30th October 2014 Alumetal Group Q3 2014 financial results
Apr 01, 2015
30th October 2014
Alumetal Group
Q3 2014 financial results
Q3 2014 and LTM at glance
Volume sales – 37k tons in Q3 2014 and 151k tons in LTM
Adjusted EBITDA – PLN 20 mn in Q3 2014 and PLN 85 mn in LTM
Adjusted net profit – PLN 14 mn in Q3 2014 and PLN 62 mn in LTM
Low net debt due to improved EBITDA, low capex and low effecitve CIT rate
Motor vehicle registrations in the EU in thou. units
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 LTM 10,000
11,000
12,000
13,000
14,000
15,000
16,000
17,000
18,000
19,000
15,387 15,530
14,309 14,132 13,343 13,130
12,054 11,851 12,400
2,743 2,990
2,451
1,642
1,761 1,935
1,695 1,712
1,830
CVPC
In Q3 2014 sales of motor vehicle in the EU increased by 5,8% (increase by 5,1% in PC and 10,1% in CV)
In LTM sales of motor vehicle in the EU increased by 4,9% (increase by 4,6% in PC and 6,9% in CV)
Metal Bulletin 226 alloy spread w EUR
In Q3 2014 slight improvement of relation between scrap cost and standard 226 alloy prices
01-2
008
04-2
008
07-2
008
10-2
008
01-2
009
04-2
009
07-2
009
10-2
009
01-2
010
04-2
010
07-2
010
10-2
010
01-2
011
04-2
011
07-2
011
10-2
011
01-2
012
04-2
012
07-2
012
10-2
012
01-2
013
04-2
013
07-2
013
10-2
013
01-2
014
04-2
014
07-2
014
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Margin benchmark (EUR/t)
Volume sales in thou. tons
8%
26%19%
In Q3 2014 volume sales increased by 8% to 37k tons
In LTM volume sales increased by 19% to 151k tons
3Q'13 3Q'14 9M'13 9M'140.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
140.0
34.4 37.2
93.1
116.9
2011 2012 2013 LTM -
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
140.0
160.0
88.1 99.4
126.9
150.7
3Q'13 3Q'14 9M'13 9M'140
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
274.2 292.3
743.7
908.9
2011 2012 2013 LTM0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
811.7 844.6
1,015.3
1,180.5
Sales revenue in mn PLN
7%
22% 16%
In Q3 2014 sales revenue increased by 7% to PLN 292 mn
In LTM sales revenue increased by 16% to over PLN 1180 mn
2011 2012 2013 LTM -
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
63.0
52.9 54.0
74.9
3Q'13 3Q'14 9M'13 9M'140.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
16.419.8
35.0
55.9
EBITDA in mn PLN
20%
39%
In Q3 2014 EBITDA increased by 20% to PLN 20 mn
In LTM EBITDA increased by 39% to PLN 75 mn
60%
EBITDA per ton in PLN
In Q3 2014 EBITDA per ton increased by 11% to 531 PLN/t
In LTM EBITDA per ton increased by 17% to 497 PLN/t
3Q'13 3Q'14 9M'13 9M'140
100
200
300
400
500
600
478
531
376
478
2011 2012 2013 LTM0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800715
532
425
497
11%
27%
17%
3Q'13 3Q'14 9M'13 9M'140.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
40.0
45.0
12.414.0
22.9
42.0
2011 2012 2013 LTM -
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
44.0
34.4 35.8
54,9
Net profit in mn PLN
14%
83%53%
In Q3 2014 net profit increased by 14% to PLN 14 mn
In LTM net profit increased by 53% to PLN 55 mn
The impact of one-off events for 1-3Q 2014 results in thou. PLN
VAT – reversal of provision 1 106
IPO costs - 1 490
Cimos – creation of provision - 9 757
Impact on EBITDA - 10 142
VAT – reversal of provision + interest 884
Impact on EBT - 9 258
CIT 2 137
Impact on net profit - 7 121
24%
89% 57%
In Q3 2014 adjusted EBITDA increased by 24% to PLN 20 mn
In LTM adjusted EBITDA increased by 57% to PLN 85 mn
Adjusted EBITDA in mn PLN
3Q'13 3Q'14 9M'13 9M'14 -
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
16.4 19,8
35.0
55.9
20,3*
66,1*
2011 2012 2013 LTM -
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
90.0
63.0
52.9 54.0
74.9
85,0*
* Adjusted by impact of one-off events
Adjusted EBITDA per ton in PLN
14%
50% 33%
In Q3 2014 adjusted EBITDA per ton increased by 14% to PLN 546
In LTM adjusted EBITDA per ton increased by 33% to PLN 564
3Q'13 3Q'14 9M'13 9M'140
100
200
300
400
500
600
478
531
376
478
546* 565*
2011 2012 2013 LTM0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800715
532
425
497
564*
* Adjusted by impact of one-off events
Adjusted net profit mn PLN
17%
114% 73%
In Q3 2014 adjusted net profit increased by 17% to PLN 14,5 mn
In LTM adjusted net profit increased by 73% to PLN 62 mn
3Q'13 3Q'14 9M'13 9M'140.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
12.4 14.0
22.9
42.0
14,5*
49,1*
2011 2012 2013 LTM -
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
44.0
34.4 35.8
54.9
62,0*
* Adjusted by impact of one-off events
Capex in mn PLN
-68%
-74%
-62%
In Q3 2014 capex decreased by 68% to PLN 1,6 mn
In LTM capex decreased by 62% to PLN 12,7 mn
3Q'13 3Q'14 9M'13 9M'140.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
5.1
1.6
28.2
7.4
2011 2012 2013 LTM -
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0 64.2
38.6 33.5
12.7
OCF vs EBITDA in mn PLN
In Q3 2014 OCF amounted to minus PLN 2 mn vs EBIDTA PLN 20 mn
In LTM OCF amounted to PLN 69,5 mn vs EBIDTA PLN 75 mn
3Q'13 3Q'14 9M'13 9M'14-10.0
-
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
16.4 19.8
35.0
55,9
6.1
-2.3
5.8
38,8
EBITDA OCF
2011 2012 2013 LTM -
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
63.0
52.9 54.0
74.9
17.2
60.9
36.5
69.5
EBITDA OCF
Net debt and effective CIT rate
Net debt Effective CIT rate
At the end of September 2014 net debt amounted to PLN 62 mn and Net debt/EBIDTA ratio decreased from 1,3x at the end of 2013 to 0,8x at the end of Q3 2014
Effective CIT rate in Q3 2014 was negative due to the provision for CIMOS receivables
2011 2012 2013 9M'140.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
112.1
72.1 70.2 61.7
1.8
1.4 1.3
0.8
Net debt Net debt/EBITDA2011 2012 2013 9M'14
-2.0%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
12.3%
7.8%
1.7%
-1.2%
Provision for receivables from CIMOS
The Management Board decided to make a provision for the total amount of the receivables amounting to PLN 9.757 thou. in the results of H1 2014
On 5th August 2014 Alumetal received the letter with the proposal of claim repayment in the following way:
- 25% of the amount shall be paid in October 2014- 30% of the amount shall be divided into 8 semi-annual installments due from October 2015- 45% of the amount shall be redeemed
The court indicated the deadline until 3rd September 2014 for Cimos to present the restructuring plan
On 15th October 2014 Alumetal received the letter confirming an intention of first payment (25% of the amount) within November 2014 (5 days after approval of restucturing plan by the District Court of Koper)
Status of project in Hungary
On 1st October 2014 – business plan accepted by Supervisory Board- PLN 120 mn capex- ca. 60k tons production capacity realized in one stage- start of the production in Q4 2016
On 9th October 2014 – order for design of the plant was issued
On 10th October 2014 – preliminary purchase agreement of the land was signed
On 10th October 2014 – binding offer from Hungarian Goverment was obtaind (public aid up to 35% of eligible capex, the split between cash grant/CIT allowance close to Management expectations)
Summary
Q3 2014 financial results in line with the Management expectations
Market situation should be stable till the end of 2014
Strong OCF, low leverage and obtained Hungarian public aid will allow to finance capex of Hungarian project and continue the dividend policy