BUILDING BLOCKS BUILDING A BETTER NEW SOUTH WALES A PRACTICAL APPROACH TO HOUSING SUPPLY
A PRACTICAL APPROACH TO HOUSING SUPPLY
BUILDING BLOCKS
Sydney has been suffering from record low housing production since 2006. UDIA NSW started exploring the issue when there was a noticeable disparity between the dwelling supply forecasts in the Metropolitan Development program and the Australian Bureau of Statistics dwelling approval statistics. It became apparent from our initial investigations that there were major problems in housing delivery in New South Wales. Inadequate investment in infrastructure, fragmented land holdings and a lack of investment in transport projects all coalesced to create the most hostile environment to new housing supply in Australia. This combined with a planning system that didn’t really shift in recognition of the bottlenecks. Major pressures were exerted on supply and housing affordability.
UDIA NSW engaged leading consulting services firm cardno to undertake a fresh examination of supply in the Sydney housing market that focused on impediments to development relating to infrastructure, transport and land ownership. The result is project Building Blocks and the findings are summarised in this brochure. The findings point to a practical means of supplying the housing numbers that NSW has fallen so short of delivering in the past. Building Blocks is the first phase in a two-stage research project. The second, Building Up, will focus on the challenges and potential solutions regarding delivery of new homes in infill areas of Sydney.
Should you want any further information, please contact the Urban Development Institute of Australia NSW (UDIA NSW) head office at [email protected] or call (02) 9262 1214.
Stephen AlbincEO
WESTERN MOTORWAY
WES
TLIN
K M
7
M2 MOTORWAY
PARRAMATTA ROAD
SOUTH WESTERN MOTORWAY
PENNANT HILLS ROAD
PRINCES HIGHWAY
WESTERN MOTORWAY
PRINCES HIG
HWAY
WESTLINK M7 M2 MOTORWAY
PRIN
CES
HIGH
WAY
GREAT WESTERN HIGHWAY
PENRITH
LIVERPOOL
HORNSBY
CAMDEN
SUTHERLAND
BLACKTOWN
HAWKESBURY
BAULKHAM HILLS
WARRINGAH
CAMPBELLTOWN
FAIRFIELD
PITTWATER
RYDE
KU-RING-GAI
BANKSTOWN
PARRAMATTA
HOLROYD
AUBURN
RANDWICK
SYDNEY
CANTERBURYBOTANY BAY
HURSTVILLE
KOGARAH
WILLOUGHBY
North West Growth Centre
South West Growth Centre
SUppLy BOTTLENEcKS MITIGATION
Fragmentation a) Identify land parcels larger than 10 hectares in and around the existing North West Growth centre, South West Growth centre and the Appin and Wilton region.
Transport a) Identify boundaries within 1km of a major transport route, including arterial roads and rail corridors.
Utilities Infrastructure a) Identify boundaries within 1km of existing 66kV and 132kV electrical distribution conductors.b) Identify boundaries within 1km of existing trunk water infrastructure.
Distance from existing urban areas a) Identify boundaries within 5km of an existing urban fringe area.
SyDNEy NEEDS MORE HOMESNSW needs to be producing 40,000 homes per year, and Sydney 25,000 of these homes. The 2010/11 Metropolitan Development program released in April 2012 forecasts lot production for the period 2010/11 to 2014/15 to be 20,913 dwellings per annum. This represents an annual shortfall of over 4,000 homes of Sydney’s required 25,000 homes per year needed to keep pace with increasing demand for housing.
WHERE ARE THESE HOMES GOING TO BE BUILT?UDIA NSW believes that through the identification and prioritisation of commercially viable urban release and renewal projects, Sydney has a better chance of achieving its target of 25,000 homes per year.
Building Blocks examines existing developer-owned land in Greater Sydney’s greenfield areas and has set about identifying approved industry-led development. Approved industry-led development is:
a) Where there is commercial viability for industry to lead a government partnership rezoning; or
b) Where there is commercial viability to accelerate a growth precinct ahead of the Government’s planned release.
This was done to highlight land release areas that have the potential to be developed within a shorter time frame than those currently planned for in the Growth centres.
THE MAJOR pROBLEM WITH THE EXISTING DEVELOpMENT FRAMEWORKS IN SyDNEySydney is a complex maze of infrastructure and services. By using the Growth centres commission, the Government has identified areas for growth in Sydney and prioritised the North West Growth centre and the South West Growth centre for land rezoning and urban development. UDIA NSW believes that by altering the existing culture of development from planning-led solutions to a combination of planning-led and infrastructure-led solutions, the kick start for housing NSW needs may be more achievable.
MARKET-BASED IMpEDIMENTSThe key to bringing lots to the market is land holdings. Fragmented land holdings in Greater Sydney greatly inhibit the opportunity to develop as smaller land parcels are generally most likely to retain their current uses as homesteads or hobby farms.
HOW DO WE MITIGATE THE SUppLy BOTTLENEcKS?The most effective way to mitigate the supply bottlenecks is to increase the amount of land to market. In order to bring large land holdings to market, the following infrastructure is needed:
> Transport (road and rail)
> Water/Sewer
> Electricity
A NEW APPROACHUDIA NSW has taken a different approach to identifying land for release. By reverse engineering the process, UDIA NSW firstly ascertained the requirements and costs for infrastructure for land holdings that satisfied a development risk mitigation framework, and then determined the lot yield out of the relevant land holdings.
DEVELOpMENT RISK MITIGATION FRAMEWORK
NORTH WESTcritical infrastructure investment needed to accelerate land holdings in the North West:
INFRASTRUcTURE cOST
11km of road $165 million
4 Electrical Substations $80 million
3 Water Reservoirs $36 million
1 Water pump Station $4 million
5 Sewage pumping Stations $50 million
TOTAL $335 million
pOTENTIAL yIELD à 31,000 DWELLINGS
APPLYING THE DEVELOPMENT RISK MITIGATION FRAMEWORK TO THE SYDNEY GROWTH AREAS
RIVERSTONE
KELLYVILLE
BOX HILL
MARSDEN PARK
SCHOFIELDS
BERKSHIRE PARK
VINEYARD
OAKVILLE
LONDONDERRY
ROUSE HILL
ANNANGROVE
QUAKERS HILL
BAULKHAM HILLS
SHANES PARK
NELSON
SOUTH WINDSORRICHMOND
ST MARYS
WINDSOR DOWNS
GLENWOOD
COLEBEE
MULGRAVE
BELLA VISTA
THE PONDS
ROPES CROSSING
PLUMPTON
GLENDENNING MARAYONG
DOONSIDEKINGS LANGLEY
KINGS PARKOAKHURST
BIDWILL
WHALANBLACKTOWN
BLIGH PARK
TREGEAR
SHALVEY
BEAUMONT HILLS
MARAYLYA
DEAN PARK
PARKLEA
WERRINGTON
BLACKETT
WILLMOT
LALOR PARK
RICHMOND ROAD
WINDSOR ROAD
WESTLINK M7
GARFIELD ROADTHE N
ORTHER
N ROAD
SCHOFIELDS ROADBLACKTOW
N ROAD
GEORGE S
TREET
SEVEN HILLS ROAD
WESTLINK M7
BLACKTOWN LGA
BAULKHAM HILLS LGA
PENRITH LGA
HAWKESBURY LGA
Potential Yield16,000 Dwellings
Potential Yield7,000 Dwellings
Potential Yield6,000 Dwellings
Potential Yield2,000 Dwellings
Scale
Proposed Water ReservoirProposed Sewage Pump StationProposed Water Pump StationProposed Zone SubstationProposed Railway Stations
Rail Line & StationsRoadsLGA BoundariesElectricity Transmission Line >132kV Trunk Water > 375mm
Trunk Sewer > 375mmFlood Prone Land (DoP, 2006)North West Growth CentreUDIA NSW Investigation Area
Proposed South West Rail LinkFuture UpgradeAncillary Land Bene�ts
E x i s t i n g S e r v i c e s P r o p o s e d S e r v i c e s0 1 2 3 4
Kilometres
SOUTH WESTcritical infrastructure investment needed to accelerate land holdings in the South West:
INFRASTRUcTURE cOST
25 km of road $375 million
2 Electrical Substations $40 million
3 Water Reservoirs $36 million
4 Sewage pumping Stations $40 million
TOTAL $491 million
pOTENTIAL yIELD à 33,000 DWELLINGS
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ÀÁ
ÀÁ
ÀÁ
ÀÁ
ÀÁ
ÀÁ
ÀÁ
ÀÁ
POTENTIAL BENEFITTO 8,000 - 13,000 LOTS
LIVERPOOL LGA
CAMPBELLTOWN LGA
FAIRFIELD LGA
CAMDEN LGA
COBBITTY
BRINGELLY
LUDDENHAM KEMPS CREEK
LEPPINGTON
AUSTRAL
CECIL PARK
BADGERYS CREEK
MINTO
ROSSMORE
INGLEBURN
KENTLYN
ORAN PARK
CATHERINE FIELD
CASULA
PRESTONS
DENHAM COURT
CAMDEN PARKMENANGLE PARK
MOUNT ANNAN CAMPBELLTOWN
GLENFIELD
VARROVILLE
LIVERPOOL
CECIL HILLS
CAMDENGRASMERE
SPRING FARM
LEUMEAH
ELDERSLIE
RUSE
KIRKHAM
RABY
WEST HOXTON
HARRINGTON PARK
MINTO HEIGHTS
NARELLAN
AIRDS
ABBOTSBURY
MACQUARIE FIELDS
BRADBURY
LURNEA
BOSSLEY PARK
GREGORY HILLS
KEARNS
CAMDEN SOUTH
EDMONDSON PARK
BLAIRMOUNT
EAGLE VALE
WES
TLIN
KM
7
HUM
E HI
GHW
AY
ENANGLE R OAD
NARELLAN ROAD
CABRAMATTA ROA
CAMDEN BYPASSEL IZABETH DRIVE
CA
MPB
ELLT
OW
NRO
AD
SOUTH WESTE
RN FREEWAY
HUMEHIG
HW
AY
THENO
RTHERN
RO
AD
Proposed Water ReservoirProposed Sewage Pump StationProposed Zone SubstationProposed Railway StationsProposed South West Rail Link
Rail Line & StationsRoadsLGA BoundariesElectricity Transmission Line >132kV Trunk Water > 375mm
Trunk Sewer > 375mmFlood Prone Land (DoP, 2006 and Camden Council)South West Growth CentreUDIA NSW Investigation Area
Potential Future Transport Future UpgradeRoad Upgrade in ProgressAncillary Land Bene�ts
E x i s t i n g S e r v i c e s P r o p o s e d S e r v i c e s0 1 2 3 4 5
Kilometres
Scale
Potential Yield33,000 Dwellings
AppIN AND WILTONcritical infrastructure investment needed to accelerate land holdings in Appin and Wilton:
INFRASTRUcTURE cOST
2km of road widening $25 million
1 Water Reservoir $12 million
1 New Sewage pumping Station $5 million
Upgrade 1 Sewage pumping Station $15 million
1 Zone Substation Upgrade $20 million
Upgrade Water Supply pipeline $8 million
TOTAL $85 million
pOTENTIAL yIELD
IMMEDIATE à 13,000 DWELLINGS LONGER TERM yIELD à 18,000 DWELLINGS
HUME HIGHWAY
APPIN ROAD
PICTON ROAD MENANGLE ROAD
WILTON ROAD
REMEMBRANCE DRIVEWAY
MAC
ARTH
UR D
RIVE
APP
IN R
OA
D
HUM
E HI
GHWAY
Longer Term YieldTotal 18000 Dwellings
Immediate Yield5000 Dwellings
Immediate Yield8000 Dwellings
Future Upgrade of Privately Owned STP
Upgrade Existing SPS
APPIN
WILTON
CATARACT
RAZORBACK
GILEADMENANGLE
CAWDOR
WEDDERBURN
DOUGLAS PARK
PHEASANTS NEST
CAMDEN PARKMENANGLE PARK
AIRDS
Scale
Proposed Water ReservoirProposed Sewage Pump StationUpgrade Exiting Sewage Pump Station Upgrade Existing Sewage Treatment PlantProposed Zone Substation Upgrade
Rail Line & StationsRoadsLGA BoundariesElectricity Transmission Line >132kV Trunk Water > 375mm
Trunk Sewer > 375mmUDIA NSW Investigation Area
Proposed New Rail LinkFuture UpgradeRoad Upgrade in ProgressAncillary Land Bene�tsWater Main Upgrade
E x i s t i n g S e r v i c e s P r o p o s e d S e r v i c e s
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kilometres
CONCLUSIONBuilding Blocks concludes that an alternate approach to rezoning land for urban development can reduce supply bottlenecks and increase housing delivery in the short term. This is by identifying and prioritising large land holdings capable of delivering housing quickly to market. Making targeted infrastructure investment decisions that take into account those large land holdings increases the commercial viability of those land holdings for development. In the case of the North West Growth centre, Building Blocks finds planning priority should be given to areas largely within the centre boundaries, but under different sequencing to that currently in place. For the South West Growth centre, areas within the southern section of the centre, and adjacent to the centre’s boundaries, should be given priority for development. Areas in Appin and Wilton also contain large land holdings capable of being commercially viable for development, and that viability would be increased with targeted infrastructure investment.
Adopting this alternate approach can have a flow-on effect of increasing the commercial viability of surrounding landholdings in the longer term.
THE NEXT STAGE
Work is well under way on UDIA NSW’s second research phase, Building Up. It will focus on the challenges and potential solutions regarding delivery of new homes in infill areas of Sydney.
ABOUT UDIA NSWThe Urban Development Institute of Australia NSW (UDIA NSW) represents the interests of the urban development industry in NSW. UDIA NSW aims to secure the viability and sustainability of the urban development industry for the benefit of our members and therefore the communities that we create.
UDIA NSW represents the leading participants in the urban development industry with more than 500 member companies including developers, financiers, consultants, property managers, planners, construction, manufacturers, and state and local government bodies. A quarter of these members are based in regional NSW.
UDIA NSW members are represented by an elected council of 13 leading industry practitioners who are responsible for the strategic direction of the Institute. UDIA NSW also has an extensive committee and regional chapter structure that involves more than 300 of the development industry’s key stakeholders in policy formulation.
UDIA NSW Head OfficeSuite 2, Level 11, 66 King Street, Sydney NSW 2000 pO Box Q402, QVB post Office NSW 1230 p +61 2 9262 1214 F +61 2 9262 1218 E [email protected]
www.udia-nsw.com.auABN: 43 001 172 363
pOLIcy cONTAcTSStephen AlbincEOE [email protected] NaidovskiManager, policyE [email protected] DrewManager, policyE [email protected]
BUILDING BLOCKS
BUILDING A BETTER NEW SOUTHWALES