-
n.O. B
Electricity generation
tingthety g, a cs deas fcounerg
Jordans demand curve over a day closely matches the electricity
production of the proposed plant.
ddle Everabs of incy at prture in orde
technologies has focused on small and experimental plants
[46].Electricity harnessed via RE sources accounted only for less
than 2%of the total electricity generated in 2005 [7,8]. Thus, the
dominantrole of steam turbines and diesel fuel-red gas turbines is
leading toincreased dependence on imported oil [9]. According to
JordansEnergy Master Plan [10], the share of REmust be increased.
The aimis to reach a 3% share of Jordans primary energy consumption
by
potential to be the best systems for electricity production in
Jordan.This research carried out by the Jordanian Government in
cooperationwith Lahmeyer International focuses on the
potentialof CSPP technology in Jordan and shows the next steps for
thedevelopment of the rst CSPP in the country. For this
purpose,analysis of the direct solar irradiation over Jordan was
performed employing satellite-based solar irradiation data in order
toidentify the Jordanian sites which are best situated for
efcientelectricity generation using concentrated solar energy,
and
Contents lists availab
n
.e ls
Journal of Cleaner Production 17 (2009) 625635* Corresponding
author. Tel.: 962 777499430; fax: 962 32250431.Nearly all the
generated electricity in Jordan is produced frompower plants that
use fossil fuels. The most popular fuels are heavyfuel oil and
diesel fuels. However, this option is not very attractivesince
Jordans spending on petroleum is more than 50% of its
exportearnings [2]. Therefore, switching to renewable energy (RE)
sourcesfor electricity generation is of a vital importance since it
serves asan optimal solution for energy and environmental issues
[3].
The Jordanian experience with electricity generation using
RE
wind, and hydro-power systems in addition to fossil fuel
powerplants. Based on cost-to-benet ratios, results show that
solarenergy is considered to be the best system for electric
powergeneration. Akash et al. [12] used analytical hierarchy
process toperform a comparison between different electric power
productionoptions in Jordan. The systemswhich were considered in
additionto fossil fuel power plants were nuclear, solar, wind, and
hydro-power. Results show that solar electric power plants have
the1. Introduction
Unlike other countries of the Miproducing country. Its domestic
recolimited and dont satisfy the demandeconomic growth. Thus, the
countrcontinue to do so in the near fucombustion of imported fossil
fuelsenergy demand [1].E-mail address: [email protected] (E.S.
Hraysh
0959-6526/$ see front matter 2008 Elsevier
Ltd.doi:10.1016/j.jclepro.2008.11.002Africa (MENA) region. 2008
Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
ast, Jordan is a non-oille energy resources arereasing
population andesent relies and willalmost solely on ther to satisfy
its national
the year 2015. To achieve this goal an investment of 450million
US$will be placed by the Jordanian Government represented by
theMinistry of Energy and Mineral Resources (MEMR). With an
annualgrowth rate of 4%, an electricity consumption of about 18 TWh
isprojected for 2015.
Many Jordanian authors considered different RE options
forelectricity generation using various methodologies. Mamlook et
al.[11] utilized neuro-fuzzy programming to perform an evaluation
ofelectric power generation options for Jordan using nuclear,
solar,Jordan 50 MW CSPP is highly recommended not only in Jordan,
but also in many other countries, which havesimilar political and
economical conditions such as those countries located in the Middle
East and NorthFeasibility analysis Combination of these factors
creates a very favorable situation. Therefore, establishment of the
proposedA 50 MW concentrating solar power pla
Mohammed S. Al-Soud, Eyad S. Hrayshat*
Electrical Engineering Department, Faculty of Engineering, Tala
Technical University, P
a r t i c l e i n f o
Article history:Received 4 October 2007Received in revised
form11 October 2008Accepted 3 November 2008Available online 16
December 2008
Keywords:Concentrating solar power plant
a b s t r a c t
The potential of concentrasteps for development ofa 50 MW CSPP
for electricibeen performed. Moreoversolar irradiation data wasolar
irradiation data, it wsouthern locations of theseeking for
independent e
Journal of Clea
journal homepage: wwwat).
All rights reserved.t for Jordan
ox 66, Tala 66110, Jordan
solar power plant (CSPP) technology in Jordan is assessed and
the nextrst CSPP in the country are presented. For this purpose, a
prototype ofeneration in Jordan is proposed and analysis of its
economic feasibility hasalculation model using the concept design
of the proposed CSPP, and theveloped to estimate the energy yield
of the plant. Based on the analyzedound that Jordan has an
outstanding potential for CSPP, especially in thentry such as
Quweira. At the same time Jordans energy master plan isy supply and
for an increasing share of renewable energies. Furthermore,
le at ScienceDirect
er Production
evier .com/locate/ jc leproa prototype of a 50 MWCSPP is
proposed for electricity generation.
-
the parabolic trough type plants have entered into
commercialoperation so far.
Following is a summary of noteworthy solar thermal
electricprojects and related activities in the globe.
3.1. The solar electric generation system plants in
California
The only commercially operated plants can be found in
Cal-ifornia, USA. They use the technology of parabolic trough
collectors.Nine plants with a total capacity of 354 MWel have been
built there.
f Cleaner Production 17 (2009) 625635Analysis of energy yield
and economic feasibility of the plant havebeen also performed.
2. Potential of CSPP
Contrary to its sister technology photovoltaics (PV), CSPP
canoperate at peak efciency using only the direct solar
irradianceconcentrated by concentrating solar collectors, such as
parabolictroughs and central receivers, whereas PV technology can
use bothdirect and diffuse irradiances. Therefore, full
exploitation of theCSPP is limited to those geographical regions
where the annualdirect irradiation levels are high; the so-called
Sun-belt area whichincludes: the MENA region (where Jordan is
located), SouthernEurope, Mexico and southwest USA, parts of India
and Pakistan,South Africa, Australia, parts of Brazil and Chile
[13].
According to the International Energy Agency (IEA),
concen-trated solar thermal technology certainly has rich
potential. It isdestined to move from being a relatively modest
renewable energysource to a signicant contributor in 2040,
alongside currentmarket leaders like hydro and wind power. Todays
total installedcapacity of 355 MW will have exceeded 6400 MW by
2015, that is18 times todays capacity. By 2025, the annual
installation rate willbe 4600 MW/year. By 2025, total installed
capacity around theworld will have reached the impressive gure of
36,850 MW [14].
Equally impressive are the scenarios for electricity output
fromCSPP. Assuming that the rst installations will operate for 2500
hper year and that later installations have internal storage
systems toincrease this to 3500 h per year by 2025, and to 5000 h
per year by2040, solar thermal power will be growing at a pace that
alreadyachieves an annual output of more than 95 TWh in 2025 and
over16,000 TWh by 2040. That would represent as much as 5% of
globaldemand. More than 362 million tonnes of CO2 emissions would
beavoided each year in 2025 [15].
Against todays backdrop of increasingly serious
energy-securityand climate change challenges, these projections are
ample justi-cation for a yet more vigorous effort to give CSPP its
rightful placein the energy mix. The IEAs Solar PACES program is
well placed inthemainstream CSPP community to provide leadership in
pursuingthat goal.
For Jordans case taking in account that Jordan is a
non-oilproducing country the chances of CSPP success are high, due
tothe high values of direct solar irradiation and due to the
highcurrent oil prices. Based on these two facts, it is expected
that pricesof electricity produced by the CSPP will be competitive
with theelectricity, produced by means of traditional power plants
oper-ating on conventional fuel.
3. Overview of the international CSPP projects
Solar thermal power plants have a long standing history.Already
in 1890 a steam engine has been powered by a solarconcentrating
collector. In 1912, the rst solar thermal power plantwith parabolic
trough collectors became operative in Egypt. Thecapacity of this
facility was 500 kW. The technology of combininga steam engine or a
steam turbine with solar heat is plausible andsimple.
However, the availability of cheap fuel during the 20th century
ledto a decline of interest in solar drivenpowerplants. Only the
so-calledoil crisis in the 1970s, caused a renaissance of solar
technology. Inseveral countries, research in theeldof solar
energywasnancedbythe governments. Solar thermal power plants in
pilot-plant-scale(most of them around 1 MWel) have been built in
the USA, Spain,France, Italy and Russia. The leading countries in
research in this eldhave been the USA, Spain and Germany. So far,
three types of CSPP
M.S. Al-Soud, E.S. Hrayshat / Journal o626have reachedamature
status: (i) parabolic trough solar power plants;(ii) solar tower
plants; and (iii) dish-stirling systems. Whereas onlyTable 1 shows
some details of these plants [16], which are namedsolar electric
generating system (SEGS).
Fig. 1 shows the principal design of a parabolic trough
collectorand a scheme of the SEGS plant as they are running in
California.The SEGS plants employ a dual circuit system. In the
primary circuita heat transfer uid (HTF) with a high boiling
temperature of 400 Cis heated while it ows through the absorber
tube. In a heatexchanger the thermal energy is transferred to a
conventionalwatersteam power process. The collectors are oriented
in NorthSouth direction and follow the sun by one-axis tracking
system. Theplants are equipped with a fossil-red auxiliary boiler
whichenables the plants to produce electricity even at cloud
passages orafter sunset.
The Californian plants are privately nanced projects. The
plantowner sells the generated electricity to the utility, Southern
Cali-fornian Edison. The power purchase agreements (PPA) have a
runtime of 10 years. Hence the oldest plants are currently
operatingunder their 3rd PPA. The plants are running since 15 years
andmore(the oldest since 21 years) and show a very high
availability. Theyhave generated more than 12,000 GWh so far and
are still in a goodcondition.
3.2. AndaSol solar troughs
Spains AndaSol projects, being developed by Solar Millenniumand
ACS Cobra, are the rst large-scale parabolic trough powerplants in
Europe. Each AndaSol project represents a fully dis-patchable
capacity of 50 MWe employing a highly efcient steampower cycle
combined with 6 h of full-load thermal storage capa-bility. Each
plant is expected to generate approximately 170 GWhper year.
The rst two AndaSol plants, AndaSols 1 and 2, are located in
thehigh valley of Marquesado de Zenete, 60 km southeast of
Granadaat an elevation of approximately 1000 m (3300 ft). A 400-kV
high-voltage transmission line crosses the valley, and a new
substation isplanned for a nearby city. Construction of AndaSol 1
began inSeptember 2006 and is scheduled for completion in late
2008.AndaSol 2 construction began in February 2007 and will
becompleted approximately 24 months later.
Each plant consists of 624 collectors 150 m long,
whichconcentrate sunlight about 80 times onto absorber tubes
installedin the focal line. Absorber tubes consist of a stainless
steel tubewitha selective coating that is covered by a glass
envelope tube to
Table 1Data of the SEGS parabolic trough solar power plants in
California, USA.
Plant name SEGS I plant SEGS II VII plant SEGS VIII andIX
plants
Number of plants 1 6 2Location Dagget Dagget at Kramer Jct.
Harper lakeStart of operation 1985 19861989 1990 and 1991Power (MW)
14 30 80Collector width (m) 2.50 5 and 5.76 5.76Max. uid
temperature (C) 307 350 and 390 390
Annual average efciency (%) 9.3 10.712.4 13.8Investment cost
($/kWel) 4490 32003870 2890
-
nd s
M.S. Al-Soud, E.S. Hrayshat / Journal of Clereduce thermal
losses. The annular space between absorber tubeand glass tube is
evacuated. Through the absorber tubes circulatesa synthetic oil
heat transfer uid that is heated to a temperature ofnearly 400 C
[17].
The AndaSol plants will use new SKAL-ET collectors, which
weredeveloped and qualied by the Solar Millennium group and
itspartners for the AndaSol project. To extend operation
beyonddaylight hours, thermal energy storage will be integrated
into theplant design. Solar energy collected during the day will be
trans-ferred to a molten salt solution at a temperature of
approximately385 C.
3.3. The parabolic troughs in Priolo Gargallo and Specchia
(TheArchimede project)
The parabolic trough power plant of Priolo Gargallo
whoseconstruction has begun on 2004, and its rst production of
energyis forecasted for the end of 2009 is an Integrated Solar
CombinedCycle (ISCC). This means that it is coupled to a
conventional gas andsteam cogeneration plant, providing an expected
extra output of20760 MWel that it is already delivering. The
project is calledARCHIMEDE and it is a joint venture between the
main partner, theItalian public research institute ENEA, and the
Italian nationalenergy company ENEL. They are working together with
many otherminor private companies. The main parameters of the
projects areexhibited in Table 2 [18].
The main advantage of the hybrid solution is that the solar
plantwill make large use of the already existing non-solar
components,therefore focusing the investment costs on the solar
technologyelements. Moreover, the electricity generation can be
adjusted inorder to match peak-demands during the day. Other
newimprovements are:
Fig. 1. The parabolic trough collector with absorber tube (a) a
A cheaper and more robust mirror design A higher operating
temperature, which is now about 550 C,which requires, in turn, a
new design of the coating of the layerreceiving the concentrated
solar light
The use of an environmentally friendly, non-ammable
coolingliquid
Table 2Main parameters of Archimede project.
Plant location Priolo Gargallo (Syracause)
Orientation of collectors NorthSouthNumber of collectors
360Active surface of collectors (103 m2) 199.1Thermal energy
collected per year (GWh/year) 179.4Gross thermal energy generated
per year (GWh/year) 59.2Annual CO2 emissions avoided (ton/year)
39,458Annual primary energy savings (ton/year) 12,703 The
introduction of a large heat storage, which can fullycompensate for
solar discontinuities.
4. Solar irradiation over Jordan and site selection
forinstalling the proposed CSPP
Solar irradiation the energy source for solar power plants
hasdirect and diffuse components. Only the direct irradiation can
befocused and thus be utilized by the CSPP for electricity
generation.Measurement of solar radiation can be performed by
different tech-niques, and is basically distinguished
intoground-basedand satellite-based data. Satellite databases are
used to identify solar irradiationpotential for huge areas, e.g.
individual counties or states. The valuesfor solar irradiation are
calculated from the extraterrestrial constantreducedbyclouds, dust
or other atmospheric inuencesmeasured bymeteorological satellites.
Ground-based data are used for moredetailed site investigations.
Fundamental planning and detailedproject development including
energy yield forecast can only becarried out on the basis of this
data. The difference between satellite-based and ground-based data
for a short time frame of anhour can besignicant for two reasons:
(1) Satellite pictures represent a point oftime while ground
measuring instruments calculate averages; (2)Satellite pictures
show a land area, while ground installedmeasurements are xed to a
distinct place. Nevertheless, the differ-ence between
satellite-based and ground-based data for yearly sumsis about 3% of
the total solar radiation which is relatively small withrespect to
the short time frame and thus, the correlation betweenthe two data
sources over a longer time period is good [19].
A detailed analysis of the direct solar irradiation over Jordan
isa very important step to identify the sites which are best
situatedfor efcient electricity generation. Fig. 2 shows the solar
map ofJordan employing satellite-based solar irradiation data
[20].
chematic (b) of the parabolic trough SEGS plant in
California.
aner Production 17 (2009) 625635 627Colored areas show Jordanian
locations where an operation of CSPPis technically possible. An
operation of CSPP is economically viableabove an average annual
direct normal irradiation (DNI) of2000 kWh/m2 annually [21]. In
Jordan there is a high potential forCSPP since the average annual
DNI is above this value at most sites.The most potential sites are
those located in the southern part ofthe country.
Fig. 3 exhibits the theoretical economical potential for
electricitygeneration by CSPP in Jordan, calculated using the
satellite-basedsolar irradiation data obtained from Ref. [20]. It
amounts to about6400 TWh/year (The current electricity consumption
of Jordan is9 TWh/year [7]). Exclusion areas like urban and
industrial use,hydrograph, protected areas, land cover,
geomorphology andtopography are also considered in this gure.
Ground based measured DNI in Jordan is available only for
fewsites. Measurement stations have been established and
maintainedfrom June 1989 to July 1992 at Quweira, RasNaqab and
Kharana bythe Paul Scherrer Institute/Switzerland.
-
Fig. 2. Solar map of Jordan with average daily sum
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500 2600 2700DNI (kWh/m^2/year)
EL
EC
TR
IC
IT
Y P
OT
EN
TIA
L (T
Wh
/year)
Fig. 3. The theoretical economical potential for electricity
generation by CSPP inJordan.
M.S. Al-Soud, E.S. Hrayshat / Journal of Cl628 eaner Production
17 (2009) 625635Quweira and RasNaqab are located in the
southwestern part ofthe country, where direct irradiation is very
high, while Kharana issituated in the northern part of Jordan.
Ground-based data is onlyavailable for Quweira. Correlations
between Quweira and RasaNaqb located at a distance of 30 km from
each other showed nosignicant difference. Solar maps from satellite
data show, that anaverage DNI-value of 2400 kWh/m2/year could be
expected forKharana. All the three sites are excellent for CSPP.
However, furthersite analysis will be presented for Quweira only,
because ground-based data is not available for the other two
sites.
Year-to-year uctuations of DNI data could be reduced by
longertime series. Fig. 4 shows that after 810 years the deviation
fromthe typically meteorological year (TMY) is below 5%.
Fig. 5 shows the DNI grid in hour/month resolution for the
year1990 at Quweira, located in the southern part of Jordan at
latitudeof 29470, longitude of 3518, and elevation of 794 m above
sealevel. With the shown DNI values, more than 800 GWh of
solarirradiation can be collected by the solar eld every year. The
year1990 is displayed here, because the year 1991 is generally
known asa doubtfully representative year for the Middle East
region. Due to
of direct normal irradiation per square meter.
-
the eruption of Volcano Pinatubo on the Philippines (on July
15,1991) and the Gulf War (starting in January 1991), direct
irradiationis lower in 1991 and diffuse irradiation is higher at
the same time.
The design concept for the proposed CSPP is based on
thefollowing assumptions:
Solar irradiation according to measured data at Quweira No
fossil-red steam boiler No storage.
This rst concept excludes a supporting fossil-red boiler. In
fullproject development a back-up system should be included to
wet cooling, the overall efciency of the steam cycle
decreases.
Fig. 4. Deviation from the global radiation TMY value.
Table 3Comparison of cooling technologies.
Cooling technology Wet Dry
Steam cycle efciency 37% 35%Parasitic electricity consumption 5
MW 7MWEnergy yield 117 GWh 109 GWhEvaporated water 180 m3/MW
Investment 2.9 Million JD 9.6 Million JD
M.S. Al-Soud, E.S. Hrayshat / Journal of Cleaner Production 17
(2009) 625635 6295. The proposed CSPP
The proposed CSPP is subdivided into three systems, which
arelinked to each other: the collector eld, the heat transfer uid
(HTF)system, and the power block.
The collector eld consists of collector loops, arranged
inparallel. Each loop consists of collectors, arranged in series to
a loop.Collectors concentrate the solar irradiation to a focal
line, where theHTF the kind of which is proprietary information is
heated up. Inorder to focus the sunlight, the collectors need to be
moved bya tracking system.
The HTF system is used for heat transportation. Hot HTF ata
temperature level of about 390 C is transported from thecollectors
to the power block. After dispensing the heat for steamgeneration,
the HTF is pumped back to the collectors at a temper-ature level of
about 290 C. Core components are pumps for HTFcirculation, pipes,
valves and vessels. The melting point of HTF is12 C. Thus, a heater
is installed to prevent the HTF from freezing,when ambient
temperature falls below 12 C.
The power block converts heat from the HTF to superheatedsteam
and then to electricity. Feed water heating and a reheatturbine is
used to increase efciency. The power block includesfossil-red
back-up systems in order to provide a back-up forperiods without
sun.Fig. 5. DNI grid in hour/month rFrom the nancial point of view
it has to be considered thatinvestment costs for dry cooling are
higher. Summarizing the abovementioned, dry cooling has three main
disadvantages, which arelisted against wet cooling in Table 3.
However, a decisionwas madeto utilize the dry cooling method based
on the fact that Jordansuffers from water shortages.extend plant
availability. This could either be a thermal storage ora fossil-red
boiler. The decision of the collector type has a majorimpact on the
collector eld design. The utilized Eurotroughcollector is developed
by a European consortium to improve theperformance based on the
experiences made at the solar electricgenerating system power
plants.
5.1. Cooling technology to be utilized for the proposed CSPP
Technically, the most efcient cooling technology is cooling
viaevaporation. Themost cost efcient cooling technology for a CSPP
ismainly dependent on the cost for water at the site. Since best
sitesfor CSPP are generally located in the desert, water is most
likelyused for other purposes than power plant supply. Dry
coolingbecomes very attractive at those sites. It requires
enforcedconvection through a fan. This increases the parasitic
powerconsumption signicantly. Since dry cooling is less efcient
thanesolution for Quweira, 1990.
-
M.S. Al-Soud, E.S. Hrayshat / Journal of Cl630The aforementioned
assumptions led to CSPP with the shown inFig. 6 layout and
parameters summarized in Table 4. The proposedplant which will use
a land area of 1,200,000 m2 and an apertureof 305,200 m2 represents
a fully dispatchable capacity of 50 MWe.It employs 560 Eurotrough
100 collectors with 70 loops. Based onthe solar radiation
intensities at the plants site located in Jordan,the full-load
hours are expected to be 2345, and the plant isexpected to generate
approximately 117 GWh per year.
5.2. Simulation of the proposed CSPP energy yield
In order to estimate the energy yield of the proposed CSPP
atQuweira, a calculation model using the concept design of
theproposed CSPP was developed at Lahmeyer International.
Thecalculation proceeds in the following manner:
(1) Calculation of the thermal power of the solar eld using
thefollowing parameters:
Position of the sun for the given site Hourly DNI values
Collector type and efciency
Fig. 6. Layout plan of the p
Table 4Design characteristics of the proposed CSPP.
Capacity 50 MWNumber of collectors 560Collector type Eurotrough
100Number of loops 70Aperture 305,200 m2
Land use 1,200,000 m2
Full-load hours 2345Annual electricity yield 117 GWhCooling
Dryeaner Production 17 (2009) 625635 Number of collectors in the
solar eld Row shading Thermal inertia Parasitic power consumption
Turbine overload
(2) Calculation of the electrical power of the solar power
plant
The electrical power of the solar eld is calculated from
theefciency of the Rankine-cycle as function of thermal load.
Thisefciency is derived from the simulation software Thermo-ow.
Figs. 7 and 8 exhibit the calculation results of the solar
eldthermal power and electrical power of the plant,
respectively.Considering turbine overload conditions during summer
monthsand parasitic power consumption of the plant, the
electricalproduction, generated by the power plant sums up as
displayed inFig. 9. It is observed that a peak power production
occurs in thesummer months. This production curve does meet the
demand ofJordan. Yearly and daily peak demand periods are dependent
oncooling facilities such as air conditioners.
Fig. 10 exhibits the typical electricity demand over a year
inJordan [7]. It shows that the supply curve of a CSPP and the
demandcurve of Jordan match closely in a daily and yearly cycle.
CSPPs areespecially suitable for peak power demand, because they
have theirhighest efciency at summer months and during midday
whenelectricity demand reaches its peak. Extension of the
electricityproduction in the evening can be achieved by a thermal
storagesystem or a fossil-red boiler.
5.3. Economic feasibility analysis
Calculation of the levelized electricity cost (LEC) was
performed,using estimated engineering, procurement, and
construction (EPC)costs in addition to operation and maintenance (O
and M) costs.
roposed 50 MW CSPP.
-
of CleM.S. Al-Soud, E.S. Hrayshat / JournalThe monetary data was
expressed in Jordanian Dinar (JD), where 1JD 1000 Fils (F)z 1.41
US$.
The EPC costs supplied in Table 5 are obtained from expe-rience
at the existing solar electric generating system plants in
theworld. A continuous plant operation includes frequent
replacementof materials and media. This includes especially reector
panels,
Fig. 7. Thermal power of the
Fig. 8. Electrical power of the
Fig. 9. Monthly production of taner Production 17 (2009) 625635
631heat collecting elements and heat transfer uid. The
plantconsumes also water and electricity to run the power block.
Wateris mainly used for the power block and also for mirror
cleaning.Table 5 summarizes these costs.
The LEC calculation considers rates for return on equity of
12%and 3% interests for bonded capital in a base case scenario. For
the
proposed 50 MW CSPP.
proposed 50 MW CSPP.
he proposed 50 MW CSPP.
-
Comparing the obtained LEC and the annual production from
which 1873 MW is the capacity of the interconnected system,
thismeans that the inter-connected system constitutes 92.8% of
the
700
800
900
AN
D [M
W]
Minimum load Morning load Evening load Table 6Input parameters
for LEC calculation.
Parameter Case 1 Case 2 Case 3 Case 4
Total investment cost (million JD) 170 170 170 170Debt share (%)
70 70 70 70Debt interest rate (%) 6 3 3 3Return on equity (%) 12 12
12 12Annuity (%) 8.7 6.7 5.1 6.7Depreciation time (years) 20 20 30
30Grace period (years) 0 0 0 10O&M cost (million JD/year) 3.86
3.86 3.86 3.86Capacity (MW) 50 50 50 50Full-load operation (h/year)
2345 2345 2345 2345
M.S. Al-Soud, E.S. Hrayshat / Journal of Cleaner Production 17
(2009) 625635632capital distribution, the following was assumed:
70% foreign capitaland 30% equity capital. Total Investment cost
for this calculation hasto include soft costs: project development,
land cost, fees forlicenses, consulting and any other expenses
directly related to theproject. Soft costs are assumed to be 10% of
the EPC costs.
When a grace period is considered, the annuity is calculated
forthe years left to pay off the credit. Therefore, it appears to
be higherin the repayment period, than for the same
conditionwithout graceperiod. For the grace period, very soft
nancing conditions areassumed. This includes in particular no repay
and no interestpayment during that period. Table 6 shows the input
parametersfor LEC calculation.
The LEC was calculated in four different loan conditions
underthe following assumptions:
In case 1, a situation close to market conditions is represented
In case 2, the interest rate is reduced from 6% to 3% In case 3,
the depreciation time is increased from 20 years to 30years
In case 4, a grace period of 10 years is introduced.
In case 4 a dept interest rate which is the annual rate
ofinterest paid to the debt holder at the end of each year of the
termof the debt of 3%, depreciation period that is the period
overwhich the project capital costs are depreciated using a
constant rate
300
400
500
600
Janu
ary
Febr
uary
Mar
ch
April
May
June July
Augu
st
Sept
embe
r
Oct
ober
Nov
embe
r
Dec
embe
r
MONTH
EL
EC
TR
IC
IT
Y D
EM
Fig. 10. Typical electricity demand over a year in Jordan. of 30
years and a grace period where very soft nancingconditions are
assumed, including in particular no repay and nointerest payment
during that period of 10 years were introduced.These three factors
with the chosen values are expected to havea great role in reducing
the LEC value.
Fig. 11 exhibits the LEC for the four different loan conditions
inaddition to the average current LEC [16]. It reveals that the
lowestLEC which equals about 107 JF/kWh is obtained for the fourth
loancondition. This value is comparable with the average current
LEC obtained from hybrid parabolic trough plants of about 106.5
JF/kWh. These values of LEC are expected to be reduced to
approxi-mately 40 JF/kWh in the medium term after a successful
penetra-tion of the electricity market. This would be competitive
with thetypical fossilfuel generation costs [16].
Table 5Parameters utilized in the economic feasibility
analysis.
Estimated erection time 2 YearsDurability More than 20 yearsEPC
cost 155 Million JDO&M staff 40 Employeestotal installed
capacity in Jordan. The total length of 132 kVnetwork and above is
about 3400 km-circuit and the total installedcapacity of the
substations is 6189 mVA.
Due to the fact that the proposed CSPP will be located in Queira
which is connected to national grid it will be very easy toconnect
the CSPP to the national grid to support it and becausethe proposed
plant, with those of PV systems obtained fromRef. [22], reveals
that for low irradiation values the annual output ofsolar thermal
systems is much lower than of PV systems. On theother hand, for
high irradiations solar thermal systems provide thebest-cost
solution even when considering higher cost reductionfactors for PV
in the next decade.
6. Electrical power system in Jordan and possible connectionwith
the proposed CSPP
The interconnected electrical power system of Jordan, shown
inFig. 12 [23] consists of the main generating power stations, 132
kVand 400 kV transmission network. This transmission
networkinterconnects the power stations with the load centers
anddifferent areas in the kingdom. The system also includes the230
kV, 400 kV tie lines with Syria, and 400 kV tie linewith Egypt
inaddition to the distribution networks, which serve the
populationin Jordan. In addition to that, the electrical power
system in Jordanincludes some private power stations, which are
synchronized withthe rest of the power stations in the intergraded
network and thereare a few private power stations, which are not
connected with theinterconnected network and serve only their
owners. The totalsystem installed capacity at the end of 2007 was
2019 MW, of020406080
100120140160180200
1 2 3 4 Current LECCASE
LE
C (JF
/kW
h)
Fig. 11. LEC for the four different loan conditions.
-
of CleM.S. Al-Soud, E.S. Hrayshat / JournalQueira is close to
Egypt, part of the electricity produced by the CSPPcould be
exported to Egypt.
7. Road map for the rst commercial CSPP in Jordan
The technical market potential of CSPP worldwide is estimatedto
be greater than 6400 MW over the next 20 years [15]. However,due to
the high cost of CSPP and the competition with other formsof
electricity generation, it will depend on nancial support
andincentives until the industry develops the technologies and
econ-omies of scale needed to become truly cost-competitive. In
thiscontext, seven countries (Jordan, Algeria, Egypt, Germany,
Israel,Morocco and Spain) in addition to U.S. state of (Nevada)
adoptedthe Global Market Initiative (GMI) with the objective of
supportingthe creation of adequate market conditions conducive to
build newCSPP plants and to expedite the deployment of 5000 MWe of
CSPplants by 2015 [16].
To make the long-term investments needed to achieve lowercosts,
a visible, reliable, and growing market for solar thermal
Fig. 12. Jordan electrianer Production 17 (2009) 625635 633power
must be established. Three policy areas will have thegreatest
impact on that objective: targets and tariffs, regulations,and
nancing mechanisms.
With respect to targets and tariffs, GMI organizers
recommendthat countries and states participating in the GMI
establisha consistent base of national laws and regulations, such
as adequatefeed-in tariffs or public benet charges specically for
CSPP. Theyshould establish renewable portfolio standards (RPS) or
similarmechanisms that encourage electricity generation from
renew-ables, specically CSPP.
With respect to regulations, GMI urges policy makers to
avoidlimitations on CSPP capacity or operating strategies that
couldincrease the cost of introducing the technology. Policy
makersshould also remove restrictive laws that hinder
interconnection toCSPP to allow more cost-effective connection to
the electric grid.
With respect to nancing, GMI advocates recommend thatKyoto
Protocol instruments should be applicable to CSPP and bebankable.
They also advise policy makers to institute productiontax credits
similar to those now enjoyed by wind power, and
c power system.
-
To allow a moderate introduction of the CSPP into the
existing
Erection of ground-based measurement stations for
collectinglong-term direct solar irradiation and meteorological
data.
f Clwhich stimulated the growth of wind power in some
countries.In addition, policy makers should establish loan
guaranteeprograms and maintain investment tax credits to support
theinitial capital investments needed before CSPP plants begin
toproduce power.
For the Jordanian and developing countries (especially
thoselocated in the MENA region) case, when the nancial framework
isset-up, an international tendering procedure for an
independentpower producer (IPP) which were encouraged by energy
sectorscomprehensive national strategy approved by the
JordanianCouncil of Ministers in January 2004 to implement
energyprojects on BOO (Build-Own-Operate), BOT
(Build-Operate-Transfer) and BOOT (Build-Own-Operate-Transfer)
basis is recom-mend [24]. Loans will be easily obtained from some
of the mainsponsors of energy investments in the developing world,
i.e. theWorldbank Group, the Kreditanstalt fur Wiederaufbau (KfW),
theEuropean Investment Bank (EIB) in addition to the Global
Envi-ronmental Facility (GEF) (who approved grants for rst
solarthermal projects in Egypt, India, Mexico and Morocco of
approxi-mately US$ 200 million in total only in the year 2000, when
the oilprice was only US$ 30/barrel [25]) who have recently
beenconvinced due to current oil prices of the
environmentalpromises and the economic perspectives of CSPP.
The IPP will sell the produced electricity to the tariff xed in
thefeed-in law. The IPP structure is proposed due to the
bindingmomentum for both sides. The IPP is bound to produce
electricityand the government is bound to buy the electricity on a
xed tariffbasis. This approach includes the contracting of a
consultant fortender document preparation. Call for proposals and
proposalevaluation will be performed by the consultant. The
Governmentwill then make a decision on the preferred bidder and
will contractan IPP for the rst CSPP.
For Jordans and MENA region case, reliable data for DNI of
theproposed site have to be available for solid development of a
CSPP.Therefore, data collection at the most promising sites should
beginin parallel to the development and completion of the
nancialboundary conditions.
The above described steps are summarized as follows:
(1) Regulatory and nancial conditions for investorsEither
Development of a feed-in tariff regulation for REOr
Application for soft loan at a suited international
nancinginstitution
Approval of soft loan (to be granted to the successful
IPPbidder)
International bidding procedure for an IPP.
(2) Technical requirements
Collection of ground and satellite-based DNI data.
8. Conclusions
It bodeswell that renewable energy technologies such as CSPP
have become an important issue for most of the developed
anddeveloping countries, especially those located in the MENA
region,which includes Jordan. The rise of oil prices, the shortage
of energy, inaddition to the fact that operation of CSPP is
economically viable inmost of Sun built regions such as the MENA
countries (since theaverage DNI values there are above the
economically viable averageannual direct normal irradiation of 2000
kWh/m2 annually) haveinitiateda renewed interest inCSPP.
Thepolitical dimension is further
M.S. Al-Soud, E.S. Hrayshat / Journal o634demonstrated by the
formation by the GMI nations of a taskforceto nd ways of
stimulating the creation of adequate marketAcknowledgements
Authors would like to express their sincere gratitude to Eng.
Z.Jibril Director of Renewable Energy Department/JordanianMinistry
of Energy and Mineral Resources for his valuable help
andsupport.
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conicts.Moreover, this technology could play a major role in
combatingclimate change by means of exible instruments dened in
theKyoto Protocol. Those instruments may also help to reduce
thehigher capital costs in the long run. The average current LEC
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PV systems, the CSPP provides for highirradiations the best-cost
solution even when considering highercost reduction factors for PV
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