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Dec 24, 2015
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DisclaimerDisclaimer
”This presentation may contain statements that express management’s
expectations about future events or results rather than historical facts.
These forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties that could
cause actual results to differ materially from those projected in forward-
looking statements, and CVRD cannot give assurance that such statements
will prove correct. These risks and uncertainties include factors: relating to
the Brazilian economy and securities markets, which exhibit volatility and
can be adversely affected by developments in other countries; relating to
the iron ore business and its dependence on the global steel industry, which
is cyclical in nature; and relating to the highly competitive industries in
which CVRD operates. For additional information on factors that could cause
CVRD’s actual results to differ from expectations reflected in forward-looking
statements, please see CVRD’s reports filed with the Brazilian Comissão de
Valores Mobiliários and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.”
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AgendaAgenda
Performance highlights
Macroeconomic and business outlook
Performance highlights
Macroeconomic and business outlook
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Performance highlightsPerformance highlights
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3Q03 highlights3Q03 highlights
Across the board strong sales performance.
Quarterly record top line - US$ 1.483 billion (+30.4% yoy)
Quarterly record cash generation - adjusted EBITDA equal to
US$ 630 million (+21.2% yoy).
Bottom line - a solid US$ 468 million - 9M03 US$ 1.278
billion.
2003 dividend distribution of US$ 675 million - (+12.1%)
yoy) - US$ 1.75 per share vs. US$ 1.57 per share (average
1999/2002).
Projects on track.
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Excellent sales performanceExcellent sales performance
3Q03 vs 3Q02
-11.2%
16.1%
10.9%
104.5%
10.2%
114.7%
11.7%
13.0%
9.6%
-77.6%
I ron Ore
Pellets
Gold
Manganese ore
Alumina
Aluminum
Potash
Kaolin
Railroads
Ports
46.6 million tons
7,371 million NTK
182,000 tons
747,000 tons
a
b
a - without CAEMI = 43.2 million tonsb - without CAEMI = 140,000 tonsc - running above nominal capacity
c
A new recordA new record
A new recordA new record
A new recordA new record
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Iron ore and pellets - growth still constrained by capacityIron ore and pellets - growth still constrained by capacity
32.836.2 37.5 37.4 36.4 36.3
3.45.26.16.64.8
4.9
3.9
1Q 02 2Q 02 3Q 02 4Q 02 1Q 03 2Q 03 3Q 03
I ron Ore Pellets
million tons
36.7
41.1 42.3 44.042.5 41.5
37.7
5.5
46.6
Caemi
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Railroad transportation reached a new quarterly recordRailroad transportation reached a new quarterly record
664 848841 819
662
987
3,4973,3112,7272,9683,0492,8072,737
1,077
1,832
2,2532,247
2,069
2,233
2,6022,797
1Q 02 2Q 02 3Q 02 4Q 02 1Q 03 2Q 03 3Q 03
EFVM EFC FCA
5,658
6,367
6,6476,355
5,622
million ntk
6,900
7,371
9Source: CVRD and Central Bank of Brazil
CVRD logistics services performance decoupled from Brazil’s GDP growth
CVRD logistics services performance decoupled from Brazil’s GDP growth
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
1Q01 2Q01 3Q01 4Q01 1Q02 2Q02 3Q02 4Q02 1Q03 2Q03
Brazil's GDP yoy growth rate CVRD railroad general cargo transportation yoy growth rate
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Kaolin Potash and
Other6.2%
Manganese and Ferro-
Alloys5.3%
Aluminum, Alumina
and Bauxite16.4%
Logistics10.7%
Gold0.3%
Pellets13.8%
Iron Ore47.3%
Sales revenues and adjusted EBITDASales revenues and adjusted EBITDA
By productBy product By marketBy market
3Q03 Adjusted EBITDA 3Q03 Adjusted EBITDA
US$ 630 millionUS$ 630 million
3Q03 Gross Revenues US$ 1,483 million3Q03 Gross Revenues US$ 1,483 million
USA3.6%
Domestic Market31.2%
RoW11.7%
J apan7.8%
China12.8%Europe
28.0%Emerging
Asia4.9%
Other6.0%
Aluminum10.3%
Logistics8.4%
Non Ferrous Minerals
3.3%
Ferrous Minerals71.9%
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A strong and stable operational performanceA strong and stable operational performance
Adjusted EBIT margin
35.0%33.2%32.7%
41.8%
31.2%
32.2%32.7%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
55%
60%
65%
70%
1Q02 2Q02 3Q02 4Q02 1Q03 2Q03 3Q03
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5.5
50.2
26.6
17.015.9
12.8 10.56.2
BHPB
Alcoa
CVRD
Newm
ont
Alcan
Barric
kIn
co
Phelps
Dod
ge
A good relative performance in the mining and metals industryA good relative performance in the mining and metals industry
Market Capitalizationas of October 31, 2003
US$ billion
Source: Bloomberg LP and companies reports
(27)
518468
280
114 10035 (0)
BHPB
CVRDAlco
a
Newm
ont
Alcan
Barric
k
Phelps
Dod
ge Inco
Net Earnings 3Q03
US$ million
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1,9791,890
1,8251,7801,686
1,5871,515
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1Q02 2Q02 3Q02 4Q02 1Q03 2Q03 3Q03
A consistent strong cash generationA consistent strong cash generation
LTM adjusted EBITDA
US$ millionCaemi+FCA
2,000
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Acquisitions33.0%
Growth Capex41.8%
SIB Capex25.2%
9M03 capex reached US$ 1.5 billion9M03 capex reached US$ 1.5 billion
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Alunorte (alumina)79.1
Sossego (copper)234.3
Taquari-Vassouras (potash)
19.5
Pier III PDM9.6
Carajás (Iron Ore)28
Mineral Exploration36.5
Fabrica Nova (Iron Ore)
10.7
Candonga/Aimorés (power generation)
32.6
Railcars & Locomotives82.8
Others 101.2
9M03 growth capex - US$ 634.2 million9M03 growth capex - US$ 634.2 million
US$ million
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Macroeconomic and
business outlook
Macroeconomic and
business outlook
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Leading indicators are telling us that a synchronous global economic recovery is underway
Leading indicators are telling us that a synchronous global economic recovery is underway
40
45
50
55
60
65
J an-98 J ul-98 J an-99 J ul-99 J an-00 J ul-00 J an-01 J ul-01 J an-02 J ul-02 J an-03 J ul-03
Source: JPMorgan
JP Morgan global manufacturing PMI
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67%
49%
129%
80%
14%
103%
32%
56%
75%
35%
I ron ore Aluminum Copper Steel Nickel
2002 2003E
Renewed global economic growth contributes to reduce reliance on Chinese-centric demand growth for minerals and metals
Renewed global economic growth contributes to reduce reliance on Chinese-centric demand growth for minerals and metals
Chinese contribution to global consumption growth
Source: CVRD and AME Mineral Economics
19 Source: CVRD, Smith Barney and The Economist
5
10
15
20
25
30
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002
Cap
ex U
S$
bil
lio
n,
2002
pri
ces
60
80
100
120
Th
e E
con
om
ist
Met
als
Pri
ce I
nd
ex
Capex The Economist Metals Price Index
The metals & mining industry reacted to the Asian crisis by reducing project capex...
The metals & mining industry reacted to the Asian crisis by reducing project capex...
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1.92.2
2.62.8
3.7
5.2
4.6
3.5
2.92.5
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002
... as well as mineral exploration... as well as mineral exploration
Mineral exploration capex - non ferrous minerals
US$ billion
Source: MEG - Corporate Exploration Strategies, 2002.
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Therefore, the combination of capacity limitations and strong demand growth is producing shortages
Therefore, the combination of capacity limitations and strong demand growth is producing shortages
Iron ore, alumina, copper concentrate and nickel markets
have tightened.
Shipping industry is quoting highest ever freight rates.
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We expect Chinese demand for CVRD iron ore to remain very strongWe expect Chinese demand for CVRD iron ore to remain very strong
Growth in steel capacity - according to the Chinese Iron
and Steel Association, crude steel capacity will increase
by 120 mtpy from the end of 2003 until the end of 2005.
Need for high iron content and low impurities to boost
productivity and to improve quality of steel products.
CVRD commercial relationship is now supported by long
term contracts, which gives us potential to optimize the
steel value chain.
Dynamics of supply price elasticity is working to increase
effective capesize shipping capacity.
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Led by Chinese import growth, global seaborne trade is expected to increase by 7.3% in 2003 and 5.8% in 2004
Led by Chinese import growth, global seaborne trade is expected to increase by 7.3% in 2003 and 5.8% in 2004
Source: CVRD Statistics
356 384 358 368 367 372
70 92112 148
173
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1999 2000 2001 2002 2003E 2004E
411
454 450480
515545
CAGR 99-04
+5.8%
+25.6%
+0.9%Rest of the World
China
World
million tons
China´s share 2002 2003E 2004Ein world seaborne trade 23% 29% 32%
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CVRD iron ore capacity is also expandingCVRD iron ore capacity is also expanding
Capacity Start-up Capex per
ton
Carajás expansion 14 mtpy 2004 US$
10.31
Southern System expansion 3 mtpy 2004 US$ 7.14
Fabrica Nova phase 1 10 mtpy 2005
Fabrica Nova phase 2 +5 mtpy 2009
Brucutu phase 1 12 mtpy 2006
Brucutu phase 2 +6 mtpy 2008
Total increase 50 mtpy
* mine depletion: 10 million tpy until 2007
Depending on demand assessment Carajás capacity can be expanded up to 100 million tpy until 2010.
CVRD mining projectsCVRD mining projects
US$ 5.67
US$ 12.22
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We believe that the current alumina shortage will last for a few more yearsWe believe that the current alumina shortage will last for a few more years
High spot prices are feeding into contract pricing, leveraging returns on Alunorte projects.Source: Metal Bulletin, CRU and Macquarie Research
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Global recovery and USD weakness added better prospects to aluminum pricesGlobal recovery and USD weakness added better prospects to aluminum prices
100000
150000
200000
250000
300000
350000
400000
450000
500000
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
ton
s
1000
1100
1200
1300
1400
1500
1600
1700
1800
US
D/t
on
Inventories 3-month contract price
Source: LME
Aluminum LME prices and inventories
Albras capacityAlbras capacity20022002 406 kty406 kty20032003 430 kty430 kty20042004 450 kty450 kty
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Despite the restart of mining capacity kept idle, declining metal inventories, USD weakness and accelerating global IP growth help to support copper prices
Despite the restart of mining capacity kept idle, declining metal inventories, USD weakness and accelerating global IP growth help to support copper prices
100000
300000
500000
700000
900000
1100000
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
ton
s
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
US
D/t
on
Inventories 3-month contract price
Source: LME
Copper LME prices and inventories
28Source: CRU
Therefore, a good copper outlook is welcoming Sossego
Therefore, a good copper outlook is welcoming Sossego
Tightness in copper concentrate marketTC/RC charges
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
US
$ c
ents
/lb
Contract Spot
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
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AppendixAppendixReconciliation of non-GAAP information and comparable GAAP information
Adjusted EBIT (US$ million) 3Q023Q02 2Q032Q03 3Q033Q03
Net operating revenues 1,098 1,170 1,432
COGS (554) (670) (812)
SG&A expenses (65) (45) (74)
Research and development (15) (12) (22)
Employee profit sharing plan (14) (9) (2)
Others 9 (46) (21)
Operating income (Adjusted EBIT) 459 388 501
Ajusted EBIT Margin = Operating Income / Net Operating Revenues
Adjusted EBITDA (US$ million)
Reconciliation between adjusted ebitda vs. operating cash flow
Operating Cash Flow 356 452 435
Income tax - - (47)
Income tax paid 6 27 6
Monetary and Foreign Exchange Losses 92 1 44
Financial Expenses 41 32 12
Net Working Capital (45) (31) 140
Others (8) 9 40
Adjusted EBITDA 442 490 630
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www.cvrd.com.bre-mail: [email protected]
www.cvrd.com.bre-mail: [email protected]
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