Economics MSc 2012-13 Student number: 2047639R MSc Programme: International Banking and Finance Course name: Modern Theory of Banking and Finance Submission date: 18 th March, 2013
Economics MSc 2012-13
Student number:
2047639R
MSc Programme: International Banking and Finance
Course name: Modern Theory of Banking andFinance
Submission date:
18th March, 2013
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Essay on: The process of financial development and financial
liberalization in India over the last few decades, and changes
in the financial regulation and the evolution of the banking
sector.
India is one of the fastest developing countries in the world.
Sen and Vaidya (1997) suggested that the evolution of the
financial sector was divided into three parts. The first one
was from (1947-68) where the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) was
in charge for everything from supervision to control of the
banks. The second period was from (1965-1985) which was known
as the financial repression as 14 commercial banks were
nationalized. The third and the last period was from 1985
onwards when the financial sector was diversified and
liberalized as suggested by Das and Drine (2011). The main
development in the finance industry and the Indian economy
came after the 1990’s when the financial liberalization began.
If we talk about the financial development and financial
liberalization in the last two decades, India mostly (Urban
India) has gone through a total make-over. Most of the changes
have taken place in the industrial sectors such as
Telecommunication, Retail, Aviation and Banking. Chakrabarti
(2010) suggested that the Indian Financial Market has gone
through it’s greatest transformation with the help of (SEBI)
Securities & Exchange Board of India, (NSE) National Stock
Exchange. The new rules and regulation set up by the
government of India led to an increase in the volume of trade
in the equity market. With the help of SEBI around 70% of the
equity trading was captured by the NSE.
Using the data provided in Chart 1 by Abiad, Detragiache and
Tressel (2008) we could see the progress of India after the
1985. Since 1990’s the post liberalization period, we notice
that India started catching up with other Asian countries.
In the mid- 1990’s many new private banks started operations
in India and the public sector gained more momentum. There
were better customer services, new ways of banking and new
technology was involved. The mutual fund and the insurance
companies started opening up to these private banks. After
setting up many reforms, India was still developing at a slow
rate. Mckinsey (2006) found that from the year 2001, the
financial sector of India started getting more stability.
Figure-1
If we look at Figure1, the change in the derivatives market is
evident as there is a drastic improvement after the year 2003-
04. As that year there were new regulations and SEBI became
more powerful. The last decade has been really important in
the improvement of the Indian economy. The turnover is more
than thrice from 2003-04 to 2006-07.
The Financial Sector Legislative Reform Commission (FSLRC) is
the body which makes regulations that affect the financial
markets in India. Recently, as inspired by countries like
Australia and Canada, they are trying to set up a financial
regulation to protect the consumer against unfair practices by
banks and some other financial intermediaries. The Government
of India is working on it and trying to adopt new regulations
and enforce strong laws as stated by Patnaik (2012). Some of
the recent financial regulations in the year 2008 &2009 are as
follows:
1. RBI had liberalized external commercial borrowings (ECB)
to ensure the availability of easy debt.
2. Buybacks of the foreign currency convertible bonds (FCCB)
which was made common to raise corporate finance has some
new policies involved in it.
3. Outbound Investment restrictions were imposed to limit
the flow of investment outside India.
4. All the above legislative measures helped India fight
recession and a revised FDI policy was also introduced
for the protection of the Indian companies.
Chart 2: Herfindahl Index for the Banking Sector
Source: Gupta et al (2011), IMF working paper no. 50
When we look at the efficiency and competition level for the
banks, Gupta et al (2011) emphasized that there was a decline
in the number of banks. As more foreign and private banks
started entering India, there was a sharp decline of banks in
the early 2000’s. This actually had a positive impact as the
banks became more efficient with their services and by the
year 2007 there was almost a balance between the public and
private sector banks. Chart 2 explains this scenario, as
Herfindahl index which consists of shares in assets for all
banks, including the foreign ones shows us the decline in the
number of banks.
Singh and Weisse (1998) in their paper mentioned that as India
is one of the emerging markets in the world, the equity market
is expanding very fast. After the changes in the policies and
when liberalization was being implemented at a fast pace, in
the end of year 1995 the Indian Stock market was the largest
in the world. It had around 7985 listed companies which
surpassed all the other stock exchanges in the world. If we
look at the current scenario, India has attracted a lot of
Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), and now the stock market has
a lot of options for the investors as it is more diversified.
There are options, futures, commodities, equities, bonds etc
and it depends on the investor as to how much risk they are
willing to take. In the long run and the coming future there
will be more and more investors involved in the stock market.
Chart 3: The Journey of the Indian Stock Market since 1991.
Source: Deepak Shenoy (2013), Capitalmind.in
If we take a look at Chart 3, it shows us the change from the
year 1991, when the stock market had a positive growth. Till
the year 2003, the Indian equity market was stagnant and there
were negative returns for 11 consecutive years. Then came the
sudden change which was the boom (2003-07) for the Indian
stock market as the sensex almost tripled its value and it was
definitely the best years for business in the Indian stock
market. If we look at the year 2008, which was the year of
recession all over the world, there was a big crash in the
stock markets of the world as well, the sensex was also
affected majorly, but the surprising factor is the way it
recovered (the V shaped recovery).
References:
Abiad Abdul, Enrica Detragiache, Thierry Tressel, 2010. "A NewDatabase of Financial Reforms," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan Journals, vol.57(2), pages 281-302.
AJIT SINGH and BRUCE A. WEISSE. (1995). Emerging StockMarkets, Portfolio Capital Flows and Long-term EconomicGrowth: Micro and Macroeconomic Perspectives . World Development.26 (4), 607-614.
Deepak Shenoy. (2013). Subbarao on the Economy, With InterestingGraphs. Available: http://capitalmind.in/2013/03/subbarao-on-the-economy-with-interesting-graphs/. Lastaccessed 16th March,2013.
Gupta, P., Kochhar, K., Panth, S., 2011. Bank Ownership andthe Effects of Financial Liberalization: Evidence from India,IMF Working Paper no. 50
Ila Patnaik (2012), Towards better financial Regulation, TheFinancial Express, 2nd October,2012.
McKinsey, 2006, “Accelerating India’s Growth through Financialsystem reform”, McKinsey Global Institute.
Nirupam Bajpai and Jeffrey D. Sachs. (2011). India's Decade ofdevelopment. CGC. 3
Rajesh Chakrabarti. (2010). Financial Development in India:Status and Challenges. Social Science Research Network. E44, G18, 1-3.
Santosh Kumar Das, Imed Drine. (2011). FinancialLiberalization and Banking Sector: Efficiency inIndia. International Business and Management. 2 (1), 42-58.
Sen, Kunal & R.Vaidya (1997), “ The Process of FinancialLiberalization in India”, Oxford University Press, Delhi.