

25 9

14 1 1 4

17

196 26

171 ·11 18 37 91

4.2 0.9 3.2

·1.9 2.4 2.3 3.5

323 189 370

41 54

116 200

183 139 264

28 32 76

117

24 ·35 46

·26 ·5 ·8

·11

25 9

14 1 1 4

17

South Atlantic Delaware _____________________ _ 50 Maryland _____________________ _ 292 District of Columbia ____________ _ ·44 Virginia _______________________ _ 438 West Virglnia __________________ _ 24 North Carolina ---------------- 493

242 South Carolina -----------------591

~~7;;p~a _: ::::: :=::::: ::: =:::::: 1,249

7.5 6.1

·7.5 7.1 1.3 7.4 6.9 9.1 9.6

53 418

51 486 110 506 287 564 963

31 199 36

246 100 299 154 272 700

24 15

·87 118

263 97

240 691

3 78 18 87

1 28

8 49

336

51 331

·9 462 ·35

472 232 565

1,374

7.0 6.5

·1.8 6.9

.2.0 6.6 6.2 8.0 9.6

53 401 45

474 106 496 283 565 955

34 217

35 271 101 332 172 302 798

28 66

-36 168 ·43

277 112 254 859

3 78 18 87

1 27 8

49 335

East South Central Kentucky _____________________ _ 151 328 Tennessee --------------------222

~:s:'i~pi::::::=:::::::::::::: 85

4.1 6.7 5.5 3.3

279 362 339 215

182 235 200 128

34 185 78

·13

7 13

9 4

85 292 199 60

2.2 5.6 4.7 2.2

272 360 333 208

188 252 212 134

·7 169 69

·17

7 13

9 4

West South Central Arkansas _____________________ _ 107 Louisiana _____________________ _ 120

110 Oklahoma Texas ---------------------________________________ _ 1,511

4.5 2.8 3.5 8.9

178 368 227

1,647

126 191 152 653

45 ·96 ·10 141

5 18 16

378

84 ·2 ·2

1,065

3.4 ·0.1 ·0.1 5.7

173 354 217

1,659

132 199 155 710

35 ·175

·82 ·253

5 18 16

375

Mountain Montana ___ - - -- - --- - -- --- - -- - -- 54 Idaho ________________________ _ 139 Wyoming _____________________ _ 29 Colorado _____________________ _ 371 New Mexico __________________ _ 148 Arizona 368 Utah ____ -- - - --- -- - ----- - ----_________________________ _ 204 Nevada ______________________ _ 273

6.7 13.7 6.4

'11.2 9.7

10.0 11.8 22.4

58 88 35

263 137 330 189 117

35 40 17

112 56

152 49 49

27 88 11

180 48

122 45

189

6 1

28 16 59 13 24

12 77

168 106 353 127 226

1.4 6.7

.0.2 4.6 6.4 8.7 6.6

15.2

59 98 36

267 140 328 207 133

37 43 18

124 61

173 55 59

·11 16

·20 ·3 10

133 -36 127

6 1

27 16 58 12 24

Pacific Washington - __________________ _ 607 289

g~f;Fg:nia:::::: :::::: :::: ::: ::: 2,570 Alaska _______________________ _ 76 Hawaii _______________________ _ 109

12.4 10.1

8.6 13.8

9.8

393 215

3,054 58

102

190 131

1,125 11 35

339 168

-1,045 22

4

65 31

1,741 6

39

550 249

3,038 28

105

10.0 7.9 9.4 4.4 8.6

413 228

3,051 62

106

209 140

1,217 12 39

277 128

·508 ·28

8

64 31

1.737 6

39

11

12

Table 2. Components of Population Change, for Regions, Divisions, and States: 1990 to 2020 - Series C - Con.

(Numbers in thousands. Resident population. Series A, B, C, and D reflect different interstate migration assumptions. See text for explanations J

July 1, 2000 to July 1, 2005 July 1, 2005 to July 1, 2010


Region, division, and State Net migration Net migration

Net Net Net Percent internal International Net Percent internal International

change change Births Deaths migration' rnlgratlon change ohange Births Deaths., migration' migration

United Slates ________________ 12,011 4.3 19,908 12,512 4,397 12,107 4.2 20,514 13,209 4,397

REGION AND DIVISION

Northeast ________________ •• ___ _ 942 1.8 3,317 2,598 -838 994 943 1.8 3,306 2,653 -806 1,002 New England ______ • __________ _ 358 2.7 812 634 ·21 179 343 2.5 814 654 ·25 180 Middle Atlantic ___ • ________ ... __ 584 1.5 2,505 1,964 ·816 815 600 1.5 2,492 1,999 ·781 822

Midwest _____________________ • __ 1,125 1.8 4,370 2,930 -708 339 1,174 1.8 4,405 3,013 -657 340 East North CentraL ___________ _ 719 1.6 3,090 2,067 ·602 268 740 1.6 3,100 2,127 ·568 268 West North Central ____________ _ 406 2.1 1,281 663 ·104 71 434 2.3 1,305 687 ·66 71

South ____________ • __ •• ________ _ 4,967 5.1 6,909 4,592 1,518 1,049 4,925 4.8 7,121 4,940 1,546 1,044 South Atlantic _________________ _ 3,143 6.2 3,376 2,494 1,590 604 3,062 5.7 3,513 2,716 1,561 602

East South Central ____________ _ 527 3.2 1,142 626 169 33 532 3.1 1,146 671 198 33 West South Central ____________ _ 1,297 4.4 2,391 1,270 ·240 412 1,332 4.3 2,463 1,352 ·212 409

West _______ .. _________________ _ 4,977 7.9 5,313 2,392 29 2,015 5,065 7.4 5,682 2,603 -79 2,011 Mountain _____________________ _ 965 5.9 1,302 625 128 143 973 5.6 1,366 679 116 141 Pacific ____________________ • ___ _ 4,013 8.6 4,011 1,767 -98 1,872 4,092· 6.0 4,317 1,924 -195 1,870

STATE

New England Maine ________________________ _ 43 3.4 74 62 28 1 43 3.2 75 65 26 1 New Hampshire _______________ _ 77 6.4 72 50 50 3 66 5.3 75 54 41 3 Vermont ______________________ _ 20 3.3 39 26 5 19 3.0 40 27 5 Massachusetts ________________ _ 107 1.8 356 287 -84 113 110 1.8 353 293 ·74 114 Rhode Island _________________ _ 24 2.4 62 51 ·3 16 25 2.4 62 52 ·2 16 Connecticut ___________________ _ 87 2.6 209 158 -15 46 79 2.3 209 163 ·20 45

Middle Atlantic New York _____________________ _ 224 1.2 1,259 668 ·716 558 251 1.4 1,252 901 ·685 565 New Jersey ___________ .. ______ _ 264 3.2 514 400 -62 200 245 2.9 516 414 ·74 200 Pennsylvania __________________ _ . 95 0.8 732 676 ·36 57 103 0.6 725 665 ·20 57

East North Central Ohio _____________ • ___________ _ 112 1.0 744 554 ·113 26 115 1.0 739 571 ·97 26

Indiana _______________________ _ 123 2.0 405 278 ·20 13 116 1.9 404 269 -19 12 Illinois ________________________ _ 223 1.6 663 560 ·282 178 242 2.0 890 571 -270 179 Michigan _____________________ _ 164 1.7 719 441 ·152 33 167 1.7 724 454 -149 33 Wisconsin ____________________ _ 98 1.6 339 235 ·31 16 99 1.8 343 242 ·29 16

West Minnesota North Central ____________________ _ 140 2.9 321 191 ·19 25 140 2.8 329 199 ·23 25 -13 -0.5 182 140 ·67 9 ·3 ·0.1 180 141 -56 9 ~~~oi.jj.i ::::::::: :::::::: :::::: 162 3.0 367 273 49 14 165 2.9 375 283 50 14

North Dakota _________________ _ 39 28 -13 1 4 0.7 40 27 -10 1 South Dakota _________________ _ 16 2.2 55 33 ·7 1 19 2.5 57 33 ·7 1 Nebraska ________ .. ___________ _ Kansas _______________________ _ 25 1.5 116 77 ·19 4 28 1.7 116 79 ·17 4

77 2.9 201 121 ·22 17 81 2.9 206 125 ·20 17

South Atlantic Delaware _____________________ _ 20 3 40 Maryland _____________________ _ 40 5.2 53 38 4.9 55 41 21 3 297 5.5 396 235 52 78 269 5.1 412 252 43 76

District of Columbia ___ .. _______ _ 15 2.7 44 35 ·10 19 20 3.5 45 35 ·7 19 Virginia _______________________ _ 408 5.7 467 297 143 86 366 5.1 480 322 129 66 West Virginia __________________ _ ·36 ·2.1 97 101 ·36 1 ·26 ·1.5 91 101 ·22 1 North Carolina ________________ _ 422 5.5 489 366 261 27 415 5.2 505 398 265 27 South Carolina ________________ _ 202 5.1 279 189 100 8 199 4.6 285 205 105 6

541 7.1 574 334 249 48 524 6.4 604 366 230 48 ~I~~~~a _::::::::::::::::: :::::: 1,255 6.0 977 900 612 333 1,215 7.2 1,035 996 796 332

East South Central 56 1.4 261 195 ·19 7 61 1.5 258 202 -7 7 ~:~~~~~e-:::::::::::::::::::: 236 4.3 357 269 131 13 230 4.0 365 287 131 13

172 3.8 324 224 60 9 173 3.7 327 236 66 9 ~i~~~i~pi ::::::::: ::: :::: ::::: 63 2.3 200 140 4 67 2.4 197 146 9 4

West South Central 82 3.2 170 137 42 5 87 3.3 171 143 48 5 t~~~:~~ :::::::::::::::::::::: 55 1.3 341 206 ·97 18 72 1.6 340 214 ·74 18

Oklahoma __ .. _. ___ .... ___ • ___ _ 35 1.1 209 156 ·34 16 56 1.7 210 162 ·10 17 Texas ________________________ _ 1,125 5.7 1,672 769 -146 372 1,115 5.4 1,741 633 -174 369

Mountain Montana ... ____ • ______________ _ 13 1.6 59 36 ·6 19 2.1 60 39 ·3 Idaho ___________ • __________ • __ 51 4.2 100 46 -6 6 54 4.2 101 49 -6 6 Wyoming • _______________ • ____ _ 2 0.5 36 16 ·16 1 6 1.3 36 18 ·12 1 Colorado __ .. __ .. _____________ _ 166 4.3 265 135 5 27 166 4.1 275 146 4 27 New Mexico ___ .. _____________ _ 115 6.5 144 66 18 16 117 6.2 154 72 15 16 Arizona _______________________ • 368 8.4 342 195 155 58 363 7.6 368 216 142 57 Utah ____________ • ____________ _ 114 5.5 214 60 ·50 12 117 5.4 221 64 ·52 12 Nevada _______ ._ .. ___________ _ 135 7.9 142 67 37 23 131 7.1 150 75 32 23

Pacific Washington ___ .. _._. _______ .. __ 422 7.0 430 229 151 64 420 6.5 453 247 140 63 Oregon ______________ • ___ .. _ ... 174 5.1 236 149 53 30 182 5.1 246 156 56 30 California .... ______________ .. __ 3,257 9.2 3,170 1,334 -303 1,734 3,321 8.6 3,426 1,458 ·391 1,732 Alaska .. ____________ .... _____ _ 47 7.2 66 13 ·11 6 48 6.8 73 14 ·17 5 Hawaii • ____________ ..... __ ._._ 112 8.4 109 43 13 39 121 8.4 116 48 17 39

Table 2. Components of Population Change, for Regions, Divisions, and States: 1990 to 2020 - Series C-Con.

[Numbers In thousands. Resident population. Series A, B, C, and D reflect different interstate migration assumptions. See text for explanations J July 1. 2010 to July I, 2015 July I, 2015 to July I, 2020





International Net Percent Net Percent Internal migration Births Deaths migration'

Births Deaths migration' migration change change change change

4,396 4,396 12,844 4.1 22,567 14,581

United States _______________ _ 12,688 4.2 21,652 13,878

REGION AND DIVISION 1,022 2.2 3,582 2,735 -752

Northeast _____________________ _ -785 1,012 1,194 183 1,072 2.0 3,446 2,694 ·26 387 2.7 894 690 New England _________________ _ ·28 181 839 365 2.6 855 671 2,045 ·726

831 807 2.0 2,687 Middle Atlantic ________________ _ ·757 707 1.8 2,591 2,022

341 3,165 -524 340 1,423 2.1 4,657

Midwest _______________________ _ -589 270 1,345 2.0 4,552 3,089 2,228 ·481 269 920 2.0 3,291 71 East North Central _____________ _ ·523 860 1.9 3,208 2,178 2.5 1,366 937 ·42

·65 71 503 485 2.5 1,344 911

West North Central ------------- 1,035 7,775 5,645 1,590 South _________________________ _ 1,568 1,039 4,963 4.4 600 5,030 4.7 7,495 5,284 3,144 1,564

600 3.060 5.1 3,921 South Atlantic _________________ _ 1,562 33 3,101 5.5 3,742 2,929 969 241

33 552 3.0 1,214 3.2 1,185 917 220 403 1,532 -215

East South Central ------------- 558 4.0 2,640 -213 406 1,341 West South Central ____________ _ 1,371 4.2 2,568 1,438

-310 1,998 5,274 6.7 6,554 3,036

West __________________________ _ -190 2,005 138 5,240 7.1 6,159 2,812 785 96 140 993 5.1 1,506

Mountain _____________________ _ 106 1,860 1,002 5.5 1,446 731 ·406 4,281 7.2 5,048 2,251 2,081 -298 1,865

Pacific _________ - - - - -- --- - - - - - -- 4,239 7.7 4,713

STATE

71 29 1 New England 3.1 81

Maine ________________________ _ 28 t 44 3 44 3.2 79 68 4.2 84 62 32 36 3 60

64 4.8 80 58 30 4 New Hampshire ---------------- 19 2.9 43 Vermont ______________________ _ 5 117 19 3.0 41 28 304 -64

116 143 2.2 386 Massachusetts ________________ _ ·69 16 126 2.0 369 298 53 -3

16 29 2.7 69 Rhode Island _________________ _ ·3 46 28 2.6 66 53 170 ·22

46 91 2.5 231 220 166 ·22

Connecticut _______ -- - - - - - - - - - -- 84 2.4

580 920 ·661 Middle Atlantic 355 1.9 1,345

New YorL ____________________ _ ·671 573 201 308 1.6 1,298 910 ·77 278 3.1 576 438 New Jersey ___________________ _ ·80 200 59 258 3.0 545 425 14 1.4 786 689

-4 58 174 141 1.1 747 687

Pennsylvania __ ----- --- - - -- -----

594 ·58 27 East North Central 159 1.4 767

Ohio _________________________ _ ·78 27 12 144 1.2 756 584 -13 128 2.0 426 308 298 ·16 12 179 Indiana ______________ ---------- 126 2.0 417 593 -254

179 305 2.4 961 lilinois ________________________ _ ·260 33 284 2.3 929 582 2.1 781 474 ·136

·143 33 215 18 197 1.9 755 464 258 -16 18 112 2.0 356

2.0 352 250 ·23 ~i~~~~~n -===================== 109

217 ·20 24 West North Central 24 150 2.9 349

Minnesota ____________________ _ -22 9 149 2.9 342 207 0.6 178 141 -36 ·46 9 16 14 8 0.3 179 141 59 14 178 3.0 397 304

3.0 389 293 54 27 -6 1 ~~:ouri= = = == = =:::::: :==== === =: 176 1 9 1.5 41 North Dakota _________________ _ ·8 1 8 1.2 41 27 -5 1 25 3.0 62 34 South Dakota _________________ _ ·6 4 23 2.9 60 34 ·10 4 36 2.0 121 82 Nebraska _____________________ _ -14 17 33 1.9 120 80 132 -18

17 89 3.1 218 3.1 213 128 ·19

Kansas _______ ---------- --- - --- 88

46 21 3 South At/antic 4.6 62

Delaware _____________________ _ 21 3 41 77 41 4.8 59 43 4.9 472 286 36 Maryland _____________________ _ 39 77 306 19 301 5.0 444 269 4.2 50 36 ·5

·4 19 26 85 D!stri~t of Columbia ____________ _ 24 4.2 47 35 119 86 379 4.6 534 373

4.9 509 347 123 100 ·4 1 Virginia _______ ------- ---------- 386 1 ·9 ·0.6 90 West Vlrglnla __________________ _ -13 27 ·16 ·1.0 91 100 464 270 27 408 4.6 558 North Carolina ________________ _ 267 7 418 4.9 536 430 110 7 198 4.3 311 238 South Carolina ________________ _ 108 47 203 4.6 300 221 5.5 680 440 209

218 47 508 332 524 6.0 647 401 1,161 810 332 1,204 6.2 1,165

6.7 1,109 1,081 805 ~I~~i~~a _:=::: ::= = = = = =: =:: ==:=:: 1,221

219 7 8 East South Central 8 70 1.7 266

Kentucky _____________________ _ 13 70 1.7 263 210 327 138 13 225 3.6 390 Tennessee ___________________ _ 134 9 233 3.9 380 306 3.7 357 261 71

69 9 183 4 183 3.8 343 248 161 24 Alabama ___ ----- --- - - ---- ------ 4 74 2.5 201 Mississippi ____________________ _ 17 73 2.6 199 153

158 61 5 West South Central 5 95 3.4 180

Arkansas _____________________ _ 54 18 94 3.5 177 150 2.1 348 230 -48 -59 18 94 17 89 2.0 345 222 2.3 215 173 16

Oklahoma Louisiana ---------------------- 17 80 ____________________ _ 3 363 73 2.2 214 167 -242 366 1,072 4.7 1,898 972 Texas ________________________ _ -209 1,116 5.1 1,832 900

2.8 63 41 1 Mountain 26

2.6 62 40 55 6 Montana ____ - - - - - - - - - - -- - - - - - -- 23 6 61 4.3 108 Idaho ________________________ _ ·3 1 58 4.4 105 52 2.0 37 18 ·10

-11 1 10 26 9 1.8 37 18 5 27 169 3.9 297 168 4.1 288 157 5 83 7 15 ~6i~~~g =::==:=============::: 171 5.6 174 11 16 119 56 120 6.0 166 77 6.6 420 257 130

New Mexico ------------------- 136 57 362 12 368 7.2 399 237 74 ·58 Arizona _____ - - - - --- - - - -- - - - - - -- 12 120 5.0 239 Utah _________________________ _ ·54 22 120 5.2 230 69 89 24

22 127 6.0 167 Nevada ______________________ _ 29 131 6.6 160 82

62 509 288 140 Pacific 63 438 6.0

Washington ___________________ _ 139 30 434 6.3 484 266 68 205 5.2 272 173 Oregon _______________________ _ 63 30 1,722 197 5.3 260 164 7.6 4,046 1,717 ·610

·498 1,728 3,449 5 California _____________________ _ 3,427 8.1 3,762 1,583 5.9 85 16 ·27 -23 5 47 40 48 6.4 80 15 8.4 136 58 24 21 39 142

132 8.5 126 53 ~~~~~ ===:=::=:===============

13

14

Table 2. Components of population Change, for Regions, Divisions, and States: 1990 to 2020 - Series D-con.

[Numbers in thousands. Resident population. Series A, B, C, and D reflect different interstate migratIOn assumptions. See text for explanations J

July 1, 1990 to July 1,1995 July 1, 1995 to July 1, 2000





internal International Net Percent Net Percent migration Births Deaths migration2

change change Births Deaths migra~on2 migration ch~nge change

4,397 4,397 12,796 4.9 20,101 11,802

United Slates _______________ _ 14,024 5,6 20,505 11 ,095

REGION AND DIVISION 972

3.9 3,654 2,588 Northeast _____________________ _ -367 968 2,073 177 1,660 3,3 3,810 2,467 902 622 -121 175 472 3.5 795 316 2.4 955 594 1,966 792 1,601 4.1 2,752

2,855 1,873 -246 ~iJdI;nii~~~iC-= = === == == == = = = = == 1,344 3.6 339

3.2 4,489 2,855 Midwest _______________________ _ -37 340 2,010 267 2,280 3.8 4,622 2,732 2,013 268 1,468 3.4 3,197

East North CentraL ___________ _ -37 72 1,659 3.9 3,299 1,912 843 72 542 3.0 1,291 West North Central ____________ _ 620 3.5 1,323 820

1,062 3,812 4,2 6,904 4,182

South _________________________ _ 350 1,060 614 4,949 5.8 7,045 3,896 1,741 3,B 3,297 2,205

South Atlantic _________________ _ 296 610 33 2,521 5.8 3,431 2,031 781 33 428 2.7 1,179 East South Central ____________ _ 42 415 614 4.0 1,195 744 2,428 1,196 12 417 1,643 5.7 West South Central ____________ _ 1,814 6.8 2,419 1,121

2,024 4,902 8.4 5,055 2,177

Wesl __________________________ _ 57 2,029 146 5,136 9.7 5,028 2,000 560 148 818 5.5 1,218 Mountain _____________________ _ 132 1,878 1,166 8.5 1,205 508 4,084 9.4 3,836 1,617

1,492 -74 1,882 Pacific _________ - ___ - - -- - - - -- --- 3,970 10.1 3,823

STATE

1 New England 20 1,6 76 59

Maine ________________________ _ 1 3 21 1.7 80 57 72 47 -9 3 30 2.7 2.2 79 44 25 New Hampshire ---------------- 24 16 2.7 40

Vermont ______________________ _ 111 17 3.0 42 24 287 110 240 3.9 410 Massachusetts ________________ _ -76 16 146 2.4 429 275 51 16 36 3.5 69 Rhode Island _________________ _ -7 45 25 2.5 72 49

130 3,9 235 154 145 -23 45

Connecticut __________ - - - - - - - --- 83 2,5 254

540 Middle Atlantic 1,411 912

New york _____________________ _ -200 539 1,042 5.5 198 790 4.4 1,447 868 4.6 561 391 New Jersey ___________________ _ -47 198 374 57 304 3,9 592 369 663 56 185 1.5 780

2,1 816 636 2 Pennsylvania ______ - - - - - - - - - - - -- 250

26 East North Central 271 2.4 772 534

Ohio _________________________ _ -1 26 13 342 3.1 800 508 266 13 158 2.7 410 Indiana ____________________ ---- 18 214 3.9 419 253 177 4.5 919 556 Illinois ________________________ _ -42 178 542 32 538 4.7 946 529 756 431 -31 33 358 3.7 Michigan _____________________ _ 18 370 4.0 785 405 226 18 140 2.7 341 Wisconsin ____________________ _ 20 194 4.0 349 218

25 165 3.6 316 183 West Minnesota North Central ____________________ _ 8 25 9 203 4.6 332 176 61 2.2 190 140

Iowa _________________________ _ 2 9 14 70 2.5 191 138 264 14 127 2.4 373 Missouri ______________________ _ 1 153 3.0 385 257

17 2,6 43 29 North Dakota _________________ _ -7 1 1 8 1.3 44 28

24 3,3 55 33 South Dakota _________________ _ 1 1 4 27 3,9 53 32 76 4 45 2.8 116 Nebraska _____________________ _ 2 17 53 3,3 117 75 117 -5 17 102 3.9 199 Kansas ________________ -------- 106 4.3 203 114

3 South Atlantic 33 3 22 3,1 50

Delaware _____________________ _ 6 78 36 5.4 53 31 5,0 386 217 Maryland _____________________ _ 10 78 252 18 284 5,9 416 199 50 38 -19 18 31 5.1 87 D!st:i<:t of Columbia ____________ _ 4 0.6 52 36 4.3 459 268 VirgInia _______________________ _ 16 87 283 1 364 5.9 484 246

1 10 0.6 112 103 West Virginia __________________ _ 28 25 1.4 110 100

28 187 2.7 480 323 North Carolina ________________ _ 43 331 5.0 505 298 8

8 120 3.2 280 168 South Carolina ________________ _ 29 187 5.3 287 153 49 541 296 47 49 295 4.2 340 447 6.9 561 272 938 759 165 336 541 3.9

6.5 963 696 ~I~~;p~a _==== == = ===== = = === = === == 843

7 East South Central 189 7 94 2.5 274

Kentucky _____________________ _ 129 3.5 278 182 248 13 13 114 2.2 348

Tennessee ___________________ _ 33 216 4.4 360 235 9 336 211 15 9 132 3.1 4 175 4.3 339 200 4 89 3.3 221 133

3,7 217 128 -4 ~i~~~~i~pi=:=================== 94

5 West South Central 2,2 180 130 4 5 55 1B 79 3.4 178 126

18 185 4,2 371 203 4.3 370 191 -20 157 16

Oklahoma t~~fs7~~~ ==:=================== 181 16 87 2.7 227 ____________________ _ -6 115 3.7 227 152 376

1,317 7.1 1,650 705 Texas ________________________ _ 36 378

1,439 8.4 1,643 652

Mountain 22 2.6 58 37 35 2 6 Montana _________ -- - - - -- -- - - - -- 36 4.5 57 6 57 5,2 94 43

Idaho ________________________ _ 19 1 87 8.6 86 40 1 18 3.8 36 18

Wyoming _____________________ _ 2 28 22 4.9 34 17 28 154 4.3 246 123

Colorado _____________________ _ 27 264 8.0 258 112 61 16 16 96 5.9 139

New Mexico __________________ _ 7 119 7.8 136 56 59 326 167 16 59 223 5.6 Arizona ______________ -------- -- 295 8,0 329 152 12 8.7 210 54 Utah _________________________ _ 8 13 167

178 10,3 189 49 24 5,8 110 56 Nevada ______________________ _ 52 24 80

164 13.5 114 48

65 Pacific 377 204 69 66 244 4.6

398 8.1 388 190 31 211 138 39 31 106 3.5 186 6.5 212 131 1,737

3,589 10.8 3,092 1,224 1,126 -185 1,741 6 g~pgr~~~~=::::::::::::::::::: 3,216 10.8 3,065 55 13 4 6 49 7.9

63 11.4 56 11 38 39 39 96 7.9 102

9.6 102 35 ~~!~~ ====:==============::=:: 107

Table 2. Components of Population Change, for Regions, Divisions, and States: 1990 to 2020 - Series D-con.

[Numbers in thousands. Resident population. Series A, B, C, and D reflect different interstate migration assumptions. See text for explanations J

July 1, 2000 to July 1, 2005 July 1, 2005 to July 1, 2010

Components of change Net change' Net change' Components of change


Region, division, and State Net

Net Internal International internal International Net Percent

Net Percent migration Births Deaths migration' change change Births Deaths .".migratlon2 migration change change

4,397 4,397 12,107 4.2 20,551 13,247

United States ________________ 12,010 4.3 19,933 12,535

REGION AND DIVISION


Midwest _______________________ _ East North CentraL ____________ _ West North Central ____________ _

South _________________________ _ South Atlantic _________________ _

East South Central -------------West South Central ____________ _

West __________________________ _ Mountain _____________________ _

Pacific _______ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - --

1,828 394

1,435

1,815 1,300

515

3,487 1,511

368 1,608

4,880 805

4,075

3.4 2.8 3.5

2.8 2.9 2.7

3.7 3.1 2.3 5.3

7.7 5.1 8.6

3,506 845

2,661

4,417 3,122 1,295

6,806 3,193 1,147 2,467

5,204 1,257 3,948

2,718 653

2,066

2,990 2,120

870

4,456 2,366

817 1,273

2,372 610

1,762

974 177 797

337 266

71

1,064 618 33

413

2,022 146

1,876

1,762 359

1,403

1,805 1,269

536

3,426 1,451

336 1,640

5,114 832

4,282

3.1 2.5 3.3

2.7 2.7 2.8

3.5 2.9 2.0 5.1

7.5 5.0 8.3

3,524 831

2,693

4,492 3,159 1,333

6,933 3,242 1,130 2,561

5,603 1,321 4,282

2,837 682

2,155

3;123 2,224

899

4,714 2,507

852 1,354

2,574 657

1,916

975 178 797

336 265

71

1,065 622

33 410

2,020 145

1,875

STATE

New England Maine ________________________ _ New Hampshire _______________ _ Vermont ______________________ _ Massachusetts ________________ _ Rhode Island _________________ _ Connecticut ______ - - __ - - - - - -- - --

16 23 13

203 31

108

1.3 2.0 2.1 3.2 2.9 3.1

74 68 38

379 66

220

61 49 26

300 53

163

111 16 45

14 21 11

181 29

103

1.1 1.8 1.8 2.7 2.7 2.9

74 68 37

366 65

222

64 52 27

313 54

171

112 16 45

Middle Atlantic New York _____________________ _ New Jersey ___________________ _ Pennsylvania __________________ _

968 332 135

4.9 3.9 1.1

1,376 538 747

964 415 687

541 199 57

952 328 123

4.6 3.8 1.0

1,402 550 742

1,018 436 702

541 198 58

East North Central Ohio _________________________ _ Indiana _______________________ _ Illinois __________ ---------------

Wi;~~~~n -=====================

224 134 500 314 127

2.0 2.3 4.0 3.1 2.4

751 396 900 736 339

563 279 584 458 236

26 13

177 32 18

206 121 504 308 130

1.8 2.0 3.9 3.0 2.4

752 391 924 745 347

589 293 613 484 245

26 13

176 32 18

West Minnesota North Central ____________________ _

~:oljri=== == = == ======== = ====== North Dakota ------------------South Dakota --- ______________ _ Nebraska _______ ---------------Kansas _______ -----------------

152 59

115 17 26 45

101

3.2 2.0 2.1 2.5 3.5 2.7 3.8

313 191 369

44 58

117 202

192 144 272

29 34 78

121

25 9

14 1 1 4

17

158 61

115 18 30 48

106

3.2 2.0 2.1 2.6 3.8 2.8 3.8

326 193 374

45 61

121 210

202 146 281

30 35 80

126

25 9

14 1 1 4

17

South AtlantIc Delaware _____________________ _ Maryland _____________________ _ District of Columbia ____________ _ Virginia. __ ._: ___________________ _ West Vlrgmla __________________ _

North Carolina ----------------South Carolina -----------------

~~ri;r~a _ = = = = = = = = == = = = = = = = = = = = = =

17 218 29

242 5

144 99

259 497

2.3 4.1 4.6 3.5 0.3 2.0 2.6 3.6 3.5

47 367

48 435 109 452 270 525 940

35 235

39 291 106 347 181 319 813

3 79 18 87

1 28 8

49 344

15 210

28 220

123 89

247 520

2.0 3.8 4.2 3.1

-0.1 1.7 2.3 3.3 3.5

47 377

48 433 102 446 268 531 990

37 254 39

315 108 368 193 343 849

4 79 18 87

1 28 8

49 348


Alabama ____ --- - -- --- -- -- ------Mississippi ____________________ _

80 90

115 84

2.0 1.7 2.6 3.0

266 333 327 221

197 261 221 138

7 13 9 4

70 78

106 81

1.8 1.5 2.4 2.9

260 329 322 219

205 274 230 143

7 13 9 4

West South Central Arkansas _____________________ _ Louisiana _____________________ _ OklahOma ____________________ _ Texas ________________________ _

51 177

85 1,296

2.0 3.9 2.5 6.5

180 376 229

1,682

134 215 163 761

5 18 16

373

51 176

85 1,329

2.0 3.7 2.5 6.3

179 382 233

1,765

137 227 169 822

5 18 17

370

MountaIn Montana_ Idaho - - -- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - --________________________ _ Wyoming _____________________ _ Colorado _____________________ _ New Mexico __________________ _

Arizona Utah ____ --- - - - -- - ---- ----- --_________________________ _ Nevada ______________________ _

23 61 19

137 98

216 178 73

2.6 5.3 3.8 3.7 5.7 5.1 8.6 5.0

61 101

38 240 147 331 228 110

39 46 20

135 67

182 60 62

6 1

28 16 59 12 24

24 63 19

132 104 228 187

75

2.8 5.2 3.7 3.4 5.6 5.2 8.3 4.9

64 105 39

247 157 353 239 117

41 49 21

148 73

193 65 68

6 1

27 16 59 12 24

PacIfIc Washington ___________________ _

g~r~g~ia = = == == = = = ==== == ==== = = =

~~!~~ ========================

230 102

3,595 49 98

4.2 3.2 9.8 7.4 7.4

378 214

3,194 58

104

219 145

1,339 15 43

65 31

1,736 5

39

234 106

3,786 53

103

4.1 3.3 9.4 7.5 7.3

395 221

3,490 65

111

235 152

1,464 19 48

65 31

1.734 5

39

15

16

Table 2. Components of population Change, for Regions, Divisions, and States: 1990 to 2020 - Series D-con.

[Numbers in thousands. Resident population. Series A. B. C. and D reflect different interstate migration assumptions. See text for explanations J July 1. 2015 to July 1. 2020

July 1. 2010 to July 1. 2015



Net migration Region. division. and State


International Net Percent Net Percent internal Births Deaths migration" migration

Births Deaths migration2 migration change change change change

4,396 4,396 12,851 4.1 22,701 14,664

United States ______________ .. _ 12,693 4.2 21,726 13,936

REGION AND DIVISION

Northeast _____________________ _ 1,825 New England - ________________ _ 363 Middle Atlantic ________________ _ 1,462

Midwest _______________________ _ 1,845 East North CentraL ____________ _ 1.292 West North Central - ___________ _ 553

South _________________________ _ 3,541 South Atlantic _________________ _ 1.502 East South Central - ___________ _ 327 West South Central ____________ _ 1.712

West __________________________ _ 5,482 Mountain _____________________ _ 864 Pacific ___________ - - - - - - - -- - - - -- 4.618

3.1 2.5 3.4

2.7 2.7 2.8

3.5 2.9 1.9 5.1

7.5 5.0 8.3

3,696 864

2.832

4,626 3.262 1.364

7,234 3,396 1.143 2.696

6,170 1.386 4.784

2,948 711

2.237

3,257 2.327

930

4,954 2.626

888 1,440

2,777 700

2.077

979 179 799

336 264

71

1,066 627

33 406

2,016 144

1.872

1,869 368

1.501

1,757 1.235

522

3,503 1,491

295 1.716

5,722 863

4.860

3.1 3,867 2.4 900 3.3 2.967

2.5 4,688 2.5 3.323 2.6 1.365

3.3 7,479 2.8 3.508 1.7 1.158 4.9 2.812

7.3 6,667 4.7 1,432 8.1 5.235

983 3,064 744 181

802 2.321

3,398 335 263 2,434

964 71

1,069 5,201 633 2.740

926 34 402 1.534

3,001 2,010 744 143

2.257 1.867

STATE

New England Maine ________________________ _ 12 New Hampshire _______________ _ 20 Vermont ______________________ _ 10 Massachusetts ________________ _ 180 Rhode Island _________________ _ 31 Connecticut __________ ---------- 110

0.9 1.7 1.6 2.7 2.7 3.0

74 70 37

379 67

236

67 56 29

326 55

179

1 3

114 16 45

7 16 8

187 33

116

0.5 71 1.3 70 1.3 37 2.7 400 2.8 71 3.0 251

69 1 60 3 31

341 115 56 16

187 45

Middle AtlantiC New York _____________________ _ 985 New Jersey ___________________ _ 345 Pennsylvania ____ - -- - - - - - - - - - - -- 132

4.5 3.8 1.1

1,489 588 756

1.072 456 710

543 198 59

1.014 358 130

4.5 1.582 3.8 624 1.0 761

1.127 544 476 199 717 60

East North Central Ohio _________________________ _ 200 Indiana _______________________ _ 113 Illinois ________ --- -------------- 532

317 130 W,~~~~~n -= = = = == = = = = == = = = == = = ==

1.7 1.8 3.9 3.0 2.4

761 393 978 775 354

612 307 643 509 255

26 13

175 31 18

174 98

535 309 119

1.4 760 1.6 394 3.8 1.021 2.8 798 2.1 351

635 27 321 13 676 175 535 31 266 18

West North Central Minnesota ____________________ _ 166 Iowa _________________________ _ 59 Missouri ___ .. __________________ _ 118

18 North Dakota ------------------South Dakota _________________ _ 31 Nebraska _____________________ _ 49 Kansas _______ ----------------- 111

3.3 1.9 2.1 2.6 3.9 2.7 3.8

340 192 382 46 63

123 218

213 149 289

31 35 83

130

25 9

15 1 1 4

17

159 52

109 17 31 44

111

3.0 343 1.7 187 1.9 382 2.3 45 3.7 64 2.4 121 3.7 222

225 24 9 152

299 15 31 1 36 1 85 4

135 17

South Atlantic Delaware _____________________ _ 15 Maryland _____________________ _ 221 District of Columbia ------------- 29 Virginia _________________ ------- 214 West Vlrginia __________________ _ -5 North Carolina ________________ _ 116 South Carolina ________________ _ 87

245 581 ~,~~~~a _ ====:=:============::::

1.9 3.8 4.2 2.9

..0.3 1.6 2.2 3.2 3.8

49 406

50 449

97 457 274 553

1.061

39 274

40 339 110 387 204 370 864

4 79 18 87

1 28

8 49

353

14 222

31 198 -10 100

78 227 632

1.8 50 3.7 429 4.2 53 2.6 462

-0.6 94 1.3 463 1.9 278 2.8 566 4.0 1.112

41 4 295 79

42 19 87 365

112 1 406 29 214 8 400 49 866 358

East South Central 65

~:~~~~"lee-::==::=::::::=:==::: 72 Alabama_ - __ - - - - - - - - - - - - - -- - --- 109 Mlsslsslppl ____________________ _ 81

1.6 1.3 2.4 2.8

260 333 329 221

213 287 239 148

8 13

9 4

55 57

107 77

1.3 261 1,0 333 2.3 340 2.6 224

223 8 301 13 249 9 154 4

West South Central Arkansas _____________________ _ 52 Louisiana _____________________ _ 180 Oklahoma ____________________ _ 83 Texas ________________________ _ 1.396

2.0 3.6 2.4 6.2

181 392 235

1.888

140 239 175 887

5 18 17

366

50 175

74 1,417

1.9 183 3.4 401 2.0 233 5.9 1.995

142 5 252 18 181 17 959 362

Mountain Montana 24 Idaho ____ - -- - - - - - - - -- - - - - - --________________________ _ 63 Wyoming _____________________ _ 18 Colorado _____________________ _ 131 New Mexico __________________ _ 109 Arizona _____ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - --- 248 Utah _________________________ _ 191 Nevada ______________________ _ 80

2.7 4.9 3.4 3.3 5.6 5.4 7.8 5.0

64 105

39 257 166 382 246 127

42 51 22

162 78

201 70 73

6 1

27 16 59 12 24

22 60 15

119 110 260 194 83

2.3 63 4.5 106 2.8 37 2.9 259 5.4 173 5.3 404 7.4 255 4.9 135

44 6 54 1 24

177 27 83 16

208 58 76 12

24 78

Pacific Washington ___________________ _ 241 109

g~i;~g,.~iil: =::: = =::::::::::::::: 4.102 Alaska _______________________ _ 57 Hawaii _______________________ _ 109

_ Represents zero or rounds to zero.

'These components do not Include th

the net sum of the components will not equal "The Internal migration components f

the net sum of Internal migrations which Is ze

66 66 233 3.7 420 267

4.0 413 250 31 31 105 3.0 229 164

3.2 227 157 1,724 1.730 4.349 9.0 4.379 1.744

9.3 3.951 1.596 5 5 56 6.8 76 27

7.4 72 22 41 40 117 7.2 130 56

7.2 120 52

e adjustments to bring the sum of the State projections by age, sex, and race Into agreement with the nallonal populatlon projeCllons. Thus,

the net change In population. or regions, divisions, and States Includes the net movement of persons to the Armed Forces. For the U.S. total this component reflects only

ro.

.~'

Table 3. Projections of the Divisions, and Stat

[Numbers in thousands. Resident population. Series A, B

Total

Date, region, division, and State

Total

JULY 1, 1993

Populaes: 19, C, and D refle

Female

tion, b93 to 2020 ct different Int

White

Total

y Sex, Race, and Hispanic Origin, for Regions, - Series A (Preferred Series)

erstate migration assumptions. See text for explanations 1 Hispanic origin'

Race

American Indian, Asian and Pacific Black Eskimo, and Aleut Islander

Female Total Female Total Female Total Female Total

Female

United States' ______________ _ 257,927 132,006 214,779 109,473 32,137 16,907 2,165 1,092 8,846 4,534 25,085 12,329

REGION AND DIVISION

Northeast _____________________ _ 51,227 New England _________________ _ 13,200

38,027 Middle Atlantic -----------------Midwest _______________________ _ 61,149

East North CentraL ___________ _ 43.D48 West North Central ____________ _ 18,101

26,549 6,814

19,735

31,397 22,132

9,265

43,417 12,215 31,201

53,769 37,069 16,700

22,443 6,307

16,136

27,521 18,978 8,543

6,132 683

5,449

6,065 5,118

946

3,260 353

2,906

3,207 2,716

491

123 33 90

369 161 207

63 17 46

186 81

105

1,555 269

1,286

946 699 247

784 137 647

484 357 127

4,069 640

3,429

1,956 1,621

335

2,069 323

1,746

942 780 162

South _________________________ _ 89,362 South Atlantic _________________ _ 45,720 East South Central ____________ _ 15,695 West South Central ____________ _ 27,947

45,923 23,527 8,137

14,259

70,506 35,150 12,451 22,905

35,989 17,956 6,403

11,631

16,827 9,586 3,096 4,146

8,889 5,059 1,657 2,173

595 181

43 371

299 90 21

188

1,434 804 106 525

746 422

56 268

7,678 2,446

106 5,126

3,817 1,218

51 2,547

Wesl __________________________ _ 56,189 Mountain _____________________ _ 14,723 Pacific __________ -- - --- - -- -- -- -- 41,466

28,137 7,410

20,726

47,087 13,449 33,638

23,521 6,766

16,755

3,113 416

2,697

1,551 202

1,349

1,078 556 523

544 283 261

4,911 303

4,608

2,521 160

2,362

11,382 2,284 9,099

5,501 1,131 4,370

STATE

New England Maine ________________________ _ 1,236 1,118 New Hampshire ----------------Vermont ______________________ _ 573

Massachusetts ________________ _ 5,992 Rhode Island _________________ _ 1,004

3,278 Connecticut ___ - - - - -- - -- - - --- ---

633 570 292

3,108 521

1,689

1,217 1,097

565 5.478

933 2,926

625 560 288

2,844 485

1,506

5 7 2

336 44

289

2 3 1

173 22

152

6 2 2

12 4 7

3 1 1 6 2 3

7 12 4

167 23 57

4 6 2

85 11 28

8 13 4

321 53

241

4 6 2

162 27

122

Middle Atlantic New YorL ____________________ _ 18,140 7,836 New Jersey -------------------- 12,050 Pennsylvania ___ --- - --- ------ ---

9,426 4,045 6,264

14,099 6,378

10,724

7,290 3,284 5,562

3,185 1,119 1,145

1.708 589 610

61 14 15

31 7 7

795 324 167

397 165 85

2,319 838 272

1,192 419 134

East North Central Ohio _________________________ _ 11,080 Indiana _______________________ _ 5,717

11,708 9,485 ~Ii~~l~a;:; -=== == ====== = Wisconsin === = === === ____________________ _ 5,058

5,731 2,940 6,010 4,873 2,578

9,730 5,195 9,543 7,926 4,676

5,016 2,666 4,868 4,048 2,380

1,219 460

1,795 1,373

272

648 243 953 730 142

21 14 23 60 43

11 7

12 30 22

110 48

348 127 67

56 25

177 65 34

158 113

1,016 226 108

79 55

481 112 52

west Minnesota North Central ____________________ _ 4,527 Iowa _________________________ _ 2,828 Missouri _________________ ------ 5,224 North Dakota _________________ _ 636 South Dakota _________________ _ 719

1,619 Nebraska __ -------------------- 2,548 Kansas _____ - - --- - - - - -- - - - - - - --

2,303 1,454 2,701

319 365 828

1,296

4,272 2,736 4,583

601 653

1,528 2,327

2,174 1,408 2,361

301 332 781

1,185

101 54

570 4 3

61 153

49 27

304 1 1

31 76

55 8

20 27 58 14 25

28 4

10 14 29

7 13

99 30 50 4 4

15 43

51 15 26 2 2 8

22

63 40 67

5 6

46 107

30 20 33

2 3

22 51

South Atlantic Delaware _____________________ _ 699 Maryland _____________________ _ 4,966

577 D!st~ict of Columbia -------------Virginia __________________ ------ 6,468 West Virglnla __________________ _ 1,816

6,946 North Carolina ---------------- 3,647 South Carolina ----------------- 6,871 13,730 ~I~~~~a_=======================

359 2,655

305 3,295

942 3,574 1,880 3,532 7,084

660 3,476

182 5,016 1,749 5,243 2,612 4,883

11,630

286 1,770

89 2,539

906 2,673 1,276 2,478 5,938

125 1,303

383 1,240

55 1,543 1,099 1,879 1,960

66 687 210 646

29 818 584 997

1,021

2 13 1

15 3

86 9

13 38

1 7 1 7 1

44 4 6

19

12 174

11 197

9 74 28 96

202

6 91

5 103

5 39 15 50

107

20 146 30

181 9

91 37

130 1,803

9 72 15 86

5 41 17 59

914

East South Central Kentucky _____________________ _ 3,787 5,093 Tennessee -------------------- 4,182 2,632 ~~~rs~l~pi=====================

1,951 2,638 2,175 1,373

3,483 4,222 3.Q78 1,668

1,791 2,174 1,582

856

277 820

1,059 940

145 438 570 504

6 10 17 9

3 5 9 5

22 40 28 15

12 21 15 8

23 39 27 17

10 19 13 9

Weal South Central Arkansas _____________________ _ 2,422 Louisiana ________________ ------ 4,312 Oklahoma ____________________ _ 3,231 Texas ________________________ _ 17,983

1,253 2,234 1,655 9,117

2,009 2,893 2,674

15,330

1,033 1,480 1,370 7,747

382 1,347

242 2,175

204 718 124

1,127

14 19

270 69

7 9

137 34

17 53 45

410

9 27 23

209

24 103 98

4,901

12 52 47

2,437

Mountain 836 Montana Idaho ___ - - - -- -- - - - - - - - - - - - --________________________ _ 1,097 Wyoming _____________________ _ 473 Colorado _____________________ _ 3,551 New Mexico - _________________ _ 1,614

3,915 Arizona Utah ____ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - --_________________________ _ 1,859 Nevada ______________________ _ 1,379

421 560 236

1,790 819

1,982 934 679

776 1,063

455 3,292 1,410 3,479 1,770 1,204

391 533 227

1,660 714

1,762 890 590

2 4 4

148 32

120 13 92

1 2 2

73 15 58 6

46

52 17 11 33

151 237

30 25

26 8 6

16 78

121 15 12

5 13

4 78 21 78 46 58

3 7 2

41 11 41 23 31

14 66 29

477 645 789

97 167

7 31 14

237 325 390

48 79

Pacific Washington ___________________ _ 5,255 Oregon _______________________ _ 3,030 California _____________________ _ 31,399 Alaska _______________________ _ 603 Hawaii _______________________ _ 1,179

2,644 1,537

15,678 286 581

4,723 2,840

25,164 457 454

2,376 1,442

12,511 214 213

159 51

2,430 24 33

75 25

1,225 11 13

96 45

280 96 6

48 22

140 47

3

277 95

3,525 26

686

146 49

1,802 13

352

261 136

8,585 21 96

123 62

4,128 10 47

.•. .~

18

Table 3. ProjectionDivisions,

[Numbers in thousands. Resident popula


JULY 1,1995

s of the Populaand States: tion. Series A, B, C, and D refle

Total

Total

19

Female

tion, b93 to 2020 ct different int

White

Total

y Sex, Race, and Hispanic Origin, for Regions, - Series A (Preferred Series)-Con.

erstate migration assumptions. See text for explanations 1 Hispanic

Race


Female Total Total Female Total Female Total Female

origin 1

Female

United Stales' ______________ _ 263,434 134,749 218,334 111,195 33,117 17,420 2,226 1,123 9,756 5,011 26,798 13,188

REGION AND DIVISION

Northeast _____________________ _ New England _______ " _________ _ Middle Atlantic ________________ _

Midwest ___________ -- -- ------ ---East North Cantral _____________ _ West North Central ____________ _


west __________________________ _ Mountain _____________________ _ Pacific _________ - - - - - - - -- -- - -- --

61,440 13,198 38,243

61,994 43,610 18,383

91,726 47,017 16,018 28,690

58,273 15,384 42,890

26,639 6,806

19,834

31,802 22,401

9,401

47,120 24,193

8,299 14,628

29,187 7,743

21,444

43,381 12,183 31,198

54,305 37,392 16,913

72,123 35,963 12,690 23,470

48,525 14,004 34,521

22,400 6,283

16,117

27,765 19,122 8,642

36,797 18,369

6,523 11,906

24,233 7,044

17,189

6,263 692

5,572

6,250 5,277

973

17,377 9,961 3,165 4,252

3,227 436

2,791

3,331 359

2,973

3,303 2,798

505

9,173 5,254 1,692 2,228

1,612 213

1,399

118 32 86

382 164 217

605 185

43 376

1,122 589 533

60 16 44

192 83

110

304 92 22

191

566 300 267

1,678 291

1,387

1,057 777 280

1,621 909 120 593

5,400 355

5,045

848 148 700

542 397 145

845 478

63 304

2,776 187

2,589

4,251 684

3;567

2,102 1,737

365

8,260 2,645

113 5,502

12,185 2,471 9,714

2,162 346

1,817

1,015 838 177

4,110 1,320

54 2,735

5,901 1,224 4,678

STATE

New England Maine ________________________ _ New Hampshire -- _____________ _ Vermont ______________________ _ Massachusetts ________________ _ Rhode Island _________________ _ Connecticut ________________ ----

1,236 1,132

579 5,976 1,001 3,274

633 577 295

3,098 519

1,686

1,217 1,109

570 5,445

927 2,915

624 565 291

2,822 482

1,499

5 7 2

340 44

293

2 3 1

176 22

154

6 2 2

11 4 7

3 1 1 6 2 3

8 14 4

180 25 60

4 7 2

92 13 30

9 13 4

342 58

258

4 7 2

172 29

131

Middle Atlantic New York _____________________ _

~:;;';,t0~s:~a=================== 18,178

7,931 12,134

9,442 4,091 6,300

14,025 6,405

10,768

7,246 3,294 5,577

3,249 1,156 1,167

1,743 608 622

57 14 15

29 7 7

846 358 185

424 182

94

2,372 898 297

1,220 450 147

East North Central Ohio _________________________ _

~~~i~~~~=~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ 11,203 5,820

11,853 9,575 5,159

5,788 2,990 6,079 4,916 2,628

9,806 5,275 9,603 7,958 4,750

5,049 2,704 4,893 4,061 2,416

1,253 476

1,843 1,417

288

666 251 978 753 151

22 14 23 61 45

11 7

11 31 23

122 55

383 140 76

62 28

196 72 39

170 122

1,086 242 118

85 60

516 120

57

west Minnesota North Central ____________________ _ Iowa _________________________ _ Missouri ______________________ _

North Dakota -----------------South Dakota ------------------Nebraska ____________ - ---------Kansas ______________ - -- ---- ---

4,619 2,861 5,286

637 735

1,644 2,601

2,348 1,469 2,730

320 372 840

1,321

4,344 2,763 4,629

600 663

1,550 2,365

2,209 1,420 2,381

301 337 791

1,203

104 57

581 4 3

64 159

51 29

310

V 33 80

58 8

20 28 62 14 27

29 4

10 14 32

7 13

113 33 56

5 5

17 50

59 17 29

3 3 9

26

68 45 71

5 7

53 116

33 22 35

2 3

25 56

South AtlantiC Delaware _____________________ _ Maryland _____________________ _ District of Columbia ____________ _

~:ll~ri~irg{;iia=================== North Carolina ----------------South Carolina -----------------

~I~~~~a _= === = === = = = = = = = = = == = ===

718 5,078

559 6,646 1,824 7,150 3,732 7,102

14,210

369 2,614

294 3,383

946 3,678 1,923 3,650 7,337

570 3,500

178 5,127 1,756 5,378 2,561 5,025

11,867

291 1,782

86 2,591

910 2,741 1,301 2,550 6,117

132 1,368

369 1,284

54 1,594 1,131 1,955 2,073

69 723 202 669

29 845 601

1,037 1,079

3 13

1 15

3 90

9 13 38

1 7 1 7 1

45 4 6

19

14 196

11 220

11 88 31

109 231

7 102

5 115

6 47 17 57

123

22 158 30

193 10

100 40

144 1,948

11 78 14 93 5

46 19 66

988


Alabama _______ - - - - - - - - -- - - - - --MISSissippi ____________________ _

3,851 5,228 4,274 2,666

1,981 2,707 2,221 1,390

3,535 4,327 3,140 1,688

1,816 2,227 1,613

867

286 845

1,083 952

149 451 582 509

6 11 18

9

3 5 9 5

24 46 33 17

13 24 18

9

23 42 29 18

11 20 14

9

West South Central Arkansas ______________ ' _______ _

Louisiana ______ ----------------Oklahoma ____________________ _ Texas ________________________ _

2,468 4,359 3,271

18,592

1,277 2,256 1,674 9,421

2,047 2,909 2,699

15,814

1,053 1,487 1,381 7,985

386 1,371

244 2,251

206 729 125

1,167

15 19

276 67

8 9

140 33

20 60 52

461

10 30 27

236

27 109 106

5,260

13 55 51

2,616

Mountain Montana ____ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - --Idaho ________________________ _ Wyoming _____________________ _ Colorado _____________________ _ New Mexico __________________ _

Arizona Utah ______ -- ----------------_________________________ _ Nevada ______________________ _

862 1,156

487 3,710 1,676 4,072 1,944 1,477

434 579 243

1,869 850

2,062 976 730

798 1,118

467 3,431 1,460 3,606 1,843 1,281

402 560 233

1,728 739

1,826 925 630

2 5 4

156 32

123 14

100

1 2 2

77 16 60

6 50

55 18 12 34

159 251 33 27

28 9 6

17 82

128 17 13

6 15

4 89 25 91 54 70

3 8 2

47 14 48 28 37

15 74 31

511 686 853 106 195

7 35 16

254 346 422

52 93

Pacific Washington ___________________ _

g~"~.;;.~ia."====================== Alaska _______________________ _ Hawaii _______________________ _

5,497 3,141

32,398 634

1,221

2,764 1,592

16,184 302 602

4,915 2,929

25,701 477 499

2,469 1,485

12,776 225 235

164 54

2,512 26 36

77 26

1,269 12 14

101 47

277 102

7

50 23

139 50 3

318 111

3,908 29

679

167 57

2,000 15

349

291 151

9,143 22

106

138 70

4,408 10 52

Table 3. Projections of the Population, Divisions, and Stat

[Numbers in thousands. Resident population. Series A, B,

Total


Total

JULY 1,2000

es: 19C, and D refle

Female

b93 to 2020 ct different int

White

Total


erstate migration assumptions. See text for explanations 1 Hispanic

Race



origin 1

Female

United States' -_____________ _ 276,241 141,140 226,267 115,022 35,469 18,667 2,379 1,202 12,125 6,248 31,166 15,388

REGION AND DIVISION

Northeast _____________________ _ 51,885 13,217 New England ----------------- 38,668 Middle Atlantic -----------------

63,837 Midwest ____ -------- ------------East North CentraL ____________ _ 44,806

19,031 West North Central -------------

South ______ -------------------- 97,241 South Atlantic _________________ _ 50,004

16,762 East South Central -------------West South Central ____________ _ 30,476

63,277 West _______ --------------------Mountain _____________________ _ 16,889 Pacific _________ - - -- - ------- - --- 46,388

26,826 6,800

20,026

32,687 22,974

9,713

49,917 25,725 8,674

15,518

31,709 8,503

23,206

43,219 12,121 31,098

55,391 38,005 17,386

75,812 37,770 13,232 24,810

51,845 15,247 36,598

22,258 6,233

16,026

28,253 19,390 8,863

38,636 19,281 6,793

12,562

25,875 7,666

18,209

6,567 716

5,851

6,689 5,654 1,036

18,706 10,866 3,331 4,510

3,506 484

3,023

3,501 372

3,128

3,535 2,997

538

9,870 5,730 1,777 2,363

1,761 239

1,523

108 31 77

412 170 241

628 193 45

390

1,232 668 564

55 16 39

208 86

122

317 97 23

198

623 340 283

1,991 349

1,642

1,345 977 368

2,095 1,174

155 766

6,694 490

6,203

1,012 179 833

692 502 190

1,094 618

82 395

3,450 258

3,191

4,691 797

3,895

2,478 2,037

441

9,752 3,165

132 6,455

14,244 2,946

11,298

2,390 403

1,987

1,202 987 215

4,864 1,586

64 3,214

6,932 1,462 5,471

STATE

New England Maine ________________________ _ 1,240 1,165 New Hampshire ----------------Vermont __ ~ ___________________ _ 592 5,950 Massachusetts -----------------Rhode Island _________________ _ 998

Connecticut ___________________ _ 3,271

634 593 302

3,073 515

1,682

1,220 1,137

582 5,373

917 2,891

625 579 297

2,775 474

1,483

5 8 3

352 46

304

2 4 1

182 23

161

6 3 2

10 4 6

3 1 1 5 2 3

9 18

5 215

31 70

5 10

3 111

16 35

11 16 5

394 70

300

5 8 3

199 35

153

Middle Atlantic New YorL ____________________ _ 18,237 8,135 New Jersey ------------------- 12,296 Pennsylvania __ -- - --- - --- - - - ----

9,469 4,191 6,367

13,819 6,445

10,834

7,127 3,306 5,593

3,391 1,242 1,219

1,824 655 649

50 13 14

26 6 7

977 435 229

493 223 117

2,498 1,037

359

1,287 522 178

East North Central Ohio _________________________ _ 11,453 Indiana _______________________ _ 6,045

12,168 Illinois ___ ~ __ -------------------Michigan _____________________ _ 9,759 Wisconsin ____________________ _ 5,381

5,904 3,100 6,229 5,004 2,737

9,943 5,444 9,713 8,000 4,906

5,106 2,784 4,935 4,075 2,490

1,335 514

1,957 1,520

327

709 271

1,039 807 171

22 15 22 63 48

11 7

11 32 24

152 72

476 176 100

78 37

245 90 51

201 145

1,264 283 144

100 72

605 140 70

West Minnesota North Central ____________________ _ 4,824 Iowa _________________________ _ 2,930 Missouri ______________________ _ 5,437

643 North Dakota ------------------South Dakota _________________ _ 770 Nebraska _____________________ _ 1,704

2,722 Kansas _____ --- -- ---- - - --------

2,450 1,501 2,801

323 390 868

1,379

4,498 2,816 4,737

601 685

1,598 2,450

2,284 1,443 2,431

302 347 814

1,242

111 65

609 4 4

69 174

55 33

324 2 2

35 87

64 8

20 31 74 15 29

32 4

10 16 37 8

15

151 41 72

7 7

22 69

78 21 37

4 4

12 35

83 56 82

6 9

67 139

41 27 40

3 4

33 67

South Atlantic Delaware _____________________ _ 759 Maryland _____________________ _ 5,322 District of Columbla ____________ _ 537

7,048 1,840 ~g~~i~irgi;,ia== = = = === = = = = = = === = = 7,617 North Carolina -----------------South Carolina - _______________ _ 3,932 7,637

15,313 ~I~~i~~a _ = = = = = = = = = = == = = == = == = == =

390 2,743

279 3,580

954 3,916 2,025 3,924 7,914

589 3,546

176 5,367 1,770 5,682 2,677 5,346

12,619

300 1,804

82 2,704

916 2,893 1,358 2,711 6,511

149 1,514

349 1,391

53 1,715 1,207 2,139 2,351

78 802 191 725

28 908 641

1,133 1,223

3 13

1 15

3 98 9

12 40

1 7 1 7 2

49 4 6

20

18 249

12 275

14 123 39

140 303

10 131

6 144

7 65 21 74

161

28 188 29

228 12

123 49

176 2,333

14 93 14

110 6

58 23 83

1,185

East South Central Kentucky _____________________ _ 3,989 5,538 Tennessee ------------------- 4,485 Alabama-- _ - - --- - - - -- -- ---- - ---Mississippi ____________________ _ 2,750

2,048 2,866 2,328 1,433

3,646 4,563 3,284 1,738

1,869 2,347 1,684

893

307 905

1,139 980

160 483 610 524

6 11 18 10

3 5 9 5

30 59 44 22

16 31 24 11

26 51 35 20

12 25 17 10

West South Central Arkansas _____________________ _ 2,578 Louisiana _____________________ _ 4,478 Oklahoma ____________________ _ 3,382 Texas ________________________ _ 20,039

1,332 2,314 1,727

10,144

2,139 2,953 2,770

16,948

1,099 1,507 1,413 8,543

395 1,427

251 2,436

211 758 129

1,265

17 19

290 ,65

8 9

148 32

27 78 71

590

14 40 37

304

33 124 124

6,173

16 62 60

3,076

Mountain 920 Montana _____ - - - - - -- - - --- - -- - --Idaho ________________________ _ 1,290 Wyoming _____________________ _ 522 Colorado _____________________ _ 4,059 New Mexico __________________ _ 1,823

4,437 Arizona Utah _ - -- - - -- -- - -- - - - - - - - - - --_________________________ _ 2,148 Nevada ______________________ _ 1,691

464 646 260

2,044 923

2,249 1,076

841

847 1,242

498 3,733 1,574 3,894 2,017 1,443

427 622 248

1,878 795

1,972 1,010

714

2 6 5

174 33

131 16

118

1 3 2

86 16 64

7 59

62 21 14 36

181 285

39 31

31 10

7 18 93

146 20 15

8 21

6 117 35

127 77 99

4 11

3 62 19 67 39 53

17 95 36

595 792

1,019 127 264

8 45 18

296 400 505

62 127

Pacific Washington ___________________ _ 6,070 3,404

34,888 g~~pg~iil== = Alaska ===== = ====== = === === _______________________ _ 699 Hawaii _______________________ _ 1,327

3,047 1,723

17,444 337 656

5,360 3,139

26,987 516 596

2,686 1,588

13,408 246 282

174 60

2,719 28 42

83 30

1,380 13 17

112 52

276 116

8

56 26

139 58

4

424 153

4,906 39

681

222 79

2,518 20

353

368 189

10,584 26

131

175 89

5,130 12 64

2.0

Table 3. Projections of the Divisions, and Stat

[Numbers in thOusands. Resident population. Series A, B

Total


Total

JULY 1,2005

populaes: 19, C, and D refle

Female

tion, b93 to 2020 ct different Int

White

Total


erstate migration assumptions. See text for explanations J Hispanic

Race


Total Female Total Female Female Total Female Total

origin 1

Female

United Siaies' ______________ _ 288,286 147,165 233,343 118,432 37,792 19,906 2,542 1,286 14,608 7,540 35,702 17,679

REGION AND DIVISION


52,472 13,406 39,06e;

27,093 6,883

20,210

43,153 12,199 30,954

22,173 6,256

15,916

6,896 755

6,141

3,683 394

3,289

102 31 71

52 16 36

2,321 421

1,900

1,185 217 968

5,123 916

4,208

2,614 454

2,150

Midwest ______ ------------------East North Central _____________ _ West North Central ____________ _


65,193 45,621 19,572

102,366 52,709 17,384 32,274

33,334 23,361

9,974

52,520 27,112

8,989 16,419

56,023 38,266 17,758

79,163 39,338 13,668 26,157

28,520 19,485

9,035

40,303 20,Q66

7,011 13,226

7,104 6,012 1,092

19,987 11,735

3,482 4,770

3,755 3,187

568

10,547 6,190 1,856 2,501

437 173 264

652 201

45 406

221 87

133

329 101 23

206

1,628 1,170

458

2,564 1,435

188 941

839 602 237

1,341 756

99 486

2,869 2,351

518'

11,299 3,725

153 7,420

1,398 1,144

254

" 5,649 1,872

75 3,702

West __________________________ _ Mountain _____________________ _ Pacific ________ -- _ -- - - - - --------

68,255 18,089 50,167

34,218 9,108

25,110

55,004 16,202 38,802

27,437 8,144

19,293

3,805 522

3,283

1,921 260

1,662

1,352 743 609

684 378 306

8,095 622

7,473

4,176 327

3,849

16,411 3,431

12,980

8,019 1,706 6,314

STATE

New England Maine ________________________ _ New Hampshire _______________ _ Vermont ________ ---------------Massachusetts ________________ _ Rhode Island _________________ _ Connecticut _______ -- -- - --- -----

1,265 1,215

607 5,991 1,009 3,319

646 618 309

3,087 519

1,704

1,243 1,180

594 5,355

919 2,908

636 600 303

2,757 473

1,488

5 9 3

369 48

322

2 4 2

192 24

171

6 3 2

10 4 6

3 1 1 5 2 3

12 24

7 257

38 83

6 13 4

133 19 41

13 20

7 452

82 342

6 10 3

228 41

175

Middle Atlantic New york _____________________ _ New Jersey ___________________ _

Pennsylvania ____ - - - - - - - -- -- - ---

18,348 8,338

12,380

9,524 4,291 6,395

13,647 6,480

10,626

7,027 3,316 5,574

3,541 1,333 1,267

1,909 705 675

46 12 13

24 6 7

1,114 513 273

564 254 140

2,622 1,164

423

1,353 587 209

East North Central Ohio _________________________ _ Indiana _______________________ _

~i~~i~a;; -= Wisconsin == == ==== = = == == = = ==== = ____________________ _

11,587 6,190

12,417 9,898 5,528

5,964 3,169 6,348 5,070 2,810

9,975 5,538 9,765 7,995 4,992

5,111 2,827 4,949 4,066 2,531

1,409 549

2,066 1,625

362

749 289

1,096 862 190

22 15 22 54 51

11 7

11 32 26

181 88

564 214 123

93 45

291 110 63

234 171

1,448 328 171

116 84

697 163 84

West Minnesota North Central ____________________ _ Iowa _________________________ _ Missouri ______________________ _ North Dakota ------------------South Dakota _________________ _ Nebraska _____________________ _ Kansas ___________ -- -----------

4,986 2,965 5,592

657 796

1,752 2,825

2,530 1,516 2,876

330 402 891

1,429

4,609 2,837 4,848

609 696

1,637 2,521

2,338 1,450 2,482

306 353 831

1,275

117 72

635 5 4

73 186

59 37

338 2 2

37 94

69 8

20 34 86 16 31

35 4

10 17 43 8

16

191 47 88

9 9

27 86

99 24 46

5 5

14 44

99 65 94 7

10 79

164

49 32 46

3 5

39 80

South Atlantic Delaware _____________________ _ Maryland _____________________ _

District of Columbia -------------""~ Virginia _______________________ _

" West Virginia __________________ _

North Carolina ----------------South Cerolina -----------------

~~~~a _ = = = = = = = = = = = = === == == === = East South Central , Kentucky _____________________ _

Tennessee ___________________ _

Alabama _____ - - - -- -- - - - -- - - - - --Mississippi ____________________ _

789 5,548

547 7,398 1,844 8,002 4,122 8,111

16,347

4,086 5,791 4,674 2,832

406 2,862

284 3,752

955 4,113 2,122 4,169 8,450

2,095 2,996 2,423 1,475

598 3,585

183 5,585 1,772 5,922 2,789 5,617

13,306

3,719 4,748 3,411 1,790

305 1,822

85 2,798

917 3,013 1,414 2,849 6,864

1,903 2,441 1,748

919

165 1,645

350 1,491

51 1,819 1,276 2,312 2,626

326 960

1,191 1,006

87 873 192 777 27

963 678

1,224 1,368

170 512 637 537

3 13

1 15

3 104

9 12 41

6 11 19 10

2 7 1 7 2

52 4 6

20

3 5 9 5

23 305

14 328

17 157 48

170 374

35 72 55 26

12 160

7 171

9 83 25 90

198

19 37 29 14

33 217

30 268 14

144 58

205 2,756

30 59 42 23

17 108

15 130

7 68 27 98

1,402

14 29 20 11


2,679 4,627 3,520

21,447

1,384 2,388 1,795

10,852

2,225 3,024 2,864

18,045

1,142 1,540 1,458 9,085

403 1,485

259 2,623

215 788 133

1,365

18 19

305 64

9 10

155 32

34 98 93

716

18 50 48

369

38 138 141

7,102

19 69 69

3,545

Mountain Montana _____ - -- - - - - - - -- --- -- --Idaho ________________________ _ Wyoming _____________________ _ Colorado _____________________ _ New Mexico __________________ _ Arizona _____________ -----------Utah _________________________ _ Nevada ______________________ _

962 1,385

559 4,309 1,956 4,763 2,318 1,835

485 694 279

2,169 990

2,415 1,159

918

882 1,330

531 3,942 1,671 4,145 2,156 1,544

445 665 265

1,982 844

2,098 1,078

767

2 7 5

188 34

137 17

132

1 3 2

94 17 68

8 67

68 23 16 37

205 317

45 34

34 11 8

19 105 162 23 17

10 26

7 143

46 165 100 125

5 14

4 75 25 87 51 67

19 116 40

680 904

1,193 147 330

10 56 20

339 456 593

72 160

PaCific Washington ___________________ _

Alaska _______________________ _ g~~~gr~ia-= = = = = === = = = = == = === == == Hawaii _______________________ _

6,570 3,645

37,771 745

1,436

3,296 1,842

18,901 381 711

5,737 3,328

28,527 534 676

2,870 1,680

14,165 256 321

181 65

2,961 29 46

88 33

1,509 13 19

122 56

289 133

9

61 28

146 66

4

530 196

5,993 49

704

276 101

3,080 25

367

444 225

12,123 30

158

213 107

5,902 14 77

2&

Table 3. Projections of the Population, by Sex, Race, and Hispanic Origin, for Regions, Divisions, and States: 1993 to 2020 - Series A (Preferred Series)-Con.

[Numbers in thousands. Resident population, Series A, B, C, and 0 reflect different interstate migration assumptions, See text for explanations J Hispanic origin 1

Race Total

American Indian, Asian and Pacific White Black Eskimo, and Aleut Islander


Femal' Total Female Total Total Female Total Female

Total Female Total Female

JULY 1, 2010

United States' --____________ _ 300,431 153,244 240,297 121,792 40,224 21,197 2,719 1,377 17,191 8,878 40,525 20,115

REGION AND DIVISION

Northeast _____________________ _

New England ------------------Middle Atlantic ________________ _

53,301 13,754 39,547

27,489 7,049

20,440

43,268 12,408 30,860

22,187 6,349

15,838

7,266 809

6,457

3,886 424

3,462

99 32 67

50 16 34

2,668 506

2,162

1,365 260

1.105

5,559 1,035 4,524

2,839 525

2,313

Midwest _______________________ _ East North CentraL ___________ _ West North Central ____________ _

66,332 46,258 20,074

33,876 23,660 10,216

56,443 38,351 18,Q92

28,687 19,496

9,192

7,526 6,379 1,148

3,976 3,379

597

461 174 287

233 88

145

1,902 1,355

547

980 697 283

3,284 2,685

600

1,606 1,311

294


101,385 55,321 17,941 34,124

55,067 28,448

9,271 17,347

82,388 40,807 14,042 27,539

41,904 20,798

7,198 13,909

21,296 12,615

3,634 5,047

11,238 6,656 1,935 2,648

676 208 45

423

342 104 23

215

3,025 1,692

219 1,114

1,582 891 116 576

12,943 4,315

176 8,452

6,483 2,173

86 4,224

West __________________________ _ Mountain _____________________ _

Pacific ________ - -- -- -- --- - -- - ---

73,412 19,094 54,318

36,813 9,614

27,198

58,198 16,974 41,224

29,013 8,529

20,484

4,136 554

3,582

2,098 277

1,821

1,483 817 666

751 416 335

9,595 748

8,846

4,951 392

4,558

18,739 3,954

14,785

9,188 1,969 7,219

STATE

New England Maine ________________________ _ New Hampshire _______________ _ Vermont ______________________ _ Massachusetts ________________ _

Rhode Island ------------------Connecticut ___________________ _

1,309 1,280

623 6,097 1,034 3,412

668 650 317

3,135 530

1,749

1,283 1,236

609 5,387

933 2,960

655 627 310

2,766 478

1,511

5 10 4

393 51

347

2 5 2

204 26

185

6 3 2

10 4 6

3 2 1 5 2 3

14 31

9 307

46 99

7 17 5

159 23 49

15 24 8

510 95

383

7 12 4

258 48

196

Middle Atlantic New York _____________________ _ New Jersey ___________________ _

Pennsylvania ____ - -- - --- --------

18,546 8,562

12,438

9,624 4,403 6,413

13,542 6,526

10,792

6,963 3,333 5,542

3,705 1,434 1,318

2,000 760 702

43 11 13

22 6 7

1,257 591 315

639 304 162

2,750 1,287

487

1,421 651 241

East North Central Ohio _________________________ _ Indiana _______________________ _

~i~~\~a;; -Wisconsin == ======= = = === ==== === = ____________________ _

11,659 6,286

12,652 10,033

5,629

5,992 3,214 6,459 5,135 2,859

9,948 5,587 9,801 7,979 5,035

5,088 2,848 4,957 4,051 2,551

1,483 582

2,181 1,737

396

788 306

1,156 921 207

22 15 21 64 52

11 7

11 33 27

206 102 648 253 145

106 53

335 130 74

268 197

1,643 375 200

134 98

795 186 99

West North Central Minnesota ____________________ _ Iowa _________________________ _ Missouri ______________________ _ North Dakota _________________ _ South Dakota _________________ _ Nebraska _____________________ _ Kansas _______________________ _

5,127 2,981 5,760

676 815

1,793 2,922

2,601 1,522 2,958

339 412 910

1,476

4,699 2,841 4,970

622 702

1,669 2,588

2,382 1,450 2,540

312 355 846

1,306

122 78

664 5 4

76 198

62 40

353 2 2

39 99

74 8

21 37 97 16 33

37 4

11 19 49 8

17

232 53

105 11 11 31

103

120 27 54

6 6

16 53

116 75

108 8

11 93

190

57 37 53

4 5

45 93

South Atlantic Delaware _____________________ _ Maryland _____________________ _ District of COlumbia ____________ _ Virginia _______________________ _ West Virginia __________________ _

North Carolina -----------------South Carolina ________________ _

~1~~;Jl~a _= == = = === = == = = = == = = = = = = = East South Central Kentucky _____________________ _

Tennessee ___________________ _ Alabama _______ -- -- - -- - - - -- -- --Mississippi ____________________ _

815 5,782

577 7,728 1,842 8,341 4,311 8,553

17,372

4,160 6,007 4,856 2,918

419 2,985

298 3,915

953 4,285 2,219 4,398 8,976

2,129 3,107 2,515 1,519

603 3,631

195 5,743 1,768 6,125 2,902 5,857

13,981

3,769 4,899 3,529 1,845

307 1,844

90 2,881

914 3,115 1,470 2,971 7,206

1,926 2,518 1,807

947

181 1,776

365 1,592

50 1,916 1,344 2,485 2,906

345 1,014 1,243 1.032

95 945 199 830

27 1,015

714 1,316 1,515

180 541 664 551

3 14

1 15 3

109 9

12 42

6 11 19 10

2 7 1 7 2

55 4 6

21

3 5

10 5

28 361

16 378

20 190 56

199 443

40 83 65 31

15 190

8 197

11 100 29

105 235

21 43 35 16

39 248

32 308

16 167 67

237 3,202

34 67 49 26

19 123 16

150 8

80 32

114 1,632

16 33 24 13

West South Central Arkansas _____________________ _ Louisiana _____________________ _ Oklahoma -- __________________ _ Texas ________________________ _

2,782 4,808 3,683

22,850

1,436 2,479 1,875

11,557

2,311 3,119 2,979

19,130

1,186 1,586 1,513 9,623

412 1,550

269 2,817

219 822 138

1,468

18 20

320 65

9 10

163 33

41 119 115 839

21 61 60

433

44 154 160

8,094

22 77 78

4,047

Mountain Montana _____ - _________ ---- ----Idaho ________________________ _

New Mexico __________________ _ ~.:r;;;~g ====================== Arizona Utah ___ - - -- ---- - - - --- - - -- - --_________________________ _ Nevada ______________________ _

996 1,454

596 4,494 2,082 5,074 2,462 1,935

502 728 298

2,261 1,053 2,571 1,230

971

908 1,392

564 4,090 1,760 4,379 2,272 1,609'

458 696 282

2,055 887

2,215 1,134

801

3 8 5

200 35

143 18

144

1 4 2

100 17 71

8 73

74 24 17 38

231 348

50 36

37 12 9

19 118 178

25 18

12 31

9 166 56

204 122 148

6 16

5 87 30

107 62 78

22 138 45

771 1,024 1,382

170 402

11 67 22

385 517 688

84 196


g~f;r~:,:i_;i====================== Alaska _______________________ _ Hawaii _______ " _______________ _

7,025 3,876

41,085 781

1,551

3,521 1,957

20,571 380 769

6,071 3,508

30,357 543 745

3,034 1,769

15,068 261 355

187 70

3,245 29 50

91 36

1,660 13 21

131 60

314 150

10

66 30

159 75 5

635 238

7,169 59

746

330 122

3,687 31

389

526 265

13,775 33

186

254 127

6,730 16 91

22

Table 3. Projections of the Population, Divisions, and Stat

[Numbers in thousands. Resident population. Series A, B,

Total


Total

JULY 1,2015

es: 19C, and 0 refle

Female

b93 to 2020 ct different int

White

Total


erstate migration assumptions. See text for explanations J Hispanic origin' Race


Female Total Female Total Female Total Female Total Female

United States' ______________ _ 313,116 159,599 247,542 125,309 42,796 22,555 2,904 1,472 19,873 10,263 45,719 22,737

REGION AND DIVISION

Northeast _____________________ _ 54,267 New England _________________ _ 14,131 Middle Atlantic ________________ _ 40,136

27,958 7,231

20,727

43,498 12,641 30,857

22,267 6,456

15,811

7,653 865

6,788

4,095 454

3,641

97 32 64

49 16 33

3,019 593

2,426

1,547 305

1,242

6,011 1,158

. 4,853

3,072 588

2,484

Midwest _______________________ _ 67,619 East North CentraL ____________ _ 46,998 West North Central - ___________ _ 20,621

34,496 24,013 10,483

56,968 38,504 18,464

28,913 19,545 9,368

7,981 6,774 1,207

4,212 3,584

628

486 176 310

246 89

157

2,183 1,543

640

1,125 795 330

3,731 3,044

687

1,829 1,491

338

South _________________________ _ 112,485 South Atlantic _________________ _ 57,979 East South Central ------------- 18,514 West South Central ____________ _ 35,992

57,655 29,806

9,564 18,285

85,617 42,278 14,419 28,921

43,510 21,529

7,388 14,593

22,675 13,536

3,797 5,342

11,965 7,143 2,019 2,803

701 215

46 440

355 108

23 224

3,491 1,950

253 1,289

1,826 1,027

133 666

14,705 4,941

199 9,565

7,377 2,493

98 4,787

West __________________________ _ 78,746 Mountain _____________________ _ 20,123 Pacific ________ - - - - - - - - - -- - - - --- 58,623

39,491 10,130 29,361

61,459 17,757 43,701

30,619 8,917

21,702

4,487 589

3,898

2,284 296

1,988

1,621 896 725

822 456 366

11,180 880

10,299

,5,766 461

5,305

21,272 4,522

16,749

10,459 2,255 8,204

STATE

New England Maine ________________________ _ 1,355 New Hampshire _______________ _ 1,341 Vermont ___________ - - - ----- - --- 641 Massachusetts ________________ _ 6,221 Rhode Island _________________ _ 1,061 Connecticut _________ - ---------- 3,512

691 681 326

3,194 542

1,797

1,326 1,289

624 5,436

948 3,017

676 654 317

2,786 485

1,538

6 11 4

417 54

374

2 5 2

217 28

199

6 3 2

10 4 6

3 2 1 5 2 3

17 38 10

358 54

115

9 20 6

186 27 57

17 28 9

571 109 425

8 14 5

289 55

218

Middle Atlantic New York _____________________ _ 18,804 New Jersey ___________________ _ 8,800 Pennsylvania __________ - - - - -- - -- 12,531

9,755 4,522 6,450

13,490 6,583

10,784

6,929 3,356 5,526

3,873 1,539 1,376

2,093 816 733

41 11 13

21 6 7

1,401 667 358

713 344 184

2,888 1,413

553

1,493 716 274

East North Central Ohio _________________________ _ 11,756 Indiana ______________ ---------- 6,385

12,924 ~ii~~\~iin -:::::::::::::::::::::: 10,195 Wisconsin ____________________ _ 5,737

6,034 3,262 6,591 5,213 2,912

9,940 5,638 9,864 7,978 5,084

5,075 2,871 4,980 4,045 2,574

1,562 617

2,306 1,860

431

829 324

1,221 985 225

21 14 21 65 54

11 7

11 33 27

233 117 733 292 168

120 60

379 150

86

305 226

1,854 427 232

152 112 900 212 115

West Minnesota North Central ____________________ _ 5,276 Iowa _________________________ _ 3,006 Missouri ______________________ _ 5,940 North Dakota _________________ _ 697 South Dakota _________________ _ 838 Nebraska _____________________ _ 1,838

3,025

2,675 1,533 3,046

349 423 932

1,526

4,795 2,854 5,101

638 711

1,706 2,661

2,429 1,454 2,603

319 359 863

1,341

127 85

695 6 4

80 210

65 44

368 2 2

41 106

79 8

21 41

109 17 34

40 4

11 21 55 9

17

275 60

122 13 13 35

121

142 31 63

7 7

19 62

134 86

122 9

13 107 217

66 42 60 4 6

53 106

S::~::~~~-------------------Delaware _____________________ _ 842 Maryland _____________________ _ 6,Q32 District of Columbia ____________ _ 607

8,060 ~~~~i~irgiiiiii::::::::::::: :::::: 1,845

8,681 North Carolina -----------------South Carolina ________________ _ 4,501 8,996

~I~ri~~a _::::::::::::::::::::::: 18,414

433 3,116

313 4,081

953 4,460 2,316 4,628 9,506

610 3,687

204 5,917 1,769 6,326 3,012 6,090

14,664

310 1,871

94 2,964

913 3,215 1,526 3,089 7,547

197 1,913

384 1,699

50 2,018 1,415 2,667 3,194

104 1,019

209 886

27 1,069

752 1,412 1,665

3 14 1

15 3

114 9

12 43

2 7 1 7 2

58 5 6

22

32 417

19 429

24 223

65 228 514

17 219

9 224

13 118 34

121 272

45 280

35 349

18 191

76 270

3,676

22 139

17 171

9 92 37

131 1,875

East South Central Kentucky _____________________ _ 4,237 Tennessee ___________________ _ 6,224 Alabama ______ - - - - - - - - - - -- - - --- 5,044 Mississippi ____________ --------- 3,009

2,167 3,220 2,611 1,566

3,820 5,047 3,649 1,902

1,951 2,594 1,868

976

366 1,070 1,300 1,061

190 570 693 566

6 11 19 10

3 5

10 5

45 96 76 36

24 50 40 19

39 76 56 29

18 38 27 15

West South Central Arkansas _____________ --------- 2,893 Louisiana _____________________ _ 5,001 Oklahoma ____________________ _ 3,852 Texas ________________________ _ 24,247

1,492 2,575 1,958

12,260

2,403 3,221 3,098

20,198

1,232 1,636 1,571

10,154

422 1,619

280 3,020

225 857 144

1,576

19 20

335 66

10 10

171 33

48 140 138 962

25 72 72

496

50 170 180

9,165

25 85 88

4,588

Mountain Montana _____ - -- - - - - - - - - -- - - - -- 1,033 Idaho ________________________ _ 1,526 Wyoming _____________________ _ 629 Colorado _____________________ _ 4,683 New Mexico __________________ _ 2,211 Arizona ______________ - --------- 5,394 Utah _________________________ _ 2,606 Nevada ______________________ _ 2,040

520 764 314

2,355 1,117 2,732 1,301 1,026

937 1,457

593 4,241 1,848 4,619 2,387 1,676

472 728 296

2,130 931

2,334 1,190

836

3 8 6

212 37

150 19

155

1 4 3

106 18 75 9

80

79 25 19 39

259 381

55 37

40 13 10 20

132 195

28 19

14 36 11

191 67

245 146 172

7 19 6

99 35

128 74 91

25 162

50 870

1,155 1,588

194 478

12 78 25

434 584 792

96 234 t

Pacific Washington ___________________ _ 7,490 4,119

g~~~g,.~ia-::::: ::::::::::::::::: 44,513 Alaska _______________________ _ 823 Hawaii _______________________ _ 1,678

3,752 2,078

22,296 402 833

6,410 3,698

32,229 554 810

3,200 1,863

15,987 267 386

195 76

3,544 30 54

95 38

1,818 13 22

141 64

339 170

11

71 32

171 85

5

744 281

8,401 70

803

386 144

4,320 36

419

614 309

15,573 37

216

298 149

7,632 18

106

1,'

-'

J

23

Table 3, Projections of the Population, by Sex, Race, and Hispanic Origin, for Regions, Divisions, and States: 1993 to 2020 - Series A (Preferred Series)-Con,

[Numbers in thousands. Resident population, Series A, B, C, and D reflect different interstate migration assumptions, See text for explanations 1 Hispanic origin' Race Total

American Indian, Asian and Pacific White Black Eskimo, and Aleut Islander Date, region, division, and State


Total Female Total Female

JULY 1,2020

United States2 ______________ _ 325,942 166,045 254,791 128,658 45,408 23,929 3,090 1,567 22,653 11,891 51,217 25,512

REGION AND DIVISION


55,352 14,527 40,824

28,491 7,425

21,066

43,843 12,893 30,950

22,411 6,575

15,836

8,041 920

7,121

4,303 483

3,820

96 33 63

49 17 32

3,372 681

2,691

1,729 6,474 3,310 351 1,283 652

1,378 5,191 2,658

Midwest _______________________ _ East North Central _____________ _ West North Central ____________ _

68,984 47,799 21,185

35,162 24,402 10,761

57,551 38,702 18,849

29,177 19,623 9,554

8,448 7,182 1,267

4,453 3,794

659

511 178 333

259 90

168

2,474 1,737

736

1,273 4,204 2,065 894 3,424 1,681 379 780 385


117,498 60,610 19,078 37,809

60,208 31,153

9,854 19,201

88,736 43,707 14,782 30,247

45,068 22,241

7,574 15,253

24,074 14,470 3,962 5,641

12,701 7,636 2,105 2,960

725 221

47 457

368 112

24 232

3,964 2,212

287 1,465

2,071 16,568 8,323 1,164 5,596 2,828

151 224 110 756 10,748 5,385

West __________________________ _ Mountain _____________________ _ Pacific ____________ - - _ - -- -- - - ---

84,109 21,147 62,961

42,184 10,643 31,541

64,662 18,529 46,133

32,202 9,300

22,902

4,845 624

4,221

2,472 314

2,158

1,758 976 782

892 497 395

12,844 1,019

11,825

6,618 23,972 11,814 532 5,130 2.562

6,066 18,842 9,252

STATE

New England Maine ________________________ _ New Hampshire _______________ _ Vermont ______________ -- - - -----Massachusetts ________________ _ Rhode Island _________________ _ Connecticut ___________ ---------

1,400 1,399

658 6,363 1,090 3,617

713 710 335

3,262 556

1,849

1,368 1,338

639 5,501

966 3,081

697 679 325

2,814 493

1,567

6 12

4 441

57 400

3 6 2

230 29

213

6 4 3

10 5 6

3 2 1 5 2 3

20 46 12

411 62

130

10 20 10 24 31 15

7 10 5 213 632 320

32 123 62 65 467 240

Middle Atlantic New York _____________________ _ New Jersey ___________________ _ Pennsylvania __________ -- -- - - ---

19,111 9,058

12,656

9,911 4,651 6,504

13,487 6,659

10,804

6,920 3,390 5,527

4,039 1,645 1,438

2,183 873 764

39 11 13

20 6 6

1,548 743 402

788 3,031 1,568 383 1,539 782 207 620 308

East North Central Ohio _________________________ _ Indiana _______________________ _ Illinois ______________ - - -- -------

~ii~~~~n -::::::::::::::::: ::::

11,870 6,488

13,218 10,377 5,846

6,085 3,312 6,735 5,302 2,967

9,944 5,691 9,944 7,990 5,133

5,070 2,895 5,014 4,047 2,598

1,643 652

2,434 1,988

465

871 343

1,287 1,051

243

21 14 21 66 !;i5

11 7

11 34 28

261 131 819 334 192

134 344 171 67 257 127

424 2,076 1,011 171 481 239 98 266 132

west Minnesota North Central ____________________ _

~~:ouri:::::: :::::::: ::: :::::: North Dakota _________________ _ South Dakota _________________ _ Nebraska _____________________ _ Kansas _______________________ _

5,426 3,038 6,123

719 863

1,885 3,130

2,751 1,547 3,137

360 435 955

1,577

4,889 2,873 5,234

653 722

1,744 2,735

2,476 1,461 2,668

327 364 881

1,376

132 91

727 6 5

84 221

68 47

385 3 2

43 112

84 8

22 44

122 18 36

43 4

11 22 61

9 18

320 67

140 16 15 40

138

165 153 76 34 97 48 73 137 68

8 10 5 8 14 7

21 122 60 71 246 121

~~1~!~:~~1~ __________________ _ Maryland _____________________ _ District of Columbia ____________ _

~~~~i~irgiiiia::::::::::::::: :::: North Carolina ________________ _ South Carolina ________________ _ Georgia ______________________ _ Florida _______________________ _

871 6,289

636 8,388 1,852 9,014 4,685 9,426

19,449

448 3,250

328 4,246

956 4,632 2,411 4,852

10,030

616 3,749

210 6,084 1,771 6,517 3,115 6,306

15,338

314 1,901

97 3,045

913 3,312 1,578 3,201 7,881

215 2,052

404 1,808

50 2,122 1,486 2,851 3,482

113 1,093

220 943

27 1,125

790 1,509 1,817

3 14 1

15 3

118 10 12 44

2 7 1 7 2

60 5 6

22

37 474

21 481

27 257

73 257 585

20 51 26 249 313 156

11 39 19 251 392 193

14 20 10 135 216 105 38 86 41

136 304 148 310 4,173 2,130

East South Central Kentucky ___________ -----------Tennessee ___________________ _

~~~~~i~pT:::::: :::::: :::::::::

4,313 6,434 5,231 3,100

2,205 3,329 2,707 1,613

3,869 5,189 3,766 1,957

1,974 2,667 1,927 1,005

387 1,125 1,359 1,091

201 600 724 581

6 11 20 10

3 6

10 5

51 109 86 41

27 43 20 57 86 42 46 63 31 22 32' 16


3,005 5,193 4,020

25,592

1,549 2,672 2,Q42

12,938

2,496 3,320 3,218

21,213

1,279 1,685 1,630

10,659

434 1,690

292 3,225

231 893 150

1,685

20 21

349 68

10 11

176 34

56 161 161

1,086

29 57 28 83 188 94 84 201 99

560 10,302 5,163

Mountain Montana Idaho __ - - - - - - -- - - - - - - -- - -- --________________________ _ Wyoming _____________________ _ Colorado _____________________ _ New Mexico __________________ _

Arizona Utah ____ -_ - ------ ----- ------_________________________ _ Nevada ______________________ _

1,071 1,600

658 4,871 2,338 5,713 2,749 2,145

540 801 329

2,450 1,180 2,892 1,371 1,081

968 1,524

618 4,390 1,934 4,854 2,500 1,743

487 761 309

2,203 973

2,450 1,245

871

3 9 6

224 39

157 19

166

1 4 3

113 19 79

9 86

86 27 21 41

288 415

59 39

43 13 10 21

146 213 30 20

15 41 13

216 78

287 171 197

8 28 14 22 187 91

7 56 28 113 975 487

41 1,295 655 150 1,810 903 87 220 109

104 559 275


g~~rg,.~ia::::: ::::::::::::::::: ~~!~f; ::::::::::::::::::::::::

'Persons of Hispanic origin may

7,960 4,367

47,953 866

1,815

be of any race.

3,986 2,202

24,028 424 901

6,747· 3,893

34,058 565 870

3,365 1,959

16,889 273 415

203 81

3,849 31 58

100 41

1,979 14 24

151 68

362 189

12

76 35

183 95 6

859 326

9,685 81

875

444 707 345 167 355 172

4,977 17,489 B,593 42 42 20

456 249 123

'Totals may be different from thosa in the national population projections report (Current Population Reports, P25-1104) due to rounding.

24

Table 4. Projections of the Population, by Age and Sex, for Regions, Divisions, and States: 1993 to 2020 - Series A (Preferred Series)

[Numbers in thousands. Resident population. Series A, S, C, and D reflect different interstate migration assumptions. See text for explanation J

July 1, 1993

85 years 35 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 to 74 75 to 84 Region, division, and State o to 4 5t09 10to14 15to19 20 to 24 25 to 34 and over years years years years years years years years years years All ages years

TOTAL

United States' _________ _ 257,927 19,917 18,578 18,329 17,2/i1 19,201 42,822 40,371 27,736 21,12? 18,651 10,629 3,315

REGION AND DIVISION

Northeast ________________ _ 51,227 New England ____________ _ 13,200 Middle Atlantic __________ __ 38,027

Midwest __________________ _ 61,149 East North CentraL _______ _ 43,048 West North Central ______ __ 18,101

South ____________________ _ 89,362 South Atlantic ___________ __ 45,720 East South Central _______ _ 15,695 West South Central ______ __ 27,947

West ____________________ __ 56,189 Mountain _______________ __ 14,723 Pacffic ______________ ------ 41,466

3,740 949

2,791

4,568 3,244 1,324

6,786 3,359 1,142 2,285

4,822 1,206 3,617

3,445 892

2,553

4,455 3,104 1,351

6,377 3,106 1,092 2,178

4,301 1,167 3,134

3,298 836

2,462

4,516 3,130 1,386

6,392 3,034 1,155 2,203

4,123 1,174 2,949

3,167 785

2,382

4,219 2,966 1,254

6,124 2,915 1,152 2,057

3,740 1,067 2,673

3,692 981

2,711

4,523 3,224 1,298

6,793 3,394 1,239 2,160

4,194 1,088 3,106

8,499 2,262 6,236

9,775 6,939 2,836

14,707 7,591 2,461 4,655

9,841 2,399 7,442

8,038 2,119 5,919

9,477 6,701 2,776

13,797 7,108 2,382 4,307

9,059 2,328 6,731

5,730 1,471 4,260

6,521 4,645 1,876

9,628 5,050 1,717 2,861

5,858 1,517 4,341

4,475 1,091 3,383

5,095 3,602 1,493

7,431 3,937 1,356 2,138

4,127 1,117 3,010

4,052 1,005 3,047

4,466 3,127 1,338

6,564 3,631 1,145 1,788

3,569 975

2,595

2,352 605

1,747

2,646 1,794

852

3,661 2,013

650 998

1,969 533

1,436

740 203 537

888 572 316

1,102 581 203 317

585 152 433

STATE I

New England Maine __________________ __ 1,236 New Hampshire _________ __ 1,118 Vermont _________________ _ 573 Massachusetts __________ __ 5,992 Rhode Island --- ________ __ 1,004 Connecticut __________ ----- 3,278

82 82 40

432 71

241

87 82 41

395 66

221

87 77 41

364 63

203

82 69 38

347 60

189

88 81 47

464 82

221

194 192

91 1,069

167 549

203 191

97 946 155 528

138 126 65

652 106 385

106 86 45

488 82

283

94 74 38

459 85

255

56 43 22

279 51

153

19 14 8

96 17 50

Middle Atlantic New York ________________ _ 18,140 New Jersey _________ .. ____ _ 7,836 Pennsylvania _____ - - - - - - - -- 12,050

1,383 587 821

1,226 524 802

1,172 497 793

1,146 477 759

1,324 515 871

3,077 1,313 1,845

2,810 1,254 1,855

2,036 909

1,315

1,589 696

1,098

1,349 617

1,081

776 347 625

252 100 184

East North Central Ohio ____________________ _ 11,080 Indiana __________________ _ 5,717 Illinois ___________________ _ 11,708 Michigan ________________ _ 9,485 Wisconsin _______________ _ 5,058

803 416 919 742 363

784 401 840 699 380

796 416 835 697 386

759 409 783 662 353

825 453 865 715 366

1,745 906

1,961 1,518

810

1,209 624

1,256 1,028

528

965 483 965 775 415

852 413 825 673 364

470 235 488 372 229

148 76

155 115

78

West North Central Minnesota ______________ __ 4,527 Iowa ___________________ __ 2,828 Missouri ________________ __ 5,224 North Dakota ____________ _ 636 South Dakota ___________ __ 719 Nebraska _______________ __ 1,619 Kansas _________________ __ 2,548

337 195 380

44 56

120 192

348 203 378

48 58

124 193

348 217 386

51 60

128 196

304 200 356

46 54

116 177

315 208 372

49 51

117 187

755 416 819

97 104 246 398

730 421 786

97 105 245 392

475 291 561

60 68

162 259

350 244 451

51 59

133 205

300 227 402

47 55

119 187

192 148 246 33 36 77

119

72 57 87 12 14 30 45

South Atlantic Delaware ________________ _ 699 Maryland _______________ __ 4,966 DiSt~f Columbia _______ _ 577 VirgInIa _________________ __ 6,468 West Virginia ____________ __ 1,816 North Carolina ----------- 6,946 South Carolina ------------ 3,647

6,871 13,730 ~1~~~1a _ = ==== = == ===== = ====

54 396

38 479 111 503 280 544 954

49 355

31 443 113 463 258 504 890

47 330

28 429 130 456 264 503 848

44 296 29

410 138 463 262 482 791

55 344

53 516 140 570 302 545 869

121 891 118

1,155 252

1,165 598

1,203 2,088

108 826 92

1,062 283

1,083 562

1,104 1,989

76 580

63 746 205 775 396 764

1,444

60 402 48

518 170 604 300 527

1,309

53 328 43

422 158 513 259 408

1,447

26 168 25

221 90

272 131 221 859

8 50

8 66 27 79 35 64

243

East South Central Kentucky _______________ __ 3,787 Tennessee ______________ _ 5,093 Alabama ________ -- -------- 4,182 Mississippi ______________ __ 2,632

265 . 359

311 207

259 342 292 199

279 353 306 217

279 352 308 212

297 394 329 219

601 820 648 392

584 796 626 375

417 581 452 266

325 448 367 216

274 373 313 185

156 210 176 109

50 65 54 35

West South Central Arkansas ________________ _ 2,422 Louisiana ________________ _ 4,312 Oklahoma ____ -- -- -- -- - --- 3,231 Texas __________________ __ 17,983

174 346 235

1,530

171 340 238

1,430

182 356 249

1,415

179 331 233

1,314

176 336 241

1,407

353 692 493

3,117

348 652 486

2,821

264 437 346

1,815

216 336 275

1,311

200 284 242

1,062

122 154 144 578

38 47 49

184

Mountain Montana _______ - - - - - - - ---- 836 Idaho __________________ __ 1,097 Wyoming ________________ _ 473 Colorado ________________ _ 3,551 New Mexico ____________ __ 1,614 Arizona _______ ------------ 3,915 Utah ____________________ _ 1,859 Nevada ________________ __ 1,379

59 86 35

266 138 331 182 108

64 90 38

265 134 299 177 99

67 98 42

258 134 287 194 93

62 91 38

233 120 262 178 82

56 81 35

263 115 285 160 93

118 156

71 617 254 641 289 254

137 170

81 632 251 581 251 224

92 113 49

395 165 390 155 158

70 82 34

265 126 313 110 118

61 72 29

209 104 308

94 98

38 44 16

111 56

172 53 43

12 13 5

36 16 45 16 9

Pacific Washington ______________ _ 5,255

3,030 31,399 g~f;~~~ia-================= 603

1,179 ~~~~~ ===================

400 217

2,846 60 95

393 217

2,386 56 82

388 222

2,210 50 79

345 205

2,006 42 75

369 206

2,393 45 92

875 460

5,788 113 206

898 509

5,014 116 194

587 344

3,218 64

127

392 238

2,253 33 94

346 230

1,919 18 83

200 140

1,049 7

41

61 42

317 1

12

25

Table 4. Projections o1993 to 2020

[Numbers in thousands. Resident population. S

Region, division, and State

All ages

FEMALES

f the P- Sereries A, B, C

o to 4 years

opulaies A , and D refle

5to 9 years

tion, b(Preferred ct different interstate migr

10to 14 years

y Age

15 to 19 years

and Series)

ation assum

20 to 24 years

Sex, fo-con. ptions. See te

July 1,1993

25 to 34 years

r Reg

xt for explanation

35 to 44 years

ions,

J

45 to 54 years

Divisio

55 to 64 years

65 to 74 years

ns, and Stat

75 to 84 years

es:

85 years and over

United States' ---------- 132,006 9,712 9,058 8,936 • 8,402 9,426 21,402 20,368 14,116 11,111 10,433 6,590 2,391

REGION AND DIVISION

Northeast ________________ _ 26,549 New England ____________ _ 6,814 Middle Atlantic ___________ _ 19,735

Midwest __________________ _ 31,397 East North CentraL _______ _ 22,132 West North Central -------- 9,265

South ____________________ _ 45,923 South Atlantic ____________ _ 23,527 East South Central -------- 8,137 West South Central _______ _ 14,259

Wesl _____________________ _ 28,137 Mountain ________________ _ 7,410 Pacific __________ - --- - - ---- 20,726

1,823 462

1,360

2,228 1,583

645

3,312 1,640

557 1,115

2,350 588

1,762

1,677 434

1,243

2,171 1,513

658

3,113 1,517

532 1,064

2,097 569

1,528

1,609 407

1,201

2,200 1,525

675

3,120 1,483

563 1,074

2,007 572

1,435

1,549 384

1,165

2,058 1,446

612

2,98$ 1,424

562 1,003

1,805 519

1,286

1,842 491

1,351

2,250 1,607

644

3,353 1,663

622 1,068

1,981 533

1,448

4,288 1,138 3,151

4,931 3,510 1,421

7,398 3,812 1,260 2,327

4,784 1,188 3,597

4,094 1,073 3,021

4,779 3,393 1,386

7,003 3,612 1,218 2,173

4,492 1,156 3,336

2,969 751

2,218

3,330 2,378

953

4,938 2,589

887 1,463

2,940 763

2,176

2,369 571

1,798

2,660 1,884

776

3,944 2,094

724 1,126

2,137 576

1,561

2,295 566

1,728

2,486 1,750

736

3,689 2,041

651 997

1,964 528

1,436

1,489 383

1,106

1,655 1,126

529

2,275 1,240

414 621

1,171 313 858

545 153 393

648 418 230

789 413 148 228

408 105 303

STATE

New England Maine ___________________ _ 633 New Hampshire __________ _ 570 Vermont ______________ ---- 292 Massachusetts ___________ _ 3,108 Rhode Island ____________ _ 521 Connecticut ______________ _ 1,689

40 40 20

211 34

118

42 40 20

192 32

108

42 38 20

177 31 99

40 34 18

170 29 92

44 41 23

234 41

109

98 97 46

537 84

275

102 96 49

481 78

268

69 62 32

336 54

197

55 44 23

258 44

147

52 41 21

260 48

143

34 27 14

179 33 96

14 11 6

72 12 37

Middle Atlantic New York ________________ _ 9,426 New Jersey ______________ _ 4,045 Pennsylvania _____________ _ 6,264

674 287 399

598 255 390

572 242 387

561 232 372

659 255 436

1,556 660 934

1,442 640 939

1,069 469 679

847 366 585

768 348 612

493 218 395

185 73

135

East North Central Ohio ____________________ _ 5,731 Indiana ___ , ______________ _ 2,940 Illinois _______ . ____________ _ 6,010

4,873 2,578 Wi~~~~~n-================

392 203 449 362 177

383 195 409 341 185

388 202 408 340 187

371 200 379 324 172

416 226 423 360 183

889 459 983 772 407

878 446 920 757 392

624 318 646 524 266

508 253 506 404 213

479 233 464 375 199

296 148 309 231 141

109 56

114 82 56

West North Central Minnesota _______________ _ 2,303 Iowa ____________________ _ 1,454 Missouri _________________ _ 2,701 North Dakota ____________ _ 319

365 South Dakota -------------Nebraska ________________ _ 828 Kansas ____________ ------- 1,296

165 95

185 22 27 58 93

170 99

184 24 28 61 94

170 106 188 25 30 62 95

149 98

174 22 26 57 86

158 103 186

23 25 58 90

378 209 414

48 52

123 197

362 210 400

47 51

122 194

239 1.48 289 30 34 82

131

179 127 237

26 30 69

107

164 125 225 25 29 65

103

119 92

156 20 22 48 74

52 42 64

9 10 22 32

South Atlantic Delaware ________________ _ 359 Maryland ________________ _ 2,555 District of Columbia -------- 305 Virginia __________________ _ 3,295 West Virginia _____________ _ 942 North Carolina ___________ _ 3,574 South Carolina ___________ _ 1,880

3,532 7,084 ~1~kP~a_==================

26 193 19

234 54

247 137 265 465

24 174 15

216 55

226 127 246 434

23 161 14

209 63

223 129 246 414

22 145 15

200 67

227 128 235 385

28 172 27

247 70

273 149 270 428

61 453

61 576 130 582 301 608

1,039

55 424

47 538 143 550 286 565

1,004

39 296 33

378 104 399 204 390 745

32 209 26

271 91

323 161 279 703

29 184 26

238 89

291 148 235 801

16 106 16

140 57

175 83

144 503

6 37 6

49 20 59 26 48

162

East Kentucky South yentral ________________ _ 1,951 Tennessee ______________ _ 2,638 Alabama _________________ _ 2,175 Mississippi _______________ _ 1,373

129 175 151 101

126 166 143

97

135 172 150 106

136 171 151 104

147 197 166 111

306 419 331 204

297 407 321 193

214 299 235 139

171 239 197 117

154 212 179 106

99 134 112

69

36 48 39 25

West South Central 1,253 2,234 t~~~~:~~ Oklahoma ================= _______________ _ 1,655

Texas ___________________ _ 9,117

85 170 115 746

83 166 116 698

88 175 121 691

87 164 113 640

89 170 118 692

180 355 246

1,545

178 334 246

1,415

136 228 177 922

115 180 144 687

111 161 134 591

75 98 90

359

27 33 35

132

Mountain Montana ______ - - - - --- - - --- 421 Idaho ___________________ _ 550 Wyoming ________________ _ 236 Colorado ________________ _ 1,790

819 New Mexico -------------1,982 Arizona Utah _ -- - - - -- - - - - - - - -- --____________________ _ 934

Nevada _________________ _ 679

29 42 17

130 68

161 89 52

31 44 19

129 66

146 86 48

33 48 20

126 65

140 94 46

30 44 18

113 59

127 87 40

27 40 17

127 57

138 82 45

60 78 36

308 127 315 143 122

68 84 39

314 127 290 125 109

45 56 24

199 85

199 78 77

35 42 17

136 66

165 57 58

33 38 15

115 56

170 50 51

22 25 10 68 33 99 31 24

8 9 3

26 11 30 11

7

Pacific Washington ______________ _ 2,644 Oregon __________________ _ 1,537 California _________ ~ ______ _ 15,678 Alaska __________________ _ 286 Hawaii __________________ _ 581

195 106

1,386 29 46

192 106

1,164 27 40

189 108

1,076 24 38

168 100 962

20 36

179 101

1,107 20 41

433 229

2,782 54 99

448 255

2,485 54 95

291 172

1,621 29 63

200 123

1,171 15 50

189 125

1,069 9

44

118 83

632 4

21

43 30

223 1 7

26

Table 4. Projections of the Population, by Age and Sex, for Regions, Divisions, and States: 1993 to 2020 - Series A (Preferred Series)-con.

[Numbers in thousands. Resident population. Series A, B C, and D reflect different Interstate migration assumptions See text for explanation J

July 1,1995

85 years Region, diVision, and State 5t09 10to14 151019 20 to 24 25 to 34 35 to 44 45 to 54 551064 65 to 74 75 to 84 o to 4 and over

years years years years years years years years years years All ages years

TOTAL

United States' _________ _ 263,434 20,181 19,116 18,939 17,790 18,473 41,670 42,150 30,225 21,241 18,963 11,087 3,598

REGION AND DIVISION


Mldwesl __________________ _ 61,994 East North CentraL ______ _ 43,610 West North Central _______ _ 18,383

South ____________________ _ 91,726 South Atlantic ____________ _ 47,017 East South Central _______ _ 16,018 West South Central _______ _ 28,690

West _____________________ _ 58,273 Mountain ________________ _ 15,384 Pacffic _________ - - - -- - - -- -- 42,890

3,705 923

2,782

4,606 3,280 1,326

6,909 3,393 1,171 2,345

4,962 1,247 3,715

3,559 915

2,645

4,509 3,161 1,348

6,557 3,243 1,116 2,198

4,491 1,205 3,287

3,400 867

2,533

4,593 3,179 1,414

6,599 3,167 1,166 2,266

4,347 1,225 3,121

3,189 796

2,393

4,346 3,025 1,321

6,287 2,993 1,166 2,128

3,967 1,143 2,824

3,378 863

2,515

4,389 3,119 1,270

6,584 3,233 1,204 2,147

4,121 1,115 3,006

8,142 2,151 5,991

9,452 6,720 2,733

14,390 7,430 2,427 4,533

9,685 2,380 7,305

8,275 2,176 6,100

9,814 6,925 2,890

14,507 7,475 2,481 4,551

9,554 2,469 7,084

6,141 4,381 1,593 1,073 4,548 3,308

7,052 5,052 5,010 3,565 2,Q42 1,487

10,528 7,560 5,529 4,018 1,859 1,372 3,140 2,170

6,503 4,249 1,699 1,150 4,805 3,098

4,046 2,434 790 997 626 219

3,049 1,808 572

4,512 2,721 948 3,159 1,856 613 1,353 865 335

6,745 3,841 1,219 3,740 2,145 652 1,170 666 220 1,835 1,030 347

3,661 2,OiJ2 641 1,007 572 171 2,654 1,520 470

STATE

New England Maine ___________________ _ 1,236 New Hampshire __________ _ 1,132 Vermont _________________ _ 579 Massachusetts ___________ _ 5,976 Rhode Island ____________ _ 1,001 Connectlcut ___________ ---- 3,274

79 79 40

417 69

239

85 84 41

409 67

229

89 81 42

380 65

211

82 72 39

353 62

188

83 73 41

400 68

197

184 182

91 1,020

162 513

205 199

98 971 159 544

152 105 140 88

71 45 706 478 115 80 410 277

95 57 20 75 44 16 39 23 8

453 288 103 83 53 18

252 161 54

Middle Atfantlc New York ________________ _ 18,178 New Jersey ______________ _ 7,931 Pennsylvania _____________ _ 12,134

1,374 593 816

1,269 557 819

1,205 514 814

1,150 473 770

1,221 488 807

2,950 1,250 1,791

2,876 1,309 1,915

2,160 1,557 971 687

1,417 1,064

1,358 793 266 619 364 108

1,072 652 198

East North Central Ohio ____________________ _ 11,203 Indiana __________________ _ 5,620 Illinois ___________________ _ 11,853

9,575 5,159 ~i~~~~~n-============:===

806 426 931 754 363

794 410 862 714 380

805 420 849 707 397

770 417 795 671 372

799 438 842 683 357

1,691 894

1,888 1,460

787

1,775 914

1,888 1,526

822

1,302 951 673 481

1,347 956 1,108 763

580 413

859 491 159 421 243 81 830 500 166 678 387 124 371 234 84

West North Central Minnesota _______________ _ 4,619

2,861 5,286 ~~~olj;.i=::=::::======:==: North Dakota ____________ _ 637

South Dakota ____________ _ 735 Nebraska ____________ ----- 1,644 Kansas __________________ _ 2,601

335 195 378 43 56

120 198

348 201 379 47 58

124 192

360 217 393

51 62

130 201

325 212 369 48 57

122 188

310 200 361 46 52

118 183

720 409 783 94

101 238 387

767 433 820 100 110 252 408

521 354 315 241 604 451 66 49 75 57

178 131 284 203

306 196 76 227 151 60 407 250 92 47 33 13 55 36 14

121 78 32 189 121 47

South Atlantic Delaware ________________ _ 718 Maryland ________________ _ 5,078 Dist~i~t of COlumbia _______ _ 559 Virginia __________________ _ 6,646 West Virginia _____________ _ 1,824 North Carolina ___________ _ 7,150 South Carolina ___________ _ 3,732

7,102 ~~~dl~a_:::::::::::::::::: 14,210

54 407

33 485 114 509 284 556 951

,

51 372

30 464 113 490 268 530 925

49 350

28 449 125 474 269 522 901

46 305

31 420 136 472 265 496 823

50 325

46 484 137 529 285 533 844

120 852 113

1,142 248

1,167 594

1,187 2,006

114 865

91 1,117

284 1,138

585 1,166 2,115

82 60 626 407

65 47 813 530 222 167 847 615 433 307 841 546

1,599 1,340

55 29 8 334 179 55 42 25 9

434 235 73 158 92 30 531 289 88 264 140 39 423 232 71

1,500 925 279

East South Central Kentucky ________________ _ 3,851 Tennessee ______________ _ 5,228 Alro~m.a-7---------------- 4,274 MISSISSlppl _______________ _ 2,666

273 361 327 209

261 355 301 199

277 361 310 217

284 360 309 212

291 385 318 210

589 812 639 387

605 833 651 391

451 328 633 457 488 370 287 218

279 158 54 383 217 71 321 181 58 188 110 38

West South Central Arkansas ________________ _ 2,468 Louisiana ________________ _ 4,359 Oklahoma _______________ _ 3,271 Texas ___________________ _ 18,592

177 '351 233

1,584

173 334 236

1,455

185 358 256

1,467

180 341 239

1,369

174 327 235

1,410

345 668 476

3,044

363 675 508

3,006

284 220 472 336 372 276

2,012 1,339

202 124 42 288 159 51 243 145 53

1,102 602 201

Mountain Montana _______________ --- 862 Idaho ___________________ _ 1,156

487 't!6t~':::.~g ::::::::::::::::: 3,710 New Mexico _____________ _ 1,676 Arizona ________________ --- 4,072 Utah ____________________ _ 1,944 Nevada _________________ _ 1,477

61 92 36

271 145 338 191 111

63 92 37

272 138 316 181 105

69 101

42 275 140 304 192 102

65 97 40

251 124 278 196 92

60 87 37

268 119 277 170 98

116 160

70 615 249 625 290 254

141 181 84

665 264 617 267 250

102 70 126 85

55 34 445 272 183 128 435 324 173 113 179 124

61 40 13 73 46 14 29 17 5

218 119 39 108 59 18 320 186 52 97 57 18

102 48 11

Pacific Washington ______________ _ 5,497 Oregon __________________ _ 3,141 California ________________ _ 32,398 Alaska __________________ _ 634 Hawaii __________________ _ 1,221

411 224

2,917 62

101

409 224

2,510 58 86

414 230

2,340 54 83

372 218

2,116. 44 74

373 210

2,279 50 94

870 461

5,653 113 208

948 522

5,293 120 201

662 408 386 245

3,548 2,319 71 34

138 93

351 212 68 229 146 46

1,969 1,111 342 19 7 2 86 44 13

27


[Numbers in thousands. Resident population. Series A, B, C, and D reflect different interstate migration assumptions. See text for explanation 1 July 1, 1995

85 years Region, division, and State 10 to 14 15 to 19 20 to 24 25 to 34 35 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 to 74 75 to 84 and over o to 4 5 to 9 years years years years years years years years years

All ages years years

FEMALES

United States' ---------- 134,749 9,837 9,321 9,233 K

8,659 9,088 20,835 21,238 15,448 11,140 10,543 6,814 2,593

REGION AND DIVISION

Northeast ________________ _ New England ____________ _ Middle Atlantic ___________ _

Midwest __________________ _ East North Central ________ _ West North Central _______ _

South ____________________ _ South Atlantic - ___________ _

East South Central --------West South Central _______ _

West _____________________ _ Mountain ________________ _ Pacific _________ -- --- -- - ---

26,639 6,806

19,834

31,802 22,401

9,401

47,120 24,193 8,299

14,628

29,187 7,743

21,444

1,805 450

1,355

2,246 1,600

646

3,370 1,655

571 1,144

2,416 608

1,808

1,733 444

1,288

2,198 1,541

657

3,200 1,583

544 1,073

2,190 587

1,603

1,658 422

1,235

2,238 1,549

688

3,221 1,548

568 1,105

2,117 597

1,520

1,556 388

1,168

2,114 1,472

643

3,065 1,460

568 1,037

1,924 556

1,368

1,687 432

1,255

2,181 1,551

630

3,252 1,589

601 1,061

1,968 551

1,418

4,115 1,084 3,032

4,776 3,404 1,372

7,244 3,732 1,243 2,269

4,699 1,177 3,523

4,206 1,100 3,106

4,946 3,503 1,443

7,355 3,793 1,270 2,292

4,732 1,228 3,504

3,185 814

2,370

3,599 2,564 1,034

5,398 2,836

958 1,604

3,267 854

2,413

2,318 560

1,758

2,635 1,863

773

3,999 2,127

731 1,141

2,187 591

1,597

2,270 556

1,714

2,488 1,750

738

3,777 2,097

662 1,018

2,008 545

1,463

1,525 392

1,133

1,690 1,156

533

2,366 1,310

421 635

1,234 333 900

563 164 419

693 448 244

873 463 161 250

444 118 327

STATE

New England Maine ___________________ _

New Hampshire -----------Vermont _______ -----------Massachusetts ___________ _ Rhode Island ____________ _ Connecticut _____ - ____ -- ---

633 577 295

3,096 519

1,686

39 39 20

203 33

116

41 41 20

199 32

111

43 39 21

185 31

103

40 35 19

172 30 92

41 37 20

202 34 97

93 92 46

514 81

257

104 100 49

492 80

275

76 70 35

364 59

211

54 45 23

251 43

144

52 41 21

255 47

140

35 27 14

182 34

100

15 12 6

78 13 40

Middle Allantlc New York ________________ _ New Jersey ______________ _ Pennsylvania _____________ _

9,442 4,091 6,300

669 289 397

619 271 398

588 251 397

562 230 375

609 241 404

1,495 629 909

1,472 666 968

1,137 503 730

831 361 566

766 346 602

499 226 408

195 78

146

East North Central Ohio ____________________ _ Indiana _____ c ____________ _ Illinois ___________________ _

Wi~~~~~n -== = == = == == =: = == = West Minnesota North Central _______________ _

~::ciurf================== North Dakota ____________ _ South Dakota ____________ _ Nebraska ________________ _

Kansas ___ --- -- --- -- -- - ---

5,788 2,990 6,079 4,916 2,628

2,348 1,469 2,730

320 372 840

1,321

393 208 454 368 177

164 95

184 21 27 58 96

387 200 421 348 185

170 98

185 23 28 60 94

392 204 415 345 193

175 106 191 25 30 63 97

375 203 387 327 180

158 103 180 23 28 59 91

401 218 410 343 178

155 99

180 22 26 59 89

863 453 948 744 396

362 206 396 46 50

119 192

903 462 953 776 409

380 216 417

48 54

126 202

671 343 692 565 292

262 160 311

33 37 89

143

500 251 500 398 212

181 126 237

25 30 68

106

479 235 462 373 201

165 124 225

25 29 65

103

307 153 314 239 143

120 93

156 20 22 48 74

117 60

122 89 60

55 44 68

9 10 23 34

South Atlantic Delaware ________________ _ Maryland ________________ _ District of Columbla _______ _ Virginia __________________ _ West Virginia _____________ _ North Carolina ___________ _ South Carolina ___________ _

~I~~;p~a_================== East South Central Kentucky ________________ _

Tennessee Alabama ---------------_________________ _ Mississlppl _______________ _

369 2,614

294 3,383

946 3,678 1,923 3,650 7,337

1,981 2,707 2,221 1,390

26 198

16 237

55 249 139 271 464

133 176 160 103

25 182

15 227

55 239 131 258 451

127 173 147 97

24 172

14 219

61 232 132 255 439

135 176 151 106

23 149 15

205 66

231 130 242 401

138 175 151 104

26 163 22

233 68

256 141 264 417

143 192 161 106

61 436 57

567 129 581 299 602

1,000

299 415 327 201

58 444

47 563 144 577 298 596

1,066

307 427 334 202

42 322

34 413 112 435 222 431 823

231 325 253 149

31 211

26 275 89

328 164 288 715

173 243 198 118

30 186

25 243 88

300 150 241 834

156 217 183 107

17 111

16 147 58

183 88

149 540

99 136 114

70

6 40

6 54 21 65 29 53

187

39 52 42 27

West South Central Arkansas ________________ _

"Louisiana 'Oklahoma -c---------------_______________ _ Texas _~ _________________ _

1,277 2,256 1,674 9,421

86 172 114 772

85 163 115 710

90 175 124 715

87 167 116 667

87 165 115 694

17E1 344 237

1,512

186 346 256

1,504

146 245 190

1,022

117 180 145 700

112 162 134 610

76 99 90

370

30 36 38

145

Mountain Montana __________ - -- -- ---Idaho ___________________ _ Wyoming ________________ _ Colorado ________________ _ New Mexico _____________ _ Arizona __________________ _ Utah ____________________ _ Nevada _________________ _

434 579 243

1,869 850

2,062 976 730

30 45 18

132 71

165 93 54

31 45 18

133 68

154 88 51

34 49 21

134 69

148 94 50

31 47 19

122 61

136 95 45

29 43 18

130 59

136 88 48

59 79 35

306 124 307 143 123

71 90 41

330 133 308 133 122

50 63 27

224 94

222 87 88

36 43 17

139 67

169 58 61

32 39 15

119 59

176 52 53

23 27 10 71 34

107 33 27

9 10 4

28 12 35 12 8

Pacific Washington ______________ _ Oregon __________________ _ California ________________ _

~~!~f; ===================

2,764 1,592

16,184 302 602

200 109

1,420 30 49

199 109

1,225 28 42

201 112

1,140 26 40

180 106

1,025 21 36

182 104

1,066 23 43

430 229

2,711 54 99

473 261

2,615 57 98

329 193

1,790 33 68

206 127

1,198 16 49

191 125

1,093 9

46

124 86

663 4

23

47 32

239 1 8

28


[Numbers in thousands. Resident population. Series A, B, C, and D reflect different interstate migration assumptions. See text for explanation J

July 1, 2000

65 to 74 75 to 84 85 years Region, division, and State 55 to 64 20 to 24 25 to 34 35 to 44 45 to 54 o t04 5 to 9 10to 14 15 to 19 and over years years years years

years years years years All ages years years years

TOTAL

United States' -_________ 276,241 17,947 38,237 45,123 36,170 19,431 20,531 19,972 19,819

23,689 18,551 12,438 4,333

REGION AND DIVISION

Northeast _________________ 51,885 New England ------------- 13,217 Middle Atlantic ____________ 38,668

Midwest ___________________ 63,837 East North CentraL _______ 44,806 West North Central ________ 19,031

South _____________________ 97,241 South Atlantic - ____________ 50,004 East South Central - _______ 16,762 West South Central ________ 30,476

West ______________________ 63,277 Mountain _________________ 16,889 Pacific _______ - - - -- - - - - - - -- 46,386

3,071 7,031 8,589 7,020 3,363 3,699 3,645 3,472

766 1,787 2,249 1,837 814 914 927 887

2,304 5,244 6,340 5,183 2,548 2,786 2,718 2,585

4,270 8,698 10,220 8,340 4,408 4,724 4,652 4,716

2,970 6,193 7,199 5,874 3,125 3,353 3,250 3,252

1,300 2,505 3,021 2,466 1,283 1,371 1,402 1,464

6,333 13,360 15,827 12,716 6,710 7,084 6,937 6,993

3,057 6,787 8,200 6,650 3,250 3,496 3,445 3,362

1,131 2,302 2,666 2,211 1,138 1,215 1,192 1,234

2,145 4,271 4,959 3,654 2,322 2,371 2,300 2,377

4,273 9,148 10,487 8,094 4,950 5,024 4,738 4,637

1,191 2,332 2,716 2,155 1,280 1,323 1,302 1,317

3,062 6,616 7,770 5,938 3,670 3,701 3,437 3,321

4,690 1,181 3,509

5,444 3,837 1,607

8,557 4,602 1,504 2,450

4,999 1,349 3,650

3,761 925

2,836

4,313 3,003 1,311

6,799 3,778 1,173 1,848

3,677 1,028 2,649

2,620 923 670 257

1,950 665

2,954 1,099 2,032 719

922 360

4,413 1,512 2,514 640

734 260 1,164 412

2,450 800 675 222

1,775 578

STATE

New England Maine ____________________ 1,240 New Hampshire ___________ 1,165 Vermont __________________ 592 Massachusetts ____________ 5,950 Rhode Island _____________ 996 Connecticut _______________ 3,271

75 162 205 180 72 81 68 68

69 154 208 170 71 61 86 83

38 82 97 84 38 41 43 45

351 834 1,015 808 362 408 413 397

60 137 162 136 60 67 66 69

174 417 563 459 211 236 230 205

114 103

51 521 67

305

91 74 38

416 73

234

61 23 48 19 25 9

306 120 57 21

173 65

Mlddlfl Allantlc New York _________________ 18,237 New Jersey _______________ 8,135 Pennsylvania ______________ 12,296

1,123 2,551 2,976 2,413 1,249 1,333 1,286 1,235

1,105 511 443 1,076 1,404 544 612 579

738 1,617 1,960 1,665 755 841 852 840

1,645 749

1,116

1,279 586 971

846 301 396 128 706 236

East North Central Ohio _____________________ 11,453 Indiana ___________________ 6,045 Illinois ____________________ 12,168 Michigan _________________ 9,759 Wisconsin ________ ~ _______ 5,361

751 1,566 1,831 1,526 761 827 815 821

414 851 962 791 413 446 429 444

798 1,723 1,991 1,564 881 935 677 857

640 1,325 1,549 1,265 718 761 728 715

366 726 866 706 352 365 400 414

1,006 523

1,028 627 453

810 406 786 636 365

551 186 271 95 534 193 427 146 250 97

West North Central Minnesota ________________ 4,624 Iowa _____________________ 2,930 Missouri __________________ 5,437 North Dakota _____________ 643 South Dakota _____________ 770 Nebraska _________________ 1,704 Kansas ___________________ 2,722

325 643 813 639 322 348 362 371

205 389 442 375 190 204 209 226 710 356 702 869 359 367 394 404

47 87 99 63 40 44 48 53

55 98 114 95 56 60 61 64

122 227 259 215 116 126 128 135

190 359 425 349 199 203 198 212

399 252 487

50 60

139 220

304 215 395

45 53

118 182

210 88 157 67 270 104

33 16 38 16 83 35

131 54

South Atlantic Delaware _________________ 759 Maryland _________________ 5,322 District of Columbia ________ 537 Virginia ___________________ 7,048 West Virginia ______________ 1,840 North carolina - ___________ 7,617 South Carolina ------------ 3,932 Georgia __________________ 7,637 Florida ___________________ 15,313

49 110 125 98 52 56 52 53

307 737 941 726 387 412 367 356

43 97 92 70 28 25 27 34

445 1,049 1,237 963 463 503 492 479

123 246 281 260 109 121 120 129

486 1,093 1,252 1,019 487 534 529 524

262 556 634 519 272 290 282 287

510 1,113 1,304 1,016 546 581 570 559

631 1,766 2,334 1,981 907 976 964 959

66 466

47 613 174 694 348 640

1,555

54 327 37

435 144 544 265 446

1,525

35 10 209 66 26 10

277 91 96 35

339 114 164 52 263 69

1,103 372

East South Central Kentucky _________________ 3,969 Tennessee _______________ 5,538 Alabama __________________ 4,485 Mississippi ________________ 2,750

277 556 640 533 267 282 276 292

366 769 914 757 348 379 364 393

297 606 699 575 324 342 323 328

191 370 415 345 200 213 209 222

357 512 400 235

274 391 321 167

173 62 242 84 201 69 118 45

W~~~~:~-~~~~~~~-------- 2,576 Loui iana _________________ 4,476 Oklahoma ________________ 3,362 Texas ____________________ 20,039

165 322 394 333 170 185 167 193

323 621 700 562 341 350 340 364

229 442 535 440 223 243 251 266

1,426 2,866 3,329 2,520 1,568 1,594 1,522 1,554

245 363 299

1,543

201 260 236

1,132

133 49 175 60 158 60 699 244

Mountain Montana _________________ - 920 Idaho ____________________ 1,290 Wyoming _________________ 522 Colorado _________________ 4,059 New Mexico ______________ 1,623 Arizona _________ - --------- 4,437 Utah _____________________ 2,148 Nevada __________________ 1,691

125 63 120 144 63 67 69 72 162 94 173 201

101 104 104 107 40 74 86 70

39 40 40 44 280 605 715 564

274 289 294 300 121 241 287 229

147 157 150 143 265 573 665 545

330 351 336 326 198 301 296 224

209 201 192 206 110 244 303 236

118 114 116 115

78 100 38

321 145 382 132 152

59 74 27

225 111 327

99 105

42 16 51 18 18 6

142 48 69 24

224 72 66 23 63 15

Pacific Washington _______________ 6,070 3,404 Orero;n ---Cali ornia ----------------_________________ 34,886

Alaska ___________________ 699 Hawaii ___________________ 1,327

400 848 1,038 842 420 449 451 446

227 460 542 479 231 245 245 247

2,312 5,175 5,845 4,366 2,649 2,843 2,593 2,489

53 119 127 88 65 64 59 54

90 214 216 163 106 101 66 85

500 294

2,711 41

104

347 216

1,980 20 86

244 84 162 56

1,306 418 9 2

55 18

29


[Numbers In thousands. Resident population. Series ABC, and D reflect different interstate migration assumptions See text for explanation J

July 1, 2000

85 years 35 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 to 74 75 to 84 Region, division, and State 15to19 20 to 24 25 to 34 and over o to 4 5t0910to14 years years years years years years years years All ages years years years

FEMALES

United States' _________ _ 141,140 9,473 10,002 9,735 "' 9,651 8,838 19,179 22,698 18,478 12,369 10,166 7,458 3,095

REGION AND DIVISION


Mldwest __________________ _ East North Central ________ _ West North Central -----.. --

South ____________________ _ South Atlantic ____________ _ East South Central - - _ - - - --West South Central _______ _

West _____________________ _ Mountain ________________ _ Pacific ___________ - - - --- - --

26,826 6,800

20,026

32,687 22,974

9,713

49,917 25,725

8,674 15,518

31,709 8,503

23,206

1,639 397

1,242

2,149 1,524

625

3,274 1,586

555 1,132

2,411 624

1,787

1,800 445

1,356

2,302 1,635

668

3,453 1,706

592 1,156

2,445 645

1,801

1,774 450

1,324

2,267 1,585

683

3,384 1,681

580 1,123

2,310 634

1,675

1,693 432

1,260

2,295 1,584

711

3,409 1,651

601 1,157

2,254 642

1,613

1,525 379

1,146

2,107 1,467

640

3,124 1,507

561 1,057

2,082 586

1,496

3,576 906

2,670

4,408 3,145 1,263

6,739 3,415 1,178 2,146

4,455 1,160 3,295

4,357 1,134 3,223

5,159 3,645 1,514

8,010 4,150 1,368 2,492

5,173 1,352 3,821

3,634 939

2,694

4,246 3,002 1,244

6,528 3,420 1,141 1,967

4,070 1,081 2,989

2,480 614

1,866

2,830 2,000

830

4,497 2,420

797 1,280

2,562 691

1,872

2,077 508

1,571

2,343 1,635

707

3,763 2,091

657 1,015

1,983 549

1,434

1,597 407

1,190

1,782 1,232

550

2,661 1,508

455 698

1,418 387

1,031

674 190 484

799 523 277

1,076 591 189 295

545 152 393

STATE

New England Maine ___________________ _ New Hampshire __________ _ Vermont _________________ _ Massachusetts ___________ _

Rhode Island -------------Connecticut ______________ _

634 593 302

3,073 515

1,682

35 35 19

176 29

103

40 40 20

198 33

115

43 42 21

200 33

112

43 40 22

193 34

101

37 34 19

174 30 86

82 79 42

425 69

209

104 105 49

511 81

283

90 85 42

416 69

236

58 52 26

273 46

159

50 39 21

229 41

127

37 29 15

187 35

104

17 14 7

89 16 47

Middle Atlantic New York ________________ _ New Jersey ______________ _ Pennsylvania _____________ _

9,469 4,191 6,367

609 265 368

649 298 409

628 282 414

603 249 408

561 220 365

1,301 545 824

1,519 709 994

1,268 573 853

883 394 589

712 321 538

517 241 431

219 92

173

East North Central Ohio ____________________ _ Indiana __________________ _

Illinois ________ ------------

w,;~~~~n-::::::::::::::::

5,904 3,100 6,229 5,004 2,737

371 201 430 350 171

403 217 456 371 188

397 209 428 355 195

400 216 418 349 202

371 204 393 318 181

802 432 863 679 368

932 487

1,003 789 434

784 404 802 658 355

529 271 539 429 232

444 223 430 344 194

335 165 326 257 148

137 69

141 106 69

West North Central Minnesota _______________ _

~:O;j;i-:::::::::::::::::: North Dakota· ____________ _ South Dakota ____________ _ Nebraska ___________ ------Kansas _____ - - - - - - -- - - - - --

2,450 1,501 2,801

323 390 868

1,379

157 92

175 20 27 57 97

170 99

189 21 29 61 99

177 102 192 24 30 62 97

180 110 196 26 31 66

103

160 101 176

23 27 60 93

326 196 358

42 49

114 178

405 222 440

49 56

129 211

320 189 365

40 47

108 174

204 130 255

26 31 72

113

162 116 216

24 28 63 98

124 94

163 19 22 49 78

64 49 77 11 12 26 38

South Atlantic Delaware ________________ _ Maryland ________________ _ District of Columbla _______ _ Virginia __________________ _ West Virginia _____________ _

North Carolina ------------South Carolina ___________ _

~I~~~~a_::::::::::::::::::

390 2,743

279 3,580

954 3,916 2,025 3,924 7,914

25 189

14 226

53 238 133 266 442

27 201

12 245 59

261 142 283 475

26 190

14 240 58

258 138 278 479

26 176

17 233

63 256 141 273 467

24 154

20 216

61 240 129 253 410

56 381

48 517 126 544 280 566 897

63 482

47 621 144 632 322 664

1,174

50 377

37 491 132 524 268 525

1,016

34 242

26 317

91 367 185 335 822

29 178

21 239 80

304 149 248 842

21 127

17 169

61 209 101 165 639

8 48

7 66 25 83 38 66

250

East South Central Kentucky ________________ _ Tennessee ______________ _ Alabama _________________ _ Mississippi _______________ _

2,048 2,866 2,328 1,433

130 170 158

98

137 184 167 104

134 187 157 102

142 191 160 108

136 181 148

95

280 393 313 192

326 468 359 215

273 390 298 180

187 270 213 126

152 218 181 106

106 151 125 74

45 62 50 32

~t South Central Arkansas ________________ _ Louisiana ________________ _ Oklahoma _______________ _ Texas ___________________ _

1,332 2,314 1,727

10,144

83 167 109 774

90 171 119 776

91 166 122 743

94 178 130 756

81 161 112 702

165 320 220

1,442

201 360 268

1,662

171 292 225

1,279

129 194 156 801

111 156 129 618

80 107 94

417

35 43 43

174

Mountain Montana Idaho ____ - - - - - - - - - - -- --___________________ _ Wyoming ________________ _ Colorado ________________ _ New Mexico _____________ _

Arizona ____ -- - - - - - -- - - - - --Utah ____________________ _ Nevada _________________ _

464 646 260

2,044 923

2,249 1,076

841

31 49 19

134 72

161 102

57

33 50 19

141 77

171 98 55

34 51 20

143 73

164 93 57

35 52 22

146 70

159 101 56

31 46 20

138 60

141 97 54

60 86 37

301 121 283 152 120

72 100 43

356 144 341 147 148

62 81 34

282 116 276 113 118

40 50 19

164 75

199 67 76

31 39 14

121 60

178 52 54

24 29 10 83 39

129 38 35

11 12

4 35 16 47 15 10

Pacific Washington ______________ _

Oregun -------------- -----Cali/omia ________________ _ Alaska __________________ _ Hawaii __________________ _

3,047 1,723

17,444 337 656

204 112

1,387 32 52

219 119

1,383 31 49

220 120

1,264 29 43

217 120

1,208 26 41

196 112

1,121 25 42

420 229

2,488 56

101

516 271

2,866 61

107

422 241

2,204 42 81

251 150

1,398 19 53

185 116

1,076 10 47

141 94

762 5

30

58 38

286 1

10

30


[Numbers in thousands Resident population

Region. diVision, and State

All ages

TOTAL

United Siaies' _________ _ 288,286

f the P- Ser

Series ABC

o to 4 years

19,333

opulaies A

and D refl

5 to 9 years

19,798

tion, b(Preferred

ect different i

10 to 14 years

21,442

y Age S

nterstate migr

15 to 19 years

20,872 <

and eries)ation

20 to 24 years

19,916

Sex, fo-Con.

assumptions See te

July 1,2005

25 to 34 years

36,792

r Reg

xt for explan

35 to 44 years

43,074

ions,

ation J

45 to 54 years

41,219

Division

55 to 64 years

28,869 Ii

65 to 74 years

18,624

s, and Stat

75 to 84 years

13,264

es:

85 years and over

5,082

REGION AND DIVISION

Northeast ________________ _ New England _________ • __ _

Middle Atlantic ------------

Midwest __________________ _ East North Central ________ _ West North Central --------

South ____________________ _ South Atlantic ____________ _ East South Central __ - - - - --West South CentraL ______ _

West _____________________ _ Mountain ________________ _

Paclfic ___________ -- - --- ---

52,472 13,406 39,065

65,193 45,621 19,572

102,366 52,709 17,384 32,274

68,255 18,089 50,167

3,176 764

2,412

4,321 3,039 1,282

6,707 3,219 1,116 2,372

5,129 1,322 3,806

3,412 834

2,578

4,504 3,184 1,320

6,867 3,350 1,171 2,346

5,015 1,318 3,697

3,820 948

2,872

4,861 3,433 1,428

7,480 3,709 1,288 2,482

5,281 1,408 3,873

3,734 965

2,769

4,763 3,311 1,452

7,342 3,652 1,260 2,430

5,033 1,378 3,655

3,379 878

2,501

4,596 3,171 1,425

7,007 3,415 1,194 2,398

4,934 1,331 3,603

6,354 1,586 4,76B

8,359 5,884 2,475

12,887 6,407 2,203 4,277

9,192 2,370 6,822

8,033 2,096 5,937

9,488 6,699 2,789

15,244 7,926 2,566 4,752

10,309 2,621 7,688

7,732 2,030 5,702

9,348 6,543 2,B05

14,687 7,645 2,507 4,534

9,452 2,519 6,933

5,534 1,444 4,090

6,443 4,515 1,928

10,523 5,686 1,802 3,035

6,369 1,721 4,649

3,549 BB2

2,667

4,180 2,894 1,286

7,007 3,904 1,197 1,906

3,888 1,082 2,806

2,689 682

2,007

3,086 2,121

965

4,819 2,761

789 1,269

2,670 742

1,928

1,060 298 762

1,243 825 418

1,797 1,034

290 472

982 276 705

STATE

New England Maine ___________________ _ New Hampshire __________ _ Vermont _________________ _ Massachusetts ___________ _ Rhode Island ____________ _ Connecticut ________ ---- ---

1,265 1,215

607 5,991 1,009 3,319

70 69 37

334 57

197

76 76 39

364 61

217

87 86 43

419 70

243

90 90 46

436 74

227

83 81 43

405 69

197

152 143 75

723 119 372

189 193

92 953 152 518

197 194

91 887 151 510

142 134 64

633 108 363

88 75 3B

392 67

223

64 51 27

308 57

175

27 22 10

138 24 77

Middle Atlantic New York ________________ _ New Jersey ______________ _

Pennsylvania ________ - - -- --

18,348 8,338

12,380

1,181 515 716

1,228 572 778

1,357 638 876

1,320 573 877

1,218 484 800

2,318 983

1,467

2,795 1,321 1,822

2,610 1,241 1,850

1,889 884

1,318

1,216 565 886

878 413 715

337 150 275

East North Central Ohio ____________________ _ Indiana __________________ _ Illinois ___________________ _ Michigan ________________ _ Wisconsin _~_~ ___________ _

11,587 6,190

12,417 9,898 5,528

736 403 859 693 348

777 426 886 727 368

845 461 948 777 402

828 450 883 737 413

794 436 860 663 399

1,478 Bl1

1,648 1,246

701

1,694 910

1,859 1,426

810

1,687 883

1,754 1,414

805

1,180 616

1,195 974 550

773 397 761 603 360

576 288 548 446 263

218 lOB 217 173 109

West Minnesota North Central _______________ _ Iowa ____________________ _ Missouri _________________ _ North Dakota ____________ _ South Dakota ____________ _ Nebraska ________________ _ Kansas _______ ------- - - - --

4,986 2,965 5,592

657 796

1,752 2,825

321 187 356

41 58

119 201

333 195 370

43 59

122 200

362 211 406

47 64

130 208

371 217 407

51 63

133 211

365 215 389

52 59

133 211

636 380 685

87 99

230 358

743 413 802

91 105 240 396

737 415 812

94 109 240 398

488 293 577

60 73

167 270

309 205 391

41 50

113 177

223 161 284

33 40 87

137

98 73

114 17 18 38 59

South Atlantic Delaware ________________ _ Maryland ________________ _ Dist:'~t of Columbia _______ _ Virginia __________________ _ West Virginia _____________ _ North Carolina --_________ _

South Carolina ------------

~I~~;p~a _ = == ===== === ==== === East South Central Kentucky ________________ _

Tennessee ______________ _

AI!lb~ma_ ~ __ -- - -- - - - - - - ---M,ss,ssipp' _______________ _

789 5,548

547 7,398 1,844 8,002 4,122 8,111

16,347

4,086 5,791 4,674 2,832

51 379

29 454 103 477 268 548 911

259 344 318 195

53 394

24 481 114 507 279 566 933

271 360 336 204

57 427

26 532 128 571 305 620

1,Q42

295 407 362 224

56 394

36 521 125 574 302 605

1,038

290 413 341 216

54 356

50 500 119 532 285 569 950

284 394 315 200

101 684

95 978 234

1,007 525

1,070 1,714

534 736 578 354

121 891

90 1,211

263 1,238

623 1,275 2,214

605 887 676 399

112 821

75 1,100

277 1,166

589 1,177 2,328

595 862 653 397

79 565

53 755 205 851 429 804

1,944

426 623 475 279

53 333

35 454 136 565 276 480

1,571

277 405 325 190

38 224

25 301 100 376 178 291

1,228

183 263 217 126

13 79 11

110 39

139 64

105 474

68 96 78 49

West South Central /J Arkansas ________________ _ Louisiana ________________ _ Oklahoma _______________ _ Texas ___________________ _

2,679 4,627 3,520

21,447

168 344 227

1,633

177 344 236

1,589

199 361 261

1,661

195 352 266

1,617

177 350 256

1,615

312 612 440

2,913

377 661 503

3,211

379 641 505

3,009

294 432 358

1,951

206 277 237

1,185

139 185 165 779

55 67 65

284

ountain Montana _________________ _ Idaho ___________________ _ Wyoming ________________ _ Colorado ________________ _ New Mexico _____________ _

Arizona ____ - _____ - - - - -- ---Utah ____________________ _ Nevada _________________ _

962 1,385

559 4,309 1,956 4,763 2,318 1,835

66 104 42

278 152 337 221 122

67 106 42

282 156 340 211 113

72 114 43

308 167 369 211 123

71 109 43

315 152 355 208 125

68 100 45

319 138 327 208 126

126 182

B1 607 246 562 324 242

135 198 82

681 275 657 295 297

139 190 81

646 266 641 267 289

97 126 48

417 183 488 168 194

59 79 26

237 116 348 103 113

43 54 18

159 77

247 73 70

19 21

7 59 29 93 28 21

acific Washington ______________ _ Oregon __________________ _ Celifornia ________________ _ Alaska __________________ _ Hawaii __________________ _

6,570 3,645

37,771 745

1,436

436 241

2,951 69

109

449 248

2,833 63

104

490 267

2,950 64

103

479 261

2,766 57 91

464 254

2,720 62

103

866 474

5,139 125 219

1,011 531

5,799 122 225

981 530

5,138 99

184

661 384

3,425 50

129

371 224

2,106 21 85

259 166

1,431 10 63

102 66

511 3

23

M

P

(~

(c.

/

'.~

31


[Numbers in thousands. Resident population. Series A, e, C, and D reflect different interstate migration assumptions. See text for explanation J

July 1, 2005

85 years Region, division, and State 15 to 19 20 to 24 25 to 34 35 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 to 74 75 to 84

o to 4 5 to 9 10 to 14 and over years years years years years years years years All ages years years years

FEMALES

United States' _________ _ 147,165 9,425 9,645 10,442 " 10,162 9,808 18,492 21,702 21,027 15,027 10,065 7,801 3,570

REGION AND DIVISION


Midwest __________________ _ East North CentraL _______ _ West North Central _______ _

South ____________________ _ South Atlantic ____________ _ East South Central __ - - - - --West South CentraL ______ _

West _____________________ _ Mountain ________________ _ Pacific ___________________ _

27,093 6,883

20,210

33,334 23,361 9,974

52,520 27,112 8,989

16,419

34,218 9,108

25,110

1,548 372

1,176

2,106 1,482

625

3,272 1,571

544 1,156

2,499 645

1,854

1,661 406

1,255

2,195 1,552

643

3,348 1,634

571 1,143

2,441 642

1,799

1,859 461

1,397

2,369 1,673

696

3,644 1,808

627 1,210

2,570 686

1,884

1,817 469

1,349

2,319 1,613

707

3,576 1,780

613 1,184

2,449 671

1,778

1,676 434

1,242

2,267 1,566

701

3,455 1,684

591 1,180

2,410 656

1,754

3,234 803

2,431

4,227 2,961 1,246

6,499 3,227 1,122 2,150

4,532 1,187 3,345

4,089 1,059 3,030

4,810 3,406 1,405

7,731 4,018 1,318 2,394

5,072 1,303 3,769

3,987 1,037 2,950

4,753 3,340 1,413

7,538 3,931 1,298 2,308

4,748 1,266 3,482

2,925 749

2,176

3,337 2,347

990

5,508 2,980

950 1,578

3,258 877

2,381

1,940 475

1,465

2,246 1,558

688

3,824 2,128

664 1,032

2,055 569

1,486

1,596 403

1,193

1,812 1,251

561

2,864 1,635

480 749

1,529 421

1,107

760 215 545

892 592 301

1,261 717 211 334

656 186 470

STATE

New England Maine ___________________ _ New Hampshire __________ _ Vermont _________________ _ Massachusetts ___________ _ Rhode Island ____________ _ Connecticut ______________ _

646 618 309

3,087 519

1,704

34 34 18

163 28 96

37 37 19

177 30

106

42 42 21

203 34

119

44 44 23

212 36

111

41 40 21

200 34 97

76 73 38

367 60

187

96 98 47

482 76

261

100 98 46

455 77

261

72 68 32

331 56

189

47 39 20

212 37

119

38 30 16

183 34

102

19 15 8

100 18 55

Middle Atlantic New york ________________ _

New Jersey ---------------Pennsylvania _____________ _

9,524 4,291 6,395

576 251 349

598 279 379

661 311 426

644 279 425

608 240 394

1,185 500 746

1,433 669 928

1,364 640 946

1,018 467 691

672 306 486

523 243 427

240 106 199

East North Central Ohio ____________________ _

Indiana ___ ----------------Illinois ___________________ _

~~~~~~n- ================

5,964 3,169 6,348 5,070 2,810

359 196 419 338 169

379 208 432 354 179

412 225 463 378 196

403 219 430 359 201

393 215 424 339 197

752 411 826 636 355

867 463 938 729 409

865 450 895 726 404

617 319 626 505 281

419 214 412 324 190

343 171 326 260 151

157 78

157 122

77

West North Central Minnesota _______________ _ Iowa ____________________ _ Missouri _________________ _

North Dakota -------------South Dakota ____________ _ Nebraska ___________ : ____ _

Kansas ____ -- - -- --- - -- ----

2,530 1,516 2,876

330 402 891

1,429

156 91

173 20 28 58 98

162 95

180 21 29 59 97

177 103 198

23 31 63

101

181 105 198 25 31 65

102

180 106 192 25 29 65

103

322 192 348

42 49

116 178

374 209 408

45 52

120 197

369 209 416

46 54

120 199

248 150 301 30 37 85

138

162 110 211

22 27 61 94

128 94

167 19 23 51 79

71 52 83 12 13 27 42

South Atlantic Delaware ________________ _ Maryland ________________ _ District of Columbia _______ _ Virginia __________________ _ West Virginia _____________ _

North Carolina ------------South Carolina ___________ _

~1~~i;Jl~a _==== ==============

406 2,862

284 3,752

955 4,113 2,122 4,169 8,450

25 185

14 221 50

233 131 268 444

26 192

12 235

56 247 136 276 455

28 208

13 259

62 279 149 302 507

27 193

18 253

61 280 148 295 505

27 179

23 243

59 262 141 282 468

52 354

45 481 119 504 264 545 862

62 461

46 606 136 622 316 652

1,118

58 427

40 561 142 599 305 609

1,192

41 297

29 391 106 447 226 422

1,020

29 179 20

244 75

312 153 263 854

22 132

16 180

61 227 108 179 711

9 56 8

79 29

100 46 76

314

East South Central Kentucky ________________ _ Tennessee - _____________ _

Alabama- - - - -- -- - - - - - - - - --Mississippi _______________ _

2,095 2,996 2,423 1,475

126 168 155 95

132 176 164 100

143 198 176 110

141 201 166 105

139 196 157 100

267 375 298 182

308 455 348 208

305 447 339 208

223 326 252 149

152 224 181 107

110 160 132

78

49 71 56 35

West Soulh Central Arkansas ________________ _

Oklahoma Louisiana -----------------_______________ _ Texas ___________________ _

1,384 2,388 1,795

10,852

82 168 111 796

87 168 115 773

97 176 128 809

95 172 130 787

87 174 126 792

159 314 219

1,458

193 342 252

1,609

196 332 257

1,523

154 230 186

1,008

113 153 128 638

82 111 97

458

39 47 47

201

Mounlaln Montana ____ -------- --- ---Idaho ___________________ _

Wyoming ----------------Colorado -----------------New Mexico _____________ _

Arizona Utah ___ - - - --- - - - - - -- - --____________________ _ Nevada _________________ _

485 694 279

2,169 990

2,415 1,159

918

32 51 21

136 74

164 107

59

33 52 20

138 76

166 103 55

35 55 21

150 82

180 103

60

35 53 21

153 74

173 101

61

34 49 22

156 68

162 102 62

63 91 41

302 124 281 165 121

68 98 41

340 138 326 146 146

70 95 40

324 135 324 134 144

48 63 24

212 94

252 85 98

31 41 13

125 62

185 54 58

24 31 10 92 43

142 41 39

13 14 5

41 19 61 18 14

Pacific Washington ______ --- -- - - --

g~ii~g,.~i8-Alaska = = = = = == = == = == == == __________________ _ Hawaii __________________ _

3,296 1,842

18,901 361 711

212 117

1,437 34 53

218 121

1,378 31 51

239 130

1,435. 31 50

233 127

1,345 28 44

227 126

1,324 29 48

431 238

2,513 60

104

501 264

2,836 59

109

493 268

2,583 48 91

333 194

1,765 24 65

192 119

1,119 10 46

147 95

826 5

35

69 44

341 2

14

32

Table 4. Projections of the population, by Age and Sex, for Regions, Divisions, and States: 1993 to 2020 - Series A (Preferred Series)-Con.

[Numbers in thousands Resident population Series ABC and D reflect different interstate migretion assumptions See text for explanation)

July I, 2010

55 to 64 65 to 74 75 to 84 85 years Region, division, and State 25 to 34 35 to 44 45 to 54

o to 4 5 to 9 10 to 14 15 to 19 20 to 24 years and over years years years years years years years

All ages years years years

TOTAL

20,978 13,157 5,969 " 44,099 34,552 20,976 38,179 39,659

20,017 19,722 20,724 22,398 United States' ---------- 300,431

REGION AND DIVISION 1,198 6,368 3,861 2,541

6,491 7,133 8,097 Northeast _________________ 3,937 3,650 338 53,301 3,193 3,269 3,563 1,687 993 648

970 1,670 1,837 2,143 New England _____________ 883 1,006 861 13,754 778 803 5,954 4,681 2,868 1,893

2,931 2,681 4,820 5,296 Middle Atlantic - ___________ 39,547 2,415 2,466 2,680

4,526 2,979 1,407 8,637 9,690 7,590

Midwest ___________________ 4,971 4,641 8,477 941 66,332 4,378 4,408 4,628 6,765 5,268 3,124 2,032 3,489 3,224 5,899 6,105 466 East North Central _________ 46,258 3,062 3,095 3,255 947 2,925 2,322 1,402 1,483 1,417 2,579 2,532

West North Central ________ 20,074 1,315 1,314 1,373 2,158 12,696 7,992 4,908

13,261 14,109 15,952 South _____________________ 7,905 7,354 1,264 107,385 6,945 8,856 7,249 8,327 6,822 4,486 2,810

3,927 3,662 6,562 7,251 South Atlantic _____________ 335 55,321 3,332 3,320 3,558 800 2,681 2,141 1,326

1,355 1,219 2,184 2,391 559 East South Central ________ 17,941 1,126 1,145 1,237 1,298 4,944 3,732 2,180 2,623 2,472 4,515 4,467

West South Central ________ 34,124 2,487 2,391 2,454 4,598 2,730 1,206

9,779 10,360 7,897 West ______________________ 5,585 5,331 9,950 759 338 73,412 5,502 5,189 5,285 2,139 1,264

2,484 2,451 2,708 Mountain _________________ 1,476 1,376 868 19,094 1,378 1,337 1,385 5,758 3,335 1,971

3,954 7,466 7,328 7,652 3,853 3,900 4,109

Pacific __________ ---------- 54,318 4,124

STATE

98 63 30 New England 159 173 204 171

Maine ____________________ 92 87 25 1,309 73 76 83 164 89 51 90 156 172 208

New Hampshire ___________ 82 94 12 1,280 73 75 76 43 27 46 78 84 91

Vermont _______________ --- 48 155 623 38 38 41 290 940 732 436 451 451 760 820 27 Massachusetts ____________ 381 6,097 335 345 129 75 51

75 125 134 157 Rhodfl Island _____________ 65 78 88 1,034 58 59 415 251 166

220 393 453 543 Connflcticut _______________ 229 244 3,412 202 209

1,305 841 379 Middle Atlantic 2,363 2,484 2,722 2,124

New York _________________ 1,397 1,307 171 18,546 1,183 1,175 1,265 624 397 999 1,177 1,336 1,012

New Jersey _______________ 603 631 540 654 310 8,562 521 551 939 1,635 1,896 1,545 812 903 834 1,458

Pennsylvania _________ ----- 12,438 711 740

819 547 252 East North Central 1,460 1,545 1,730 1,373

Ohio _____________________ 792 857 800 125 11,659 733 750 432 279 799 842 918 718

Indiana ___________________ 438 479 439 243 6,286 402 413 524 1,841 1,384 822 951 885 1,670 1,694 200 Illinois ____________________ 899 12,652 873 866 422 1,439 1,128 656 786 705 1,251 1,296 121 10,033 702 706 743 260 729 838 666 395

382 415 395 719 5,629 352 360 ~;~~~~n- ================

349 224 110 West North Central 775 595 364 674 659

Minnesota ________________ 371 80 5,127 330 330 346 347 215 154 383 381 420

Iowa _____________________ 200 218 207 129 2,981 187 190 683 428 280 395 712 725 863

Missouri __________________ 389 422 18 5,760 366 368 75 43 32 51 93 85 95

North Dakota _____________ 50 20 676 43 44 46 91 53 38 58 102 97 112

South Dakota _____________ 61 65 42 815 59 59 202 121 85 131 239 222 245

Nebraska _________________ 125 135 67 1,793 122 122 193 134 375 363 415 329

Kansas ___________________ 204 222 211 2,922 207 201

59 38 16 South Atlantic 93 57 103 110 121

Delaware _________________ 60 95 815 52 52 54 384 222 717 793 893 658

Maryland _________________ 411 434 391 12 5,782 394 390 23 85 81 61 37 26 38 54 103 306 134 District of Columbia ________ 577 31 25 894 527

539 997 1,111 1,207 Virginia ___________________ 511 562 44 7,728 466 475 275 239 143 93

132 117 220 250 170 West Virginia ______________ 121 1,842 100 108 1,267 1,017 641 388 616 574 1,004 1,141 79 North Carolina ____________ 540 8,341 488 494 181 582 638 514 315

293 327 300 530 125 South Carolina -- __________ 4,311 276 276 309 1,181 1,300 969 564 602 656 611 1,098 589 8,553 572 566 1,250 1,999 2,545 2,376 1,815 999 1,101 1,019 1,791

17,372 953 935 ~I~~dl~a _ = = = = = == = == = = = = == = = 304 182 77

East South Central 624 501 283 522 558 Kentucky _________________ 281 308 112 4,160 258 262 933 741 457 270

411 736 820 Tennessee _______________ 386 437 90 6,007 351 353 220 634 701 563 357

354 379 328 576 127 55 Alabama __________ - ------- 4,856 323 330 337 208 197 349 380 424

Mississippi ________________ 231 2,918 195 200 216

233 141 62 West South Central 348 315 349 410

Arkansas _________________ 191 207 178 77 2,782 171 176 675 520 305 183 348 642 621

Louisiana _________________ 356 376 75 4,808 355 349 429 263 164 260 463 472 540

Oklahoma ________________ 256 280 344 3,683 238 242 2,435 1,379 811 3,095 3,024 3,318

Texas ____________________ 1,760 1,685 22,850 1,723 1,624 1,650

22 119 66 42 Mountain 130 141

71 74 67 130 55 25 Montana __________ -------- 996 68 68 157 92 186 193 203 Idaho ____________________ 113 116 100 8 1,454 107 107 17 82 84 60 29

45 47 46 88 72 596 45 44 164 632 680 518 278 296 327 328 631 35 4,494 286 281 80 260 288 227 132 165 167 145 261 254 117 'fjt;~~~g ================= New Mexico ______________ 2,082 162 161 700 605 412

386 350 596 599 34 Arizona _____ - __________ --- 356 5,074 356 344 121 75 340 288 290 214

Utah _____________________ 218 227 208 27 2,462 228 219 133 72 252 267 322 239

Nevada __________________ 120 131 132 1,935 126 113

830 453 260 123 'aclfle 491 928 958 1,058 Washington _______________ 486 518 76 7,025 461 459 474 269 159

267 507 511 552 Ore?,on ___________________ 267 283 636 3,876 255 255 4,240 2,492 1,477

3,021 5,666 5,514 5,738 Cali ornia - ________________ 2,978 3,143 3 41,085 3,217 2,964 60 24 11

65 134 118 103 Alaska ___________________ 61 30 781 74 66 63 154 96 64

110 232 229 201 Hawaii ___________________ 107 104 1,551 116 108

Table 4. Projections of the population, by Age and Sex, for Regions, Divisions, and States: 1993 to 2020 - Series A (Preferred Series)-con.

[Numbers in thousands. Resident population. Series A, 8, C, and D reflect different interstate migration assumptions. See text for explanation 1 July 1, 2010

85 yean Region, division, and State 15 to 19 20 to 24 25 to 34 35 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 to 74 75 to 84 and ove o to 4 5 to 9 10 to 14 years years years years years years years years

All ages years years years

FEMALES

United States' _________ _ 153,244 9,756 9,605 10,09{ 10,895 10,323 19,188 20,039 22,469 17,949 11,235 7,583 4,11'

REGION AND DIVISION

Northeast ________________ _ 27,489 New England ------------- 7,049 Middle Atlantic ___________ _ 20,440

Midwest __________________ _ 33,876 East North Central ________ _ 23,660 West North Central _______ _ 10,216

South ____________________ _ 55,067 South Atlantic ____________ _ 28,448 East South Central -------- 9,271 West South Central _______ _ 17,347

West _____________________ _ 36,813 Mountain ________________ _ 9,614 Pacific _____ - -- - - --- - - - - - -- 27,198

1,556 379

1,177

2,133 1,493

641

3,386 1,625

549 1,212

2,681 672

2,009

1,591 390

1,200

2,148 1,508

640

3,341 1,618

558 1,165

2,526 651

1,875

1,734 429

1,305

2,254 1,586

668

3,531 1,734

602 1,195

2,572 674

1,897

1,916 489

1,426

2,419 1,698

721

3,846 1,911

659 1,276

2,714 719

1,995

1,807 478

1,329

2,289 1,592

697

3,622 1,803

602 1,216

2,605 677

1,928

3,294 841

2,453

4,273 2,979 1,294

6,681 3,307 1,108 2,266

4,940 1,243 3,697

3,650 933

2,717

4,392 3,112 1,280

7,170 3,683 1,229 2,258

4,827 1,224 3,603

4,169 1,092 3,077

4,936 3,458 1,478

8,177 4,274 1,390 2,513

5,186 1,362 3,824

3,354 874

2,480

3,917 2,731 1,186

6,643 3,578 1,128 1,937

4,035 1,086 2,948

2,098 530

1,568

2,412 1,670

742

4,315 2,420

727 1,168

2,409 659

1,750

1,478 374

1,104

1,714 1,173

541

2,864 1,632

479 753

1,526 423

1,104

84; 23£ 602

9S9 661 328

1,4911 864 239 387

793 224 569

STATE

New England Maine ___________________ _ 668 New Hampshire ----------- 650 Vermont _________________ _ 317 Massachusetts ___________ _ 3,135 Rhode Island ____________ _ 530 Connecticut ______________ _ 1,749

35 35 18

163 28 98

37 37 19

167 29

102

40 40 20

185 32

112

44 45 23

220 38

119

43 45 23

223 37

109

79 79 40

383 62

198

88 88 43

418 67

229

104 105 47

480 80

277

87 83 39

382 67

216

52 46 23

235 41

133

37 29 15

168 30 95

22 17 9

111 19 61

Middle Atlantic New York ________________ _ 9,624 4,403 New Jersey ---------------Pennsylvania _____________ _ 6,413

576 254 346

572 268 360

616 294 395

681 307 438

651 268 410

1,208 508 737

1,280 600 837

1,420 685 972

1,142 534 804

722 337 509

492 228 384

264 118 221

East North Central Ohio ____________________ _ 5,992 Indiana __________________ _ 3,214 Illinois ___________________ _ 6,459 Michigan ________________ _ 5,135 Wisconsin _______________ _ 2,859

357 196 426 342 171

365 201 422 344 175

386 214 439 362 186

417 233 464 383 202

395 217 436 349 195

738 403 840 635 362

792 429 854 666 370

888 469 938 740 423

714 371 722 586 337

442 230 443 348 207

318 163 305 241 146

179 88

172 138 84

West Minnesota North Central _______________ _ 2,601 Iowa ____________________ _ 1,522 Missouri _________________ _ 2,958

339 North Dakota South Dakota -------------____________ _ 412 Nebraska ________________ _ 910 Kansas _____ - - - --- - - - - -- -- 1,476

161 91

178 21 29 59

101

161 93

179 21 29 59 98

169 97

189 23 30 61

100

181 106

2g~ 31 66

108

179 102 194 25 29 64

103

339 193 360

45 51

120 186

334 193 370

42 48

112 181

390 213 441

47 56

123 208

301 177 356

37 45

103 167

182 114 230

22 28 64

102

126 88

162 18 22 49 76

78 56 92 13 14 30 46

south Atlantic Delaware ________________ _ 419 Maryland ________________ _ 2,985 District of Columbia -------- 298 Virginia __________________ _ 3,915 West Virginia _____________ _ 953

4,285 North Carolina -----------South Carolina ------------ 2,219 Georgia _________________ _ 4,398 Florida __________________ _ 8,976

25 192 15

227 49

238 135 279 465

25 190

12 231 53

241 135 276 455

26 201

13 248 59

263 143 294 487

29 211

19 273

64 301 159 320 535

28 196 26

261 58

282 148 302 502

53 371

50 492 111 504 266 560 900

57 413

43 553 128 573 295 606

1,014

62 463

43 614 142 648 329 671

1,301

49 348

34 464 124 535 272 512

1,241

31 205

21 280

77 350 173 306 975

21 128

14 178 56

231 108 185 712

11 66

9 94 32

119 56 88

388

East South Central Kentucky ________________ _ 2,129 Tennessee ______________ _ 3,107

2,515 Alabama------------------Mississippi _______________ _ 1,519

125 171 158 95

127 172 161 98

137 188 173 105

149 212 184 113

139 204 162 98

261 375 295 178

282 421 328 198

321 483 364 223

261 389 298 180

165 249 197 116

108 162 132 77

55 81 64 39

West South Central 1,436 2,479 t~~f~:~~ Oklahoma ================= - ______________ _ 1,875

Texas ___________________ _ 11,557

84 173 116 839

86 170 118 791

93 174 125 803

101 184 137 855

88 173 128 827

159 328 231

1,548

179 322 236

1,522

211 351 273

1,677

183 276 223

1,256

126 167 141 734

82 108 95

468

44 54 52

238

Mountain Montana _______________ --- 502 Idaho ___________________ _ 728 Wyoming ________________ _ 298 Colorado ________________ _ 2,261

1,053 New Mexico --------------Arizona __________________ _ 2,571 Utah ____________________ _ 1,230

971 Nevada ------------------

33 52 22

140 79

174 111

62

33 52 22

137 78

168 107

55

35 55 22

144 81

173 106

58

36 57 23

159 82

188 110

64

33 49 23

161 72

173 102

65

65 93 44

315 131 299 170 126

65 96 41

315 130 298 145 133

71 102 42

342 145 353 145 161

59 79 30

262 116 310 108 122

34 47 15

145 70

217 62 69

23 31 9

92 44

143 41 39

15 16 5

49 23 75 22 18

Pacific Washington ______________ _ 3,521 1,957

20,571 g~f;r~~ia-================= Alaska __________________ _ 380 Hawaii __________________ _ 769

225 124

1,567 36 57

223 124

1,442 32 53

236 130

1,4413 31 52

252 137

1,525 30 51

240 132

1,472 31 52

462 255

2,804 64

111

476 255

2,705 56

111

530 278

2,866 50

100

419 241

2,180 30 78

232 140

1,315 12 51

143 90

830 5

36

81 51

416 2

19

34

Table 4. Projections of the Population, by Age and Sex, for Regions, Divisions, and Slates: 1993 to 2020 - Series A (Preferred Series)-con.

[Numbers in thousands. Resident population. Series A, B, C, and D reflect different Interstate migration assumptions. See text for explanation J

July 1,2015

85 years 55 to 64 65 to 74 75 to 84 Region, division, and State 20 to 24 25 to 34 35 to 44 45 to 54 o to 4 5 to 9 10 to 14 15 to 19 years and over

years years years years years years years years


TOTAL

United States' - _________ 313,116 21,142 20,418 20,670 21,661 ~

22,442 41,110 38,245 42,149 39,44 ali 25,733 13,467 6,632

REGION AND DIVISION

Northeast _________________ 54,267 New England __________ . ___ 14,131 Middle Atlantic ____________ 40,136

Midwest ___________________ 67,619 East North Central _________ 46,998 West North Central -------- 20,621

South _____________________ 112,485 South Atlantic _____________ 57,979 East South Central - __ - - - -- 18,514 West South Central ________ 35,992

West ______________________ 78,746 Mountain _________________ 20,123 Pacific ______ -- _ - - - --- - - --- 58,623

3,335 825

2,510

4,523 3,164 1,359

7,321 3,524 1,167 2,630

5,963 1,453 4,510

3,296 3,429 3,689 818 852 940

2,477 2,577 2,748

4,478 4,539 4,737 3,129 3,172 3,312 1,349 1,367 1,425

7,097 7,238 7,656 3,437 3,531 3,770 1,160 1,212 1,301 2,501 2,495 2,585

5,548 5,463 5,580 1,394 1,404 1,448 4,154 4,060 4,132

3,847 1,013 2,834

4,854 3,398 1,456

7,886 3,922 1,307 2,657

5,855 1,472 4,383

7,066 6,580 7,626 1,871 1,683 2,021 5,194 4,897 5,604

8,849 8,271 8,989 6,155 5,794 6,286 2,694 2,477 2,703

14,231 13,599 15,344 7,117 6,876 8,035 2,279 2,282 2,567 4,835 4,440 4,743

10,963 9,795 10,190 2,650 2,430 2,589 8,313 7,365 7,601

7,056 1,881 5,175

8,518 5,874 2,644

14,659 7,832 2,435 4,393

9,213 2,480 6,733

4,599 1.227 3,372

5,394 3,698 1,696

9,880 5,552 1,605 2,723

5,860 1,609 4,252

2,453 1,291 633 364

1,820 927

2,943 1,524 1,996 1,020

947 503

5,135 2,438 2,942 1.442

830 369 1,363 627

2,936 1,378 808 386

2,128 992

STATE

New England Maine ____________________ 1,355 New Hampshire ___________ 1,341 Vermont __________________ 641 Massachusetts ____________ 6,221 Rhodr, Island _____________ 1,061 Connecticut _______________ 3,512

77 78 40

354 62

215

79 83 87 79 81 89 39 40 46

347 363 415 60 63 73

214 221 231

89 94 47

468 79

236

174 166 190 177 162 196 86 78 87

855 737 891 139 120 149 440 421 509

190 188 83

810 144 466

124 117 55

535 94

302

63 33 53 28 27 13

280 166 48 29

162 95

Middle Atlantic New York _________________ 18,804 New Jersey _______________ 8,800 pennsylvania ______________ 12,531

East North Central Ohio _____________________ 11,756 Indiana ___________________ 6,385 Illinois ____________________ 12,924

10,195 Wi~~~~~n-==::::::::=:=::: 5,737

1,228 550 732

748 413 912 731 360

1,181 1,218 1,311 558 584 599 738 775 839

751 767 805 414 425 455 882 882 905 717 724 753 364 374 393

1,382 590 862

830 466 950 752 399

2,548 2,305 2,576 1,096 1,099 1,265 1,550 1,493 1,762

1,511 1,453 1,598 824 798 862

1,759 1,624 1,720 1,318 1,225 1,327

743 695 779

2,313 1.140 1,722

1,520 801

1,553 1,244

755

1,512 741

1.119

967 511 961 777 482

818 412 390 186 611 329

533 274 278 137 516 260 409 218 260 132

t

West North Central Minnesota ________________ 5,276 Iowa _____________________ 3,006 Missouri __________________ 5,940

697 North Dakota -------------South Dakota ------------- 838 Nebraska _________________ 1,838 Kansas ___________________ 3,025

342 188 381

45 62

125 216

340 344 355 191 196 208 379 388 404

46 47 49 61 62 62

125 125 130 207 205 217

367 210 411

52 60

134 223

708 644 708 388 367 390 752 706 801

98 85 88 106 96 103 248 221 226 394 357 386

686 383 784

86 104 226 376

429 252 514

52 64

147 238

231 121 149 85 282 139

30 20 37 21 84 45

133 73

South Atlantic Delaware _________________ 842 Maryland _________________ 6,032 District of Columbia -------- 607 Virginia ___________________ 8,060 West Virginla ______________ 1,845 North Carolina ____________ 8,661 South Carolina ____________ 4,501

8,996 ~~ri~~a _ ==:: =::::::::::::: 18,414

54 422

34 492 101 513 290 607

1,011

53 53 58 406 409 418

27 27 37 489 505 539 106 115 125 507 528 584 284 291 314 589 603 637 976 1,000 1,059

61 427

58 577 124 613 323 660

1,080

111 102 117 798 748 852 115 84 80

1,084 1,047 1,177 220 237 257

1,082 1,057 1,240 568 551 624

1,191 1,134 1,263 1,948 1,916 2,425

107 748

68 1,023

256 1,163

586 1,123 2,759

71 469

43 651 170 790 391 712

2,255

38 18 230 106 23 12

324 152 89 47

408 195 191 88 336 141

1,303 683

East South Central Kentucky _________________ 4,237 Tennessee _______________ 6,224

5,044 AI~b~ma-7----------------Mlsslssippl- _______________ 3,009

264 365 339 200

262 272 293 361 379 415 336 349 370 201 212 223

300 435 361 211

534 531 587 779 781 898 608 606 675 358 365 408

560 844 642 388

365 559 430 250

186 84 285 125 228 100 132 61

West South Central Arkansas _________________ 2,893 Louisiana _________________ 5,001 Oklahoma ________________ 3,852 Texas ____________________ 24,247

178 370 249

1,834

180 190 200 361 361 371 253 263 274

1,707 1,682 1,742

190 372 273

1,822

329 338 391 675 614 642 494 469 512

3,337 3,019 3,197

399 598 497

2,900

284 368 319

1,752

147 66 185 85 168 81 863 393

Mountain Montana __________________ 1,033 Idaho ____________________ 1,526 Wyoming _________________ 629 Colorado _________________ 4,683 New Mexico ______________ 2,211 Arizona ______ ------------- 5,394 Utah _____________________ 2,606 Nevada __________________ 2,040

70 111 48

299 173 380 238 133

70 72 72 110 114 115 47 47 48

289 295 315 170 170 165 362 360 373 227 225 232 118 121 128

70 107 49

344 159 377 226 140

135 131 131 193 194 196 94 86 80

672 619 641 284 260 275 650 584 670 350 297 285 272 259 310

132 182 70

591 263 706 253 283

82 117 37

359 168 524 154 168

42 24 59 27 17 8

175 82 84 40

273 134 80 39 77 31

Pacific Washington _______________ 7,490 orerg,n ___________________ 4,119 Cali ornia _________________ 44,513 Alaska ___________________ 823 Hawaii ___________________ 1,678

493 273

3,539 79

125

485 497 513 270 275 282

3,213 3,111 3,168 71 66 61

115 111 108

530 289

3,370 70

124

1,010 960 1,024 548 516 536

6,353 5,536 5,736 146 119 98 255 234 208

963 529

4,998 68

176

597 351

3,154 29

121

281 136 168 82

1,602 734 11 4 65 36

.1

)

/ •

35


(Numbers in thousands Resident population. S


All ages

f the p- Sereries A, B C

oto 4 years

opulaies A , and 0 refle

5 te II years

tion, b(Preferred ct dlffer9l'\t I

10 to 14 years

y Age S

nterstate mig

15t0111 years

and eriet)

ration assu

20te!4 years

Sex, fo-con.

mptions. See te

July 1, 2015

251034 years

r Reg

xt for explanation

35to44 years

ions,

J

451054 years

Divisio

55 to 64 years

65 to 74 years

ns, and Stat

75to64 years

es:

85 years and over

FEMALES

United States' _________ _ 159,599 111,300 9,940 10,911 10,1IiIM 11,11$1 19,350 21,507 20,436 13,683 7,607 4,503

REGION AND DIVISION


Mldwesl __________________ _ 34,458 East North Central ________ _ 24,013 West North Central -------- 10,483

South ____________________ _ 57,665 South Atlantic ____________ _ 28,80'6 East South Central -------- 9,564 West South Central _______ _ 18,285

West _____________________ _ 39,491 Mountain ________________ _ 10,130 Pacific ___________ - - -- - ---- 29,361

1,61l4 402

1,223

2,203 1,541 6&~

3,11$7 1,717

569 1,281

2,l1li5 708

2,197

1,8e3 398

1,205

2,"'1 1,524

057

3,456 1,674

565 1,217

2,700 679

2,021

1,_ 414

1,254

l!,.I!'" 1,545

see 3,524 1,720

S90 1,214

2,_ 684

1,075

1,m 457

1,337

2,304 1,612

583

3,1'24 1,11315

633 1,256

2,71. 7e5

2,007

1.-BOO

1,403

2_ 1:.78

716

3,819 I,:: 1,* 2_

723 2,1314

3,579 941

2,638

4,457 3,106 1,351

7,163 3,583 1,154 2,425

5,447 1,326 4,122

3,368 854

2,514

4,1117 2,946 1,250

6,501' 3,493 1,168 2,248

4,878 1,220 3,658

3,940 1,032 2,907

4,598 3,225 1,372

7,881 4,131 1,334 2,417

5,089 1,300 3,789

3,699 972

2,727

4,385 3,038 1,347

7,658 4,101 1,285 2,271

4,694 1,259 3,435

2,486 650

1,836

2,852 1,963

689

5,293 2,974

872 1,447

3,051 832

2,219

1,403 358

1,045

1,664 1,132

533

2,939 1,675

489 775

1,601 440

1,161

891 254 637

1,052 704 348

1,664 975 261 429

896 253 643

STATE

New England Maine ___________________ _ 1191 New Hampshire ----------- 681 Vermont ____________ ------ 326 Massachusetts ___________ _ 3,154 Rhode Island ____________ _ 542 Connecticut ___ - - - - - - --- --- 1,797

37 38 111

172 30

105

fi 36 19

188 2lI

104

40 39 20

176 31

108

42 43 U

202 35

113

44 46 23

231 39

1 ...

87 89 43

430 69

222

83 82 39

375 80

213

97 100 44

456 76

259

98 96 42

421 75

241

65 60 28

286 50

160

35 29 15

159 28 91

23 19 9

116 20 65

Middle Atlantic New YorL _______________ _ 9,755 4,522 New Jersey ---------------Pennsylvania _____________ _ 6,450

East North Central Ohio ____________________ _ 6,034 Indiana __________________ _ 3,262 Illinois ___________________ _ 6,591

5,213 2,912 ~i~~~~~n - = = = = = = = === ==== ==

596 268 356

364 201 445 35S 175

575 272 359

3S5 262 430 349 177

593 264 376

_7 373

430 353 182

639 291 407

3111 221 441 3G7 191

11$7 292 424

41'0 23'11 4flS 312 197

1,300 557 782

7&4 415 664 668 374

1,190 562 783

742 406 819 628 353

1,349 651 907

824 442 877 685 396

1,236 598 893

788 413 806 647 383

836 400 600

516 271 515 411 250

473 221 352

304 158 295 230 144

281 125 231

191 95

181 147 89

West North Central Minnesota _______________ _ 2,675 Iowa ____________________ _ 1,533 Missouri _________________ _ 3,046 North Dakota ____________ _ 349 South Dakota - ___________ _ 423 Nebraska ________________ _ 932 Kansas ______________ -- --- 1,526

1&7 91

HI5 22 30 61

lOS

166 83

184 22 30 61

101

168 95

189 23 3\!) 81

100

173 101 1M

24 3\!) 1!3

105

181 W3 282

25 29 ee

109

356 195 380

48 52

124 1116

326 186 360 42 48

111 178

359 199 410 44 52

114 195

346 195 407

42 52

115 190

222 132 274

27 33 77

124

128 85

161 17 21 48 74

84 58 98 13 15 31 49

South Atlantic Delaware ________________ _ 433 Maryland ________________ _ 3,116 Dist:i~t of Columbia -------- 313 V,rglnoa __________________ _ 4,081 West Virginia _____________ _ 953

4,460 North Carolina ----------- 2,316 South Carolina Georgia ------------_________________ _ 4,626 Florida __________________ _ 9,500

27 206

16 24G 49

250 141 296 493

26 1IIe

13 2fi

52 247 lfi 287 475

26 199

13 246

56 258 142 294 4117

28 204

18 2811!

61 284 153 310 515

30 213

27 260

81 fil 158

*' 531

57 412

56 535 111 543 286 808 979

53 389

42 521 120 532 280 682 973

60 445

42 697 134 633 322 654

1,243

56 396

38 630 134 610 310 593

1,436

38 252

25 345

91 428 212 385

1,200

21 130

14 183 53

239 112 197 726

13 72

9 105 33

135 62 99

448

East South Central Kentucky ________________ _ 2,167 3,220 Tennessee Alabama ---------------_________________ _ 2,611

Mississippi _______________ _ 1,566

128 17S 165 97

127 176 164 IJI

132 184 17Q 103

143 202 180 l'M

1041$ 215 17'8 lOS

2tI6 396 310 182

267 400 313 189

301 466 352 215

292 445 340 208

197 302 235 138

108 168 134

79

59 89 70 43

West Soutlh Central Arkansas ________________ _ 1,492 Louisiana ________________ _ 2,575 Oklahoma _______________ _ 1,958 Texas ___________________ _ 12,260

87 180 121 893

87 176 123 631

IJ2 176 128 818

e7 181 13$ 845

94 1115 134 893

166 344 247

1,683

172 317 235

1,522

202 336 269

1,620

209 316 256

1,490

152 200 170 925

85 107

96 487

47 58 56

268

Mountain Montana _________________ _ 520 Idaho ___________________ _ 764 Wyoming ________________ _ 314 Colorado ________________ _ 2,355

1,117 New Mexico --------------Arizona _____ -- - -- - - - - -- --- 2,732 Utah ____________________ _ 1,301 Nevada _________________ _ 1,026

34 54 23

146 85

185 liS S6

34 53 23

141 83

177 111

57

35 55 23

144 83

175 110

69

35 56 23

153 81

182 113

CII!

35 52 24

168 78

186 111 60

68 96 47

335 143 326 175 136

66 97 43

310 131 293 151 130

66 98 40

323 139 337 142 155

67 92 35

299 135 361 127 144

42 59 19

186 87

274 78 87

23 32

9 95 46

149 43 42

16 18 6

56 27 86 25 20

Pacific Washington ______________ _ 3,752 Oregon __________________ _ 2,078 California ________________ _ 22,296

402 833 ~~.!~~ ===================

240 133

1,724 39 81

236 131

1,563 36 56

242 134

1,51-3 32 §4

241 137

1,539 30 5~

2511 142

1,641 34 58

503 275

3,149 71

123

479 259

2,748 58

114

511 269

2,858 48

102

487 269

2,556 34 89

305 181

1,656 15 63

151 92

876 6

36

89 54

475 2

23

36

Table 4. Projections of the Population, by Age and Sex, for Regions, Divisions, and States: 1993 to 2020 - Series A (Preferred Series)-Con.

[Numbers in thousands. Resident population. Series A, 8, C, and D reflect different interstate migration assumptions. See text for explanation 1 July 1,2020

55 to 64 65 to 74 75 to 84 Region, division, and State 20 to 24 25 to 34 35 to 44 45 to 54

o to 4 5 to 9 10 to 14 15 to 19 years years years :~l~~~~ years years years years years years


TOTAL

United States' __________ 325,942 21,957 .

21,551 21,400 21,600 21,725 43,553 39,661 38,885 6,959 42,262 '/30,910 15,480

REGION AND DIVISION

Northeast _________________ 55,352 3,452 New England _____________ 14,527 863 Middle Atlantic ____________ 40,824 2,589

Midwest ___________________ 68,984 4,610 East North CentraL ________ 47,799 3,228

1,382 West North Central -------- 21,185

South _____________________ 117,498 7,574 South Atlantic _____________ 60,610 3,654 East South Central ________ 19,078 1,193 West South CentraL _______ 37,809 2,727

West ______________________ 84,109 6,320 Mountain _________________ 21,147 1,507 Pacific ____ - __ - - - - - -- - - -- -- 62,961 4,814

3,443 3,464 3,561 866 869 910

2,577 2,595 2,651

4,637 4,619 4,651 3,239 3,214 3,232 1,398 1,405 1,419

7,478 7,490 7,638 3,632 3,655 3,742 1,205 1,230 1,276 2.641 2,605 2,620

5,993 5,828 5,750 1,472 1,465 1,466 4,521 4,361 4,284

3,624 7,505 6,735 952 1,995 1,762

2,672 5,510 4,973

4,633 9,149 8,421 3,233 6,399 5,844 1,400 2,750 2,578

7,631 15,070 13,994 3,769 7,588 7,046 1,254 2,391 2,265 2,609 5,091 4,662

5,837 11,829 10,511 1,441 2,793 2,548 4,396 9,036 7,963

6,814 1,784 5,030

8,198 5,740 2,458

14,197 7,366 2,388 4,444

9,676 2,415 7,261

7,407 5,323 2,730 1,295 369 1,989 1,440 728

5,418 3,883 2,002 926

1,549 8,859 6,400 3,257 1,032 6,092 4,345 2,202

517 2,768 2,055 1,055

15,911 11,934 5,966 2,613 1,549 8,513 6,658 3,437

2,609 1,917 939 391 673 4,789 3,359 1,591

1,501 10,085 7,253 3,526 417 2,666 1,996 961

7,419 5,257 2,566 1,084

STATE

New England Maine ____________________ 1,400 79 82 New Hampshire ----------- 1,399

Vermont _________ --- --- --- 658 41 MassachUsetts ____________ 6,363 370 Rhode Island -- ___________ 1,090 65 Connecticut _______________ 3,617 227

83 86 87 84 84 87 41 41 44

366 366 397 64 65 71

227 226 224

85 182 173 89 188 172 45 90 81

436 912 771 74 148 125

223 474 440

173 175 79

775 132 449

34 197 150 72 201 143 65 29

14 84 65 31 168 860 622 319 28 151 112 55 96 496 348 186

Middle Atlantic New YorlL ________________ 19,111 1,267 New Jersey _______________ 9,058 578 pennsylvania ____ - - -- -- - - -- 12,656 745

1,227 1,226 1,267 589 594 582 761 775 802

1,307 2,702 2,356 561 1,191 1,124 804 1,617 1,493

2,310 1,135 1,586

418 2,422 1,712 898 1,225 853 440 187 1,771 1,318 664 320

East North Central Ohio _____________________ 11,870 755 Indiana ___________________ 6,488 419 Illinois ____________ , _______ 13,218 939 Michigan _________________ 10,377 752 Wisconsin ________________ 5,846 363

769 770 780 426 428 442 922 900 889 748 738 735 374 379 385

783 1,557 1,448 443 856 792 908 1,850 1,654 721 1,387 1,236 379 749 713

1,459 797

1,572 1,209

702

276 1,563 1,132 577 139 835 600 309 262 1,633 1,121 569 219 1,271 906 454 136 788 585 292

West North Central Minnesota ________________ 5,426 348 Iowa _____________________ 3,038 188 Missouri __________________ 6,123 388

46 North Dakota ------------- 719 South Dakota _____________ 863 63 Nebraska _________________ 1,885 127 Kansas ________________ --- 3,130 222

353 355 353 193 197 204 395 399 403

48 49 50 64 64 63

129 129 130 216 212 217

351 716 679 200 389 373 394 778 732

50 99 90 58 108 100

129 252 230 217 408 373

631 359 727

83 95

210 355

723 525 266 126 390 300 160 85

143 635 612 316 20 67 65 32 22 107 60 40

232 179 92 46 75 394 293 149

South Atlantic Delaware _________________ 671 57 Maryland _________________ 6,289 443

36 District of Columbia -------- 636 Virginia ___________________ 8,388 511 West Virginia ______________ 1,852 101

9,014 528 North Carolina ------------4,665 298 South Carolina ------------Georgia __________________ 9,426 631

Florida ___________________ 19,449 1,049

56 55 56 434 426 416

29 29 38 516 521 534 108 113 119 533 543 572 299 300 311 625 627 636

1,033 1,041 1,059

58 118 105 412 866 784 57 124 89

555 1,156 1,073 116 226 228 582 1,154 1,062 310 604 559 639 1,276 1,165

1,040 2,065 1,984

106 765

75 1,083

242 1,143

581 1,170 2,201

19 115 84 43 614 549 269 111

73 50 25 12 162 1,121 775 381 46 257 200 96

213 1,264 947 473 96 636 470 222

156 1,238 861 401 735 2,995 2,722 1,526

East South Central Kentucky _________________ 4,313 267 Tennessee _______________ 6,434 372 Alabama _______________ --- 5,231 351 Mississippi ________________ 3,100 203

269 273 284 376 387 407 353 356 364 207 214 220

286 552 525 414 619 786 351 650 609 203 371 364

540 830 632 386

88 590 433 209 133 913 668 327

690 512 256 106 64 416 303 147

West South Central Arkansas _________________ 3,005 182 Louisiana _________________ 5,193 380 Oklahoma ________________ 4,020 255 Texas ____________________ 25,592 1,910

187 195 198 377 373 375 265 274 279

1,812 1,762 1,768

163 343 344 365 703 642 267 513 492

1,794 3,532 3,183

362 603 460

3,000

72 432 336 170 86 633 445 208 85 533 386 190

3,191 2,189 1,022 428

liIountaln Montana __________________ 1,071 72 Idaho ____________________ 1,600 114 Wyoming _________________ 658 50 Colorado _________________ 4,871 309 New Mexico ______________ 2,338 181 Arizona ___________________ 5,713 395 Utah _____________________ 2,749 248 Nevada __________________ 2,145 136

73 74 73 115 116 116

49 49 49 303 305 314 182 180 169 386 379 376 238 234 239 125 126 130

69 140 137 105 201 202 49 98 91

332 702 645 156 304 275 365 694 616 228 367 312 138 289 271

125 188

78 594 258 614 276 284

24 135 101 49 195 146 71 29

73 46 19 8 89 624 446 208

285 208 99 44 146 766 647 327

274 196 95 42 312 207 93 34

'aclfle Washington _______________ 7,960 518 287

ore~on ______ ------------- 4,367 47,953 3,791

Cali ornia -----------------Alaska ___________________ 866 83 Hawaii ___________________ 1,815 135

518 525 524 289 290 289

3,513 3,356 3,294 76 71 64

125 119 113

524 1,077 1,023 286 584 550

3,368 6,940 6,012 69 156 128

129 279 250

968 512

5,477 94

210

1,039 749 349 146 555 434 206 84

809 5,559 3,892 1,921 4 72 36 13

194 146 76 40

37


[Numbers In thousands. Resident populat",n. S


All ages

FEMALES

f the P- Sereries A, B, C

o to 4 years

opulaies A , and D refle

5 to 9 years

tion, (Preferred ct different I

10 to 14 years

by Age S

nterstate mig

15 to 19 years

and eries)

ration assum

20 to 24 years

Sex, fo-con. ptions. See te

July I, 2020

25 to 34 years

r Reg

xt for explanation

35 to 44 years

ions,

J

45 to 54 years

Divisio

55 to 64 years

65 to 74 years

ns, and Stat

75 to 84 years

es:

85 years and over

United Siaies' ---- _____ _ 166,045 10,693 10,488 10,413 ~

10,502 10,678 21,849 20,060 19,896 '21,848 16,349 8,606 4,662

REGION AND DIVISION


Midwest __________________ _ 35,162 East North CentraL _______ _ 24,402 West North Central -------- 10,761

South ____________________ _ 60,208 South Atlantic ____________ _ 31,153 East South Central -------- 9,854 West South CentraL ______ _ 19,201

West _____________________ _ 42,184 Mountain ________________ _ 10,643 Pacific ___________________ _ 31,541

1,681 420

1,261

2,245 1,572

673

3,689 1,780

581 1,328

3,079 734

2,345

1,674 421

1,253

2,258 1,577

681

3,640 1,768

587 1,285

2,917 717

2,200

1,684 422

1,262

2,249 1,565

684

3,645 1,779

598 1,267

2,835 713

2,122

1,732 443

1,290

2,262 1,572

690

3,713 1,820

620 1,273

2,795 714

2,081

1,793 469

1,323

2,283 1,595

688

3,753 1,853

619 1,281

2,849 708

2,141

3,796 1,002 2,793

4,605 3,227 1,378

7,576 3,816 1,209 2,551

5,873 1,395 4.477

3,438 890

2,549

4,260 2,962 1,297

7,101 3,580 1,165 2,355

5,261 1,279 3,982

3,538 915

2,622

4,204 2,953 1,252

7,307 3,795 1,241 2,271

4,847 1,218 3,629

3,874 1,025 2,849

4,565 3,152 1,412

8,294 4,446 1,377 2,471

5,115 1,353 3,763

2,859 760

2,099

3,361 2,293 1,067

6,370 3,556 1,038 1,775

3,759 1,026 2,733

1,541 404

1,136

1,814 1,230

584

3,357 1,924

544 890

1,894 515

1,378

882 254 628

1,057 703 354

1,762 1,034

273 454

960 270 690

STATE

New England Maine ___________________ _ 713 New Hampshire __________ _ 710 Vermont _______ ---- - - - ---- 335 Massachusetts ___________ _ 3,262 Rhode Island ____________ _ 556 Connectlcut ______________ _ 1,849

38 40 20

180 31

111

40 41 20

178 31

111

42 41 20

178 31

111

42 42 22

193 34

109

42 44 22

215 36

110

91 95 46

458 74

239

87 87 41

390 62

223

88 90 40

400 67

230

102 103 43

444 78

255

78 74 34

331 59

183

40 35 18

178 31

103

24 20 10

116 19 65

Middle Atlantic New York ________________ _ 9,911 New Jersey ______________ _ 4,651 Pennsylvania _____________ _ 6,504

617 282 382

597 287 370

597 289 376

618 283 389

650 278 396

1,376 604 814

1,216 574 759

1,215 587 820

1,290 639 920

940 458 700

515 246 376

281 125 223

East North Central Ohio ____________________ _ 6,085 Indiana __________________ _ 3,312

6,735 5,302 W~~~~~~=::::::=::::::::: 2,967

367 204 458 366 177

374 208 449 364 182

375 208 439 359 184

379 215 433 358 188

386 218 447 357 187

786 431 930 702 378

735 401 835 631 360

754 410 802 628 359

812 431 846 662 402

600 317 597 478 301

326 173 322 251 159

190 96

180 147 90

West Minnesota North _______________ Central _ 2,751 Iowa ____________________ _ 1,547 Missouri _________________ _ 3,137 North Dakota - ___________ _ 360 South Dakota ____________ _ 435 Nebraska ________________ _ 955 Kansas ___ ---- ----- ------- 1,577

170 91

189 22 31 62

108

172 94

192 23 31 63

105

173 96

194 24 31 63

103

172 99

195 24 31 63

106

173 98

194 25 28 63

106

360 196 392

48 54

126 203

342 189 372

44 50

115 186

322 183 374

41 48

106 179

366 199 432 44 54

118 200

269 156 325

33 41 93

151

145 89

177 17 22 51 82

87 58

100 14 15 32 49

South Atlantic Delaware ________________ _ 448 Maryland ________________ _ 3,250 District of Columbia _______ _ 328 Virginia __________________ _ 4,246 West Vlrginia _____________ _ 956 North Carolina ___________ _ 4,632 South Carolina ___________ _ 2,411

4,852 10,030 ~I~~~~a_==================

28 216

17 249

49 257 145 307 511

27 211

14 251

52 260 145 304 503

27 208

14 253

55 264 146 305 506

27 203

19 259

58 279 151 310 514

29 206

27 269

57 286 152 316 512

60 446 60

570 114 579 303 648

1,037

54 408 45

534 116 536 283 598

1,007

55 402 40

548 125 583 300 608

1,134

60 430 40

579 135 660 335 652

1,555

44 296

29 411 106 511 255 467

1,438

24 150

15 212 56

271 128 231 836

13 75 9

111 33

145 66

106 477

East South Central Kentucky ________________ _ 2,205 Tennessee : _____________ _ 3,329

2,707 AI!lb~n:a-~---------------MIsslsslpp,---------------- 1,813

130 181 171 99

131 183 172 101

133 188 173 104

138 198 177 107

140 205 174 101

275 416 330 189

263 402 313 187

276 431 331 204

308 481 366 223

232 361 278 167

120 189 148 87

61 95 73 45

West South Central 1,549 Arkansas ---------------- 2,672 Louisiana -----------------Oklahoma _______________ _ 2,Q42

Texas ___________________ _ 12,938

88 185 124 930

91 183 129 881

95 182 134 857

96 183 136 858

90 181 131 879

173 357 256

1,764

175 330 247

1,604

187 316 242

1,527

226 336 274

1,636

181 240 204

1,150

96 119 107 567

50 60 58

287

Mountain Montana _________________ _ 540 Idaho ___________________ _ 801

329 "ttcil~~dg ==::::=:=:::::::: 2,450 New Mexico _____________ _ 1,180 Arizona __________________ _ 2,892 Utah ____________________ _ 1,371 Nevada _________________ _ 1,081

35 56 24

150 88

193 121

67

36 56 24

148 89

188 116

61

36 57 24

148 88

185 114

61

36 56 24

153 83

183 116 63

34 51 24

162 77

180 112 68

70 100

49 350 152 347 183 144

69 101 45

323 138 310 157 137

63 94 39

299 130 310 139 143

69 98 37

316 145 391 138 158

51 74 23

229 108 335

99 107

26 38 10

112 53

176 50 49

16 19 6

59 29 92 27 22

Pacific Washington ______________ _ 3,986 Oregon __________________ _ 2,202

24,028 California -----------------424 901 ~~!~~ :====::==:====:====

'Totals may be different from those In

252 140

1,846 41 66

the national

252 140

1,709 37 61

population

255 141

1,633 35 58

projections repo

254 141

1,600 31 55

rt (Current

256 141

1,650 33 61

Population

536 293

3,439 76

134

Reports, P25-1

511 277

3,009 62

123

1 04) due to

484 258

2,737 46

104

rounding.

524 282

2,823 36 98

383 224

2,032 18 76

183 110

1,037 7

41

94 55

513 3

25

38

Table 5. Comparison of Projections of the Population, for Regions, Divisions, and States: 2000, 2010, and 2020

[Numbers in thousands. Resident population. Series A, B, C, and D reflect different interstate migration assumptions. See text for explanations J 2020 2010 2000

Series A Region, division, and State Series A Series A (preferred (preferred (preferred Series D series) Series B Series C

series) Series B Series C Series D series) Series B Series C Series D

United States' ____________________ 276,241 276,241 300,431 300,431 325,942 325,942

276,241 276,241 300,431 300,431 325,942 325,942

REGION AND DIVISIOIII

Northeast _____________ -------------- 51,885 53,210 New England _______________________ 13,217 14,025 Middle Atlantic ______________________ 38,668 39,185

54,225 58,183 55,352 57,484 52,331 54,582 53,301 55,102

14,212 14,752 14,527 15,661 13,508 13,996 13,754 14,785

40,012 43,431 40,824 41,823 38,823 40,586 39,547 40,317

56,484 61,869 14,964 15,482 41,520 46,387

Midwest _________________ ---- -------- 63,837 62,609 East North Central ___________________ 44,806 44,013 West North Central __________________ 19,031 18,596

South _______________________________ 97,241 96,576 South Aflantic _______________________ 50,004 50,014 East South Central __________________ 16,762 16,357 West South Central __________________ 30,476 30,204

West ________________________________ 63,277 63,846 Mountain ___________________________ 16,889 16,339

47,507 Pacific _____ - ____ - -- - - -- - -- -- - - - - - - -- 46,388

65,982 67,715 68,984 68,013 63,664 64,076 66,332 64,954

46,242 47,804 47,799 47,473 44,769 45,221 46,258 45,506

19,740 19,911 21,185 20,540 18,895 18,855 20,074 19,448

106,852 101,446 117,498 115,598 96,930 94,503 107,385 106,118

56,735 50,976 60,610 60,665 50,517 48,004 55,321 55,421

17,697 16,963 19,078 18,604 16,632 16,251 17,941 17,411

32,419 33,506 37,809 36,328 29,781 30,247 34,124 33,286

73,372 73,087 84,109 84,847 63,315 63,080 73,412 74,256

18,332 17,360 21,147 20,914 16,390 15,719 19,094 18,626

55,040 55,727 62,961 63,933 46,925 47,361 54,318 55,631

68,744 71,315 48,016 50,327 20,728 20,987

116,833 108,479 62,897 53,966 18,807 17,583 35,130 36,930

83,881 84,279 20,326 19,085 63,554 65,193

STATE

New England Maine ____________________ ---------- 1,240 1,323 New Hampshire _____________________ 1,165 1,274 Vermont __________________ ---------- 592 623 Massachusetts ______________________ 5,950 6,254 Rhode Island _______________________ 998 1,060

3,491 Connecticut _______ - - - - - -- - - - - - - - - - -- 3,271

1,375 1,300 1,400 1,513 1,288 1,270 1,309 1,413

1,350 1,207 1,399 1,573 1,204 1,163 1,280 1,429

644 620 658 728 605 596 623 675

6,249 6,785 6,363 6,820 6,032 6,401 6,097 6,495

1,072 1,126 1,090 1,181 1,022 1,065 1,034 1,115

3,522 3,713 3,617 3,846 3,356 3,501 3,412 3,658

1,462 1,319 1,474 1,244

683 638 6,518 7,152 1,129 1,189 3,697 3,939

Middle Atlanllc New York ___________________________ 18,237 18,504 New Jersey _________________________ 8,135 8,267 Pennsylvania ________________________ 12,296 12,414

18,799 21,761 19,111 19,427 18,321 19,838 18,546 18,856

8,677 9,075 9,058 9,142 8,165 8,413 8,562 8,681

12,537 12,596 12,656 13,254 12,336 12,335 12,438 12,780

19,457 23,754 f 9,211 9,776 12,851 12,857

East North Central Ohio _______________________________ 11,453 11,238 Indiana _________________ ------------ 6,045 5,922

11,974 Illinois __________ - -- ------ - -- - - ------ 12,168 9,759 9,614 5,381 5,265 Wi;~~~~n-==========================

11,661 11,913 11,870 11,870 11,430 11,479 11,659 11,500

6,274 6,187 6,488 6,530 6,032 5,929 6,286 6,212

12,621 13,541 13,218 13,056 12,153 12,533 12,652 12,424

10,160 10,666 10,377 10,110 9,826 10,040 10,033 9,803

5,526 5,498 5,846 5,908 5,328 5,239 5,629 5,567

11,963 12,287 6,527 6,397

13,209 14,606 10,570 11,290

5,748 5,747

Wesl North Central Minnesota _______________ ----------- 4,824 4,733 Iowa _______________________________ 2,930 2,867 Missouri _________________ ----------- 5,437 5,313

643 633 North Dakota -----------------------South Dakota _______________________ 770 737

1,660 Nebraska _________ ------------- ----- 1,704 Kansas _______________________ -- ---- 2,722 2,654

5,096 5,068 5,426 5,342 4,814 4,756 5,127 5,020

2,868 3,032 3,038 3,066 2,885 2,912 2,981 2,946

5,788 5,638 6,123 5,737 5,459 5,406 5,760 5,489

626 698 719 668 622 663 676 642

786 805 863 843 750 749 815 781

1,734 1,773 1,885 1,849 1,681 1,680 1,793 1,742

2,842 2,897 3,130 3,036 2,684 2,689 2,922 2,827

5,395 5,393 2,892 3,143 6,142 5,865

643 733 833 868

1,803 1,866 3,020 3,119

South Atlantic Delaware ___________________________ 759 757 Maryland ___________________________ 5,322 5,334 District of Columbia __________________ 537 545 Virginia ________________________ ----- 7,048 7,060 West Virglnia ________________________ 1,840 1,811

7,617 7,588 North Carolina ----------------------South Carolina ______________________ 3,932 3,924

7,637 7,678 15,318 ~I~~~~a_ = = ==== === = = = == = = = == === = = == == 15,313

850 758 871 913 770 727 815 834

6,008 5,763 6,289 6,204 5,420 5,334 5,782 5,762

584 697 636 574 549 640 577 545

7,902 7,318 8,388 8,410 7,106 6,854 7,728 7,760

1,720 1,835 1,852 1,870 1,783 1,830 1,842 1,827

8,455 7,438 9,014 9,200 7,616 7,169 8,341 8,416

4,378 3,998 4,685 4,643 3,976 3,808 4,311 4,287

8,732 7,758 9,426 9,619 7,664 7,249 8,553 8,679

18,108 15,411 19,449 19,231 15,633 14,393 17,372 17,312

932 787 6,615 6,206

634 757 8,666 7,730 1,692 1,818 9,281 7,654 4,780 4,163 9,763 8,230

20,533 16,623

East South Central Kentucky ___________________________ 3,989 3,883 Tennessee _________________________ 5,538 5,399 Alabama ____________________________ 4,485 4,375 Mississippi __________________________ 2,750 2,700

4,046 4,064 4,313 4,252 3,927 3,913 4,160 4,050

5,980 5,392 6,434 6,334 5,513 5,222 6,007 5,857

4,818 4,580 5,231 5,026 4,471 4,357 4,856 4,677

2,853 2,926 3,100 2,992 2,722 2,760 2,918 2,828

4,185 4,184 6,438 5,520 5,184 4,795 2,999 3,085

West South Central 2,578 2,557 4,478 4,424 t~~?~~~~ =========================== Oklahoma __________________________ 3,382 3,366

Texas ____________________ ---------- 20,039 19,857

2,716 2,592 3,005 2,953 2,546 2,489 2,782 2,751

4,471 4,947 5,193 4,821 4,343 4,592 4,808 4,604

3,352 3,524 4,020 3,811 3,259 3,353 3,683 3,578

21,879 22,444 25,592 24,744 19,633 19,813 22,850 22,353

2,905 2,694 4,655 5,302 3,505 3,680

24,066 25,255

Mountain 894 Montana ________ - -- --- - - - - -- - - - - - - -- 920 Idaho ____________________ ---------- 1,290 1,200 Wyoming " __________________________ 522 512 Colorado _______________ ------------ 4,059 3,957 New Mexico ________________________ 1,823 1,780 Arizona ________ - - __ - -- - -- - - - -- - -- --- 4,437 4,320

2,148 2,079 Utah ___ Nevada -- _ - --- -- -----------__________ ~ -- --- ---_________________ 1,691 1,597

899 906 1,071 1,111 867 859 996 993

1,335 1,282 1,600 1,561 1,229 1,158 1,454 1,373

491 534 658 636 483 495 596 571

4,183 4,000 4,871 4,966 3,851 3,729 4,494 4,477

2,009 1,939 2,338 2,225 1,776 1,737 2,082 2,005

5,136 4,645 5,713 5,475 4,404 4,201 5,074 4,891

2,294 2,442 2,749 2,755 2,063 2,076 2,462 2,413

1,984 1,611 2,145 2,185 1,718 1,463 1,935 1,902

948 952 1,453 1,405

510 567 4,523 4,249 2,248 2,158 5,866 5,153 2,535 2,826 2,243 1,774

Pacific Washington _______________ ---------- 6,070 6,025

3,404 3,340 34,888 36,062 g~"~~~i-a-=========================== Alaska _____________________________ 699 732

Hawaii _____________________________ 1,327 1,348

'Totals may be differen! from those in the national population

6,898 6,005 7,960 8,095 6,054 5,539 7,025 7,087

3,753 3,360 4,367 4,307 3,396 3,151 3,876 3,812

42,075 44,076 47,953 48,655 35,490 36,689 41,085 42,255

754 769 866 1,013 658 666 781 880

1,561 1,517 1,815 1,863 1,326 1,316 1,551 1,597

projections report (Current Population Reports, P25·1104) due to rounding.

7,770 6,479 4,155 3,574

48,945 52,516 849 882

1,835 1,743 I:

I~

Table 6. Comparison of the Rate of population Change, for Regions, Divisions, and States,

by Series: 1990 to 2020 [Numbers in thousand. Resident population. Series A. B, C, a nd D reflect different interstate migration assumptions. See text for explanations 1

2010 to 2020 2000 to 2010 1990 to 2000

Series A Series A Region, division, and State Saries A (preferred (preferred Series C Series D (preferred Series D series) Series B Series D series) Series B Series C

series) Series B Series C 8.5 8.5 8.5 8.5

8.8 8.8 8.S 8.8 United Stales' --_________________ _ 10.8 10.8 10.8 10.8

REGION AND DIVISION

Northeast _______________ ------------ 2.1 New England ______________________ _ 0.1 Middle Atlantic _____________________ _ 2.8

Mldwest ____________________________ _ 6.8 East North CentraL. ________________ _ 6.4 West North Central _________________ _ 7.6

South ______________ ----------------- 13.4 South Atlantic - _____________________ _ 14.3 East South Central _________________ _ 10.2 West South Central _________________ _ 13.8

19.3 West ____ - -- ----------------- --------Mountain _____________ --- ----------- 23.0 Paclfic __________ - - - - - - - -- - - - - - - - - .. -- 18.0

4.7 6.2 4.1

4.7 4.6 5.1

12.6 14.4

7.5 12.7

20.4 19.0 20.9

2.9 2.3 3.2

6.5 6.4 6.B

13.1 15.5

9.3 11.2

19.4 19.3 19.4

7.4 6.0 7.8

7.2 7.4 6.6

10.2 9.8 6.8

12.9

18.9 14.5 20.5

2.7 4.1 2.3

3.9 3.2 5.5

10.4 10.6 7.0

12.0

16.0 13.1 17.1

3.6 5.4 2.9

3.7 3.4 4.6

9.9 10.8 6.4

10.2

16.3 14.0 17.1

3.6 5.2 3.1

3.6 3.3 4.5

10.2 12.3 6.4 8.9

15.9 11.9 17.3

6.6 5.4 7.0

5.7 5.7 5.6

7.3 6.2 4.4

10.8

15.9 10.4 17.7

3.8 5.6 3.2

4.0 3.3 5.5

9.4 9.6 6.3

10.8

14.6 10.8 15.9

4.3 5.9 3.7

4.7 4.3 5.6

8.9 9.5 6.9 9.1

14.3 12.3 14.9

4.2 5.3 3.8

4.2 3.8 5.0

9.3 10.9 6.3 8.4

14.3 10.9 15.5

6.3 4.9 6.8

5.3 5.3 5.4

6.9 5.9 3.7

10.2

15.3 9.9

17.0

STATE

New England Maine _____________________________ _ 0.9 5.2 New Hampshire ---------------------Vermont ___________________________ _ 5.1

Massachusetts _____________________ _ ·1.0 Rhode Island ______________________ _ ·0.6 Connecticut _________ --------- ------- .0.5

7.6 15.0 10.5 4.0 5.6 6.2

4.8 8.7 7.4 0.3 1.9 2.1

3.3 4.9 5.8 6.5 6.1 6.5

5.6 9.8 5.2 2.5 3.6 4.3

6.8 12.1 8.4 3.9 5.2 4.8

6.7 12.0

6.4 3.6 4.9 5.0

2.4 3.8 4.0 6.0 5.7 6.1

6.9 9.3 5.6 4.4 5.5 6.0

7.1 10.1

7.8 5.0 5.9 5.1

6.4 9.2 6.0 4.3 5.3 5.0

1.5 3.0 2.9 5.4 5.7 6.1

Middle AtlantiC New York __________________________ _ 1.3 New Jersey ________________________ _ 5.2

3.4 Pennsylvania ____ ---- - -- - -- -- - -- - - - --

2.8 6.9 4.4

1.8 5.6 3.7

10.2 8.8 3.7

1.7 5.3 1.2

1.9 5.0 2.9

2.6 6.3 1.6

9.7 7.9 2.1

3.0 5.8 1.7

3.0 5.3 3.7

3.5 6.2 2.5

9.2 7.7 2.1

.

East North Central Ohio _______ - ------------ ----------- 5.4 Indiana ____________________________ _ 8.8

6.2 Illinois _____ -- --- - - -- -- --- -- --------- 4.8 X\~~~~~n -:::::::::::::::::::::::::: 9.7

3.4 6.6 4.6 3.2 7.3

5.2 8.5 6.1 5.5 8.6

5.6 6.7 9.4 7.8 6.8

1.8 4.0 4.0 2.8 4.6

2.3 4.9 3.8 2.0 5.7

2.0 4.0 3.9 3.4 3.7

3.8 4.3 8.0 6.2 4.9

1.8 3.2 4.5 3.4 3.9

3.2 5.1 5.1 3.1 6.1

2.6 4.0 4.7 4.0 4.0

3.1 3.4 7.9 5.9 4.5

west North Central Minnesota __________ ---------------- 10.0 Iowa ______________________________ _ 5.4 Missouri ___________________________ _ 6.1 North Dakota ______________________ _ 0.8 South Dakota ______________________ _ 10.5

7.8 Nebraska ___ ------------------ ------ 9.7 Kansas ____ - - - - - - - - - - --- - -- -- - - - - ---

7.9 3.1 3.7

·0.8 5.6 5.0 7.0

9.7 3.8 6.5

·2.6 7.5 6.3 8.2

8.4 4.7 5.5 3.9 7.4 6.2 8.4

6.3 1.7 5.9 5.1 5.8 5.2 7.4

6.1 2.8 3.3 1.5 6.1 4.9 6.5

5.9 ·0.6 6.0 0.6 4.8 3.2 5.9

6.6 4.1 4.3 5.2 7.5 5.6 7.7

5.8 1.9 6.3 6.3 5.9 5.2 7.1

6.4 4.1 4.5 4.0 7.8 6.1 7.4

5.9 0.8 6.1 2.7 6.0 4.0 6.2

6.4 3.6 4.0 5.0 7.7 5.2 7.7

South Atlantic 13.5 Delaware Maryland ______ ---------------------__________________________ _ 11.0 District of Columbia _________________ _ ·11.2

13.6 ~~~~i~i;ginia:::::::::::::::::::::::: 2.5 North Carolina _____________________ _ 14.5 South Carolina _____________________ _ 12.3

17.4 tl~~~~a _: :::::::::::: ::: :::::::::::: 17.8

13.1 11.2 ·9.9 13.8 0.9

14.1 12.1 18.0 17.8

15.1 13.0 -9.2 14.5 ·0.7 14.5 13.5 17.8 20.2

8.6 11.2

5.8 10.5

2.0 7.8 8.8

11.4 10.7

7.4 8.6 7.5 9.7 0.1 9.5 9.6

12.0 13.5

10.1 8.0

-0.1 9.9 0.9

10.9 9.2

13.0 13.0

10.4 10.8

6.3 11.2 -3.5 11.0 10.1 13.9 15.8

4.3 8.0 9.0 6.8 0.3 3.8 5.0 7.0 7.1

6.9 8.8

10.3 8.6 0.5 8.1 8.7

10.2 12.0

9.5 7.7 5.4 8.4 2.4 9.3 B.3

10.8 11.1

9.7 10.1 8.6 9.7

-1.6 9.8 9.2

11.8 13.4

3.8 7.7 8.6 5.6

·1.0 2.9 4.1 6.1 7.9

East South Central Kentucky ______ ------------ --------- 8.1

13.2 Tennessee Alabama -------------------------___________________________ _ 10.7 6.7 Mississippi __ - - -- -- - - -- - --- - - -- - - - ---

5.2 10.4 8.0 4.7

6.4 12.7 10.4 5.6

6.0 6.7 7.6 7.1

4.3 8.5 8.3 6.1

4.3 8.5 6.9 4.7

3.0 8.5 7.8 4.8

3.9 3.3 5.1 6.0

3.7 7.1 7.7 6.2

5.0 8.1 7.5 5.8

3.4 7.7 7.6 5.1

2.9 2.4 4.7 5.4

west South Central 9.4

t~~fs~:~~ ::::::::::::::::::::::::::: 5.9 Oklahoma _________________________ _ 7.3 Texas ____________ ------- ----------- 17.5

8.6 4.7 6.8

16.4

8.1 2.8 3.4

15.1

5.7 8.6 6.4

16.1

7.9 7.4 8.9

14.0

7.6 4.1 6.3

12.6

6.7 3.0 2.9

11.4

4.1 7.7 5.1

13.3

8.0 8.0 9.1

12.0

7.3 4.7 6.5

10.7

6.9 4.1 4.5

10.0

3.9 7.2 4.4

12.5

Mountain 14.8 Montana Idaho ___ -- - - - - --- - - - -- - - - - - - - - ---_____________________________ _ 27.3 14.7 Wyoming -------------------------- 22.6 Colorado ----- --------------------- 19.8 New Mexico ------------------------ 20.5 Arizona ____ - - - - - -- - -- - -- - - -- -- - - ---- 24.0 Utah ___ -- -- -- -- -- --- - -- -- - ----- ---- 38.8 Nevada ------ ----------------------

11.7 18.5 12.6 19.5 17.0 17.3 20.0 31.1

8.2 21.3

6.1 16.3 16.7 19.6 19.1 41.0

7.2 14.2

8.9 12.6 14.1 14.1 19.9 20.1

8.3 12.8 14.3 10.7 14.2 14.4 14.6 14.5

11.0 14.4 11.6 13.2 12.7 13.2 16.0 19.1

3.8 8.6 1.8 8.6

13.1 16.6 11.2 15.5

5.5 10.8

7.8 7.2

11.7 10.6 17.6 10.1

7.6 10.0 10.4 8.4

12.3 12.6 11.7 10.9

11.9 13.7 11.4 10.9 10.9 11.9 14.2 14.9

5.5 B.9 3.9 8.1

11.9 14.2 10.5 13.0

5.1 9.6 6.2 6.2

11.3 10.9 15.7 10.1

Pacific 24.0 Washington ------------------------- 19.1 g~f;~~~ia::::::::::::::::::::::::::: 16.7

26.2 ~~!~ ::::::::::::::::::::::::::::: 19.1

'Totals may be different from those In the nation

23.1 16.9 20.7 32.1 21.0

al population

23.7 18.8 18.8 18.8 19.1

projections

13.1 10.2 22.8 20.3 18.1

report (Curre

15.7 13.9 17.8 11.8 16.9

nt Population

17.6 14.1 17.2 20.1 18.5

Reports, P25

13.9 10.5 18.6 14.5 17.7

-1104) due t

8.4 6.6

20.1 15.4 15.3

o rounding.

13.3 12.7 16.7 10.8 17.0

14.2 13.0 15.1 15.2 16.6

12.6 10.7 16.3 12.6 17.6

7.9 6.4

19.1 14.7 14.9

39

40

Table 7. State Population Projections Developed by Individual State Agencies: 1990 to 2020 [Numbers in thousands]

State Date of publication 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2020

Alabama _______________________________ November 1993 4,041 4,114 4,182 4,241 4,335 NA Alaska November 1991 554 637 717 796 868 NA

February 1993 NA 4,135 4,633 5,133 5,653 6,812 Arizona = = Arkansas = = = = = = = = = = ==== = === = = = = == = = = === ______________________________ May 1993 2,351 2,404 2,450 2,495 2,548 NA California ______________________________ May 1993 29,976 NA 36,444 Colorado ______________________________ NA 42,408 48,977

November 1993 3,294 3,685 3,912 4,108 4,307 4,717 Connecticut ____________________________ April 1991 3,287 3,394 3,451 3,480 3,495 3,627 Delaware ______________________________ January 1993 666 702 731 758 783 833 District of Columbiat ____________________ February 1988 628 631 634 NA NA NA Florida ________________________________ February 1993 12,938 14,275 15,574 16,806 17,969 20,158

May 1992 NA NA 7,703 NA 8,663 NA November 1988 1,137 1,225 1,285 1,351 1,436 NA ~:';iJI~ _ Idaho === == = = = ===== = === === = == == = = = == = _________________________________ NA NA NA NA NA NA Illinois _________________________________ October 1990 11,689 11,800 11,857 11,895 11,931 11,960 Indiana ________________________________ October 1993 NA 5,626 5,703 5,776 5,838 5,915 Iowa ___________________________ • ______ June 1992 2,779 2,823 2,858 2,894 2,935 NA

Kansast _______________________________ September 1992 2,478 2,527 2,563 2,605 2,646 2,724 June 1992 3,685 3,765 3,825 3,872 3,904 3,928

1992 4,220 4,296 4,388 4,488 4,589 NA r~~i~~~~ Maine ============================== _________________________________ April 1991 NA 1,251 1,252 1,259 NA NA

Maryland ______________________________ December 1992 4,781 5,056 5,326 5,547 5,745 6,060 Massachusetts _________________________ March 1992 6,Q16 6,128 6,239 NA NA NA Mlchigan _______________________________ NA NA NA NA NA NA Minnesota _____________________________

AUjUst 1993 4,375 4,528 4,649 4,757 4,861 5,055 Mississippi _____________________________ pril 1991 NA 2,657 2,711 2,781 2,860 3,019 Missourit ______________________________ Montana _______________________________ August 1993 NA 5,206 5,295 5,359 5,422 5,552 Nebraska ______________________________ NA NA NA NA NA NA

NA NA NA NA NA NA Nevada ________________________________ December 1993 1,202 1,501 1,770 NA NA NA New Hampshire ________________________ April 1993 1,109 1,124 1,175 1,233 1,282 NA

New Jerseyt ___________________________ New Mexico ___________________________ September 1993 7,730 7,812 8,093 8,345 8,527 8,941

November 1993 1,520 1,644 1,764 New VorL _____________________________ 1,880 1,997 2,234 April 1991 18,178 18,470 18,706 18,865 18,984 NA

\lorth Carolina 1993 6,632 7,Q42 7,382 7,709 8,020 8,639 January 1993 639 628 614 Jhio __________________________________ 598 583 NA 'Jorth Dakota _========================= January 1993 10,847 11,045 11,188 11,345 11,522 NA Jklahoma _____________________________

Jregon ________________________________ April 1993 3,146 3,299 3,426 3,532 3,620 3,718 July 1993 2,842 3,125 3,350 3,575 3,775 NA 'ennsylvanla ___ • _______________________ NA NA NA NA NA NA 'lhode Island ___________________________ September 1989 1,003 1,022 1,037 NA NA NA

,outh Carolina _________________________ October 1993 3,487 3,742 3,977 4,218 4,487 NA louth Dakota __________________________ November 1993 103 107 111 115 NA NA r ennessee ___ _____ ________ __ ___________ exast ________________________________ September 1992 4,893 NA 5,179 NA 5,428 NA

February 1992 16,987 18,278 19,514 20,729 21,957 Jtah __________________________________ 24,537 1992 1,723 1,879 1,992 2,172 2,408 2,774 lermontt ______________________________ June 1993 NA 585 605 622 634 NA lirginia ________________________________ May 1993 6,189 6,552 6,897 NA 7,451 8,006

February 1993 4,867 5,431 5,790 6,118 6,449 7,122 July 1992 1,794 1,790 1,787 1,788 1,793 1,804

June 1993 4,892 5,125 5,288 5,410 5,512 5,677 Vyoming ______________________________ ~~~~~~~~:~=========================== October 1993 454 472 478 NA NA NA

NA No projection is available for that data. Projections published before 1988 are not shown. tFigures shown are for the middle or preferred series. Alternative series are available from the State agency. Note: These projections were prepared by the individual State agencies shown in appendix B. Each State employs its own methodology and data; thus these individual State projections are

ot necessarily consistent with each other, a July 1 date, or with Census Bureau methods. For information on methodology and for more detailed results, contact the State agency shown in ppendix B.

A-1

Appendix A. 1990 Census Population

(,(,. \'

Table A-i. 1990 Census (Modified Race) by Sex, Race, and Hispanic Origin, for Regions, Divisions, and States l> Total population •

Region, division, and State White 1'1.) Black American Indian Asian Hispanic Origin 1 Total Female Total Female Total Female United States ________________ Total Female Total Female 248,709,873 127,470,525 Total 208,704,165 Female 106,561,348 30,483,281 16,062,950 REGION AND DIVISION 2,064,668 1,040,878 7,457,759 3,805,349 22,353,999 10,965,939 Northeast ______________________ New England __________________ 50,809,229 26,373,520 43,411,168 Middle Atlantic _________________ 13,206,943 22,484,547 5,904,530 6,826,958 12,269,447 3,140,779 6,345,994 131,560

Midwest ________________________ 37,602,286 19,546,562 667,385 66,903 1,361,971 31,141,721 344,942 16,138,553 34,050 561,291

59,668,632 5,237,145 17,140 3,754,307 East North Centra'-_____________ 30,697,009 2,795,837 236,061 1,909,214 118,882 52,789,404 42,008,942 27,077,151 97,510 568,255

5,750,459 49,763 1,125,910 286,844 West North Central _____________ 21,636,434 36,423,270 3,047,885 562,409

18,664,536 348,135 175,166 3,186,052 South __________________________ 17,659,690 4,846,670 780,634 1,622,370

9,060,575 16,366,134 2,578,283 396,807 8,392,615 156,140 1,726,511 78,322

South Atlantic __________________ 85,445,930 903,789 582,862 828,502 43,954,698 469,602 295,293

67,819,571 191,995 1,437,728 43,566,853 34,651,133 96,844 689,071

15,903,444 197,772 East South Central _____________ 22,437,866 8,421,247 101,514

33,789,245 577,933 266,763 17,273,356 290,247

15,176,284 8,962,984 1,144,982 139,431 West South CentraL ____________ 7,875,366 4,742,751 592,071

12,069,848 174,980 6,767,022 6,210,341 86,632 3,360,584

West ___________________________ 26,702,793 2,980,165 639,844 13,641,486 1,599,727 334,927

21,960,478 11,167,436 41,128 2,132,756 Mountain ______________________ 52,786,082 3,960,295 20,538 1,058,594 85,143

26,445,298 2,078,769 44,760 44,664,022 361,825 95,286

22,348,517 182,877 45,985 Pacific _________________________ 13,658,776 2,924,848 420,195

6,880,186 1,453,039 212,384 12,546,656 1,007,040 4,538,960

6,319,966 508,562 2,256,005 39,127,306 384,200 4,170,172

19,565,112 184,942 2,135,180 32,137,366 502,468 10,106,159

16,028,549 256,408 4,867,639 2,540,648 225,452 1,268,097 118,866

STATE 504,572 1,991,732 252,154 986,606 3,944,720 2,Q16,312 8,114,427 3,881,031 New England

Maine _________________________ 1,227,928 New Hampshire ________________ 630,072 1,210,001 621,413

Vermont _______________________ 1,109,252 5,194 565,700 2,056 1,090,365 6,022 556,848 3,070 Massachusetts _________________ 562,758 7,358 6,711

287,254 3,266 3,533 555,851 2,153 6,829

283,875 1,033 3,399 Rhode Island __________________ 6,016,425 1,973 9,376

3,127,697 842 4,853 5,529,996 1,703 11,333

2,878,206 821 5,483 COnnecticul ____________________ 1,003,464 327,440 3,231

521,949 169,311 1,726 937,018 12,959 3,661

468,674 6,606 1,826 3,287,116 43,317 146,030

1,694,276 21,671 73,574 Middle Atlantic 2,946,216 4,223 287,551

1,517,278 2,181 145,100 282,103 18,906

New York ______________________ 147,796 9,423 6,990 45,755 3,429 22,914 51,807 New Jersey ____________________ 17,990,455 25,773 9,364,795 213,116 14,149,900 108,122 7,334,108 Pennsylvania ___________________ 7,730,188 3,065,099 3,994,495 1,844,972 6,370,411 86,337 3,284,932 34,046

11,881,643 1,067,066 709,119 6,187,272 561,238 351,669

East North Central 10,621,410 15,805 2,213,932 5,519,513 8,010 1,138,560

1,104,960 276,866 Ohio __________________________ 569,627 140,315 15,366 739,858 7,707 368,771 139,905 Indiana ________________________ 10,847,115 70,425 5,620,850 232,262 9,574,526 115,039 4,945,513 Illinois _________________________ 5,544,159 1,159,796 2,855,923 618,231 5,058,717 20,864 2,600,017 10,353

11,430,602 434,307 91,929 5,878,255 229,955 48,753

9,406,601 13,050 139,695 4,810,306 6,490 69,862

9,295,297 1,707,405 38,085 4,782,567 908,355 19,461

7,833,066 24,175 98,789 4,007,514 11,887 48,563

4,891,769 1,298,366 292,421 W~~~n-===================== 2,498,639 691,910 147,707 West North Central 4,550,360 57,655 904,449

2,321,186 29,195 425,999 246,796 106,210

Minnesota _____________________ 129,832 53,948 40,396 201,598 20,397 99,794 54,217 4,375,099 27,424 Iowa __________________________ 2,229,863 93,197 4,149,437 44,853 2,117,013 Missouri _______________________ 2,776,755 96,169 1,431,927 46,532 2,694,907 50,920 1,391,204 25,670 North Dakota __________________ 5,117,073 48,417 78,573

2,652,751 24,143 40,868 4,505,362 7,716 53,664

2,326,861 3,890 26,038 South Dakota __________________ 638,800 549,742 25,715

320,564 294,414 12,690 605,675 20,211 32,645

303.966 9,930 15,860 Nebraska ______________________ 696,004 3,567 41,758

353,508 1,460 21,545 638,678 26,046 61,698

324,687 13,313 30,398 Kansas ________________________ 1,578,385 3,291 3,512

808,977 1,299 1,645 1,495,044 50,870 4,665

766.123 25,792 2,286 2,477,574 57,862 3,165

1,262,945 29,654 1,730 South Atlantic 2,277,031 12,852 5,252

1,162,761 6,573 2,628 144,741 12,627 72,100 6,627

Delaware ______________________ 23,380 36,969 11,676 17,815 32,422 16,408 Maryland ______________________ 666,168 93,670 343,202 44,406 541,497 277,640 4,781,468 113,453 District of COlumbia _____________ 2,462,830 59,777 3,430,341 2,072 1,750,883 1,042 Virginia ________________________ 606,900 1,196,632 9,146

323,932 632,587 4,743 191,321 13,209 15,824

97,639 6,560 7,474 6,187,358 402,472 141,286

3,153,360 219,276 72,800 4,842,659 1,551 125,106

2,452,460 799 61,787 1,793,477 1,167,843 11,556

931,918 609,155 6,218 1,727,113 15,698 32,713

896,675 7,580 15,920 South Carolina _________________ 6,628,637 56,398 161,158 ~~ ~~~\~a-================= 3,414,430 30,051 84,165

5,033,998 2,469 160,289 2,568,597 1,244 76,063

Georgia _______________________ 3,486,703 1,460,803 7,497 1,798,251 776,907 3,948

2,414,178 80,806 8,487 1,226,499 40,895 4,226

Florida ________________________ 6,478,216 1,041,466 53,032 3,333,787 555,223 28,031

4,636,145 8,333 76,727 2,354,392 4,028 33,340

12,937,926 1,751,561 22,726 6,676,156 933,342 12,501

East South Central 10,971,995 13,710 30,551 5,648,571 6,491 14,269

1,772,356 76,600 Kentucky ______________________ 926,433 39,562 37,132 108,923 18,193 47,699 156,443 Tennessee ____________________ 3,685,296 82,959 1,900,054 1,574,136 3,397,646 797,816 1,749,297 Alabama _______________________ 4,877,185 263,767 2,528,226 138,271 4,055,737 5,860 2,068,943 2,847 Mississippi _____________________ 4,040,587 779,205 18,023

2,104,473 417,651 9,639 2,980,636 10,139 21,984

1,532,824 5,002 10,347 2,573,216 1,021,452 32,104

1,342,613 551,652 16,530 West South Central 1,635,827 16,575 32,742

839,277 8,336 15,644 915,741 21,922

Arkansas ______________________ 492,153 11,661 8,554 24,629 4,353 11,932 13,094 Louisiana ______________________ 2,350,725 6,830 1,217,665 15,931 1,950,674 8,062 1,003,775 Oklahoma _____________________ 4,219,973 374,409 2,168,553 200,605 2,857,711 12,981 1,463,114 6,559 Texas _________________________ 3,145,585 1,302,040 12,661

1,614,784 695,333 6,726 2,617,491 18,703 19,876

1,344,587 9,253 9,404 16,986,510 235,712 41,519

8,620,464 120,914 20,853 Mountain 14,534,602 257,796 93,042

7,355,960 131,602 46,875 2,048,134 34,586

Montana _______________________ 1,061,917 17,681 72,345 86,162 35,463 41,143 331,429 Idaho _________________________ 799,065 167,124 4,339,900 403,311 2,158,583 744,218 375,623 1,006,749 2,424 505,790 978 978,682 48,121 491,990 24,282

453,566 3,519 4,302 226,577 1,419 2,428

437,152 14,940 12,175 218,353 7,369 5,914

New Mexico ___________________ 3,294,394 3,723 9,608 ~~~~g ====================== 1,663,097 1,686 5,012<' 3,065,646 9,792 52,927

1,848,494 4,911 24,244 Arizona ________________________ 1,515,069 135,995 2,921

769,827 66,453 1,617 1,330,645 31,103 25,752

675,248 15,617 12,777 Utah __________________________ 3,665,228 31,651 61,650

1,854,553 15,075 32,533 3,277,494 137,625 424,301

1,659,560 71,237 211,013 Nevada _______________________ 1,722,850 114,944 15,148

867,080 55,159 8,267 1,651,359 214,430 579,227

631,819 109,532 292,566 1,201,833 12,082 58,360

Pacific 589,951 4,977 30,302 1,061,460 25,385 688,335

518,871 12,981 340,689 79,862 34,024 39,195 17,303 21,072 84,597 10,479 41,305 39,439 4,866,692 21,406 2,452,966 124,418 4,411,407 58,100 2,223,890 2,842,321 152,572 1,445,254 70,990 2,664,543 87,259 1,366,227 43,684 gi~~~o=~==================== Alaska ________________________ 29,760,021 14,862,_ 47,017 215,454

24,241,423 22,571 114,402 12,065,904 40,522 214,570 20,248 100,059

Hawaii ________________________ 550,043 2,290,279 70,239 260,175 1,153,277 36,208

420,745 285,069 112,708 1,106,229 196,459 142,731 50,483

22,833 2,943,250 544,311 10,277 1,500,494

379,248 86,252 7,687,950 176,069 42,901 3,682,367

27,947 20,213 10,982 10,538 5,470 17,803 2,590 8,245 695,564 354,670 , Persons of Hispanic Origin may be of any race< 81,396 39,877

Source: U$< Bureau of the Census, 1990 CPH-L·74, "Age, Sex, Race, and Hispanic Origin Information from the 1990 Census: A comparison of Census Results where Age and Race have been Modified: 1991<

• .. ..

Appendix B. State Agencies Preparing Population Projections

ALABAMA CONNECTICUT

Center for Business and Economic Research Office of Policy and Management The University of Alabama Policy Development & Planning Division Box 870221 80 Washington Street Tuscaloosa, Alabama 35487-0221 Hartford, CT 06106-4459 (205-348-2953) FAX: 205-348-2951 (203-566-8285) FAX: 203-566-1589

ALASKA DELAWARE

Research and Analysis Section Delaware Development Office Alaska Department of Labor 99 Kings Highway P. O. Box 25501

P. O. Box 1401 Juneau, Alaska 99802-5501 Dover, Delaware 19903 (907-465-6029) FAX: 907-465-4506 (302-739-4271) FAX: 302-739-5749

ARIZONA DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA

Arizona Dept. of Economic Security Population Statistics Unit Data Services Division

P. O. Box 6123-045Z D.C. Office of Planning

Phoenix, Arizona 85005-6123 415 Twelfth Street, NW, Room 570

(602-542-5984) FAX: 602-542-6474 Washington, District of Columbia 20004 (202-727-6535) FAX: 202-727-6964

ARKANSAS FLORIDA

Research and Public Services University of Arkansas at Little Rock Bur. of Economic & Bus. Research Ottenheimer Library Room 509A 221 Matherly Hall 2801 South University Avenue University of Florida Little Rock, Arkansas 72204-1099 Gainesville, Florida 32611-2017 (501-569-8573) FAX: 501-569-8538 (904-392-0171) FAX: 904-392-4739

CALIFORNIA GEORGIA

Demographic Research Unit Governor's Office of Planning & Budget California Department of Finance 270 Washington Street, SW, Room 608 915 L Street, 8th Floor Atlanta, Georgia 30334-8501 Sacramento, California 95814-5790 (404-656-0911) FAX: 404-656-3828 (916-323-4080) FAX: 916-327-0222

COLORADO HAWAII

Department of Local Affairs Dept. of Business, Economic Colorado Div. of Local Government Development & Tourism 1313 Sherman Street, Room 521 P. O. Box 2359 Denver, Colorado 80203 Honolulu, Hawaii 96804 (303-866-2156) FAX: 303-866-2803 (808-586-2481) FAX: 808-586-2452

B-1

B-2

IDAHO MAINE

Boise State University Statistical Services Unit Department of Economics Office of Data, Research, and College of Business Vital Statistics 1910 University Drive Maine Dept. of Human Services Boise, Idaho 83725 State House Station 11 (208-385-1158) FAX 208-385-1857 35 Anthony Avenue

Augusta, Maine 04333-0011 ILLINOIS (207-624-5445) FAX: 207-624-5470

1!linois State Data Center Cooperative Illinois Bureau of the Budget MARYLAND William Stratton Building, Room 605 Springfield, IL 62706 Department of State Planning (217-782-1381) FAX: 217-524-4876 Office of State Planning Data

301 W. Preston Street INDIANA Baltimore, MD 21201-2365

(410-225-4450) FAX: 41 0-225-4480 Population Studies Division Indiana Business Research Center Indiana University School of Business MASSACHUSETTS 801 W. Michigan Street, Room 4003 Indianapolis, Indiana 46202-5151 Massachusetts Inst. for Social and (812-855-5507) FAX: 317-274-3312 Economic Research (MISER)

128 Thompson Hall

IOWA University of Massachusetts Amherst, Massachusetts 01003

State Data Center of Iowa (413-545-6660) FAX: 413-545-3686 State Library East 12th and Grand Des Moines, Iowa 50319 MICHIGAN (515-281-4350) FAX: 515-281-3384

Michigan Dept. of Management

KANSAS and Budget Lewis Cass Building, First Floor

Division of the Budget Post Office Box 30026 Statehouse, Room 152-E Lansing, Michigan 48909 Topeka, Kansas 66612 (517-373-7910) FAX: 517-335-2355 (913-296-2436) FAX: 913-296-0231

MINNESOTA KENTUCKY

Population Studies Program Minnesota State Planning Agency Center for Urban and Economic Research 300 Centennial Office Bldg. 3rd Floor University of Louisville 658 Cedar Street 426 West Bloom Street St. Paul, Minnesota 55155 Louisville, Kentucky 40292 (612-296-3539) FAX: 612-296-3698 (502-588-6626) FAX: 502-588-7386

MISSISSIPPI LOUISIANA

Louisiana State Planning Office Center for Policy Research and Planning Division of Administration Mississippi Inst. of Higher Learning P.O. Box 94095 3825 Ridgewood Road, # 427 Baton Rouge, Louisiana 70804 Jackson, Mississippi 39211-6453 (504-342-7410) FAX: 504-342-7220 (601-982-6576) FAX: 601·982-6610

MISSOURI NEW YORK

Office of Administration NY State Dept. of Economic Div. of Budget and Planning Development P.O. Box 809, Room 124 Capitol

One Commerce Plaza, Room 905 Jefferson City, Missouri 65102 Albany, New York 12245 (314-751-9325) FAX: 314-751-9347 (518-474-1141) FAX: 518-473-9748

MONTANA NORTH CAROLINA

Census and Economic Information Center Montana Department of Commerce 1424 9th Avenue Office of State Planning Helena, Montana 59620 Office of the Governor (406-444-2896) FAX: 406-444-1518 116 West Jones Street, Room 5062G

Raleigh, North Carolina 27603-8003 (919-733-0769) FAX: 919-715-3562

NEBRASKA

Center for Public Affairs Research NORTH DAKOTA Peter Kiewit Conference Center

University of Nebraska at Omaha Omaha, Nebraska 68182 ND State Census Data Center (402-595-2311) FAX: 402-595-2366 ND State Univ. of Agriculture

and Applied Science

NEVADA P. O. Box 5636 Fargo, North Dakota 58105

Bur. of Business and Economic Research (701-237-8621) FAX: 701-237-8520

College of Business Admin. University of Nevada-Reno, Room BB415 Reno, Nevada 89557-0016 OHIO (702-784-6877) FAX: 702-784-4337

Ohio Data Users Center NEW HAMPSHIRE Department of Development

P. O. Box 1001 Office of State Planning Columbus, Ohio 43266-0101 2 112 Beacon Street (614 -466-2115) FAX: 614-644-5167 Concord, New Hampshire 03301 (603-271-2155) FAX: 603-271-1728

OKLAHOMA NEW JERSEY

Research and Planning Division Division of Labor Market Oklahoma Dept. of Commerce & Demographic Research

P. O. Box 26980 NJ Department of Labor

Oklahoma City, Oklahoma 73126-0980 CN 388, Room 200A (405-841-5184) FAX: 405-841-5199 Trenton, New Jersey 08625-0388 (609-292-0076) FAX: 609-984-6833

OREGON NEW MEXICO

Bur. of Business & Economic Research Center for Pop. Research and Census University of New Mexico Portland State University 1920 Lomas, N.E. P. O. Box 751 Albuquerque, New Mexico 87131-6021 Portland, Oregon 97207-0751 (505-277-2216) FAX: 505·277-7066 (503-725-3922) FAX: 503-725-5199

If

(t ie'

((j

B-4

PENNSYL VANIA VERMONT

Pennsylvania State Data Center Office of Policy Research and Inst. of State and Regional Affairs Coordination Olmstead Building-Room E310

Pavilion Office Building Penn State-Harrisburg 777 W. Harrisburg Pike 109 State Street Middletown, Pennsylvania 17057-4898 Montepelier, VT 05602 (717-948-6178) FAX: 717-948-6306 (802-828-3326) FAX: 802-828-3339

RHODE ISLAND

RI Department of Administration ViRGINIA Office of Municipal Affairs One Capitol Hill, 3rd Floor Virginia Employment Commission Providence, Rhode Island 02908-5873 703 E. Main Street (401-277 -6493) FAX: 401-277-6006 Richmond, VA 23219

(804-786-8026) FAX: 804-371-0412 SOUTH CAROLINA

Office of Demographic Statistics WASHINGTON

Div. of Research and Statistical Svcs. Rembert C. Dennis Building 1000 Assembly Street, Room 442 Forecasting Division Columbia, South Carolina 29201 Office of Financial Mgmt. (803-734-3782) FAX: 803-734-3619 Insurance Building

P.O. Box 43113

SOUTH DAKOTA Olympia, Washington 98504-3113 (206-586-2804) FAX: 206-664-8941

State Data Center University of South Dakota 414 East Clark Street WEST VIRGINIA Patterson Hall Vermillion, South Dakota 57069

Regional Research Institute (605-677-5287) FAX: 605-677-5427 West Virginia University 511 North High Street

TENNESSEE Morgantown, West Virginia 26506 (304-293-2896) FAX: 304-293-6699 Tennessee State Planning Office

309 John Sevier State Office Building 500 Charlotte Avenue Nashville, Tennessee 37243-0001 WISCONSIN (615-741-1676) FAX: 615-741-2883

Wisconsin Dept. of Administration TEXAS 101 East Wilson Street

P.O. Box 7868 Department of Rural Sociology Madison, Wisconsin 53707-7868 Texas A & M University System (608-266-1624) FAX: 608-267-6931 Special Services Building, Room 138 College Station, Texas 77843-2125 (409-845-5332) FAX: 409-845-8529 WYOMING

UTAH Division of Economic Analysis

Demographic and Economic Analysis State Dept. of Administration Office of State Planning and Budget and Information 116 State Capitol Building 327E Emerson Building Salt Lake City, Utah 84114 Cheyenne, Wyoming 82002-0060 [801-538-1 027) FAX: 801-538-1547 (307-777-7221) FAX: 307-777-6725

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Appendix e .. Race and Ethnic Definitions and Concepts

The racial classification used by the Census Bureau includes, for example, China, India, Japan, Korea, the generally adheres to the guidelines in Federal Statistical Philippine Islands, and Samoa. The term "Asian" or abbreDirective No. 15, issued by the Office of Management and viation "API" refers the race group Asian and Pacific Budget, which provides standards on race and Hispanic Islander. origin categories for statistical reporting to be used by all Federal agencies. The race and Hispanic origin categories are defined as follows: Black. A person having origins in any of the Black racial

groups of Africa. American Indian, Eskimo, and Aleut. A person having origins in any of the original peoples of North America, who maintains cultural identifications through tribal affiliation or Hispanic. A person of Mexican, Puerto Rican, Cuban, community recognition. The term "American Indian" or Central or South American or other Spanish culture or abbreviation "AIEA" refers to the race group American

origin, regardless of race. Indian, Eskimo, and Aleut.

Asian and Pacific Islander. A person having origins in any of the original peoples of the Far East, Southeast Asia, White. A person having origins in any of the original the Indian subcontinent, or the Pacific Islands. This area peoples of Europe, North Africa, or the Middle East.

·U.S. Government Printing Office: 1994 - 300-557100017