4G – LTE vs WIMAX Richard Van Research Analyst, Technical Insights April 19, 2011 Technical Insights’ Growth Opportunity Briefing Future Trends in the Mobile Cellular Space
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4G – LTE vs WIMAX
Richard VanResearch Analyst, Technical Insights
April 19, 2011
Technical Insights’ Growth Opportunity BriefingFuture Trends in the Mobile Cellular Space
2
33 Technology Landscape in Malaysia
11
22
44
55 Conclusion
Introduction
Technology Overview – LTE & WIMAX
Emerging Technology Trends
Table of Contents
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Introduction
Cellular 4GCellular 4G
Original specifications for 4G specifies speeds exceeding 100Mbit/s.
None of the current 4G technology currently meets those specifications but are marketed as 4G as they represent substantial improvement over 3G and represent forerunners to actual 4G technology.
We will discuss the capabilities of the current forms of LTE (Long Term Evolution) and WIMAX (Worldwide Interoperability for Microwave Access)
Original specifications for 4G specifies speeds exceeding 100Mbit/s.
None of the current 4G technology currently meets those specifications but are marketed as 4G as they represent substantial improvement over 3G and represent forerunners to actual 4G technology.
We will discuss the capabilities of the current forms of LTE (Long Term Evolution) and WIMAX (Worldwide Interoperability for Microwave Access)
LTE WIMAX
HSPA+(3.5G)
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2000 1991
Cellular Technology Background
2003 2010
2GNo data
Text
GPRS~100kb/s
EDGE~400kb/s
3G~1/2Mb/s
LTE
WIMAX
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Technological Drivers for 4G
Drivers for 4G Adoption
Changing data consumption
Consumer Demand
Latest smartphones
4G4G
Faster Speeds
ApplicationsMore efficient spectrum use
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Technology OverviewLong Term Evolution (LTE)
AboutAbout
BandwidthBandwidth
Theoretical download rates of 326.4 Mbit/s for 4x4 antennae, and 172.8 Mbit/s for 2x2 antennae (utilizing 20 MHz of spectrum).
Theoretical upload rates of 86.4 Mbit/s for every 20 MHz of spectrum using a single antenna.
Theoretical download rates of 326.4 Mbit/s for 4x4 antennae, and 172.8 Mbit/s for 2x2 antennae (utilizing 20 MHz of spectrum).
Theoretical upload rates of 86.4 Mbit/s for every 20 MHz of spectrum using a single antenna.
SpectraSpectra
Capable of supporting up to 200 users per 5MHz.
Spectrum flexibility to scale channel size from 1.4 MHz to 20 MHz
700 and 1900 MHz in North America; 900, 1800, 2600 MHz in Europe; 1800 and 2600 MHz in Asia; 1800 MHz in Australia.
Capable of supporting up to 200 users per 5MHz.
Spectrum flexibility to scale channel size from 1.4 MHz to 20 MHz
700 and 1900 MHz in North America; 900, 1800, 2600 MHz in Europe; 1800 and 2600 MHz in Asia; 1800 MHz in Australia.
RangeRange At 900MHz band, range from 5km (optimum) to 100km
(acceptable)
At 2.6GHz band, typical range is 1km.
At 900MHz band, range from 5km (optimum) to 100km (acceptable)
At 2.6GHz band, typical range is 1km.
Officially know as the 3GPP Long Term Evolution which is the latest standard under the technology tree that produces the current GSM technology.
Marketed as 4G but is actually a pre-4G standard to the precursor of LTE Advanced. Designed to be forward compatible with LTE Advanced using the same frequency bands but is not backward compatible with existing 3G systems.
Officially know as the 3GPP Long Term Evolution which is the latest standard under the technology tree that produces the current GSM technology.
Marketed as 4G but is actually a pre-4G standard to the precursor of LTE Advanced. Designed to be forward compatible with LTE Advanced using the same frequency bands but is not backward compatible with existing 3G systems.
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Technology OverviewWorldwide Interoperability for Microwave Access (WIMAX)
AboutAbout
BandwidthBandwidth
Theoretical maximum speeds of up to 75 Mbit/s (utilizing 20 MHz of spectrum).
Latest ratification of the 802.16m standard (WIMAX-2) capable to reach speeds of 300Mbit/s.
Theoretical maximum speeds of up to 75 Mbit/s (utilizing 20 MHz of spectrum).
Latest ratification of the 802.16m standard (WIMAX-2) capable to reach speeds of 300Mbit/s.
SpectraSpectra Spectrum flexibility to scale channel size from 5MHz, 8.75MHz
or 10MHz.
2.5GHz in North America; 2.3GHz – 3.5GHz in Asia.
Spectrum flexibility to scale channel size from 5MHz, 8.75MHz or 10MHz.
2.5GHz in North America; 2.3GHz – 3.5GHz in Asia.
RangeRange Theoretically capable up to 50km depending on frequency and
line of sight.
Typical deployment at 5-8 km range.
Theoretically capable up to 50km depending on frequency and line of sight.
Typical deployment at 5-8 km range.
Officially designated under the IEEE 802.16 standard.
Designed as an extension of the Wi-Fi technology giving further range for broadband connections, cellular backhaul, hotspots. Most commercial deployments cater for Mobile WIMAX.
Officially designated under the IEEE 802.16 standard.
Designed as an extension of the Wi-Fi technology giving further range for broadband connections, cellular backhaul, hotspots. Most commercial deployments cater for Mobile WIMAX.
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4G Players in Malaysia
4G4G
• P1 WIMAX (Green Packet)
• YES (YTL)
• REDtone
• Amax (Asiaspace)
• P1 WIMAX (Green Packet)
• YES (YTL)
• REDtone
• Amax (Asiaspace)
• Maxis (trials started)
• Celcom (trials started)
• P1 (announced plans to switch)
• Maxis (trials started)
• Celcom (trials started)
• P1 (announced plans to switch)
WIMAXWIMAX LTELTE
List of Industry Players in Malaysia
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Spectrum Allocation in Malaysia
WIMAX Spectrum Allocation in the 2.3GHz Band
Packet One (30MHz)
AsiaSpace (30Mhz)
WIMAX YTL (30MHz)
REDtone (25MHz, Sabah & Sarawak only)
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Spectrum Allocation in Malaysia
Maxis
Axiata
Digi
U Mobile
Asiaspace
PacketOne
REDtone
YTL
Puncak Semangat
20MHz Each
LTE/4G Spectrum Allocation in the 2.5/2.6GHz Band
Telco ProviderWIMAX Provider
New Entrant
Legend:
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Worldwide TrendsData Patterns
• Expect 500 million smartphone unit shipments by 2015• Exponential growth in mobile data traffic
• Expect 500 million smartphone unit shipments by 2015• Exponential growth in mobile data traffic
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Worldwide Trends
USAUSA
• AT&T & T-Mobile:No concrete plans for LTE. T-Mobile has adopted HSPA+ and has branded it as 4G.
• Verizon: Has deployed LTE in major cities and is continuing roll out for more areas.
• Sprint/Clearwire: Most active WIMAX player within the NA market. Largest 4G customer base in US market due to early mover advantage.
• AT&T & T-Mobile:No concrete plans for LTE. T-Mobile has adopted HSPA+ and has branded it as 4G.
• Verizon: Has deployed LTE in major cities and is continuing roll out for more areas.
• Sprint/Clearwire: Most active WIMAX player within the NA market. Largest 4G customer base in US market due to early mover advantage.
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Worldwide Trends
EuropeEurope
• Sweden:Agressive launch plans by telcos to cover 99% of households with LTE coverage by 2012. Government recently auctioned 3 blocks of 2x10MHz spectrum within the 800MHz band.
• UK:Only expected to start auctioning 4G spectrum licenses by 2012.
• Germany:Rollout by Vodafone started for LTE.
• Russia:Yota (largest WIMAX operator ) announced plans for LTE adoption.
• Sweden:Agressive launch plans by telcos to cover 99% of households with LTE coverage by 2012. Government recently auctioned 3 blocks of 2x10MHz spectrum within the 800MHz band.
• UK:Only expected to start auctioning 4G spectrum licenses by 2012.
• Germany:Rollout by Vodafone started for LTE.
• Russia:Yota (largest WIMAX operator ) announced plans for LTE adoption.
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Worldwide Trends
AsiaAsia
• China:China Mobile has been given approval to start trials in Shanghai, Hangzhou and 4 other cities. Has chosen to deploy TD-LTE.
• India:Infotel has chosen to deploy TD-LTE.
• Malaysia: Maxis and Celcom announced trials for LTE. Recently P1 was reported planning to switch from WIMAX to LTE.
• Singapore:Government plans to re-allocate bands within the 2.3/2.5GHz spectrum to be available after 2015. Allows existing spectrum holder to offer LTE on existing spectrum.
• China:China Mobile has been given approval to start trials in Shanghai, Hangzhou and 4 other cities. Has chosen to deploy TD-LTE.
• India:Infotel has chosen to deploy TD-LTE.
• Malaysia: Maxis and Celcom announced trials for LTE. Recently P1 was reported planning to switch from WIMAX to LTE.
• Singapore:Government plans to re-allocate bands within the 2.3/2.5GHz spectrum to be available after 2015. Allows existing spectrum holder to offer LTE on existing spectrum.
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White SpaceWhite Space 700MHz/800MHz700MHz/800MHz
HSPA+HSPA+ Wi-Fi OffloadsWi-Fi Offloads
• US FCC has recently approved the use of spare guard band spectrum from TV broadcast for use.
• IEEE 802.11AF is in the process of approval for Wi-Fi to use White Space spectrum.
• US FCC has recently approved the use of spare guard band spectrum from TV broadcast for use.
• IEEE 802.11AF is in the process of approval for Wi-Fi to use White Space spectrum.
• Analog TV bands to be available for mobile cellular /broadbandusage once migration to digital TV is complete.
• Analog TV bands to be available for mobile cellular /broadbandusage once migration to digital TV is complete.
• Used primarily as a bridge from 3G to 4G.
• From actual field tests done, speeds obtained can match LTE & WIMAX speeds under certain conditions.
• Easy to upgrade from existing infrastructure.
• Used primarily as a bridge from 3G to 4G.
• From actual field tests done, speeds obtained can match LTE & WIMAX speeds under certain conditions.
• Easy to upgrade from existing infrastructure.
• Trend in Europe to gain the capability to offload cellular connectivity to existing carrier owned Wi-Fi networks.
• Allows for easing of congestion on urban cellular networks.
• Trend in Europe to gain the capability to offload cellular connectivity to existing carrier owned Wi-Fi networks.
• Allows for easing of congestion on urban cellular networks.
Emerging Technology TrendsCommunication Standards
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WIMAX vs LTEWIMAX vs LTE
HSPA+HSPA+
• Does it really matter to the end user?• Which ever most attractive in terms of device and features will be dominant.
• Does it really matter to the end user?• Which ever most attractive in terms of device and features will be dominant.
• Cheapest upgrade path for telco operators.• At current speeds can match other 4G technologies.
• Cheapest upgrade path for telco operators.• At current speeds can match other 4G technologies.
Conclusion
4G in Malaysia4G in Malaysia
• 2011 will the year for MCMC to finalize the spectrum allocation.• 700MHz refarming.• Very strong headstart by WIMAX operators in Malaysia.
• 2011 will the year for MCMC to finalize the spectrum allocation.• 700MHz refarming.• Very strong headstart by WIMAX operators in Malaysia.
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For Additional Information
Donna JeremiahCorporate CommunicationsAsia Pacific+603 6204 [email protected]
Carrie LowCorporate CommunicationsAsia Pacific+603 6204 [email protected]
Richard VanResearch AnalystTechnical InsightsAsia Pacific+603 6204 [email protected]
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