Top Banner
1 Energy Facility Energy Facility Project Drivers Project Drivers Wyoming Pipeline Authority Wyoming Pipeline Authority July 2006 July 2006
11

1 Energy Facility Project Drivers Wyoming Pipeline Authority July 2006.

Mar 26, 2015

Download

Documents

Taylor Thomson
Welcome message from author
This document is posted to help you gain knowledge. Please leave a comment to let me know what you think about it! Share it to your friends and learn new things together.
Transcript
Page 1: 1 Energy Facility Project Drivers Wyoming Pipeline Authority July 2006.

1

Energy Facility Energy Facility

Project DriversProject DriversWyoming Pipeline AuthorityWyoming Pipeline Authority

July 2006July 2006

Energy Facility Energy Facility

Project DriversProject DriversWyoming Pipeline AuthorityWyoming Pipeline Authority

July 2006July 2006

Page 2: 1 Energy Facility Project Drivers Wyoming Pipeline Authority July 2006.

2

UniField ProfileUniField Profile UniField ProfileUniField Profile• Markets

• 70% Power Generation, Hydrocarbon, Basic Chemicals

• 20% Cement, Minerals &

Metals• 10% Advanced Materials &

Specialty Chemicals

• Distribution• West & Upper-Midwest • Billings, Vancouver WA• Bismarck• 10% annual growth

• Product • Process Facility Capital Projects• Up to $250MM• Facility Revamp & Expansion• Pilot & Demonstration Plants• Technology Support – Not a Driver

• History Hydrocarb, Power & Metals - ’87 Intl Process Technology - ’96 Specialty Chem - WA in ’97 ND & MN - ’04 “Leader of Industry Followers”

Page 3: 1 Energy Facility Project Drivers Wyoming Pipeline Authority July 2006.

3

25 Yr Market Profiles25 Yr Market Profiles

Petroleum Refining

Industrial/Commercial

Power Generation

Oil & Gas

Page 4: 1 Energy Facility Project Drivers Wyoming Pipeline Authority July 2006.

4

Regional ProfileRegional Profile WY & Dakotas

– Fossil Resources– No Markets– Market Access Impediments – Open to Development

WA, OR, UT & Idaho– Few Fossil Resources– Hydro & Wind– Mod to Large Markets– Less Open to

Development

Montana– Fossil Resources– No Markets– Long Distance to

Markets – Less Open to

Development

Page 5: 1 Energy Facility Project Drivers Wyoming Pipeline Authority July 2006.

5

Petroleum RefiningPetroleum Refining 1970’s: Arab Oil Embargo - Bought Coal, Oil Shale & started SynFuels.

1980’s – 90’s: EPA Solid Waste Mandates – Cleanup, Closures & Consolidation – Adapted Gasification & Sold Coal Reserves.

2000 - 04: EPA Air Mandates - Low Sulfur Diesel & Gasoline Investment – Higher Natural Gas & Hydrogen Demand – Tighter Fuel Supplies & Higher Prices – Ethanol Production & Blending.

2004 - 05: Political Instabilities - Higher Crude & Fuel Prices – Coker Upgrades & Conserv – Consider Coke Gasific – Ethanol Speculation

2006 - 10: Better Syn-Crude Supply – Crude Unit Upgrades - Higher Fuel & Coke Supply in Rockies – Liquid Pipeline Expansions – Start of Gasification & Cellulose Ethanol Projects.

Page 6: 1 Energy Facility Project Drivers Wyoming Pipeline Authority July 2006.

6

Industrial & CommercialIndustrial & Commercial 1970’s – 80’s: Large Central Stations – Low Power Prices - Small Coal-fired

Plants Closed & Low Cogeneration Starts - Conversion from Coal to Gas – Low Capital Spending.

1990’s - 02: Low Gas Supply & CAA Compliance – Industrials Convert from Gas to Coal – PRB Coal Development & Prices Increase - Rail Transportation Tightens – High International Capital Spending.

2003 - 05: High Fuel & Power Prices – Some Convert from Coal to Coke – Aluminum & Metals Move Offshore - Wind, Biomass & Solar Considered – Unprecedented Industrial Spending.

2006 - 10: Fuel & Power Prices, Tight Transport & Global Warming Concern – Coal Cogeneration at all Scales – Green Buildings, LEED & EnergyStar Increase - CHCP, Solar & Conservation Projects – Tighter Money Supply & Lower Commodity Prices – Higher Imports.

Page 7: 1 Energy Facility Project Drivers Wyoming Pipeline Authority July 2006.

7

Power GenerationPower Generation 1970’s - 90: Low Gas Prices & Large Central Plants – High Installation of

Gas Plants - Low Installation of Coal-fired Plants – Coal CFB Commercialization.

1990’s - 02: Low Gas Supply & CAA Compliance – PRB Coal Compliance Coal Conversions – Low New Plant Construction.

2002 - 05: Blackouts - High Power Prices & Higher Gas Plant Install - Enron Cancellation of Gas Projects – Housing Construction & Gas Prices Continue – Coal Plant Construction Increase – IGCC & Super Criticals Commercialized.

2006 - 10: High Power Prices, Tight Transmission & Global Warming Concern – Continued Gas Projects & Low Coal Power Acceptance – Continued High Gas Prices - Increased IGCC, SC, CO2 Capture & Gasification – Transmission Constrained.

Page 8: 1 Energy Facility Project Drivers Wyoming Pipeline Authority July 2006.

8

Oil & GasOil & Gas 1980 - 2000: Low Gas Prices – Low onshore E&D – Development

of EOR, CO2 cycling & CBM Extraction.

2000 - 02: Low Gas Supply – Increased Gas Prices & Technology Deployment.

2003 - 05: Continued High Gas Prices & Initiation of CO2 Sequestration – Increased Production & EOR Demand –Increased interest in CO2 Capture.

2006 - 10: Tight Power Transmission, Rail & Low Coal Generation Acceptance– Stranded Coal, Coke & Lignite – High Oil & Gas Prices – EOR, Merchant & Refinery Gasification, Pre & Post Combustion CO2 control – Pipeline Capacity Expansion.

Page 9: 1 Energy Facility Project Drivers Wyoming Pipeline Authority July 2006.

9

Project DriversProject Drivers

Capital– Technology– Production Scale – Site– Escalation

Market Timing– Lead-times– Project Duration

Infrastructure– Utilities, Transportation &

Interconnect– Air permitting & Water

availability– Construction & Operating

labor

Finance– Margin– Term – Interest rate

Page 10: 1 Energy Facility Project Drivers Wyoming Pipeline Authority July 2006.

10

General 2006 – 10 General 2006 – 10 OutlookOutlook Low Acceptance of Coal-fired Power & Global Warming Concern –

Increased interest in CO2 Control – Technology Investment.

Tight Power, Rail & Pipeline Transmission - Continued High Fuel Prices - Stranded Coal, Crude, Coke & Lignite Assets – Project Investment.

Tightened International Money Supply

High Fuel & Power Prices – Increased Imports & Interest Rates – Softening in Demand, Greater Commodity Supply – Lower Margins - Decreased Technology & Projects Investment.

* Contingent on Political Stability

Page 11: 1 Energy Facility Project Drivers Wyoming Pipeline Authority July 2006.

11

Thank You.Thank You.Thank You.Thank You.